Underlying Trading Principles

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Underlying Trading Principles

In this section, we will focus specifically on the indicators and


strategies that identify one- to seven-day market highs and lows.
Special focus will be placed on the VIX, which we believe is the most
superior indicator available to traders.

Before we do this, let us share some underlying principles and


philosophy that guides our methods.

1. Any indicator, method, and strategy you trade must be


conceptually correct. What does this mean? That you will
have far greater long-term success if your strategies take
advantage of inherent market characteristics.

For example, going long the market whenever Pedro Martinez


pitches on a Tuesday does not exploit an inherent market
characteristic. We don’t care if it has correctly predicted the
market direction 100% of the time over the past decade, this is
simply nonsense. The methods we will share with you have an
edge because they identify and exploit specific market
conditions that have occurred over and over again for the past
decades and will likely occur over and over again for years to
come.

2. Our methods have a built-in edge, but are correct only


approximately two-thirds of the time. This means we will be
wrong at least 33% of the time. How you trade around those
times that you are wrong will dictate your overall success. We
will pay special attention to this in weeks to come.

3. How you protect yourself from losses is the single most


important factor to your trading success. This is a
continuation of #2. The gains take care of themselves when you
correctly identify short- and intermediate-term market turns.
Sometimes these gains are spectacular. It’s the losses you
need to focus on.

Most of our strategies get you into the market in the opposite
direction of the short-term trend. When the trend continues and
you are wrong, you must make sure you have the correct
protective stops in place. As we stated earlier, this will ultimately
dictate your long-term success as a trader and investor.

4. Your strategies must be dynamic, not static. Markets


change. Many of the strategies and indicators we will teach you
have self-adjusting mechanisms and are the ones that provide
us with the biggest advantage.
The goal of our market timing strategies is to give us an edge. It’s to
get us into the market before prices move higher and to get a short
before prices move lower. When this can be done 55-65% of the
time, as these methods do, your chances of success are obviously
greatly improved.

Okay, theory and philosophy class is now over--let’s move on to the


strategies!

On to the Trading Strategies

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