HUM 4072 - Fundamentals of Business Analytics, Introduction
HUM 4072 - Fundamentals of Business Analytics, Introduction
Analytics
UNIT - 1
INTRODUCTION
Prepared By:
Dr. Vineetha E Jathanna
Assistant Professor
Department of Humanities & Management
Discussion on:
Business
A business is defined as an organization or enterprising entity
engaged in commercial, industrial, or professional activities.
Businesses can be for-profit entities or non-profit organizations.
Business types range from limited liability companies to sole
proprietorships, corporations, and partnerships.
- Investopedia
1. Data,
2. Information technology,
3. Statistical analysis,
5. Computer-based models
This all are combined to provide decision makers all the possible scenarios to make a
well thought and researched decision.
BA is the scientific process of transforming data into insight for making better
decisions (Source: INFORMS).
[data => information => knowledge => wisdom]
EVOLUTION OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS
• Business analytics has been existence since very long time and has
evolved with availability of newer and better technologies.
• It has its roots in operations research, which was extensively used during
World War II. Operations research was an analytical way to look at data to
conduct military operations.
• Over a period of time, this technique started getting utilized for business.
Here operation’s research evolved into management science. Again, basis
for management science remained same as operation research in data,
decision making models, etc.
• As the economies started developing and companies became more and
more competitive, management science evolved into-
– Business intelligence,
– PC software.
• TIME STUDY EXERCISE BY TAYLOR: DEVELOPED IN
THE EARLY 20TH CENTURY BY FREDERICK WINSLOW
TAYLOR.
• OPERATIONS RESEARCH (OR): EMERGED DURING
WORLD WAR II.
• MANAGEMENT SCIENCE (MS): DEVELOPED IN THE
1950S AND 1960S.
• PERSONAL COMPUTER SOFTWARE: BECAME
PROMINENT IN THE LATE 1970S AND 1980S.
• OR AND MS WITH ICT: THE INTEGRATION OF
INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION
TECHNOLOGY WITH OR AND MS BECAME
SIGNIFICANT IN THE LATE 20TH CENTURY.
• DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS: GAINED
PROMINENCE IN THE 1970S AND 1980S.
• BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE: BECAME A KEY FOCUS IN
THE 1990S AND 2000S.
An Evolutionary Approach to Implementing BI
SIGNIFICANCE AND USAGES OF BUSINESS ANALYITCS
Product Product Manager, R&D Market trend analysis, product performance evaluation,
Development Manager innovation tracking, user experience analysis.
The question is: When to reduce the price and by how much?
• find the best sets of pricing and advertising to maximize sales revenue
Analytics in Practice: ABC Entertainment
EXAMPLE:
By accessing data about the consumer from multiple sources, such as social
media data and transaction history, companies can better segment and target
their customers and start to make personalized offers to those customers.
EXAMPLE:
Walmart combines public data, social data and internal data to
monitor what customers and friends of customers are saying
about a particular product online. The retailer uses this data to
send targeted messages about the product, and to share
discount offers. Walmart also uses data analysis to identify the Company Industry
context of an online message, such as if a reference to “salt” is Walmart Retail
about the movie or the condiment.
PREDICTIVE SUPPORT:
Through sensors and other machine‐generated data, companies can identify
when a malfunction is likely to occur. The company can then pre‐emptively
order parts and make repairs in order to avoid downtime and lost profits.
EXAMPLE:
Southwest analyses sensor data on their planes in
order to identify patterns that indicate a potential
malfunction or safety issue. This allows the airline
to address potential problems and make necessary Company Industry
repairs without interrupting flights or putting Southwes Travel
passengers in danger. t
airlines
MARKET BASKET ANALYSIS & PRICING OPTIMIZATION:
By quickly pulling data together from multiple sources, retailers can better
optimize their product selection and pricing, as well as decide where to target
ads.
Example
Big data analytics can track trends in security breaches and allow
companies to proactively go after threats before they strike.
Example:
Financial firms use big data to help them identify sophisticated fraud
schemes by combining multiple points of data.
Example
⦁ Pricing decisions
⦁ Financial and marketing activities
⦁ Supply chain management
⦁ Management of customer relationships
⦁ Human resource planning
⦁ Enterprise resource planning
COMPONENTS OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS
Text Mining
Components of Forecasting
Business Analytics Predictive Analytics
Optimization
Visualization
• Data Mining – Create models by uncovering previously unknown trends and
pattern in vast amounts of data.
e.g. To detect insurance claims frauds, Retail Market basket analysis.
There are various statistical techniques through which data mining is
achieved.
– Credit Scoring,
It gives you insights into what may happen, when, and why.
Cognitive analytics covers multiple analytical techniques to analyze large data sets
and monitor customer behavior patterns and emerging trends.
1. Competing ON Analytics
– Analytics is THE key competitive advantage
– Target Result – Sustainable competitive advantage
2. Competing WITH Analytics
– Focus on one business process
– Target result – Incremental profits
3. Improving With Analytics
– Culture of analytics
– Target result – Continuous improvement
4. Revenue Through Analytics
– “Sell” data as a secondary product
– Improved margins or market share
5. Persevering Through Analytics
– Do what the competition does
– The price of entry
✓ Competing ON Analytics: This strategy involves making analytics itself a core
competitive advantage. By emphasizing a data-driven approach across all
aspects of the business, companies can continuously innovate and improve their
products, services, and operations. The ultimate goal is to establish a
sustainable competitive advantage based on the effective use of analytics.
⦁ Statistics
‐ descriptive statistics
‐ inferential statistics
‐ forecasting
‐ modelling
⦁ Quantitative methods
‐ Simulation
‐ optimization
‐ modelling
⦁ Information systems for business intelligence
‐ Big data, small data
‐ data marts, spreadsheets
‐ modelling
DATA FOR BUSINESS ANALYTICS
⦁ VARIABLES
⦁ DATA
‐ collected facts and figures
⦁ DATABASE
‐ collection of computer files containing data
⦁ INFORMATION
‐ comes from analyzing data
VARIABLES FOR BUSINESS ANALYTICS
Variables:
Dependent Independent
Endogenous Exogenous
Explained Effect Explanatory
Controlled Outcome Cause Control
Regressand Covariate
Predictand Regressor
Response Predictor
Stimulus
DATA ARCHITECTURE
⦁ Annual reports
⦁ Accounting audits
⦁ Financial profitability analysis
⦁ Economic trends
⦁ Marketing research
⦁ Operations management performance
⦁ Human resource measurements
VISUALIZATION OF DATA
• Example:
1, 2, 50, 500 …, Kharagpur, gender, 10k3002, xy@gov.in,
Anything else?
Records
Figure 1.2
Types Data Based on Measurement Scale:
⦁ Examples:
‐ customer’s location (America, Europe, Asia)
‐ customer’s location (West Bengal, Karnataka, Punjab)
‐ employee classification (manager, supervisor, associate)
‐ employee classification (male, female)
‐ employee classification (adult, child)
Ordinal Data
⦁ Examples:
‐ college football rankings (Ravenshaw, Christ, Xavier)
‐ Management school rankings (VGSOM, IIMA, IIMB, IIMC, IIML, XLRI)
‐ survey responses (poor, average, good, very good, excellent)
Interval Data
• Reporting:
scorecards, dashboards
• Descriptive:
statistics, historical
• Predictive:
forecasting, recommendations
• Prescriptive:
simulation, what‐if
• Machine learning
pattern discovery
DECISION MODELS
Model:
⦁ An abstraction or representation of a real system, idea, or object
Influence Diagrams -
visually show how various model
elements relate to one another.
A Mathematical Model for Total Cost
TC = F +VQ
TC is Total Cost
F is Fixed cost
V is Variable unit cost
Q is Quantity produced
Example : A Break‐even Decision
Model
TC(manufacturing) = $50,000 +
$125*Q TC(outsourcing) = $175*Q
Breakeven Point:
Set TC(manufacturing)
= TC(outsourcing)
Solve for Q = 1000
units
2. Predictive Decision Models:
In the grocery industry, managers typically need to know how best to use pricing,
coupons and advertising strategies to influence sales.
Using Business Analytics, a grocer can develop a model that predicts sales using
price, coupons and advertising.
Sales = 500 – 0.05(price) + 30(coupons) +0.08(advertising) + 0.25(price)(advertising)
EXAMPLE : A LINEAR DEMAND PREDICTION MODEL AS PRICE INCREASES, DEMAND FALLS.
Example: A Nonlinear Demand Prediction Model
Figure 1.9
3. Prescriptive Decision Models:
A firm wishes to determine the best pricing for one of its products in order
to maximize revenue.
Identify the price that maximizes total revenue, subject to any constraints that
might exist.
• Uncertainty is imperfect knowledge of what will
happen in the future.
Hypothesis Formulation:
• Based on the insights gained from data exploration,
formulate hypotheses or questions to investigate further.
Model Interpretation:
• Understand the significance and impact of the model's features
and parameters.
• Evaluate the model's strengths, limitations, and potential biases.
Insight Generation:
• Apply the trained model to new data or real-world scenarios to
generate predictions or classifications.
• Extract insights from the model's output that are relevant to the
business objectives.
Decision-Making and Implementation:
• Translate the generated insights into actionable recommendations for decision-
makers.
• Collaborate with stakeholders to implement the recommended strategies or
changes.
Feedback Loop:
• Encourage a feedback loop between decision-makers, analysts, and other
stakeholders to refine the analysis process over time.
• Incorporate lessons learned from previous analyses into future projects.
MAIN SOFTWARE USED FOR BUSINESS ANALYITCS
1.Microsoft Excel: Excel is one of the most widely used tools for basic data analysis,
reporting, and visualization. It's suitable for smaller datasets and simpler analysis tasks.
2.Tableau: Tableau is a powerful data visualization tool that allows users to create
interactive and shareable dashboards and reports. It supports connecting to various data
sources and is known for its user-friendly interface.
3.Power BI: Microsoft Power BI is another popular data visualization and business
intelligence tool. It enables users to connect to a wide range of data sources, create
interactive reports, and share insights across organizations.
4.QlikView and Qlik Sense: Qlik's tools, including QlikView and Qlik Sense, provide self-
service data visualization and exploration capabilities, enabling users to uncover insights
from their data.
8. Python: Python, with libraries like pandas, NumPy, and scikit-learn, is commonly used for
data analysis, machine learning, and creating custom analytics workflows.
10. Alteryx: Alteryx is a platform that enables data blending, preparation, and advanced
analytics. It's often used for data preprocessing and cleaning before analysis. d creation.
11. Sisense: Sisense is a business intelligence software that focuses on data visualization
and dashboard creation, with capabilities for data integration and analytics.
12. Domo: Domo is a cloud-based business intelligence platform that offers real-time
data insights and dashboar
13. Google Analytics: This is a widely used web analytics service that tracks and reports
website traffic, providing insights into user behavior and website performance.
14. Splunk: Splunk is known for its capabilities in processing and analyzing machine-
generated data, making it valuable for IT operations and security analytics.
15. Apache Hadoop and Spark: These open-source frameworks are used for big data
processing and analytics, enabling organizations to handle and analyze large volumes of
data.
Analytics in Practice: Developing Effective
Analytical Tools at Hewlett‐Packard
⦁ Will analytics solve the problem?
⦁ Can they leverage an existing solution?
⦁Is a decision model really needed?
Guidelines for successful implementation:
⦁ Use prototyping.
⦁ Build insight, not black boxes.
⦁ Remove unneeded complexity.
⦁ Partner with end users in discovery and design.
⦁ Develop an analytic champion.