Derivatives
Derivatives
Derivatives
Review 44
M.M134813896.
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curriculum. Some of the graphs, charts, tables, examples, and figures are copyright 2023, CFA Institute. Reproduced and
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Institute.
1
Last Revised: 08/14/2023
a. describe the carry arbitrage model without underlying cashflows and with
underlying cashflows
b. describe how equity forwards and futures are priced, and calculate and interpret
their no-arbitrage value
c. describe how interest rate forwards and futures are priced, and calculate and
interpret their no-arbitrage value
d. describe how fixed-income forwards and futures are priced, and calculate and
interpret their no-arbitrage value
e. describe how interest rate swaps are priced, and calculate and interpret their no-
arbitrage value
f. describe how currency swaps are priced, and calculate and interpret their no-
arbitrage value
g. describe how equity swaps are priced, and calculate and interpret their no-
arbitrage value
LOSs will match between the video and the MM PDFs, but may be
in a different order than the CFAI readings
M.M134813896.
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Last Revised: 08/14/2023
Forwards/Futures Prices
Page 1
⇒ Arbitrage-free pricing & valuation LOS a, b
- describe
assumptions/ replicating instruments are identifiable
- compare
and investable - calculate
market frictions are nil - interpret
short selling is allowed with full use of proceeds
borrowing & lending are available at a known risk-
free rate
Notation: S – underlying
F – forward V – value of forward
f – futures v – value of futures
V0 = 0
- at contract initiation, the value of a futures/forward
contract = 0 (i.e. no money changes hands)
- at expiration, FT = fT = ST (called convergence)
VT = FT – F0 = ST – F0 (long) VT = F0 - FT = F0 – ST (short)
Page 2
- futures/ vt = ft – ft-1 futures are marked- LOS a, b
(before) to-market daily - describe
vt = 0 (after) - compare
- calculate
1/ no underlying cash flows F0 = S0erT - cont. comp. - interpret
or/ F0 = S0(1 + r)T - periodic comp.
F0 = S0e = 100e
rT
= 105.127
.05(1)
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Last Revised: 08/14/2023
Page 3
e.g./ S0 = 100
F0 = S0erT = 100e.05(1) = 105.127 LOS a, b
rf = 5% - describe
or/ F0 = S0(1 + r)T = 100(1.05)1 = 105
T = 1 yr. - compare
general rule : buy low, sell high - calculate
- interpret
Case 1: F0 = 110 Case 2: F0 = 90
- sell F0 (i.e. short) - Sell S0 for $100, invest @ 5%
- borrow $100, buy S0 - Buy F0 (i.e. long)
- at T, deliver S0 for $110 - at T, take delivery of S for $90, cover
- pay back $105 short position
- at time 0, borrow - profit = $15
reverse
5/1.05 = 4.762 - at time 0, borrow
carry carry
(get paid today) 15/1.05 = 14.286
arbitrage arbitrage
(get paid today)
Page 4
An Australian stock paying no dividends is trading in LOS a, b
Australian dollars for A$63.31, and the annual Australian - describe
interest rate is 2.75% with annual compounding. Based on - compare
the current stock price and the no-arbitrage approach, what - calculate
is the equilibrium three-month forward price? - interpret
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Last Revised: 08/14/2023
Page 5
1/ no underlying cash flows Key point: the LOS a, b
quoted forward price does not directly - describe
reflect expectations of future underlying prices - compare
- calculate
long
⇒ Value × × F0 = S0(1 + r)T - interpret
–
–
0 𝒕 short T
Ft = St(1 + r)T-t
𝐒𝐭
𝐅𝐭 − 𝐅𝟎 𝐅
𝐕𝐭 = 𝐨𝐫/ 𝐕𝐭 = 𝐒𝐭 − 𝟎>
(𝟏 + 𝐫)𝐓,𝐭 (𝟏 + 𝐫)𝐓,𝐭
× F0 = 105
e.g./ F0 = 105 V0 = 0
–
–
0 St = 110 T
T = 1 yr.
𝐅𝐭 = 𝐒𝐭 (𝟏 + 𝐫)𝐓&𝐭 = 𝟏𝟏𝟎(𝟏. 𝟎𝟓).𝟐𝟓
St = 110
𝟏𝟏𝟎 − 𝟏𝟎𝟓5 = 111.3499
𝒕 = 9 mos. (𝟏. 𝟎𝟓).𝟐𝟓
(𝟏𝟏𝟏. 𝟑𝟒𝟗𝟗 − 𝟏𝟎𝟓)
= 𝟔. 𝟐𝟕𝟐𝟗 𝐕𝐭 = = 𝟔. 𝟐𝟕𝟐𝟗
rf = 5% (𝟏. 𝟎𝟓).𝟐𝟓
Page 6
2/ Underlying with cash flows LOS a, b
𝛄 – gamma ⇒ benefits - describe
𝛉 – theta ⇒ costs 𝐅𝟎 = [𝐒𝟎 + 𝐏𝐕(𝛉) − 𝐏𝐕(𝛄)](𝟏 + 𝐫)𝐓 - compare
- calculate
increase decrease F0
- interpret
F0
e.g./ S0 = 100
𝟐. 𝟗𝟐𝟕𝟕
rf = 5% 𝐅𝟎 = %𝟏𝟎𝟎 + 𝟎 − 1 (𝟏. 𝟎𝟓)𝟏
(𝟏. 𝟎𝟓).𝟓
T = 1
= 102
CF = 2.9277 @ t = .5
𝟐.𝟗𝟐𝟕𝟕
- 3 mos. later St = 105 𝐅𝐭 = 3𝟏𝟎𝟓 + 𝟎 − (𝟏.𝟎𝟓).𝟐𝟓 6 (𝟏. 𝟎𝟓).𝟕𝟓 = 𝟏𝟎𝟓. 𝟗𝟏𝟑𝟒
(𝟏𝟎𝟓. 𝟗𝟏𝟑𝟒 − 𝟏𝟎𝟐)
𝐕𝐭 = >(𝟏. = 𝟑. 𝟕𝟕𝟐𝟖
𝟎𝟓).𝟕𝟓
𝟐. 𝟗𝟐𝟕𝟕 M.M134813896.
𝟏𝟎𝟐
B𝟏𝟎𝟓 − C− D(𝟏. 𝟎𝟓).𝟕𝟓 = 𝟑. 𝟕𝟕𝟐𝟖
(𝟏. 𝟎𝟓).𝟐𝟓
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Last Revised: 08/14/2023
Page 7
2/ Underlying with known yield LOS a, b
- describe
assumed to be continuous
- compare
𝐅𝟎 = 𝐒𝟎 𝐞(𝐫 𝐜 .𝛉,𝛄)𝐓 𝐫𝐜 - calculate
𝛉 all continuous rates - interpret
𝛄
Recall/ (𝟏 + 𝐫)𝐓 = 𝐞𝐫𝐜 𝐓 ⇒ 𝐥𝐧[(𝟏 + 𝐫)𝐓 ] = 𝐫𝐜 𝐓
𝐓 𝐥𝐧(𝟏.𝐫)
𝐓
= 𝐫𝐜
𝐫𝐜 = 𝐥𝐧 (𝟏 + 𝐫)
e.g./ rf = 5% annual
Page 8
A. Equities/ LOS a, b
- describe
The continuously compounded dividend yield on the EURO
- compare
STOXX 50 is 3%, and the current stock index level is 3,500.
- calculate
The continuously compounded annual interest rate is 0.15%.
- interpret
Based on the carry arbitrage model, the three-month futures
price will be closest to:
𝛄 = 3% rc = .15% 𝐅𝟎 = 𝐒𝟎 𝐞(𝐫𝐜 ,𝛄)𝐓
S0 = 3500 T = .25 = 𝟑𝟓𝟎𝟎𝐞(.𝟎𝟎𝟏𝟓,.𝟎𝟑).𝟐𝟓 = 𝟑𝟒𝟕𝟓. 𝟏𝟓
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Last Revised: 08/14/2023
Page 9
Suppose we bought a one-year forward contract at 102 LOS a, b
and there are now three months to expiration. The underlying - describe
is currently trading for 110, and interest rates are 5% on an - compare
annual compounding basis. If there are no other carry cash - calculate
flows, the forward value of the existing contract will be closest to: - interpret
9 F0 = 102
𝐅𝐭 = 𝟏𝟏𝟎(𝟏. 𝟎𝟓).𝟐𝟓 = 𝟏𝟏𝟏. 𝟑𝟒𝟗𝟗
–
–
0 𝒕 T −𝟏𝟎𝟐
St = 110
𝟗. 𝟑𝟒𝟗𝟗
𝟏𝟏𝟎 − 𝟏𝟎𝟐D 𝟗. 𝟑𝟒𝟗𝟗9
(𝟏. 𝟎𝟓).𝟐𝟓 = 𝟗. 𝟐𝟑𝟔𝟓 (𝟏. 𝟎𝟓).𝟐𝟓 = 𝟗. 𝟐𝟑𝟔𝟓
Page 10
B. Interest Rates LOS a, b
forward rate agreement (OTC) - describe
- underlying is an interest rate on a deposit - compare
- calculate
long = floating rate receiver (pays fixed) - interpret
short = fixed rate receiver (pays floating)
M.M134813896.
0 3 9 K𝟑𝟎D𝟑𝟔𝟎L
L(270)
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Last Revised: 08/14/2023
Page 11
B. Interest Rates LOS a, b
- describe
- compare
L(90) f(3,3) - calculate
–
FRA expires FRA payoff - interpret
L(180)
discounted back advanced
advanced set, advanced settled set, settled
(FRAs) in arrears
swaps
- receive floating interest
𝐝𝐚𝐲𝐬D
𝐍𝐀(𝐟𝐥𝐨𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞 − 𝐟𝐢𝐱𝐞𝐝 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞) 3 𝟑𝟔𝟎6 rate options
𝐝𝐚𝐲𝐬D
X𝟏 + 𝐟𝐥𝐨𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞 3 𝟑𝟔𝟎6Y
- receive fixed
𝐝𝐚𝐲𝐬D
𝐍𝐀(𝐟𝐢𝐱𝐞𝐝 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞 − 𝐟𝐥𝐨𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞) 3 𝟑𝟔𝟎6
𝐝𝐚𝐲𝐬D
X𝟏 + 𝐟𝐥𝐨𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞 3 𝟑𝟔𝟎6Y
Page 12
B. Interest Rates LOS a, b
In 30 days, a UK company expects to make a bank deposit of - describe
£10,000,000 for a period of 90 days at 90-day Libor set 30 days - compare
from today. The company is concerned about a possible decrease - calculate
in interest rates. Its financial adviser suggests that it negotiates today, - interpret
at Time 0, a 1 × 4 FRA, an instrument that expires in 30 days and is
based on 90-day Libor. The company enters into a £10,000,000 notional
amount 1 × 4 receive-fixed FRA that is advanced set, advanced settled.
The appropriate discount rate for the FRA settlement cash flows is 0.40%.
After 30 days, 90-day Libor in British pounds is 0.55%. rec. fx. = fl.
L(30)
f(1,3)
M.M134813896.
–
0 30 120
L(120) L(90) = .55%
The interest actually paid at maturity on the UK company’s bank deposit will
be closest to:
𝟏𝟎𝐌 3. 𝟎𝟎𝟓𝟓K𝟗𝟎D𝟑𝟔𝟎L6 = 𝟏𝟑, 𝟕𝟓𝟎