Time Value of Money
Time Value of Money
INTRODUCTION
You must have heard that a rupee today is worth more than a rupee
tomorrow. Do you know why is it so? Now, let us take an example.
Sriram's grandfather decided to give a gift of Rs. One lakh at the
end of the fifth year; and gave him a choice of having Rs. 75,000
today. Had you been in Sriram's place what choice would you have
made?
Do you accepted Rs. 100,000 after five years or Rs. 75,000 today?
What do you say? Rs. 75,000 today is much more attractive than
Rs. 100,000 after five years because the present is more certain
than the future. You could invest Rs. 75,000 in the market and earn
a return on this amount. Rs. 100,000 at the end of five years would
have less purchasing power due to inflation.
We hope you got the message that a rupee today is worth more than
a rupee tomorrow. But the matters of money are not so simple. The
time value of money concept will unravel the mystery of such
choices that all of us face in our daily life.
In our day-to-day life, several investment decisions involve cash
flow occurring at different points in time. Therefore, recognition of
the time value of money is very important.
FUTURE VALUE
1
Determining the FV of an asset can become complicated,
depending on the type of asset. Also, the FV calculation is based
on the assumption of a stable growth rate. If money is placed in a
savings account with a guaranteed interest rate, then the FV is easy
to determine accurately.
The easiest way to calculate future value is to use one of the many
free calculators on the internet, or a financial calculator app such
as the HP 12C Financial Calculator available on Google Play and
in the Apple App Store. Most spreadsheet programs have future
value functions as well, but for the purpose of this course we are
going to refer to present value, future value and annuity tables
which are provided in this course.
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T = Number of years
FV= Future value or final amount
For example, assume a Rs.1,000 investment is held for five
years in a savings account with 10% simple interest paid
annually.
In this case, the FV of the Rs.1,000 initial investment is
Rs1,000 × [1 + (0.10 x 5)], or Rs.1,500.
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Where,
= Future Value of annuity
= Constant Periodic flows
= Interest rate period
= duration of annuity
Example 1
If you contribute Rs. 2,400 every year to a retirement account and
want to calculate what that account will be worth in 30 years; you
could use the future value of an annuity formula. For this example,
you assume a 7% annual rate of return:
4
The interest rate used to calculate the present value of a future
return cash flow is called the "discount rate." To illustrate present
value, let’s look at a example. The future value of Rs. 1,000
deposited for one year into an account earning an annual 2%
interest rate is Rs. 1,020:
We also know that the present value of that Rs. 1,020 is Rs. 1,000
because it’s what we started with. Present value is the mirror image
of future value.
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impact and effect of debt owed by businesses on earning and
profits.
The Time Value of Money can be calculated in two ways. The following
formula can be used to calculate the present value (PV) of future cash flows:
Where:
PV — Present Value.
FV — Future Value.
r — interest rate.
n — number of periods.
Notice the negative sign of the power n which allows us to remove
the fractions from the equation.The following formula allows us to
calculate the future value FV) of cash flow from its present value.
FV = PV × (1 + r )n
Where:
FV — Future Value.
PV — Present Value.
r — interest rate.
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n — number of periods.
Effect of Compounding Periods on Future Value
The number of compounding periods used in time value of money
estimates can have a significant impact. If the number of
compounding periods is raised to quarterly, monthly, or daily in
the Rs.10,000 example above, the concluding future value
calculations are:
Where:
FV — Future Value.
PV — Present Value.
r — interest rate (annual).
n — no. of periods (years).
t — no. of compounding periods of interest per year. If it is
quarterly t=4, for half yearly t=2 and for monthly t=12.
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Selecting the appropriate rate of return is one of the most important
aspects of the time value of money assessments (discount rate).
Apart from interest on the debt, the Weighted Average Cost of
Capital is a popular rate option (WACC). It is critical to understand
that making the wrong rate decision will almost certainly ruin the
entire procedure rendering it meaningless and can have a severely
adverse impact on our decision-making process.
In practice, there are two sorts of the time value of money notions,
which are described below:
i) Time Value of Money for a One-Time Payment
You invest INR 10000 for 5 years in a bank that offers 10% annual
interest. You allow it to grow cumulatively.
After 5 years, you will have accumulated a total value of Rs.16,110.
The question now is whether Rs.10,000 is worth more than
Rs.16,110. This is dependent on the rate of inflation, interest rate,
and risk involved. It is a loss if the inflation rate rises. If the interest
rate falls, then it is a gain.
The formula can also be altered to get the present-day value of the
future total. For instance, the value of Rs.5,000 to be received after
year's time, compounded at 7% interest, is:
Example-2:
We will use the following example to demonstrate the notion of
the time value of money. We intend to invest in a machine that will
provide us with annual cash flow of Rs. 38,500 for the next ten
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years. The device will cost Rs. 250,000 to purchase, and after its
useful life has expired, we will be able to sell it for Rs. 140,000.
5 6 7 8 9 10
(2,50,000)
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Discount Factor (WACC) 10 %
Net Present Value (NPV)
40,622.5 The cash flows of Rs.38,500 here can be considered as
an annuity of 10 years of Rs.38,500 and the resale value of
Rs.1,40,000 is to be discounted to the present value.
Here we have to find the present value of an annuity of Rs.38,500
of 10 years tenure value occurring after 10 years. Here the discount
factor is going to be the weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
which is 10%. Now putting the values in the formula
This value can be found from the present value interest factor for
annuity for 10% discount rate and 10 years, and is 6.145.
Therefore, present value of annuity of Rs.38,500 would be 6.145
× 38,500 = 236,582.50.
The present value in first factor for discount rate of 10% for 10
years is 0.386, therefore present value of Rs.140,000 is going to be:
10
Year Cash flow (Rs.)
1 1,000
2 2,000
3 2,000
4 3,000
5 3,000
First, see the present value table to the present value factor.
Year Cash flows (Rs.) P.V. factor P.V. of each
cash flow (Rs.)
1 1,000 0.9091 909.1
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