CH - 8 Money Market
CH - 8 Money Market
CH - 8 Money Market
MONEY MARKET
UNIT 1: THE CONCEPT OF MONEY DEMAND
Definition of Money
To start off, let us first understand what the term money actually means. Money refers
to assets which are commonly used and accepted as a means of payment or as medium
of exchange or transferring purchasing power. Suppose, we want to buy some
vegetables. We pay money to the shopkeeper, hence transferring purchasing power. To
understand the medium of exchange function, let us go back to the barter system. Our
older generations used to exchange goods for goods. This evolved over time to usage of
money. Since money can be exchanged for anything and everything, it is known to be
possessing “generalized purchasing power." Money is totally liquid and is generally
acceptable in settlement of all transactions and in discharge of other kinds of business
obligations including future payments. For example, we can take a loan today on the
promise that we will repay it in money on a future date.
Characteristics of Money
Money can be anything that can serve as a
1. Store of value, which means people can save it and use it later, smoothing their
purchases over time.
2. Unit of account, that is a common base for prices; or
3. Medium of exchange, something that people can use to buy and sell from one
another.
4. Generally acceptable, meaning that money can be exchanged for anything.
5. Durable or long-lasting.
6. Difficult to counterfeit i.e. not easily reproducible by people.
7. Relatively scarce, so that it doesn't lose its value but has elasticity of supply, to
account for interest rate changes.
8. Divisible into smaller parts in usable quantities or fractions without losing value.
Say, a Rs. 100 note can be divided into 10 notes of Rs. 10 without any of the smaller
value notes losing their value.
9. Possessing uniformity.
10. Portable or easily transportable.
11. Effortlessly recognizable.
Functions of Money
1. Act as a medium of exchange state is exchange of goods and services
2. Common measure of value or common denominator of value
3. Serves as a unit of standard of deferred payments and facilities storing of value
both as temporary about purchasing power and permanent store of value.
Fiat Money-
Let us understand what fiat money means, which is the basis of the currency notes
being issued today. Our previous generations, when they moved on from the barter
system, used to exchange silver or gold coins for goods. So, if they wanted to buy a piece
of cauliflower which was worth Rs. 10, they used to give a 10-rupee silver coin, as in, if
the coin were melted, the actual silver would be sold for Rs. 10. Can you guess the
problem in this system? Yes, if the silver price appreciated, what happened to the value
of coins? To counter this problem, fiat money was introduced. Fiat money indicates
that the face value of the currency is greater than its intrinsic value. In simpler
words, if we try and sell the base paper on which a Rs.500 note is printed, it would
hardly yield anything, that is, it is materially worthless.
Demand for Money
Let us understand why knowledge of demand and supply of money is important. Just as
goods and services have demand and supply, similarly, money also has demand and
supply. Just as goods command a price, money also commands a price which is
commonly referred to as general purchasing power. Demand for money is actually
demand for liquidity and demand to store value, which means that the demand for
money is derived demand.
The demand for money is a decision about how much of one's given stock of wealth
should be held in the form of money rather as other assets such as bonds. Although it
gives little or no return individuals households as well as firms hold money because it is
liquid and offers the most convenient way to accomplish their day-to-day transactions.
Basically, people demand money because they wish to have command over real goods
and services with the use of money.
Demand for money has an important role in the determination of interest, prices
and income in an economy.
Theories of Demand for Money
• Classical Approach: The Quantity Theory of Money (QTM)
First propounded by Irving Fisher of Yale University in his book 'The Purchasing
Power of Money' published in 1911, and later by the neoclassical economists. Both
versions of the QTM demonstrate that there is a strong relationship between
money and price level and the quantity of money is the main determinant of the
price level or the value of money.
Fisher's version, also termed as 'equation of exchange' or 'transaction
approach' is formally stated as follows:
MV = PT
Where,
M = the total amount of money in circulation (on an average) in an economy
V = transactions velocity of circulation i.e. the average number of times across all
transactions a unit of money (say Rupee) is spent in purchasing goods and
services.
P = average price level (P= MV/T)
T= the total number of transactions.
(Later economists replaced T by the real output Y).
Subsequently, Fisher extended the equation of exchange to include demand
(bank) deposits sources of money supply as explained in Unit 2 of this chapter.
Both the central bank and commercial banks are involved in creation of money supply.
(M') and their velocity (V') in the total supply of money. He did this because
there are actually two
Thus, the expanded form of the equation of exchange becomes:
MV +M’V’ = PT
Where,
MV + M'V' PT
M' = the total quantity of credit money
V = velocity of circulation of credit money
Since full employment prevails, the volume of transactions T is fixed in the short
run. Briefly put, the total volume of transactions (T) multiplied by the price level (P)
represents the demand for money. The demand for money (PT) is equal to the
supply of money (MV + M'V)'. In any given period, the total value of transactions
made is equal to PT and the value of money flow is equal to MV+ M'V'. The total
volume of transactions multiplied by the price level (PT) represents the demand for
money.
Both versions of Fisher's theory are based on the concept of equilibrium in
general, where demand for money is equated to supply for money.
The Cambridge Approach (Neo -Classical Approach: Cambridge Version/Cash
balance Approach)
The Cambridge Approach was propounded by economists A.C. Pigou, J.M. Keynes,
Alfred Marshall, D.H. Robertson.
The Cambridge version holds that money increases utility in the following two
ways:
1. Enabling the possibility of split-up of sale and purchase to two different
points of time. Let us take an example to understand this point. In barter system,
when you wanted to buy any good, you had to give up, that is, sell a particular good
you owned. For example, to buy a chair, I had to give up a cupboard, even though I
might not have thought it appropriate to dispose off the cupboard this early. With
introduction of money, utility was created in the concept where I could buy the
chair and sell the cupboard in two separate transactions, essentially splitting up the
sale and purchase to two different points of time rather than being simultaneous.
2. Being a hedge against uncertainty. Let us say we were to encounter a family
emergency in the future. This is a potential uncertainty which can be hedged against
by storage of money, since it creates utility by being a store of value.
While the first above represents transaction motive, just as Fisher envisaged, the second
points to money's role as a temporary store of wealth. Since sale and purchase of
commodities by individuals do not take place simultaneously, they need a
'temporary abode' of purchasing power as a hedge against uncertainty. As such,
demand for money also involves a precautionary motive in the Cambridge approach.
Since money gives utility in its store of wealth and precautionary modes, one can
say that money is demanded for itself, as in, to encash on a future investment
opportunity.
Now, the question is, how much money will be demanded?
The answer is: it depends partly on income and partly on other factors of which
important ones are wealth and interest rates.
The former determinant of demand i.e. income, points to transactions demand such that
higher the income, the greater the quantity of purchases and as a consequence greater
will be the need for money as a temporary abode of value to overcome transaction
costs. The demand for money was primarily determined by the need to conduct
transactions which will have a positive relationship to the money value aggregate
expenditure.
Since the latter is equal to money national income, the Cambridge money demand
function is stated as:
Md = k PY
Where,
Md is the demand for money balances,
Y = real national income
P = average price level of currently produced goods and services
PY = nominal income
k = proportion of nominal income (PY) that people want to hold as cash balances.
The Cambridge Equation above explains that the demand for money (M) equals k
proportion of the total money income.
Thus we see that the neoclassical theory changed the focus of the quantity theory of
money to money demand and theorized that demand for money is a function of only
money income.
• The Keynesian Theory of Demand for Money
Keynes' theory of demand for money is known as 'Liquidity Preference Theory'.
'Liquidity preference', a term that was coined by John Maynard Keynes in his
masterpiece 'The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money' (1936),
denotes people's desire to hold money rather than securities or long-term interest-
bearing investments.
According to Keynes, people hold money (M) in cash for three motives:
(i) Transactions motive,
(ii) Precautionary motive, and
(iii) Speculative motive.
Transactions motive
The transactions motive for holding cash relates to the need for cash for current
transactions for personal and business exchange. It is denoted by
Where,
Lr, is the transactions demand for money,
k is the ratio of earnings which is kept for transactions purposes, and
Y is the earnings.
Keynes considered the aggregate demand for money for transaction purposes as
the sum of individual demand and therefore, the aggregate transaction demand for
money is a function of national income.
Precautionary motive
Precautionary motive is to meet unforeseen and un-predictable contingencies
involving money payments and depends on the size of the income, prevailing
economic as well as political conditions, and personal characteristics of the
individual such as optimism/pessimism, farsightedness etc. (Transactions ↑ =>
Precaution ↑)
Speculative Demand for Money
The speculative motive reflects people's desire to hold cash in order to be equipped
to exploit any attractive investment opportunity requiring cash expenditure.
Speculative demand for money and interest rates are inversely related.
Interest rate ↑ => Speculative demand ↓
Individual's Speculative demand for Money:
When the current rate of interest r, is higher than the critical rate of interest r., the
entire wealth is held by individual wealth-holder in form of Government bonds, since
opportunity cost is minimized by cashing in on the opportunity to earn high interest
from Government bonds. If the rate of interest falls below the critical rate of interest r,
the individual will hold his entire wealth in the form of speculative cash balances. (rn >
rc, then bond prices↑).
Individual’s Speculative Demand
Real Cash Balance: Real Cash balance is the inventory held for transaction purposes.
Aggregate Speculative Demand for Money:
When we go from the individual speculative demand for money to the aggregate
speculative demand for money, the discontinuity of the individual wealth-holder's
demand curve for the speculative cash balances disappears and we obtain a continuous
downward sloping demand function showing the inverse relationship between the
current rate of interest and the speculative demand for money as shown in figure
below:
Concept of Liquidity Trap:
In the adjacent diagram, the
region between M3 and M4 on the
graph, below the curve,
represents the Liquidity Trap
region. We know that as rate of
interest reduces, people want to
hold more balance as speculative
cash, to cash in on opportunities.
However, there comes a point where people do not expect the rate of interest to fall
further, and at that point, they keep without reduction in interest rate, refers to
Liquidity Trap, since people increase their liquid holdings. On an aggregate basis, it
refers to the situation
where money is printed by the central bank not for investment, but as a safeguard
against deflation. Money is printed to increase the money in the hands of the people,
thus increasing aggregate demand, to counter deflation.
Eg: The Bank of Japan's experience is a real-life example of the Keynesian economic
theory of a liquidity trap, in which money printed by a central bank is hoarded in
anticipation of further deflation rather than invested. Japan's 10-year yield dropped to a
record 0.2 percent.
Post - Keynesian Developments in the Theory of Demand for Money
ANSWER KEY
1 (d) 2 (d) 3 (a) 4 (b) 5 (c)
6 (b) 7 (a) 8 (a) 9 (c) 10 (a)
11 (b) 12 (d) 13 (d) 14 (c) 15 (c)
16 (c) 17 (c) 18 (b) 19 (c) 20 (c)
21 (b) 22 (a) 23 (c) 24 (a)
UNIT - 2: CONCEPT OF MONEY SUPPLY
Money supply means the Total Quantity of money (currency as well as demand deposit)
available to the people in an economy.
The quantity of money at any point of time is a measurable concept.
Supply of money is a stock concept.
Economic stability requires that the supply of money at any time should to be
maintained at an optimum level. A pre-requisite for achieving this is to accurately
estimate the stock of money supply on a regular basis and appropriately regulate it in
accordance with the monetary requirements of the country. In this unit, we shall look
into various aspects related to the supply of money.
Sources of Money Supply
Supply of money in the economy depends on:
1. Decision of the central bank based on the authority conferred on it as central
banks of all countries are empowered to issue currency and therefore, the central
bank is the primary source of money supply in all countries. In effect, high powered
money (issued by RBI) is the source of all other forms of money.
2. The supply responses of the commercial banking system of the country to the
changes in policy variables initiated by the central bank to influence the total
money supply in the economy i.e banking system of the country.
Technology advancements have led to the development of Central Bank Digital
Currencies (CBDCs), and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is actively exploring their
introduction. The RBI is implementing a phased strategy, including pilot stages, for the
Digital Rupee (e), aiming to minimize disruptions to the financial system. CBDCs are
defined as digital legal tender, similar to sovereign paper currency but in digital form,
exchangeable at par with existing currency.
In contrast, cryptocurrencies face legal uncertainties in India and are not recognized as
currency. In a notable development, the RBI clarified that banks cannot cite a 2018
order barring them from dealing with virtual cryptocurrencies. This marks a significant
moment in the evolving landscape of digital and traditional currencies.
Measurement of Money Supply
The measures of money supply vary from country to country, from time to time
and from purpose to purpose.
Measurement of money supply is essential as it enables framework to evaluate
whether the stock of money in economy is consistent with the standards for
price stability to understand the nature of deviation from the standard and to
study the causes of money growth.
In India RBI has been publishing data on four alternative measures of money supply
denoted by M1, M2, M3 and M4 besides the reserve money.
Reserve Money = Currency in circulation + Bankers' Deposits with RBI + Other deposits
with RBI
M1 = Currency notes and coins with the people + demand deposits with the banking
system (Current and Saving deposit accounts) + other deposits with the RBI.
M2 = M1 + savings deposits with post office savings banks.
M3 = M1 + time deposits with the banking system.
M4 =M3 + total deposits with the Post Office Savings Organization (excluding National
Savings Certificates).
NOTE: Deposit money of public= Demand Deposit with bank (CASA)+ Other deposits
with RBI.
New Monetary Aggregates
Following the recommendations of the Working Group on Money (1998), the RBI
has started publishing a set of four new monetary aggregates as: Reserve Money
Currency in circulation + Bankers' deposits with the RBI + Other deposits with the
RBI,
NM1 = Currency with the public + Demand deposits with the banking system +
'Other' deposits with the RBI
NM2 NM1 +Short-term time deposits of residents (including and up to contractual
maturity of one year)
NM3 = NM2+ Long-term time deposits of residents + Call/Term funding from
financial institutions
The Liquidity aggregates are:
L1 = NM3+ All deposits with the post office savings banks (excluding National
Savings Certificates).
L2 = L1 +Term deposits with term lending institutions and refinancing institutions
(FIs) + Term borrowing by Fls + Certificates of deposit issued by Fls
Determinants of Money Supply
The first view, money supply is determined exogenously by the central bank.
The second view holds that the money supply is determined endogenously by
changes in the economic activities which affect people's desire to hold currency
relative to deposits, rate of interest, etc.
Eg. If people expect any expenses in near future then they may hold more cash in hand.
Hence currency to deposit ratio will be high.
Concept of Money Multiplier
The money created by the Reserve Bank of India is the monetary base, also known as
high-powered money. Banks create money by making loans.
The money supply is defined as
Money is either currency held by the public or bank deposits: M = C + D.
M = m x MB
Where,
M is the money supply,
m is the money multiplier and
MB is the monetary base or high-powered money.
From the above equation, we can derive the money multiplier (m) as
Money Multiplier (m)=
ANSWER KEY
1 (a) 2 (b) 3 (d) 4 (d) 5 (d)
6 (b) 7 (b) 8 (c) 9 (a) 10 (b)
11 (c) 12 (d) 13 (c) 14 (b) 15 (c)
16 (b) 17 (d) 18 (c) 19 (c) 20 (b)
21 (c) 22 (b) 23 (d) 24 (c) 25 (a)
26 (c) 27 (a) 28 (d) 29 (b) 30 (a)
31 (a) 32 (a) 33 (b) 34 (b) 35 (a)
36 (c) 37 (b)
UNIT -3: MONETARY POLICY
As we have only a limited understanding of the monetary phenomena which could
strengthen or paralyze the domestic economy, the discussion that follows is an attempt
to throw light on the well-acknowledged monetary measures undertaken by
governments to flight economic stability.
MONETARY POLICY DEFINED
Reserve Bank of India uses monetary policy to manage economic fluctuations and
achieve price stability, which means that inflation is low and stable. Reserve Bank of
India conducts monetary policy by adjusting the supply of money, usually through
buying or selling securities in the open market. When central banks lower interest rates,
monetary policy is easing. When it raises interest rates, monetary policy is tightening.
MONETARY POLICY FRAMEWORK
The central bank, in its execution of monetary policy, functions within an articulated
monetary policy framework which has three basic components, viz.
(i) the objectives of monetary policy,
(ii) the analytics of monetary policy which focus on the transmission mechanisms,
and
(iii) The operating procedure which focuses on the operating targets and
instruments
OBJECTIVES OF MONETARY POLICY
The objectives set for monetary policy are important because they provide explicit
guidance to policymakers. The monetary policy of a country is in fact a reflection of its
economic policy and therefore, the objectives of monetary policy generally coincide
with the overall objectives of economic policy. Also, there are multiple objectives to
multiple objectives to pursued such as moderate long term interest rates, exchange rate
stability and external balance of payments equilibrium etc. The most commonly
pursued objectives of monetary policy of the central banks across the world are
maintenance of price stability (or controlling inflation) and achievement of economic
growth.
Given the development needs of developing countries, the monetary policy of such
countries also incorporates explicit objectives such as:
(i) maintenance of economic growth,
(ii) ensuring an adequate flow of credit to the productive sectors,
(iii) sustaining a moderate structure of interest rates to encourage investments, and
(iv) creation of an efficient market for government securities.
TRANSMISSION OF MONETARY POLICY
The transmission of the monetary policy describes how changes made by the Reserve
Bank to Its monetary policy settings flow through to economic activity and inflation.
This process is complex and there is a large degree of uncertainty about the timing and
size of the impact on the economy. In simple terms, the transmission can be
summarized in two stages.
1. Changes to monetary policy affect interest rates in the economy.
2. Changes to interest rates affect economic activity and inflation.
Effects of such policy are visible often after a time lag which is not completely
predictable
CHANNELS OF MONETARY POLICY TRANSMISSION (ANALYTICS OF MONETARY
POLICY
Interest Rate Channel
If interest rate rises, cost of borrowing for the firm rises, which reduces investment by
firms and
consumption by households.
Asset Price Channel
Basically, bond prices and equity market are inversely related due to switching to avoid
opportunity cost.
Exchange Rate Channel
Changes in monetary policy lead to appreciation or depreciation of currency thereby
impacting imports and exports.
Expectation Channel
If general expectation of the public is that interest rates will fall, people will expect the
economy to go up, thereby increasing consumption by households and investments by
firms.
Quantum Channel
If policy rate decreases, debt obligation of firms decreases. This increases the strength
of the balance sheet which leads to easier loans from banks. In turn, this leads to higher
investments by firms.
OPERATING PROCEDURES AND INSTRUMENTS
Quantitative tools -
The tools applied by the policy that impact money supply in the entire economy,
including sectors such as manufacturing, agriculture, automobile, housing, etc.
1. RESERVE RATIO
Banks are required to keep aside a set percentage of cash reserves or RBI
approved assets. Reserve ratio is of two types:
Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) - Banks are required to set aside this portion in cash
with the RBI. The bank can neither lend it to anyone nor can it earn any interest
rate or profit on CRR.
Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) - Banks are required to set aside this portion in
liquid assets such as gold or RBI approved securities such as government
securities. Banks are allowed to earn interest on these securities; however, it is
very low. SLR LIQUIDITY VICE VERSA.
2. OPEN MARKET OPERATIONS (OMO)
In order to control money supply, the RBI buys and sells government securities in
the open market. These operations conducted by the central bank in the open
market are referred to as open market operations. When the RBI sells government
securities, the liquidity is sucked from the market and the exact opposite happens
when the RBI buys securities.
Qualitative tools -
Unlike quantitative tools which have a direct effect on the entire economy's
money supply, qualitative tools are selective tools that have an effect in the
money supply of a specific sector of the economy.
Margin requirements - The RBI prescribes a certain margin against collateral,
which in turn impacts the borrowing habit of customers. When the margin
requirements are raised by the RBI, customers will be able to borrow less.
Moral suasion - By way of persuasion, the RBI convinces banks to keep money
securities, rather than certain sectors.
Selective credit control - Controlling credit by not lending to selective
industries or speculative businesses.
Market Stabilization Scheme (MSS) –
Policy Rates
Bank rate - The interest rate at which RBI lends long term funds to banks is referred
to as the bank rate. However, presently RBI does not entirely control money supply
via the bank rate. It uses Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF) - repo rate as one of
the significant tools to establish control over money supply.
Bank rate is used to prescribe penalty to the bank if it does not maintain the
prescribed SLR or CRR.
Liquidity Adjustment Facility (LAF) – RBI uses LAF as an instrument to adjust
liquidity and money supply. The following types of LAF are:
Repo rate - Repo rate is the rate at which banks borrow from RBI on a short-term
basis against a repurchase agreement. Under this policy, banks are required to
provide government securities as collateral and later buy them back after a pre-
defined time.
Reverse Repo rate - It is the reverse of repo rate, i.e., this is the rate RBI pays to
banks in order to keep additional funds in RBI. It is linked to repo rate in the
following way:
Reverse Repo Rate = Repo Rate - 1
• Marginal Standing Facility (MSF) Rate - MSF Rate is the penal rate at which the
Central Bank lends money to banks, over the rate available under the rep policy.
Banks availing MSF Rate can use a maximum of 1% of SLR securities.
ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE FOR MONETARY POLICY DECISIONS
It is an agreement reached between the Government of India and RBI on the maximum
tolerable inflation rate that the RBI should target to achieve price stability. The RBI Act
provides for a statutory basis for the implementation of the flexible inflation targeting
framework. The Announcement of an official target range for inflation is known as
inflation targeting. The inflation target is to be set by the Government of India, in
consultation with the Reserve Bank, once in every five years.
Accordingly,
The Central Government has notified 4 percent Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation as
the target for the period from August 5, 2016 to March 31, 2021 with the upper
tolerance limit of 6 per cent and the lower tolerance limit of 2 percent.
The RBI is mandated to publish a Monetary Policy Report every six months, explaining
the sources of inflation and the forecasts of inflation for the coming period of six to
eighteen months.
The following factors are notified by the central government as constituting a failure to
achieve the inflation target:
a. The average inflation is more than the upper tolerance level of the inflation
target for any three consecutive quarters.
b. The average inflation is less than the lower tolerance level for any three
consecutive quarters.
COMPOSITION OF MONETARY POLICY COMMITTEE