Time Date Sales ($) Level (L) Trend (T) Seasonal (S) Forecast (F)

1 Nov-16 2837.3 0.9888

2 Dec-16 3189.9 1.1117
3 Jan-17 2768.8 0.9649
4 Feb-17 2761.1 0.9622
5 Mar-17 2872.3 1.0010
6 Apr-17 2752.5 0.9592
7 May-17 2912.4 1.0150
8 Jun-17 2740.6 0.9551
9 Jul-17 2832.7 0.9872
10 Aug-17 2960.5 1.0317
11 Sep-17 2787 0.9713
12 Oct-17 3018.3 2869.45 10.60 1.0519
13 Nov-17 3006
14 Dec-17 3238.5
15 Jan-18 3074.1
16 Feb-18 2793.3
17 Mar-18 3058
18 Apr-18 2865.6
19 May-18 3048.9
20 Jun-18 2813
21 Jul-18 2980.9
22 Aug-18 2994.2
23 Sep-18 2922.5
24 Oct-18 3165.8
25 Nov-18 3075.7
26 Dec-18 3413.6
27 Jan-19 3222.6
28 Feb-19 2884.3
29 Mar-19 3077.1
30 Apr-19 3104.8
31 May-19 3147.5
32 Jun-19 3002.4
33 Jul-19 3207.6
34 Aug-19 3160.6
35 Sep-19 3148.9
36 Oct-19 3424.2
37 Nov-19 3233.3
38 Dec-19 3673.3
39 Jan-20 3444
40 Feb-20 3120.1
41 Mar-20 3455.2
42 Apr-20 3295.1
43 May-20 3309.5
44 Jun-20 3209.5
45 Jul-20 3422
46 Aug-20 3321.5
47 Sep-20 3369.4
48 Oct-20 3514.9 t
49 Nov-20 1
50 Dec-20 2
51 Jan-21 3
52 Feb-21 4
53 Mar-21 5
54 Apr-21 6
55 May-21 7
56 Jun-21 8
57 Jul-21 9
58 Aug-21 10
59 Sep-21 11
60 Oct-21 12
Alpha
Beta
Gamma Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct

Sales ($)
3900

3700

3500

3300

3100

2900

2700

2500
16 17 r-17 17 17 17 17 18 r-18 18 18 18 18 19 r-19 19 19 19 19 20 r-20 20 20
ov- n- a a y- Jul- e p- ov- n- a a y- Jul- e p- ov- n- a a y- Jul- e p- ov- n- a a y- Jul- p-
N J a M M S N J a M M S N J a M M S N J a M M Se
2500
16 17 r-17 17 17 17 17 18 r-18 18 18 18 18 19 r-19 19 19 19 19 20 r-20 20 20
ov- n- a a y- Jul- e p- ov- n- a a y- Jul- e p- ov- n- a a y- Jul- e p- ov- n- a a y- Jul- p-
N J a M M S N J a M M S N J a M M S N J a M M Se
 initial trend calculation Error Abs Err Sq Err
year 1 year 2 y2-y1 (y2-y1)/12
2837.3 3006 168.7 14.05833
3189.9 3238.5 48.6 4.05
2768.8 3074.1 305.3 25.44167
2761.1 2793.3 32.2 2.683333
2872.3 3058 185.7 15.475
2752.5 2865.6 113.1 9.425
2912.4 3048.9 136.5 11.375
2740.6 2813 72.4 6.033333
2832.7 2980.9 148.2 12.35
2960.5 2994.2 33.7 2.808333
2787 2922.5 135.5 11.29167
3018.3 3165.8 147.5 12.29167 3006.00 3006.00 9036036.00
3238.50 3238.50 10487882.25
initial trend 10.60694 3074.10 3074.10 9450090.81
2793.30 2793.30 7802524.89
3058.00 3058.00 9351364.00
2865.60 2865.60 8211663.36
3048.90 3048.90 9295791.21
2813.00 2813.00 7912969.00
2980.90 2980.90 8885764.81
2994.20 2994.20 8965233.64
2922.50 2922.50 8541006.25
3165.80 3165.80 10022289.64
3075.70 3075.70 9459930.49
3413.60 3413.60 11652664.96
3222.60 3222.60 10385150.76
2884.30 2884.30 8319186.49
3077.10 3077.10 9468544.41
3104.80 3104.80 9639783.04
3147.50 3147.50 9906756.25
3002.40 3002.40 9014405.76
3207.60 3207.60 10288697.76
3160.60 3160.60 9989392.36
3148.90 3148.90 9915571.21
3424.20 3424.20 11725145.64
3233.30 3233.30 10454228.89
3673.30 3673.30 13493132.89
3444.00 3444.00 11861136.00
3120.10 3120.10 9735024.01
3455.20 3455.20 11938407.04
3295.10 3295.10 10857684.01
3309.50 3309.50 10952790.25
3209.50 3209.50 10300890.25
3422.00 3422.00 11710084.00
-1
9
-2
0
-2
0
-2
0
-2
0 20 20 21 r-21 21 21 21 3321.50 3321.50 11032362.25
ov Jan ar ay J ul e p- ov- a n- a a y- Jul- e p-
M M S N J M M S 3369.40 3369.40 11352856.36
 9 0 0 0 0 20 20 21 r-21 21 21 21
-1 -2 -2 -2 -2 p- v- n- y- Jul- p-
ov Jan ar ay J ul e o J a a a e
M M S N M M S
3514.90 3514.90 12354522.01

3172.163889 10104748.97
MAE MSE
s=12