UNIT SIX6
UNIT SIX6
UNIT SIX6
Unit Objective
After completing this unit, you should be able to
- discuss the difference between dynamic equilibrium analysis and comparative static
analysis
- describe dynamic analysis over continuous time period
- explain dynamic analysis over discrete time period
- describe differential equations and difference equations
- explain the cobweb model and the Keynesian macro economic model, and Harrods
Domar growth models and others
Dear Colleague! What is differential equation? You studied concerning this concept in
Quantitative Method for economists I. Thus, try to remember it and answer this question.
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Have you answered this question? Ok, good, try to relate your answer with the following
analysis.
Differential equation is an equation that shows an implicit or explicit relationship between
the function and one or more of its derivatives. For instance,
= 6t + 10, where t represents time
= 15 y, -2 + 19 = 0
The highest power attained by the derivative in the equation is known as degree of the
differential equation where as the order of a differential equation is the order of the highest
derivative in the equation.
Example
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a) = 3x + 7 (first degree, first order)
In this case, if the derivative, and have to be is first degree and if no product of
exist, then the equation is referred to as first order linear differential equation. This
equation will generally take a form
+Vy=Z or + V (t) y = Z (t) ---------------- (1)
Where V and Z are constants or functions of time, t, like y
When V and Z are constants and Z is zero, then equation (1) will be
=0 ------------------------------------- (2)
Where is constant which represents V. Such type of differential equation is referred to as
homogenous as each term in the equation is in first degree in terms of y and .
Rearranging equation (2), we get
---------------------------------------- (3)
Now we can obtain the solution of equation (3) by integrating both sides of the equation with
respect to t.
By substitution rule and log rule, the left side of the equation gives us
,
The right side gives us
, (as - is constant)
By equating the above two integrals and combining the two constants, we get
+C
Using the method of antilogarithm
=
=
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Let us observe the solution of the homogenous equation even if we are dealing about the way
to solve non homogenous equation. For convenient let us consider the homogenous equation
as reduced equation and the non homogenous one as complete equation. Thus, the solution of
the reduced equation represents and represents particular solution of the complete
equation. This means,
, from equation (4)
We have said that denotes a particular solution of the complete function. Thus, let us first
try to obtain the simplest type of solution taking y as some constant . Then, when y is
constant. As a result equation (5)
When t = 0,
6.1.2Economic Applications
Dear colleague! Differential equations are beneficial to determine the dynamic stability
condition of the market equilibrium. When the rate of growth of a function is given,
differential equation enables us to get the function whose growth is explained.
Example
1. Assume that the demand and supply functions of a particular product are given as
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As we remember from comparative static analysis, equilibrium Price, is
= ------------------------------------------------------------- (9)
Assuming that the rate of change of price in the market, is a positive linear function of
excess demand, ,
Given sufficient time for adjustment process, under what condition converges to
the equilibrium price as t
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------------------------------------------------------------------?
We know that = 0 if and only if
We have seen that equation (11) is expressed in the form of differential equation. As the
coefficient is different form zero, it is possible to apply the solution formula and present
the solution as
As P (0) and are constants whether P (t) as t or not depends on the exponential
expression . If k (b+ d) > 0, the exponential expression approaches to zero as t
approaches to infinity. As a result, the time path will really direct the price towards
equilibrium position on the assumption of our model. In this case, the equilibrium is refereed
to as dynamically stable.
, ,
Using substitution,
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Using the method of antilogarithm
ŷ=
As t = 0, ŷ = y (0) - ŷ = k
As a result, . However,
Thus,
This solution shows that as , if and only if .
3. It is clear that a change in the rate of investment will affect both aggregate demand and
productive capacity of the economy. The Domar model wants to determine the time path
along which an economy can grow while maintaining full utilization of its productive
capacity. Given the marginal propensity to save and the marginal capital- output ratio as
constant, determine the desired investment function for the growth to be needed.
= --------------------------------------------- (16)
Change in productive capacity is equal to the change in capital stock multiplied by the
reciprocal of marginal capital- output ratio,
= = I, as = I ---------------------- (17)
Equating equation (16) and (17), gives us
= I
--------------------------------------------------- (18)
Rearranging this equation, we get
-------------------------------------------------- (19)
Applying the method of integration on equation (19), it becomes
Using antilogarithm
Equation (20) is the desired investment function for the growth to be needed which indicates
that investment has to grow at a constant rate determined by (saving rate divided by capital
output ratio).
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6.1.3 Second - Order Linear Differential Equations
Functions of the form +a + a y = b where a , a , and b are constants is referred
The solution of the given equation has two components. These are complementary function (
) and particular integral ( ).
Similar to the previous analysis represents the deviation of y (t) from equilibrium for
every point of time path where as denotes the equilibrium value of the variable in
intertemporal sense.
Particular integral ( )
Dear colleague! Let us try the simplest possible way, i.e., setting y = a, constant, to find the
particular integral .
If y = a which is constant, then the above second order linear differential equation
Example
Find the particular integral of the equation
- 2 + 5y = 2
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Solution:
+ a1 + a2 y = 0 ---------------------------------------- (26)
and are the only values we can put for r in the solution y = A . Since there are two
roots, and , then we will have two solutions. These are,
and , where and are constants and and are
characteristic roots. The general solution is the summation of the above two solutions. This
means,
Dear Colleague! The characteristic equation may have three different types of roots, namely
distinct real roots, reaped real roots and complex roots.
Case 1 When , the square root in equation (28) will be a real number and the two
roots and will be distinct real numbers. In this case +
,( ) ------------------------------- (30)
Case 2 When , the term in the square root of equation (28) becomes zero. As a
result the two roots will be equal. The complementary function will be
Case 3 When the term in the square root of equation (28) becomes negative
number which is referred to as imaginary number. For the time being let us ignored this case.
For the first two cases it is possible to determine the dynamic stability of equilibrium
condition based on the sign of the characteristic roots. The condition (i.e., as t ) is
fulfilled iff both and have negative sign.
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Example
Find , the general solution and the definite solution of the equation
To determine the complementary function , we should first find the value of and
, = , = , =
When t = 0,
Taking equation (35) and (36) simultaneously, multiplying (35) by 2 deduct it from equation
(36) gives A2 = - 2.
Substituting the value of in equation (35), we get
A1 - 2 = 2
A1 = 4
Therefore, is the definite solution when y (0) = and
=6
Dear colleague! It is clear that future price expectation affects supply and demand decisions.
The price tread existing at the moment in continuous time context can be found in and
.Therefore, we ought to incorporate these two derivatives in the demand and supply
Example
1.Suppose the demand and supply functions of a product are given as
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Dear colleague! As we know market equilibrium is achieved when . Thus, at the point
of equilibrium
To determine, we should find and . Using the formula presented in equation (28 ),
, = =
Taking equation (40) and (41) simultaneously, multiplying equation (40) by 2 and adding it
on (41), we get and . Therefore, the definite solution is
Dear colleague! By now you have completed the first section of this unit. Therefore, try to do
the following self - test questions to examine how you understand this section.
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Determine whether the equilibrium price , is dynamically stable over time or not as there is
sufficient time for adjustment using the formula presented in equation ( 12)
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6. Suppose the demand and supply functions of a product are given as:
With P (0) = 4 and , determine the price path, assuming market clearance at every
point of time. Is the time path convergent?
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Dear colleague! Have you answered these questions? If your answer is no, please reread this
section and answer them. If your answer is yes, go to the next section.
Dear colleague! In the previous section we have discussed the continuous time dynamic
analysis. In that case, the magnitude of change in time is very small. As result, the change in
y which is emanated from this change in time is expressed in the form of derivative.
However, this section is emphasized on discrete time dynamic analysis. In this case, time is
considered as discrete variable and the dynamic adjustment process between equilibriums is
observed as a step-by-step process rather than that of continual adjustment. Thus the change
in y has to be explained by "differences" rather than derivatives or differentials. Accordingly,
we can calculate the different values of the variables which are adjusting to new equilibrium
levels using
The mathematical concept of difference equation and
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Spreadsheet
Have you answered this question? Good. Try to relate it with the following analysis.
Difference equation is an equation which expresses the relation ship between the dependent
variable and a lagged independent variable that changes at discrete intervals of time. The
largest number of periods lagged represents the order of difference equation.
First order difference equation represents a time lag of one period. The change in y which is
resulted from change in time t from is referred to as the first difference of y
which is represented by
This equation is first-order linear difference equation. Given the first-order linear difference
equation
Let us find the solution of this equation by using iterative method first and then the general
method.
A. Iterative Method
Given equation (2), it is not difficult to find the value of provided that the initial value of
is given. We can also find the value of once we have determined the value of
EXAMPLE
1. Find the solution of the difference equation provided that using
iteration method.
2. Find the solution of the difference equation . In this case, the initial value is
unspecified simply represented by using the method of iteration,
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The solution of at any period t is
B) General method
Where a and b are constants, the general solution s a combination of the particular integral
and the complementary function . denotes the intertemporal equilibrium level of y
where as represents the deviation of the time path from this equilibrium. Incorporating the
initial condition we can determine the definite solution.
Dear colleague! Let us first determine the complementary function which is the solution of
the reduced equation . Based on equation (4) above,
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Are a result, the definite solution is
Example
The given equation s referred to as dynamically stable or convergent provided that the
complementary function approaches to zero as t approaches to infinity. The convergence of
the term depend the absolute value of b. If , the time path will move away from
equilibrium. If , the time path will move towards to equilibrium, i.e., convergent.
In our example above, b=-3, Therefore, the equilibrium is dynamically
unstable. In other words, the time path is divergent.
, the
general solution is composed of that of particular integral and complementary function. We
know that the particular integral is any solution of the complete equation. Thus, setting the
simplest solution
equation (11) becomes
Therefore, ,
If equation (13) will be undefined. Thus, we have to set another value for
.Let then equation (11) becomes,
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This equation becomes
Thus, ,
Therefore, ,
We face three possible phenomenon based on the term in the square root of equation (21)
case1, When the characteristic equation will have two distinct roots,
In this case, the complementary solution will be
Case 2 when the characteristic equation will have only one root, this means,
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Case 3.when the term in the square root will be negative which an imaginary
number is. There is no characteristic root for the equation provided that we restrict our
domain to the real number system. Thus, we are forced to include numbers outside the real
number system. Ideally, we can define which a square root of negative one is. It is
not real number rather it is known as imaginary number. Therefore, we can write
Imaginary
axis
R
v
h Real axis
R=
In al of the above three cases, the equilibrium will be dynamically stable provided that the
absolute value of every root is less than one whatever the initial condition may be
170
Table 6 1. Values of sin
Example
Given the equation
a. Determine the general and definite solution of the equation
b. Is the time path convergent or not?
Solution
When
When t=1,
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Therefore, the definite solution be comes
Dear colleague! In this sub topic you will learn about the application of first order and second
order linear difference equations on economic models.
Cobweb Model
Dear Colleague! In certain markets particularly agricultural markets, if demand for a product
increase, supply cannot immediately increase to satisfy the prevailing demand. Crops must be
planted and growth and livestock takes time to raise. Some manufactured products may also
take certain time when customers order that products suddenly. The Cobweb model considers
this lagged in supply side of the market by supposing that the present quantity supplied is
based on the ruling price in the previous time period. That is,
But the consumers demand for the same product depends on the prevailing price that is
This is a logical situation of several agricultural markets. The quantity supplied this year is
based on the price of that product in last year. The Cobweb model assume that
The market is perfectly competitive.
The demand and supply functions are linear.
Given these assumptions, the Cobweb model can still give a fair idea of how price and
quantity adjust in many markets with a lagged supply. Based on the above assumptions, the
demand and supply functions of a product can be expressed in the form
Dear Colleague! As you know, the market achieves its equilibrium when quantity demanded
is equal to quantity supplied.
In other words,
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The solution of the Cobweb difference equation includes two parts. There are:
a) Long run equilibrium price
b) a complementary function which indicates how much price diverges from this
equilibrium level at different points in time.
Dear colleague! Now let us first find the long run equilibrium price . In the log run,
. Therefore
Become
Using the method of determining the complementary function described in equation (7)
above,
In this case the value of A can be determined if a certain value of is known for specific
value of t.
The complete solution of the Cobweb difference equation, therefore, becomes
Example
1. Given the demand and supply for the Cobweb model as
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Determine the long run (intertemporal) equilibrium price the complementary function
and the complete solution.
Determine whether the equilibrium is stable or not.
Solution
Dear colleague! What happens to the market if quantity supplied suddenly changes
to 160? ______________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________________________
The initial stock output level is so that price will adjust until all output is sold.
Then can be calculated from the demand function by substituting
Therefore, .
Using thin equation we can calculate the price of the product at any time period and there by
we can check whether the price converges to the equilibrium level or not.
2. In a market where the assumptions of the cobweb model hold,
The long run equilibrium is disturbed when quantity suddenly changes to 90.
What happens to price in the following time period?
Solution
In the long run equilibrium , Thus,
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The complementary function is
When
In the Keynesian model of national income determination, if foreign trade and government
expenditure and tax are not included, the model becomes,
And
This equation shows that this national equilibrium income can be evaluated fro a given
values of and .
When there is a disturbance from this equilibrium, there will not be an immediate adjustment
to the new equilibrium. As the consumer expenditure may not adjust immediately to the new
level of income, a lagged effect may be introduced in the consumption function, as follows,
This means, consumer's expenditure at present depends on the income of the previous year.
But national income is still determined by the sum all current expenditure
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Substituting (43) in to (44) gives us
The general solution of this equation includes two parts, namely intertemporal equilibrium
and complementary function , At the point of equilibrium,
This equation shows that the equilibrium will be dynamically stable provided that
Example
Dear colleague! What will be the actual level of six time periods after this change?
Solution
Thus, consumption is
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Substituting this value in general solution above, we will get
Dear colleague! How much time period will it take y to reach 2,130?
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The equilibrium national income will reach 2,130units after 3.585 time period.
SAMUEL SON'S MULTIPLIER-ACCELERATION INTERACTION MODEL
177
If we substitute (50) and in equation (49), we get
This means
This equation is a second order linear difference equation. As a result, we can solve it using
the method discussed in equation (11).
Solution
The general solution will include the particular integral and the complementary function
Complementary function
As far as the complementary function is concerned, we are faced with three possible
phenomena
Case .1 If ,
Equation (51) with characteristic equation
will have two roots,
As we know whether the equilibrium is dynamically stable or not depends on and which
in turn are based on the value of a and b, we can express the dynamic stability in terms of
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Dear colleague! Now try to determine the general solution of the equation in case 1 and case
2.
In all of the three cases, the equilibrium will be dynamically stable iff a b < 1, that is, the
product of the accelerator and marginal propensity to consume muse be less than one.
Dear colleague! By now you have completed the second section of this limit. Thus, try to do
the following question to evaluate how you understand this section.
____________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________
__
6. A Keynesian macroeconomic model with a single time period lag on the consumption
function described below is initially in equilibrium with the level of
If it is increased to 650, find the value of y in the fourth time period after this
disturbance. _______________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________
7. If the accelerator is 0.5 and the marginal propensity to consume is 0.6, what will happen to
the time path? Answer this question using equation (51)
___________________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________
Dear colleagues! Have you answered these questions? If your answer is no, re read
this section and try to do them. If your answer is yes, good. Go to the following
check list.
Check List
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Write '' inside the box in front of the question that is easy for you.
1. Describe differential equations.-------------------------------------------------------------
2. Explain dynamic analysis--------------------------------------------------------------------
3. Analyze the difference between comparative static and dynamic analysis------------
4. Can you explain about the cobweb model--------------------------------------------------
5. Mention the difference between general solution and definite solution----------------
6. Explain the Samuel sons multiplier accelerator interaction model----------------------
7. What is particular integral--------------------------------------------------------------------
8. Describe about difference equation---------------------------------------------------------
9. Explain the Domar growth model-----------------------------------------------------------
10. Mention the difference between homogenous and non homogenous equation
differential equations-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Dear colleague! Is there any box in which you didn’t tick? If your answer is yes, reread this
unit and try to answer these questions. If your answer is no, good.
Unit Summary
The type of economic analysis that looks at the way in which variables adjust between
equilibrium values is referred to as dynamic economic analysis. The ways by which
markets adjust over time vary tremendously. In certain markets prices are changed by
a minute in response to change in supply and demand. In this case, the adjustment to
the new equilibrium is immediate. In other markets, the adjustment process may be
slow trial and error process over several years.
Dynamic analysis considers the time element in the analysis. Time can be taken as
discrete or continuous. In the case of continuous time dynamic analysis, the
adjustment process is considered as a continual adjustment. Therefore, the
mathematical technique of differential is appropriate in this analysis.
In discrete time dynamic analysis, time is considered as discrete variable and the dynamic
adjustment process between equilibriums is observed as a step-by-step process. Thus, the
change in the dependent variable has to be explained by differences rather than differentials
and total derivatives. Accordingly, we can calculate the different values of the variables
which are adjusting to new equilibrium levels using
The mathematical concept of difference equation and
Spreadsheet
In almost all agricultural markets, if demand for a product increase, supply cannot
immediately increase to satisfy the prevailing demand. Crops must be planted and grown and
livestock takes time to raise. Some manufactured products may also take certain time when
customers order that products suddenly. The Cobweb model considers this lagged in supply
side of the market by supposing that the present quantity supplied is based on the ruling price
in the previous time period. That is,
But the consumers demand for the same product depends on the prevailing price that is
This is a logical situation of several agricultural markets. The quantity supplied this year is
based on the price of that product in last year.
According to the Keynesian macroeconomic model when there is a disturbance from the
national equilibrium income, there will not be an immediate adjustment to the new
equilibrium as the consumer expenditure may not adjust immediately to the new level of
income.
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Samuelson's classics interaction model examines the dynamic process of income
determination if the acceleration principle works with the Keynesian multiplier. The model
describes the situation that the interaction of, the multiplier and the accelerator results in
cyclical fluctuation endogenously.
Important Points
Dynamic analysis
Continuous time
Discrete time
Adjustment
Differential equation
Difference equations
Cobweb model
Keynesian macro economic model
General solution
Definite solution
Particular integral
Complementary function
Imaginary number
Characteristic roots
Accelerator
Time Lagged
5) it is dynamically stable.
6) ,As P(t) cannot converge to as .
References
Chiang, A.C,(9184), Fundamental Methods of Mathematical Economies, 3rd ,McGraw-
Hill, Inc.
D.T Edward,(1980), Introduction to Mathematical Economics,2nd ed. McGraw- Hill, Inc.
Henderson, J.M. and R.E, Quandet (1980) Microeconomic Theory: A Mathematical
Approach, 3rd ed. McGraw- Hill, Inc
181
Kapoor, V.K,(2002),Introductory Mathematics for Business and Economics, Sultan
Chand and Sons.
N.D, DWIVED, (1987), Microeconomic Theory,3rd ed. Vikas Publishing Pv. Ltd.
Nicholson, W.(1995)Microeconomic Theory, Basic Principles and Extensions,6th ed.
The Dryden Press.
Varian, H.T (1996), Intermediate Microeconomics: A modern Approach 4th ed. W.W.
Norton.
Yamane, T.(1978), Mathematics for Economists: An Elementary Survey,2nd ed
Assignment Questions
1. A form produces two types of products X and Y passing through to two machines M and
M . Each unit of X requires 2 hours of time in M and 8 hours of time in M where as each
unit of Y requires 12 hours of time in M and 4 hrs of time in M .The total time available in
M is 40 hours and M is 28 hours. Determine the amount of X and Y produced using gauss -
Jordan elimination method.
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2. Find the price elasticity of demand if the demand function is
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Q = 40 - 5P + 3P
Q = where k is constant.
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7. Given the production function Q = 32K 0.5 L 0.25 R 0.4, derive the nine second - order partial
derivatives and show that the two cross partial derivatives with respect to each possible pair
of independent variables will be equal to each other.
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8. Suppose the total cost faction of the monopolist is given by TC = 2Q 2 + 10 Q + 15 and the
demand function is given by P = 10 - 3Q. Find
i) The level of output which maximize profit
ii) Determine the elasticity of demand at the point of equilibrium.
9. Discuss the difference between comparative static analysis and dynamic analysis briefly.
10. Go to section 5.1.2 observe the effect of change in all the parameters on equilibrium
quantity and interpret the result.
12. Considering the following national- income model with tax ignored
13. Suppose that the monopolistic firm has the following average revenue functions in three
separated markets
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Determine the price that should be charged in each market to maximize profit. Check the
second order sufficient conditions using the Hessian determinant.
with
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