3rd Lecture (1)
3rd Lecture (1)
• Fundamental Analysis
• Technical Analysis.
Fundamental Analysis
• BALANCESHEET
• P & L ACCOUNT
• PRODUCT
• SECTOR
• ORDER BOOK
• MANAGEMENT
• SHARE HOLDING PATTERNS.
TO MAXIMIZE PROFIT
TO MINIMIZE LOSS
WHAT IS SUCCESS RATIO ?
IN SHORT TERM TREND 50 - 60 %
IN LONG TERM TREND 60 - 70 %
DAILY SESNITIVE PRICE DATA
OPEN –This is the first trading price of the day
HIGH – This is the highest trading price of the day
LOW – This is the lowest trading price of the day
CLOSE – This is last 15 Min Trading Average.
VOLUME – This the number of total shares
traded end of the day
PRICE STYLES
1. LINE CHART – A line chart simply
connects the closing prices from one
period to the next period. 5949
5926
5916
DATE CLOSE
5906
30/11/12 5906
03/12/12 5916
04/12/12 5926
05/12/12 5949
PRICE STYLES
2. BAR – A bar chart displays a shares all
sensitive figures.
21 /11 / 12 5628
H
C
O = 5590 5620
H = 5628
5590 O
L = 5569
L
C = 5620 5569
14 / 12 / 12 PRICE STYLES
931
O = 882 H
H = 931
C 913
L = 875 882 O
C = 913
L
875
26 / 09 / 12 PRICE STYLES
940
O = 917 H
C 936
H = 940
L = 915 O
917
C = 936
L
915
PRICE STYLES
03 / 10 / 12
1028
H
O = 1023 1023 O
H = 1028
L = 990 C 994
C = 994
L
990
PRICE STYLES
16 / 10 / 12
221
H
O = 219 219 O
H = 221
L = 207 C 208
L
C = 208 207
07 / 05 / 12 PRICE STYLES
687
O = 675 H
H = 687
C 684
L = 666 675 O
C = 684
L
666
26 / 06 / 12 PRICE STYLES
193
O = 191 H
L = 188
C = 191 L
188
25 / 06 / 12 PRICE STYLES
O = 762
H = 774
L = 736
C = 730
PRICE STYLES
3. JAPANESE CANDLESTICKS – It shows shares all
sensitive figures & specially open – close relation.
relation.
GREEN CANDLE – A candlestick is GREEN when the
23 /11 / 06closing price is higher than the opening price.
1510 HIGHEST PRICE
UPPER SHADAWO
O = 1466 CLOSING PRICE
1493
H = 1510 REAL BODY
L = 1448 1466 OPENING PRICE
C = 1493 LOWER SHADAWO
1448 LOWEST PRICE
29 / 05 / 09 PRICE STYLES
O = 93 99 HIGHEST PRICE
H = 99
CLOSING PRICE
98
L = 92 93 OPENING PRICE
92 LOWEST PRICE
C = 98
17 / 04 / 09 PRICE STYLES
O = 50 61 HIGHEST PRICE
H = 61 57 CLOSING PRICE
L = 50 50 OPENING PRICE =
LOWEST PRICE
C = 57
PRICE STYLES
RED CANDLESTICK – A candlestick
is RED when the closing price is lower than the opening price.
price.
O = 1710
1723 HIGHEST PRICE
H = 1723 OPENING PRICE
1710
L = 1626
1634 CLOSING PRICE
C = 1634 1626 LOWEST PRICE
12 / 03 / 09
PRICE STYLES
O = 934
H = 934 OPENING PRICE =
934 HIGHEST PRICE
L = 897
911 CLOSING PRICE
C = 911 897 LOWEST PRICE
13 / 06 / 08
PRICE STYLES
1390
H
O = 1362
H = 1390
1362 O C 1362
L = 1310
C = 1362 L
1310
Reading The Signals
GREEN CANDAL
Real Body -:
Close is higher than Open.
Upper shadow -:
Difference Between High and Close.
Lower Shadow -:
Difference Between Low and Open.
RED CANDAL
Real Body -:
Close is lower than open.
Upper shadow -:
Difference Between High and open.
Lower Shadow -:
Difference Between Low and close.
Reading The Signals
Doji
• Buy Reliance @ 1500 Target
1700 and Stop loss 1400
Support and Resistance
( Demand Zone & Supply Zone)
• If any stock break its Resistance line next
time Resistance work as a Support
(Positive Breakout)
100
90
88
• Historical Chart 3 Month
• Investment Period 1 Month ( Approx.)
• One Month Sharp Downfall
• 20% recover ( Res 140 Support 90 So
Difference is 50 so 20% on 50 means 10
Rs)
• Stop loss 2% Below Resent Support Level
• Target Risk X 2
• Resistance – Support 3315-1788 = 1527
• Difference Between Resistance & Support is 1527
• 20% Recovery on 1527 means 305
• Buy point = Support + 20% Recovery 1788+305 =
2093
• Stop loss 2% Below support 1788 - 35 = 1753
• Target Risk X 2
• If Stop loss hit Risk is 340 Point so Target is
340x2= 680 Point
• Target is 2093+680= 2773
Bullish Engulf
Q 100 - B
S.L.196--198
S.L.196
• Historical Chart 1 Month
• Investment Period 15 Day ( Approx. )
• Buy Point Next Day Opening Price After
Formation Day.
• Target 4% to 5% From Buy Price.
• Stop loss 0.5% Below Formation Low.
BULLISH ENGULFING
• Definition :- Bullish Engulfing Pattern is a
pattern characterized by a large white real
body engulfing a preceding small black
real body, which appears during a
downtrend.
• The Bullish Engulfing Pattern is an
important bottom reversal signal.
BULLISH ENGULFING
• Recognition Criteria :-
1. Market is characterized by
downtrend.
2. Then we see a small black body.
3. Next day we see a white body that
completely engulfs the black real body
of the preceding day.
Bullish Piercing
Q 250 - B
SL 2210 / 2220
BULLISH PIERCING
• Definition :- A bullish two day reversal
pattern. The first day, in a downtrend, is a
long black day. The next day opens at a
new low, then closes above the midpoint
of the body of the first day.
BULLISH PIERCING
• Recognition Criteria :-
1. Market is characterized by downtrend.
Q 100 - S
BEARISH ENGULFING
• Definition: -
Bearish Engulfing Pattern is
a large black real body, which engulfs a
small white real body in an uptrend. The
Bearish Engulfing Pattern is an important
top reversal signal.
BEARISH ENGULFING
• Recognition Criteria:
Q 200 - S
BEARISH PIERCING
• Definition: -
950
900
850
800
750
BREAK OUT
700
P.T. _____
650
600 T.T. _____
310 DOUBLE TOP
300 T- 1 300 T- 2
300
290
280
270
260
250
240
230 90 T DAYS
220
BREAK OUT
210 SUPPORT LINE P.T. _____
200
T.T. _____
310 TRIPPLE TOP
300 300 T- 1 300 T- 2 300 T- 3
290
280
270
260
250
240
230 90 T DAYS
220
BREAK OUT
210 SUPPORT LINE P.T. _____
200
T.T. _____
520520 T
150 T DAYS
510
500
490
DOWN FLAG P.T. _____
480 470 T T.T. _____
470
460
450
440
430 440 B
420
410 SUPPORT LINE BREAK OUT
Moving Averages
• Daily Closing Prices: 11,12,13,14,15,16,17
800
650
614
590
500
Derivative Market
( Future & Option )
Share Market 9.15 Am to 3.30 Pm Monday to Friday
Equity F&O
Future Option
summer and 11:55 Pm during winter MCX NCDEX working days (Monday to Friday).
Future Option