CPA
CPA
I1.1
MANAGERIAL FINANCE
Study Manual
Table Of Contents
Unit
title page
Learning outcomes 5
Introduction 7
Scope of finance functions 7
Agency theory 10
Public sector/not-for-profit organisations 16
Corporate social responsibility 17
Impact of government on activities 19
Composition of shareholders 19
2. Source of finance 20
Introduction 36
Calculation of cost of capital 37
Weighted average cost of capital (wacc) 39
4. Capital structure 40
Capital structure 41
Capital structure theories 41
The net income approach (ni) 41
5. Capital budgeting 47
7. Portfolio theory 94
Introduction 95
Portfolio risk and return 95
Capital asset pricing model 98
Systematic and unsystematic risk 100
Introduction 106
Alternative dividends policies 107
Introduction 117
Valuation bases 117
Defence tactics 119
Due dilligence 119
Introduction 123
Sundry definitions 123
AIM
The aim of this subject is to ensure that students understand the nature and scope of financial
management. They should be able to assess an entity‟s funding requirements, calculate the cost
of the available sources of finance, and advise on the optimum financing structure for an entity.
Students should be able to evaluate the role of, and apply, corporate planning and budgetary
control techniques. They are also expected to demonstrate excellent written communication skills
and the ability to integrate learning from the syllabi of this and other subjects.
LEARNING OUTCOMES
On successful completion of this subject students should be able to:
• Interpret, and critically appraise corporate objectives (including shareholder value, stakeholder
value, value creation, investment policy and long and short- term financing);
• Analyse and evaluate the main financial management decisions of a company (including capital
budgeting, investment appraisal, working capital management, capital structure and dividend
decisions).
• Describe and discuss the relationship between risk and return and demonstrate its application
to portfolio theory and the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM).
• Evaluate the role of corporate planning and budgetary control as key elements in managerial
finance including the preparation and utilisation of performance measurement statements.
• Prepare and present quantitative and qualitative information for management decision-making
integrating analysis, argument, and commentary in a form appropriate to the intended audience.
Contents
A. Introduction
B. Agency Theory
F. Composition of Shareholders
b) Financing decisions
Financing decision refers to the decision on the sources of funds to finance investment projects.
The finance manager must decide the proportion of equity and debt. The mix of debt and equity
affects the firm’s cost of financing as well as the financial risk. This will further be discussed
under the risk return trade-off.
d) Liquidity decision
The firm’s liquidity refers to its ability to meet its current obligations as and when they fall due.
It can also be referred to as current assets management. Investment in current assets affects
the firm’s liquidity, profitability and risk. The more current assets a firm has, the more liquid it
is. This implies that the firm has a lower risk of becoming insolvent but since current assets are
non-earning assets the profitability of the firm will be low. The converse will hold true.
The finance manager should develop sound techniques of managing current assets to ensure
that neither insufficient nor unnecessary funds are invested in current assets.
The finance manager will be involved with the managerial functions while the routine functions
will be carried out by junior staff in the firm. He must however, supervise the activities of these
junior staff.
• To earn acceptable returns to its owners. (i.e. Must not be less than bank rates + inflation + risk)
• So as to survive (through plough backs)
• To meet its day to day obligations.
2. To maximize the net worth i.e. the difference between total assets and total liabilities. This
is important because:
• Reasonable salaries
• Transport facilities
• Medical facilities for the employee and his family
• Recreation facilities (sporting facilities).
4. Interests of customers – the company has to provide quality goods at fair prices and have
honest dealings with customers.
5. Welfare of the society – the company has to maintain sound industrial relations with the
society:
• Avoid pollution
• Contribution to social causes e.g. Harambee contributions, building clinics etc.
a) Profit maximization
Traditionally, this was considered to be the major goal of the firm. Profit maximization refers to
achieving the highest possible profits during the year. This could be achieved by either increasing
sales revenue or by reducing expenses. Note that:
The sales revenue can be increased by either increasing the sales volume or the selling price.
It should be noted however, that maximizing sales revenue may at the same time result to
increasing the firm’s expenses. The pricing mechanism will however, help the firm to determine
which goods and services to provide so as to maximize profits of the firm.
The profit maximization goal has been criticized because of the following:
• Considers time value of money by discounting the expected future cash flows to the present.
• It recognizes risk by using a discount rate (which is a measure of risk) to discount the cash flows
to the present.
c) Social responsibility
The firm must decide whether to operate strictly in their shareholders’ best interests or be
responsible to their employers, their customers, and the community in which they operate. The
firm may be involved in activities which do not directly benefit the shareholders, but which will
improve the business environment. This has a long term advantage to the firm and therefore in
the long term the shareholders wealth may be maximized.
In reality, firms have multiple, and often conflicting, objectives and will seek to optimise among
those. The modern corporation is a complex entity which is responsible not only to shareholders
but to all stakeholders.
• Shareholders
• Loan Creditors – seek security, repayment of loan interest and principal.
• Employees – seek fair wages, promotional opportunities, welfare & social facilities => improved
motivation.
• Management - job security, fair reward, job satisfaction.
• Trade Creditors - payment within credit terms.
• The Community – sponsorship, charities, install environmental measures.
• The Government - payment of taxes, rates, provide employment.
• Customers - provision of service/goods at fair price, quality, on time etc.
The relative importance of the various groups may differ, possibly depending on company size
and management style.
Management will be concerned with the value of the firm as it satisfies one of the important
stakeholders (shareholders). A low valuation may increase the possibility of an unwanted
takeover bid. Also, finance must be adequately rewarded and its market value maintained, so
that further finance is obtainable when required.
Non-financial objectives may conflict with financial objectives – e.g. provision of staff recreational
facilities; modern, safe working environment etc.
AGENCY THEORY
The managers/directors act as agents for the shareholders (owners) in running the company.
This separation of ownership from control may lead to certain problems if managers are not
monitored or constrained - e.g. management working inefficiently; adopting risk adverse policies
such as „safe‟ short-term investments and low gearing; empire building for power/status; rewarding
themselves with high salaries and fringe benefits; increased leisure time etc.
scrutiny of performance by the board of directors and banks who provide finance etc. However,
care must be taken to ensure that management does not take action to boost performance
in the short-term to the detriment of the long-term wealth of the shareholders („short-termism‟).
An agency relationship arises where one or more parties called the principal contracts/hires
another called an agent to perform on his behalf some services and then delegates decision
making authority to that hired party (Agent) In the field of finance shareholders are the owners of
the firm. However, they cannot manage the firm because:
Shareholders therefore employ managers who will act on their behalf. The managers are
therefore agents while shareholders are principal.
Shareholders contribute capital which is given to the directors which they utilize and at the end of
each accounting year render an explanation at the annual general meeting of how the financial
resources were utilized. This is called stewardship accounting.
• In the light of the above shareholders are the principal while the management are the agents.
• Agency problem arises due to the divergence or divorce of interest between the principal and
the agent. The conflict of interest between management and shareholders is called agency
problem in finance.
• There are various types (Focus on first two) of agency relationship in finance exemplified as
follows:
• Incentive Problem
Managers may have fixed salary and they may have no incentive to work hard and maximize
shareholders wealth. This is because irrespective of the profits they make, their reward is fixed.
They will therefore maximize leisure and work less which is against the interest of the shareholders.
• Different Risk-profile
Shareholders will usually prefer high-risk-high return investments since they are diversified i.e they
have many investments and the collapse of one firm may have insignificant effects on their overall
wealth.
Managers on the other hand, will prefer low risk-low return investment since they have a personal
fear of losing their jobs if the projects collapse. (Human capital is not diversifiable). This difference
in risk profile is a source of conflict of interest since shareholders will forego some profits when low-
return projects are undertaken.
• Creative Accounting
This involves the use of accounting policies to report high profits e.g stock valuation methods,
depreciation methods recognizing profits immediately in long term construction contracts etc.
2. Threat of firing
This is where there is a possibility of firing the entire management team by the shareholders
due to poor performance. Management of companies have been fired by the shareholders who
have the right to hire and fire the top executive officers e.g the entire management team of Unga
Group, IBM, G.M. have been fired by shareholders.
5. Managers should have voluntary code of practice, which would guide them in the
performance of their duties.
The value of an option will increase if the company is successful and its share price goes up.
The theory is that this will encourage managers to pursue high NPV strategies and investments,
since they as shareholders will benefit personally from the increase in the share price that results
from such investments.
However, although share option schemes can contribute to the achievement of goal congruence,
there are a number of reasons why the benefits may not be as great as might be expected, as
follows:
Managers are protected from the downside risk that is faced by shareholders. If the share price
falls, they do not have to take up the shares and will still receive their standard remuneration,
while shareholders will lose money.
Many other factors as well as the quality of the company’s performance influence share price
movements. If the market is rising strongly, managers will still benefit from share options,
even though the company may have been very successful. If the share price falls, there is a
downward stock market adjustment and the managers will not be rewarded for their efforts in the
way that was planned.
The scheme may encourage management to adopt ‘creative accounting’ methods that will distort
the reported performance of the company in the service of the managers’ own ends.
Note
The choice of an appropriate remuneration policy by a company will depend, among other things,
on:
• Cost: the extent to which the package provides value for money
• Motivation: the extent to which the package motivates employees both to stay with the company
and to work to their full potential.
• Fiscal effects: government tax incentives may promote different types of pay. At times of wage
control and high taxation this can act as an incentive to make the ‘perks’ a more significant part
of the package.
• Goal congruence: the extent to which the package encourages employees to work in such a
way as to achieve the objectives of the firm – perhaps to maximize rather than to satisfy.
CPA EXAMINATION I1.1 MANAGERIAL FINANCE 13
STUDY MANUAL
7. Incurring Agency Costs
Agency costs are incurred by the shareholders in order to monitor the activities of their agent.
The agency costs are broadly classified into 4.
a) The contracting cost. These are costs incurred in devising the contract between the
managers and shareholders.
The contract is drawn to ensure management act in the best interest of shareholders and
the shareholders on the other hand undertake to compensate the management for their
effort.
Examples of the costs are:
• Negotiation fees
• The legal costs of drawing the contracts fees.
• The costs of setting the performance standard,
b) Monitoring Costs This is incurred to prevent undesirable managerial actions. They are meant
to ensure that both parties live to the spirit of agency contract. They ensure that management
utilize the financial resources of the shareholders without undue transfer to themselves.
Examples are:
c) Opportunity Cost/Residual Loss This is the cost due to the failure of both parties to act
optimally e.g.
• Lost opportunities due to inability to make fast decision due to tight internal control system
• Failure to undertake high risk high return projects by the manager leads to lost profits when they
undertake low risk, low return projects.
b) Assets/investment substitution
In this case, the shareholders and bond holders will agree on a specific low risk project. However,
this project may be substituted with a high risk project whose cash flows have high standard
deviation. This exposes the bondholders because should the project collapse, they may not
recover all the amount of money advanced.
d) Under investment
This is where the firm fails to undertake a particular project or fails to invest money/capital in
the entire project if there is expectation that most of the returns from the project will benefit the
bondholders. This will lead to reduction in the value of the firm and subsequently the value of
the bonds.
2. Callability Provisions
These provisions will provide that the borrower will have to pay the debt before the expiry of the
maturity period if there is breach of terms and conditions of the bond covenant.
3. Transfer of Asset
• The bondholder or lender may demand the transfer of asset to him on giving debt or loan to the
company. However the borrowing company will retain the possession of the asset and the right
of utilization.
• On completion of the repayment of the loan, the asset used as a collateral will be transferred
back to the borrower.
4. Representation
The lender or bondholder may demand to have a representative in the board of directors of the
borrower who will oversee the utilization of the debt capital borrowed and safeguard the interests
of the lender or bondholder.
5. Refuse to lend
If the borrowing company has been involved in un-ethical practices associated with the debt
capital borrowed, the lender may withhold the debt capital hence the borrowing firm may not
meet its investments needs without adequate capital.
The alternative to this is to charge high interest on the borrower as a deterrent mechanism.
6. Convertibility: On breach of bond covenants, the lender may have the right to convert the
bonds into ordinary shares.
“fulfilling a role wider than your strict economic role” or: “acting as a good corporate citizen”.
• Profit levels
• Sales and profit growth
• Margin improvement
• Cost releasing efficiency savings
• EPS growth
Management will also set non-financial objectives, which should complement and support the
financial objectives. These may include:
Which, may be loosely described as acting in a socially responsible manner. This has led to the
development of the concept of Corporate Social Responsibility Likewise, companies have been
alleged to have acted in a less than socially responsible manner.
The extent to which organisations subscribe to Corporate Social Responsibility varies greatly
both ideologically and in practice. Recent research in Ireland has shown that 90% of
companies believed that Corporate Social Responsibility should be part of a company‟s
DNA, yet only 30% thereof actually did anything about it.
Many organisations view Corporate Social Responsibility as a strategic investment and consider
it necessary in order to achieve the reputation that is gaining importance in attracting and retaining
key staff and to winning and retaining prestigious contracts and clients. Many such companies
have moved to adopt Corporate Social Responsibility formally. This has been achieved in many
ways including:
Whilst, some organisations see social responsibility as a passing trend and are content to get
by with a bit of „lip service‟ and tokenism, other organisations view Corporate Social
Responsibility as the preserve of multinationals and government. Part of the challenge in
pursuing Corporate Social Responsibility related objectives lies in the relative novelty of the
concept. The critical debate is whether or not Corporate Social Responsibility detracts from
the objective of maximising shareholder wealth. As with all debates there are opposing views
including:
• Creates positive Public Relations for the organisation, or, as a minimum avoids bad public
relations.
• Helps attract new and repeat custom
• Improves staff recruitment, motivation and retention
• Helps keep the organisation within the law,
However, there are many writers who vigorously oppose the notion that private organisations
should embrace social responsibility. Some of the main arguments against Corporate Social
Responsibility are:
• Market capitalism is the most equitable form of society that has ever appeared
• The ethics of doing business are not those of wider society
• Governments are responsible for the well- being of society
An organisation‟s maximum requirement is to remain within the law, no more than this is required.
Ultimately, they argue that business organisations are created and run in order to maximise returns
for their owners and that Corporate Social Responsibility detracts from the profit maximisation
Conclusion
The broad philosophical debate on the role of companies in society is still in its early days.
Depending on your viewpoint, Corporate Social Responsibility may be considered to support or
detract from the objective of maximising shareholder wealth. Neither viewpoint is definitive.
• Taxation - Corporate (Capital Allowances etc.) & Personal Monetary Policy – Rates of
Inflation, Interest Rates, Exchange Rates etc.
• Investment Incentives Offered - Grants, Subsidies etc.
• Legislation – Company Law, Monopolies, Competition, Environmental etc.
• Duties, Tariffs etc.
COMPOSITION OF SHAREHOLDERS
Is there anything to be gained from a company knowing the composition of its shareholders?.
Generally, it is useful as it may assist the company in framing its policy/approach in a number of
areas e.g.
• Dividend Policy
• Attitude to Risk/Gearing
• Unwelcome Bid - support critical
• How Performance is Measured
• Recent Shareholder Changes => Price Movements
Contents
• Short term source of finance.
• Debt financing ( types of debt ,loan amortization) and associated risks.
• Equity financing (the nature and importance of internally generated funds,type of share capital
,warrants ,bonus and right issues).
• The nature and role of capital markets,
• Sources of government finance including: grants, national aid schemes, tax Incentives etc.
• Venture capital financing, nature, benefits and risks.
EQUITY FINANCE
For small companies, this is personal savings (contribution of owners to the company). For large
companies equity finance is made of ordinary share capital and reserves; (both revenue and
capital reserves). Equity finance is divided into the following classes:
a) Ordinary share capital – this is raised from the public from the sale of ordinary shares
to the shareholders. This finance is available to limited companies. It is a permanent finance
as the owner/shareholder cannot recall this money except under liquidation. It is thus a base on
which other finances are raised.
Ordinary share capital carries a return that is variable (ordinary dividends). These shares carry
voting rights and can influence the company’s decision making process at the AGM.
These shares carry the highest risk in the company (high securities – documentary claim to)
because of:
• Uncertainty of return
• Cannot ensure refund
• Have residual claims – claim last on profits, claim last on assets.
• Right to vote
• elect BOD
• Sales/purchase of assets
• Influence decisions:
• Shares are used as securities for loans (a compromise of the market price of a share).
• Its value grows.
• They are transferable at capital gain.
• They influence the company’s decisions.
• Carry variable returns – is good under high profit
• Perpetual investment – thus a perpetual return
• Such shares are used as guarantees for credibility.
• They facilitate projects especially long-term projects because they are permanent..
• Its cost is not a legal obligation.
• It lowers gearing level – reduces chances of receivership/liquidation.
• Used with flexibility – without preconditions.
• Such finances boost the company’s credibility and credit rating.
• Owners contribute valuable ideas to the company’s operations (during AGM by professionals).
b) RETAINED EARNINGS
• Revenue Reserves
These are undistributed earnings. Such reserves are retained for the following reasons:
• Capital Reserves
• It is raised by selling shares at a premium. (The difference between the market price
(less floatation costs) and par value is credited to the capital reserve).
• Through revaluation of the company’s assets. This leads to a fictitious entry which is
of the nature of a capital reserve.
• By creation of a sinking fund.
SHARE CAPITAL
This can be effected best by way of an example:
RWF‟000
Average Poor Excellent
Profits 100 20 300
(i) Interest (200 x 10%) 20 20 20
Profit before tax 80 0 280
Corporation Tax (20%) 16 0 56
Profits After Tax 64 0 224
(ii) Preference Dividend 10 0 10
(iii) Available for Equity 54 0 214
Note:
Comparing the Average with the Excellent performance it should be noted that while Profits
increase by 200%, the amount Available [at number (iii)] to Equity increases by almost
300%.
No matter what the level of performance, a fixed amount is paid to the Lenders and the
Preference Shareholders.
Ordinary Shares
• Issue might reduce EPS, especially if the assets acquired do not produce immediate
earnings.
• Extend voting rights to more shareholders.
• Lower gearing as a result of the issue might result in a higher overall cost of capital than is
necessary.
• Issues often involve substantial issue and underwriting costs.
• Dividends are not a tax allowable expense.
Preference Shares
The main features are:
• A fixed percentage dividend per year is payable no matter how well the company performs,
but only at the discretion of the company‟s directors.
• Do not normally give full voting rights to holders.
• Preference shares are mostly irredeemable.
C. LOAN CAPITAL
The main types are Loan Stock and Debentures.
• Loan Stock - long-term debt (usually > 10 years duration) on which a fixed rate of interest
(coupon rate) is paid. Generally unsecured.
• Debentures - a form of loan stock, legally defined as a written acknowledgement of debt.
Usually secured. Trustees appointed to look after investors‟ interests. Can be redeemable
or irredeemable.
• Loan capital ranks prior to share capital (both interest and capital on a winding-up).
• The ranking of individual debt will depend upon the specific conditions of each issue.
• Restrictive covenants are often included in the lending agreement (e.g. restrictions on further
borrowings, the payment of dividends, or major changes in operations; the maintenance of
certain key ratios in the accounts etc.).
If security is provided the cost to the company may be cheaper. Security may be in the form of
a fixed or floating charge.
• A high level of debt will increase the financial risk for the shareholders.
• Interest charges at a particular point in time may be high.
• The company may have insufficient security for new debt.
• There may be restrictions on further debt - Articles of Association; restrictive covenants; credit
lines fully used etc.
When should the company redeem? Generally, if the coupon rate is below current interest
rates delay to the later date and vice versa. However, the following factors should be considered:
• It is cheaper than straight debt due to the conversion rights. The lower coupon rate may suit
projects with low cash flows in the early years.
• A high-risk company may have difficulty raising long-term finance no matter what
• coupon rate is offered. Convertibles may attract investors due to the “upside potential”.
• If conversion takes place, the debt is self-liquidating. Conversion will reduce gearing and
enable further debt to be raised in the future.
• Interest payments are tax deductible.
• Convertibles are often not secured and have less restrictive covenants than straight
debentures.
• The number of shares eventually issued on conversion will be smaller than if straight equity
is issued.
• If the market value of the company’s shares falls the value of the convertibles will not fall below
the market value of straight debt with the same oupon.
• If the market value of the company’s shares rises the value of the convertibles will rise also.
• Convertibles rank before shares on a winding-up.
• If the company’s fortunes improve dramatically investors can share in this by exercising
their ption.
• These are debt securities whose interest is not fixed but is re-fixed periodically by reference
to some independent interest rate index - e.g. a fixed margin over National Bank of Rwanda
Interbank Rate. These are commonly referred to as Floating Rate Notes or FRNs. Coupons
are re-fixed, and coupon payments made, usually every six months.
• 2% Bond 2015, which was issued in 2005 at a price of RWF70 per cent.
• The price of the bond in the secondary market will gradually appreciate as the maturity date
approaches.
• Many projects require funding up-front, but are unlikely to give rise to an income stream to
service interest costs for some period of time - e.g. a building project where income from rentals
or sale of the building would be received much later. A Deep Discount Bond can be a useful
source of funding for such a project as it helps to match cash flows.
• An attraction to the investor is the advantageous taxation treatment in certain countries - e.g.
the capital gain at maturity is subject to CGT, which may be at a lower rate than income tax,
or the gain is taxed as income in one lump sum on maturity or sale rather than as interest
each year.
• 0% Bond 2020, which was issued in 2010 at a price of RWF50 per cent.
• Instead of interest payments the investor receives as a return the difference between the issue
price and the higher redemption proceeds.
D. WARRANTS
• Holder has the right (but not the obligation) to purchase a stated number of shares, at a
specified price, anytime before a specified date.
• If not exercised the warrants lapse.
• Warrants are often issued as a “sweetener” to make a loan stock issue more attractive, or to
enable the company to pay a lower coupon rate.
• The warrant-holder is not entitled to dividends/voting rights.
• Unlike convertibles, new funds are generated for the company if the warrants are exercised.
• Generally, the warrant is detachable from the stock and can be traded separately.
• The value of the warrant is dependent on the underlying share price.
• Public at Large
• Fixed Price
• Public at Large
• Not a Fixed Price
• Set a Minimum Price & Invite Tenders
• Shares Issued at Highest Price where All Taken-up
Placing
Shares “Placed” with Target Audience – generally institutions
Rights Issue
Shares Issued to Existing Shareholders
Pro-rata to Existing Shareholding (e.g. One for Five Issue)
Example:
Company Shareholder
Possible Choices
Example:
Shares currently trading at RWF2.00 (cum rights). Rights issue on a one-for-four basis at a price
of RWF1.50. Examine the consequences for a shareholder who currently owns 1,000 shares.
RWF2,000.00
Current Wealth (1,000 @ RWF2.00) RWF2,000.00
F. BANK LENDING
The main considerations by the bank before advancing a loan can be summarized by the
mnemonic PARTS.
P URPOSE
A MOUNT
R EPAYMENT
T ERM
S ECURITY
28 I1.1 MANAGERIAL FINANCE CPA EXAMINATION
STUDY MANUAL
CAPITAL MARKETS
Introduction
Capital Markets are markets where long-term instruments are traded e.g. equities, preference
shares, debentures etc.
A good example of a Capital Market is the Stock Exchange.
The Rwanda Stock Exchange was incorporated as a limited company 7 October 2005
Main functions
The main functions of the Stock Exchange are:
Capital providers
The main providers of capital are:
• Pension Funds
• Insurance Companies
• Investment Trusts
• Unit Trusts
• Other Financial Institutions
• Overseas Investors
• Venture Capital Organisations
• Individual
Company flotation
There are many reasons why a company may be floated on the Stock Market (“Going
Public”). Chief among these is access to capital.
1. ADVANTAGES - SHAREHOLDERS
2. ADVANTAGES - COMPANY
3. DISADVANTAGES
Income
Investment in the stock market provides a source of income. Shares pay dividends when
companies declared profits and decide to distribute part of the profits to shareholders. Bonds
pay an interest income to the bondholders. Sometimes the income earned from listed securities
is higher than interest earned from the money or banking sector.
Securities as Collateral
Listed securities are easily acceptable as collateral against loans from financial institutions.
Liquidity
Liquidity is the ability to convert shares or bonds into cash by selling within the shortest time
possible without losing much value. When one needs funds urgently, listed securities could be
very useful because they are more liquid than most other forms of assets.
• Grow wealth: Over time, the value of your investment increases, whenever the prices of your
stock go up. This is called capital gains.
• Listed securities are easily acceptable as collateral against loans.
Are the markets efficient? The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) has been developed to test
different levels of efficiency. [Note: Hypothesis is defined as a supposition put forward as a basis
for reasoning or investigation.]
The Efficient Market Hypothesis tests three degrees of efficiency
1. Weak Form Efficiency
Most of the research suggests that capital markets are semi-strong-form efficient but not quite
strong-form efficient.
Leasing
A lease is a contract between a lessor (bank/finance house) and a lessee (person/company to
whom the asset is leased) for the hire of a specific asset. The lessor retains ownership but gives
the lessee the right to use the asset for an agreed period in return for the payment of specified
rentals.
Finance Lease
This transfers substantially all the risks and rewards of ownership, other than legal title, to
the lessee. It usually involves payment to the lessor over the lease term of the full cost of the
asset plus a commercial return on the finance provided by the lessor.
• The lessee is responsible for the upkeep, maintenance etc. of the asset.
• The lease has a primary period, covering the whole or most of the economic life of the asset.
The asset will be almost worn out at the end of the primary period, so the lessor will ensure
that the cost of the asset and a commercial return on the investment will be recouped within the
primary period.
• At the end of the primary period the lessee has the option to continue to lease at a very
small rent (“peppercorn rent”). Alternatively, he can sell the asset and retain about 95% of the
proceeds.
C. ADVANTAGES OF LEASING
• The lessee‟s capital is not tied up in fixed assets, so a cash flow advantage accrues.
• Liquidity is improved as no down-payment is required.
• The lessor can obtain capital allowances and pass the benefit to the lessee in the form
of lower lease rentals. This is especially important for a company with insufficient taxable
profits.
• The whole of the rental payment is tax deductible.
• Security is usually the asset concerned. Other assets are free for other forms of
borrowing.
• Traditional forms of borrowing often impose restrictive covenants.
• The cost of other forms of borrowing may exceed the cost of leasing.
The main disadvantages are the loss of participation in any capital appreciation and the loss of
a valuable asset which could have been used as security for future borrowing.
Introduction
Many new business ventures are considered too risky for traditional bank lending (term loans,
overdrafts etc.) and it is this gap that Venture Capital usually fills.
The venture capitalist‟s financing is not secured – he takes the risk of failure just like other
shareholders. Thus, there is a high risk in providing capital in these circumstances and the
possibility of losing the entire investment is much greater than with other forms of lending. The
venture capitalist also participates in the success of the company by selling his investment
and realising a capital gain, or by the company achieving a flotation on the Stock Market in
usually five to seven years from making his investment. As a result, it will generally take a long
time before a return is received from the investment but to compensate there is the prospect of
a substantial return.
Venture Capital has grown in popularity – for instance in the UK in 1979 venture capital investments
amounted to GBP20m., whereas this had grown to GBP1,000m. by 1991.
STAGES OF INVESTMENT
The various stages of investment by a venture capitalist can be defined as follows:
• Product/Service – what is unique about the business idea? What are the strengths
compared to the competitors?
• Management Team – can the team run and grow a business successfully? What are their
ages, relevant experience, qualifications, track record and motivation? How much is invested
in the company by the management team? Are there any non-executive directors? Details
of other key employees.
• Industry – what are the issues, concerns and risks affecting the business area?
• Market Research – do people want to buy the idea?
• Operations – how will the business work on a day-to-day basis?
• Strategy – medium and long-term strategic plans.
• Financial Projections – are the assumptions realistic (sales, costs, cash flow etc.)?
• Generally, a three year period should be covered. Alternative scenarios, using different economic
assumptions. Also state how much finance is required, what it will be used for and how and
when the venture capitalist can expect to recover his investment?
• Executive Summary – should be included at the beginning of the Business Plan. This is most
important as it may well determine the amount of consideration the proposal will receive.
• Cost of equity
• cost of debenture - redeemable ,irredeemable and convertible debentures
• cost of preferred stock
• Measurement of overall cost of capital (WACC), application and interpretation.
• The market value of shares if these have only been sold at a price above par value.
• For debt finance – from the par value of debt.
I.e. if flotation costs are given per share then this will be knocked off or deducted from the market
price per share. If they are given for the total finance paid they are deducted from the total
amount paid.
• Long-term investment decisions – In capital budgeting decisions, using NPV method, the cost
of capital is used to discount the cash flows. Under IRR method the cost of capital is compared
with IRR to determine whether to accept or reject a project.
• Capital structure decisions – The composition/mix of various components of capital is determined
by the cost of each capital component.
• Evaluation of performance of management – A high cost of capital is an indicator of high risk
attached to the firm. This is usually attributed to poor performance of the firm.
• Dividend policy and decisions – E.g if the cost of retained earnings is low compared to the cost
of new ordinary share capital, the firm will retain more and pay less dividend. Additionally, the
use of retained earnings as an internal source of finance is preferred because:
• Lease or buy decisions – A firm may finance the acquisition of an asset through leasing or
borrowing long-term debt to buy an asset. In lease or buy decisions, the cost of debt (interest
rate on loan borrowed) is used as the discounting rate.
• Terms of reference – if short term, the cost is usually low and vice versa.
• Economic conditions prevailing – If a company is operating under inflationary conditions, such
a company will pay high costs in so far as inflationary effect of finance will be passed onto the
company.
• Risk exposed to venture – if a company is operating under high risk conditions, such a
company will pay high costs to induce lenders to avail finance to it because the element of risk
will be added on the cost of finance which may compound it.
• Size of the business – A small company will find it difficult to raise finance and as such will pay
heavily in form of cost of finance to obtain debt from lenders.
• Availability – Cost of finance (COF) prices will also be influenced by the forces of demand and
supply such that low demand and low supply will lead to high cost of finance.
• Effects of taxation – Debt finance is cheaper by the amount equal to tax on interest and this
means that debt finance will entail a saving in cost of finance equivalent to tax on interest.
• Nature of security – If security given depreciates fast, then this will compound implicit costs
(costs of maintaining that security).
• Company’s growth stage – Young companies usually pay less dividends in which case
the cost of this finance will be relatively cheaper at the earlier stages of the company’s
development.
B. CALCULATION OF COST OF CAPITAL
1. Equity
• Constant Dividends
d
r=
MV
d = annual dividend
Example:
Dividend of RWF150 per share recently paid and expected to continue at this level for the
foreseeable future. Current market value of share is RWF800 ex. div.
150
r= = 18.75%
800
Do (1+g)
r= +g
MV
Where: r = cost of capital
Example:
Dividend of RWF20 per share about to be paid. Dividends expected to grow by
10% per annum in the future. Current market value of share is RWF160.
RWF20 (1.10)
r= +0.10 = 25.71%
RWF140
Note: Ex. div. price (RWF160 - RWF20) must be used in calculation.
2. Preference Shares
d
r=
MV
Example:
7% Preference Shares RWF1000; Current market value 700 ex. Div
r = 70 = 10%
700
3. Irredeemable Debentures
K
r=
(l – t) MV
Where: r = cost of capital
k = coupon rate
Example:
7% Irredeemable Debentures; Current market value RWF70 ex. Interest. Corporation
Tax 40%
RWF7
r = (l – 0.40) RWF 70 = 6%
Example:
(5.15) 2.06
2.06
IRR = 8% + x (10% - 8%) = 8.57%
2.06 + 5.15
“POOL”
Equity 16%
OF
WACC FUNDS 14%
Debt 8%
Assumptions:
Contents
• Review of factors affecting capital structure
• Theories underlying capital structure (NOI, NI, Traditional approach, MM Approaches),
• Availability of securities – This influences the company’s use of debt finance which means that
if a company has sufficient securities, it can afford to use debt finance in large capacities.
• Cost of finance (both implicit and explicit) – If low, then a company can use more of debt or
equity finance.
• Company gearing level – if high, the company may not be able to use more debt or equity
finance because potential investors would not be willing to invest in such a company.
• Sales stability – If a company has stable sales and thus profits, it can afford to use various
finances in particular debt in so far as it can service such finances.
• Competitiveness of the industry in which the company operates – If the company operates in
a highly competitive industry, it may be risky to use high levels of debt because chances of
servicing this debt may be low and may lead a company into receivership.
• The use of debt does not change the risk perception of the investor. Thus Kd and Ke remain
constant with changes in leverage.
• The debt capitalization rate is less than equity capitalization rate (i.e. Kd < Ke).
The implications of these assumptions are that with constant Kd and Ke, increased use of debt,
by magnifying the shareholders earnings will result in a higher value of the firm via higher value
of equity. The overall cost of capital will therefore decrease. If we consider the equation for the
overall cost of capital,
D
Ko= Ke -( Ke - Kd )
V
Ko decreases as D/V increases because Ke and Kd are constant as per our assumptions and Kd
is less than Ke. This also implies that Ko will be equal to Ke if the firm does not employ any debt
(i.e. when D/V = 0) and that Ko will approach Kd as D/V approaches 1. This argument can be
illustrated graphically as follows.
ko
ke
kd
D/V
The implications of the above assumptions are that the market value of the firm depends on
the business risk of the firm and is independent of the financial mix. This can be illustrated as
follows:
ko
kd
D/V
The optimal capital structure is the point at which Ko bottoms out. Therefore this approach
implies that the cost of capital is not independent of the capital structure of the firm and that there
is an optimal capital structure. Graphically this approach can be depicted as follows:
Cost of
Capital ke
ko
kd
D/V
• The market value of the firm depends on the net operating income and the risk attached to it,
but not how it is distributed;
• The approach implies that totality of risk incurred by all security holders of a firm can be
altered by changing the way this totality or risk is distributed among the various classes of
securities. In a perfect market this argument is not true.
The traditional approach however has been supported due to tax deductibility of interest charges
and market imperfections.
• Capital markets are perfect and thus there are no transaction costs.
• The average expected future operating earnings of a firm are represented by subjective
random variables.
• Firms can be categorized into “equivalent return” classes and that all firms within a class have
the same degree of business risk.
• They also assumed that debt, both firm’s and individual’s is riskless.
• Corporate taxes are ignored.
Proposition I
The value of any firm is established by capitalizing its expected net operating income (If Tax = 0)
EBIT EBIT
VL = VU = WACC = KO
Proposition II
The cost of equity to a levered firm is equal to
• The cost of equity to an unlevered firm in the same risk class plus
• A risk premium whose size depends on both the differential between the cost of equity and
debt to an unlevered firm and the amount of leverage used.
D
K el = K eu + Risk premium = K eu + ( K eu - K d )
E
The MM further supported their arguments by the idea that investors are able to substitute
personal for corporate leverage, thereby replicating any capital structure the firm might undertake.
They used the arbitrage process to show that two firms alike in every respect except for capital
structure must have the same total value. If they don’t, arbitrage process will drive the total value
of the two firms together.
llustration
Assume that two firms the levered firm (L) and the unlevered firm (U) are identical in all important
respects except financial structure.
Firm L has frw 4 million of 7.5% debt, while Firm U uses only equity. Both firms have EBIT of frw
900,000 and the firms are in the same business risk class.
Initially assume that both firms have the same equity capitalization rate Ke(u) = Ke(L) = 10%.
Under these conditions the following situation will exist.
Firm U
EBIT - KD 900,000 - 0
Value of Firm U’s Equity = =
Ke 0.1
=frw 9,000,000
= 0 + 9,000,000
= frw 9,000,000
Firm L
= frw 6m
= 4m + 6m
=
frw 10,000,000
The investor has therefore increased his income without increasing risk.
As investors sell L’s shares, their prices would decrease while the purchaser of U will push its
prices upward until an equilibrium position is established.
Conclusion:
Taken together, the two MM propositions imply that the inclusion of more debt in the capital
structure will not increase the value of the firm, because the benefits of cheaper debt will be
exactly offset by an increase in the riskiness, and hence the cost of equity.
MM theory states that in a world without taxes, both the value of a firm and its overall cost of
capital are unaffected by its capital structure.
• Pay-back period
• Post pay –back profitability method
• Profitability index
• Accounting rate of return.
• Modified pay back period
• NPV and IRR Techniques
• Adjusted present value techniques
• The effects of inflation, taxation and capital rationing on the investment decision
Stages
• Identification.
Ideas may generate from all levels of the organisation. Initial screening may reject those that are
unsuitable - technically/too risky/cost/incompatible with company objectives etc. The remainder
are investigated in greater depth - assumptions required regarding sales, costs etc./collect relevant
data. Also consider alternative methods of completing projects.
• Evaluation
Identification of expected incremental cash flows. Measure against some agreed criteria -
Payback/Accounting Rate of Return/Net Present Value/Internal Rate of Return. Consider effect
of different assumptions - Sensitivity Analysis or other techniques. Consultation with other
interested parties (particularly if great organisational and/or technological change) - accountants/
production staff/marketing staff/trade unions etc.
• Authorisation
Submit to appropriate management level for approval/rejection/modification. The larger the
expenditure, the higher the management level. Reappraise investment - reassess assumptions
and cash flows (e.g. check for any “bias” in estimates)/evaluate how investment fits within corporate
strategy and capital constraints (if any). If budgetary or other constraints exist, rank as to how
essential (financial and non- financial considerations).
Non-Discounting
Payback Period
Accounting Rate of Return (ARR)
Payback Period
Definition: The time taken in years for the project to recover the initial investment. The shorter the
payback, the more valuable the investment.
Example
An initial investment of RWF50,000 in a project is expected to yield the following cash flows:
Cash Flow
Year 1 RWF20,000
Year 2 RWF15,000
Year 3 RWF10,000
Year 4 RWF10,000
Year 5 RWF8,000
Year 6 RWF5,000
The Payback Period is 3 1/2 years - the cash inflows for that period equal the initial outlay of
RWF50,000.
Is 3 1/2 years acceptable? - It must be compared to the target which management has set. For
example, if all projects are required to payback within, say, 4 years this project is acceptable; if
the target payback is 3 years then it is not acceptable.
Although of limited use it is the most popular technique.
It is often used in conjunction with other techniques.
It may be used as an initial screening device.
Advantages
• Calculation is simple.
• It is easily understood
• It gives an indication of liquidity.
• It gives a measure of risk - later cash flows are more uncertain.
• It considers cash flow rather than profit – profit is more easily manipulated.
Definition:
Average Annual Accounting Profits
ARR = = %
Initial Investment
(Alternative definitions may be used occasionally - e.g. „Average Investment‟ may replace
„Initial Investment‟).
The Accounting Rate of Return is based upon accounting profits, not cash flows.
Example
A company is considering an investment of RWF100,000 in a project which is expected to last
for 4 years. Scrap value of RWF20,000 is estimated to be available at the end of the project.
Profits (before depreciation) are estimated at:
Year 1 RWF50,000
Year 2 RWF50,000
Year 3 RWF30,000
Year 4 RWF10,000
To ascertain if the project is acceptable the ARR must be compared to the target rate which
management has set. If this target is less than 15% the project is acceptable; if greater than
15% the project is unacceptable.
• Calculation is simple.
• It is based upon profits, which is what the shareholders see reported in the annual accounts.
• It provides a % measure, which is more easily understood by some people.
• It looks at the entire life of the project.
Disadvantages
• They do not allow for the timing of the cash flows/accounting profits
• They do not evaluate cash flows after the payback period
• They do not allow for the changing value of money over a medium to long term
Discounted Cash Flow addresses these shortcomings, by allowing for the “time-value of
money” and looking at all cash flows. So what is discounting? Discounting can be regarded as
Compound Interest in reverse. To understand Compound Interest let us take a simple example.
Example
If you invest RWF100 and are guaranteed a return of 10% per annum we can work out how
much your investment is worth at the end of each year.
We are starting with a Present Value (RWF100) and depending on the rate of interest used (i)
(above 10%) and the duration of the investment (n) we can find the Future Value, using Compound
Interest.
As mentioned above, Discounting is Compound Interest in reverse. Thus, using the statement
FV 1
--------- = PV or FV x ------- = PV (1 + i)
n (1 + i)n
Again, taking the example above, if you are given the Future Value and asked to find the
Present Value
1
End of Year 1 RWF110.00 x = RWF100
1
(1.10)
1
End of Year 2 RWF121.00 x = RWF100
2
(1.10)
In effect, what you are doing is ascertaining the amount which must be invested now at 10% per
annum to accumulate to RWF110 in a year‟s time (or RWF121.00 in two years; or RWF133.10 in
three years).
The compounding and discounting features shown above relate to single payments or receipts
at different points in time. Similar calculations can be done for a series of cash flows, where a
single present value can be calculated by aggregating the present value of several future cash
flows.
ANNUITIES
An annuity is where there is a series of cash flows of the same amount over a number of
years.
The present value of an annuity can be found by discounting the cash flows individually (as
above).
Example
Using a discount rate of 10% find the present value of an annuity of RWF2,000 per annum for
the next four years, with the first payment due at the end of the first year.
In the above example the first receipt arose at the end of the first year. If this is not the case you
can still use the Annuity Tables but you must modify your approach. The present value can be
found by multiplying the annual cash flow by the annuity factor for the last date of the annuity less
the annuity factor for the year before the first payment.
Example
Using a discount rate of 10% find the present value of an annuity of RWF5,000 per annum, which
starts in year 5 and ends in year 10.
a
PV =
i
Example
The present value of a payment in perpetuity of RWF1,000 per annum, which commences at
the end of year 1, at a discount rate of 10% is:
a RWF1,000
PV = . = 10
= RWF10,000
i
If the payment commences at a time other than year 1 a further calculation is required.
Example
Using a discount rate of 10% find the present value of a payment in perpetuity of
RWFRWF1,000 per annum, if it commences (a) end of year 1, (b) immediately - year 0, or
(c) end of year 6.
(a)
a RWF1,000
PV = = = RWF10,000
i 10
We must now convert this to a year 0 value, by discounting the RWF10,000 (year 5 value) at
10%.
For mutually exclusive projects (where it is only possible to select one of many choices) -
calculate the NPV of each project and select the one with the highest NPV.
In calculating the NPV, the selection of a discount rate is vitally important. It is generally taken
as the cost to the business of long-term funds used to fund the project.
Which project should the company select if its cost of capital is 10%
PROJECT A PROJECT B
0 1.0 (100,000) (100,000)
1 .909 45,450 63,630
2 .826 49,560 41,300
Advantages
Disadvantages
The IRR is another discounted cash flow technique. It produces a percentage return or yield,
rather than an absolute value. It is the discount rate at which the NPV would be zero - where the
present value of the outflows = present value of the inflows. It can, therefore, be regarded as the
expected earning rate of the investment.
If the IRR exceeds the company’s target rate of return it should be accepted. If less than the target
rate of return it should be rejected.
The IRR can be estimated by a technique called ‘Linear Interpolation‟. This requires the following
steps:
We now know that the real rate of return is > 10% (+ NPV) but < 15% (- NPV). The IRR is
calculated by ‘Linear Interpolation.’ It will only be an approximation of the actual rate as it assumes
that the NPV falls in a straight line (linear) from + RWF755 at 10% to - RWF1,245 at 15%. The
NPV, in fact, falls in a curved line but nevertheless the interpolation method is accurate enough.
In this example the IRR is:
755
10% + x (15% - 10%) = 11.9%
755 + 1,245
Advantages
Disadvantages
• Relative, not absolute return -> ignores the relative size of investments.
• If there is a change in the sign of the cash flow pattern, one can have multiple IRR‟s.
• NPV is much easier to use for benchmarking purposes in a post-audit situation than IRR.
• It looks at projects individually – the results cannot be aggregated.
• It cannot cope with interest rate changes.
• It gives a percentage rate or return, which may be more easily understood by some.
• To calculate the IRR it is not necessary to know in advance the required rate of return
or discount rate, as it would be to calculate the NPV.
• It gives an absolute measure of profitability (RWF) and hence, shows immediately the change
in shareholders’ wealth. This is consistent with the objective of shareholder wealth
maximisation. The IRR method, on the other hand, ignores the relative size of investments.
• It always gives only one solution. The IRR can give multiple answers for projects with non-
conventional cash flows (a number of outflows occur at different times).
• It always gives the correct ranking for mutually exclusive projects, whereas the IRR
technique may give conflicting rankings.
• Changes in interest rates over time can easily be incorporated into NPV calculations but not
IRR calculations.
The company currently exports to the USA, yielding an after-tax net cash flow of
GBP100,000. No production will be exported to the USA if the subsidiary is established. It is
expected that new export markets of a similar worth in Southern Europe could replace exports
to the USA. Home production is at full capacity and there are no plans for further expansion in
capacity‟.
This lengthy paragraph is, obviously, designed to confuse you. If we analyse it further we find
that it is merely saying that the organisation currently exports GBP100,000 worth of goods to the
USA which will be replaced by GBP100,000 of new exports to Southern Europe, if we establish
the subsidiary. Thus, it has a neutral impact on our decision and can be omitted from the
appraisal.
The following pointers and simple examples should assist in coping with the various items which
are presented to you in an examination:
Shareholders‟ wealth is based upon the movement of cash. Accounting policies and
conventions have no effect on the value of the firm and, thus, pure accounting or book entries
should be excluded from calculations. The most common of these is depreciation, which should
be excluded as it is a non-cash item.
The effect of a decision on the company‟s overall cash flows must be considered in
order to determine correctly the changes in shareholders‟ wealth.
Example
A company is considering a proposal which would require (amongst other cash flows)
the purchase of a new machine for RWF100,000. If it proceeds with the proposal it could dispose
of an existing machine which has a book written-down value of RWF30,000. This machine could
be sold immediately for RWF20,000 instead of waiting for 5 years as planned and selling it for
scrap value of RWF5,000. Should the existing machine be taken into account in evaluating the new
proposal ?
Undertaking the new proposal requires the purchase of a new machine which, in turn, enables the
existing machine to be sold, thereby generating an inflow for the organisation. Thus, the cash flows
associated with the existing machine are relevant in evaluating the new proposal. The present
written-down value of RWF30,000 is not relevant as it is merely an accounting book entry. The
sale proceeds of RWF20,000 is obviously relevant as is the loss of RWF5,000 scrap value which
the company would have received in year 5 if the new proposal was not undertaken.
3
4 (5,000)
5 (5,000)
The allocation of fixed overheads at the rate of RWF2 per unit has no effect on cash flows and is
not relevant. It is merely an accounting entry for costing or control purposes.
The additional supervisory salary of RWF20,000 per annum is relevant, as it is incurred solely as a
result of the new proposal and must be taken into account.
Example
A company is considering the introduction of a new product to its existing range. It
currently rents a factory at an annual rental of RWF100,000. Only three-quarters of the factory is
used on production of its existing range of products and the remaining quarter of the factory would
be adequate in which to produce the new product. However, it will be necessary to rent additional
warehouse space at RWF20,000 per annum in order to store the new production.
To produce the new product the organisation can utilise factory space which is currently idle. No
additional factory rental costs will be incurred by the company and it would be incorrect to show
an annual cash outflow of RWF25,000 (one-quarter) in respect of rent when evaluating the new
proposal.
On the other hand, the additional warehouse rent of RWF20,000 per annum is incurred solely as
a result of the new proposal and must be taken into account in the evaluation process.
4. SUNK COSTS
Sunk costs (or past costs) are costs which have already been incurred. When making an
investment decision sunk costs can be ignored and you need only consider future incremental
cash flows.
Example
A company is considering the introduction of a new type of widget. Over the past two
years it has spent RWF100,000 on research and development work.
The RWF100,000 spent on research and development is a sunk cost and can be ignored when
evaluating the future inflows and outflows of the proposal. One way of looking at it is that
Example
A company uses a special raw material, named Zylon, in production. It currently has
5,000 tons in stock. The company is considering a once-off project which would use
2,000 tons of Zylon. The original cost of the Zylon in stock was RWF20 per ton; the current
purchase price is RWF17 per ton and its resale value is RWF10 per ton.
What is the relevant cost of the Zylon for the project if :
(a) The original cost of RWF20 per ton is not relevant. The 2,000 tons used on this
project are taken out of stock and must be replaced at the current purchase price,
as the Zylon is regularly used by the company. Thus, current purchase price is the
relevant cost - 2,000 tons @ RWF17 = RWF34,000.
(b) Again, the original cost of RWF20 per ton is not relevant. If the company does
not use the existing stock in the new project the next best use is to dispose of it at RWF10
per ton, as it is no longer used in production. Thus, current resale value is the relevant
cost - 2,000 tons @ RWF10 = RWF20,000.
5. OPPORTUNITY COSTS
The use of resources for a new project may divert them from existing projects, thereby
causing opportunity costs. These opportunity costs must be taken into account in
evaluating any new project.
Example
A company is considering the introduction of a new range of advanced personal
computer, which will be very competitively priced. While accepting that the new machine
is vital to remain competitive, the marketing manager has estimated that sales of existing
models will be reduced by 100 units per annum for the next three years as a consequence.
The existing model sells for RWF3,000 and variable costs are RWF1,750 per unit.
In evaluating the introduction of the new advanced machine, the lost contribution from
reduced sales of existing models must be included as an opportunity cost. In this case
the opportunity cost is RWF125,000 [100 units x (RWF3,000 - RWF1,750)] per annum for
the next three years.
6. INTEREST COSTS
In many examination questions you will be presented with all the costs of the proposed
project. These may be presented in the form of a standard Profit & Loss Account. One of
these costs may be „Interest.‟ The figure for interest should not be included as a relevant
cost because the cost of finance, no matter what its source, is encompassed within the
discount rate. Therefore, to include the annual interest charge as a relevant cost and to
also discount the cash flows would result in double counting.
Where the project requires an investment of, say RWF50,000, for working capital it
should be remembered that working capital revolves around continuously in the project (e.g.
purchase of raw materials, which are used to manufacture goods, sold and eventually generate
cash to enable the purchase of more raw materials etc.. and continuously repeat the cycle). Thus,
the RWF50,000 flows back into the organisation once the project ceases. In this example, if the
project has a life of five years the cash flows relating to working capital are:
0 (50,000)
5 50,000
CORPORATION TAX
Annual cash inflows from a project will cause an increase in taxable profits and, hence, a tax
payment. Annual cash outflows (e.g. cost of materials, labour etc.) will reduce taxable profits and
yield tax savings. However, tax payments or savings can be based upon the net cash inflows
or outflows each year.
One can assume that an annual cash flow (inflow or outflow) will produce a similar change in
taxable profits, unless the exam question specifically indicates otherwise. For example, you may
be told that a particular item of expenditure (say, a contract termination payment of RWF100,000)
is not allowable for tax purposes. In this instance, the RWF100,000 must be shown as an
outflow of the project but it is ignored when calculating the taxation effect.
It is important to appreciate that the taxation payment or saving is the cash flow multiplied by the
rate of Corporation Tax. For example, if the net cash inflow in a particular year is RWF50,000
and the rate of Corporation Tax is 40% an outflow of RWF20,000 (RWF50,000 x
40%) is shown in the taxation column.
CAPITAL ALLOWANCES
The Rwandan Revenue Authority does not allow depreciation charges as a deduction in
calculating the tax payable. However, it does grant capital allowances, which can be quite
generous. These allowances on capital items can be set-off against taxable profits to produce
tax savings (i.e. cash inflows).
• 40% initial allowance, whereby an allowance equivalent to the full cost of the item is treated
as allowable depreciation in the first year.
Again, it is important to appreciate that the cash flow effect is the capital allowance
multiplied by the rate of Corporation Tax. For example, if the capital expenditure (which
qualifies for 40% allowances) in a particular year is RWF50,000 and the rate of Corporation Tax is
40% then a saving of RWF20,000 (RWF50,000 x 40%) is shown in the taxation column.
The eventual sale of capital items will usually cause a balancing charge or a balancing
allowance, which must also be taken into account in the project appraisal.
Impact of Inflation
To illustrate how inflation should be handled in Investment Appraisal we shall take a simple
example, under two different scenarios – an environment with no inflation and an
environment where inflation is present:
1. No Inflation – suppose you are considering the purchase of a television for RWF1,000.
I am undertaking a simple one-year project and I require RWF1,000. I approach you and
guarantee you a return of 5% on your investment. Your investment will have grown to
RWF1,050 at the end of the year and, in theory, because there has been no inflation the price of
the television should still be RWF1,000. Thus, you have made RWF50 in the process and also
got your television. Therefore, you have achieved a real return of 5%.
2. Inflation (assume 20% per annum) – using the same example as number 1. If you had
given me the RWF1,000 this would be worth RWF1,050 at the end of the year but the price of the
television would probably have risen to RWF1,200 (+20%) because of inflation, so you would not
be able to afford it. The value of your savings has been eroded because of inflation – you have
got a return of 5% in money terms but inflation has been running at 20%. Therefore, you have not
got a real return of 5% - this is only a nominal (or money) return. In this instance, with inflation
of 20% you would require a nominal (money) return of 26% in order to obtain a real return of 5%.
Obviously, there is a link between the nominal (or money) rate of return (26%), the real rate of
return (5%) and the rate of inflation (20%). This relationship may be expressed as follows:
(1 + Nominal Rate)
(1+Real Rate) = (1 + Inflation Rate)
1.26
= 1.05
1.20
• Real Cash Flows – stated in today‟s prices and exclude any allowance for inflation.
• Nominal/Money Cash Flows – these include an allowance for inflation and are stated in the
actual RWF‟s receivable/payable.
As a very simple illustration, an examination question might state (amongst other things)
….”materials for the project cost RWF10 per unit in terms of today‟s prices. Inflation is
expected to run at the rate of 10% per annum and the project will last for three years.”
2
2 RWF10 RWF10 x (1.10) = RWF12.10
3
3 RWF10 RWF10 x (1.10) = RWF13.30
• If the cash flows are expressed in real terms (today‟s money), use the real discount rate.
• If the cash flows are expressed in money terms (the actual number of RWF that will be
received/paid on the various future dates), use the nominal/money discount rate.
• No matter which approach is used you should get the same result.
Example:
A company is considering a project which will last for three years. The initial cost is RWF100,000
and cash inflows of RWF60,000, RWF50,000 and RWF40,000 respectively are anticipated for the
three years. These inflows are expressed in current values and do not take account of any
projected inflation. It is estimated that inflation will be 20% per annum for the life of the project.
The investment will have no residual value at the end of the project. The company‟s required
rate of return in money terms is 26%.
1.26
= 1.05
1.20
Year Real Cash Flows Money Flows Dis. Factor 26% Pres. Value
So which approach should be used? In most cases it is probably best to inflate the cash
flows to money cash flows and then discount at the money required rate of return. Among the
reasons for suggesting this are:
Different inflation rates may apply to different variables. For example, raw materials may inflate
at 5% per annum, labour at 3% per annum etc. Thus, in converting a money rate to a real rate,
which inflation rate do you divide by – 5% or 3%?
When converting a money rate to a real rate you often end up with fractions. For example, where
the money rate of return is 15% and inflation is expected to be 5% per annum, this translates to
a real rate of 9.52%. This rate may be difficult to handle as Discount Tables tend to be produced
for whole numbers only.
When taxation is included in the appraisal capital allowances are based on original, rather
than replacement cost and do not change in line with changing prices. Therefore, if the cash
Example:
A company is considering a new project which would cost RWF60,000 now and last for four
years. Sales revenue is expected to be RWF50,000 per annum. Raw materials will cost
RWF10,000 in the first year and will rise thereafter by 5% per annum because of inflation. Labour
costs will be RWF15,000 in year 1 and agreement has just been concluded, whereby increases
of 4% per annum will apply for the following three years. No residual/scrap value will arise at the
end of the project. Due to the current competitive environment it will not be possible to increase
selling prices.
The general rate of inflation is expected to be 8% per annum for the next few years. The
company‟s required money rate of return is 15%. Should the project be undertaken?
• Capital Cost – the more frequent the replacement cycle, the more frequently this will be incurred.
• Maintenance/Running Cost – this tends to increase with the age of the asset.
• Resale/Residual Value – this tends to decrease with the age of the asset.
This technique examines the various replacement options and calculates the present value of the
total costs, over one cycle only. For example, if a machine has a life of three years there are
only three options – replace every year, every two years or every three years. For each option
identify the cash flows over one cycle:
• Replace every year - identify cash flows over a one year cycle
• Replace every two years – identify cash flows over a two year cycle
• Replace every three years – identify cash flows over a three year cycle
Finally, having obtained the present value of the cash flows over each cycle, convert them to an
Equivalent Annual Cost by dividing the total costs by the appropriate annuity factor (one year;
two year or three year).
Example
A machine has a life of three years and the following running costs and resale value are
estimated:
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Running Costs 15,000 20,000 25,000
Resale Value 35,000 25,000 15,000
The machine costs RWF50,000 and the company‟s cost of capital is 10%. Identify how
frequently the asset should be replaced.
The optimum replacement cycle is every two years as this has the lowest cost
Capital Rationing
Capital Rationing is a situation where a company has insufficient capital to complete all
projects which it would like to undertake (e.g. those with a positive NPV).
• Soft Capital Rationing – due to factors internal to the organisation. For example,
projects are limited to funds available from retentions; management are unwilling to commit
to additional debt due to the risk involved; the capacity of management to undertake many
projects etc.
• Hard Capital Rationing – due to factors external to the organisation. For example,
restrictions imposed on further borrowing due to a credit squeeze or lenders unwilling
to provide further funds due to risk factors; stock market depressed and share issue not
acceptable etc.
RANKING OF PROJECTS
Example
A company is reviewing its capital expenditure budget and has identified five projects.
Its cost of capital is 10% and it has calculated the NPV of each project as follows:
The company only has RWF1.6m available for investment. Assume that the projects are
divisible and calculate the optimum solution.
If capital was not rationed the company should undertake all projects because they all have
positive NPV‟s. As capital is rationed (RWF2.1m. required to undertake all projects but only
RWF1.6m. available) it is necessary to use a technique which links the NPV with the Capital
Investment – calculate the Profitability Index (NPV per RWF of investment) and then rank the
projects by their Profitability Index.
Optimum Solution
If the projects are not divisible we must deal in whole projects. Calculate by “trial and error” the
combination of various projects which will use up to RWF1.6m. and select the combination with
the highest NPV. For example,
• Defer one or more projects to a later period when capital is not rationed
• Share project(s) with another partner
• Outsource part of a project (e.g. component)
• Consider licensing/franchising
• Seek alternative sources of funding (e.g. venture capital, sale & leaseback)
• Acquisition Decision - Is the asset worth acquiring? Operational cash flows are
discounted by the cost of capital normally applied to project evaluations – after-tax cost
of capital. If a positive NPV results, then proceed to Financing Decision
• Financing Decision – Cash flows of the financing decision (lease v buy) are discounted by
the after-tax cost of borrowing.
Example
PP wishes to replace a piece of equipment, costing RWF120,000. This will produce
operating savings of RWF50,000 per annum and will have a life of five years. PP‟s after-tax cost
of capital is 15% and operating cash flows are taxed at 30%, one year in arrears.
PP can borrow funds at 13% to purchase the machine or alternatively, it could acquire it by
means of a finance lease costing RWF28,000 per annum for five years, the lease rentals payable
in advance. The machine is expected to have zero scrap value at the end of the five years.
The machine qualifies for capital allowances on a reducing balance basis at the rate of 25%
per annum. However, due to its tax position PP is unable to utilise any capital allowances on the
purchase until year one.
Should PP replace the equipment and if so, should it buy or lease it?
Capital Allowances
2. Financing Decision
The cash flows associated with the two options (Lease and Buy) are discounted by a rate
appropriate to a financing decision => the after-tax cost of borrowing. We concentrate on the
financing cash flows – ignore any cash flows which are common e.g. sales revenue.
Buy:
Item Cash Flow D.F. 9% Pres. Val.
Lease:
• Acquisition Decision - Is the asset worth acquiring? Operational cash flows are
discounted by the cost of capital normally applied to project evaluations – after-tax cost
of capital. If a positive NPV results, then proceed to Financing Decision
• Financing Decision – Cash flows of the financing decision (lease v buy) are discounted by
the after-tax cost of borrowing.
Example
PP wishes to replace a piece of equipment, costing RWF120,000. This will produce
operating savings of RWF50,000 per annum and will have a life of five years. PP‟s after-tax cost
of capital is 15% and operating cash flows are taxed at 30%, one year in arrears.
Should PP replace the equipment and if so, should it buy or lease it?
Capital Allowances
2. Financing Decision
The cash flows associated with the two options (Lease and Buy) are discounted by a rate
appropriate to a financing decision => the after-tax cost of borrowing. We concentrate on the
financing cash flows – ignore any cash flows which are common e.g. sales revenue.
Buy:
Item Cash Flow D.F. 9% Pres. Val.
Lease:
Contents
• Temporary W.C
• Permanent W.C
• Semi- Variable Working Capital
• Sources of working capital
• Factors influencing working capital management
• Working capital policies and strategies- Conservative/Aggressive/Hedging- Matching
• The operating cycle and determination of working capital
• Working capital ratios
• Overtrading - symptoms, causes and remedies.
• Inventory management (EOQ, EBQ, and JIT).
• Cash management.
• Debtor and creditor management: terms of credit, credit evaluation, settlement discounts, debt
collection techniques, factoring and invoice Discounting.
Current Assets: Stock (Finished Goods, WIP and Raw Materials), Debtors, Marketable
Securities and Cash/Bank.
Current Liabilities: Creditors Due Within One Year, Trade Creditors, Prepayments received, Tax
Payable, Dividends Payable, Short-term Loans and Long-term Loans Maturing Within the Year.
Working Capital Management is basically a trade off between ensuring that the business remains
liquid while avoiding excessive conservatism, whereby the levels of Working Capital held are too
high with an ensuing large opportunity loss. Obviously, the levels of Working Capital required
depend to a large extent on the type of industry within which the company is operating ; contrast
service industries with manufacturing industries.
Matching Concept
Long-term assets must be financed by long-term funds (debt/equity). Short-term assets can
be financed with short-term funds (e.g. overdraft, creditors) but it may be prudent to finance partly
with long-term funds. Working capital policies can be identified as conservative, aggressive or
moderate:
• Aggressive – short-term finance used for all fluctuating and most of the permanent current
assets. This will decrease interest costs and increase profitability but at the expense of an
increase in the amount of higher-risk finance used.
• Moderate (or matching approach) – short-term finance used for fluctuating current assets
and long-term finance used for permanent current assets.
Short-term finance is more flexible than long-term finance and usually cheaper. However, the
trade-off between the relative cheapness of short-term debt and its risks must be considered.
For example, it may need to be continually renegotiated as various facilities expire and due to
changed circumstances (e.g. a credit squeeze) the facility may not be renewed. Also, the
company will be exposed to fluctuations in short-term interest rates (variable).
Overtrading/Undercapitalisation
This occurs where a company is attempting to expand rapidly but doesn‟t have sufficient
long-term capital to finance the expansion. Through overtrading, a potentially profitable
business can quite easily go bankrupt because of insufficient cash.
Output increases are often obtained by more intensive use of existing fixed assets and growth
is financed by more intensive use of working capital. Overtrading can lead to liquidity problems
that can cause serious difficulties if they are not dealt with promptly.
Overtrading companies are often unable or unwilling to raise long-term capital and rely more
heavily on short-term sources (e.g. creditors/overdraft). Debtors usually increase sharply as
Symptoms of Overtrading
Causes of Overtrading
• Turnover is increased too rapidly without an adequate capital base (management may be
overly ambitious)
• The long-term sources of finance are reduced
• A period of high inflation may lead to an erosion of the capital base in real terms and
management may be unaware of this erosion
• Management may be completely unaware of the absolute importance of cash flow planning
and so may get carried away with profitability to the detriment of this aspect of their financial
planning.
Undertrading/Overcapitalisation
Here the organisation operates at a lower level than that for which it is structured. As a result
capital is inadequately rewarded. This can normally be identified by poor accounting ratios
(e.g. liquidity ratios too high or stock turnover periods too long).
Current Assets
Current Ratio = Current Liabilities
Debtors
Debtors Collection Period = x 365 days
Sales Sales
(5)DEBTORS
(2)
CREDITORS
(6) CASH
The Working Capital Cycle can also be expressed as a period of time, by computing various
ratios:
Avg. Stock
Stock x 365 = Y days
Cost of Sales
Avg.Debtors
Debtors x 365 = D days
Sales
Avg. Creditors
Less: Creditors x 365 = (C days)
Purchases
Working Capital Cycle (days) W days
The factors determining the level of investment in current assets will vary from company to company
but will, generally, include:
• Working Capital Cycle – companies with longer working capital cycles will require higher levels
of investment in current assets.
• Terms of Trade – period of credit offered; whether discounts permitted.
• Credit Policy – company‟s attitude to risk (“conservative” v “aggressive”).
• Industry – some industries have long operating cycles (e.g. engineering), whereas others have
short cycles (supermarket chain)
CASH MANAGEMENT
Cash is an idle asset and the company should try to hold the minimum sufficient for its needs.
Three motives are suggested for holding liquid funds (cash, bank deposits, short-term
investments):
Cash Budget
A very important aid in cash management: most organisations, whether small or large
multinationals, will prepare a Cash Budget at least once a year. It is usually prepared on a
monthly/quarterly basis to predict cash surpluses/shortages.
Example
A company‟s sales are RWF100,000 for November and these are expected to grow at the rate
of 10% per month. All sales are on credit and it is estimated that 60% of customers will pay in
the month following sale; the remainder will pay two months after sale but on average 10% of
sales will turn out to be bad debts. The company has some investments on which income of
RWF20,000 will be received in February.
Materials must be purchased two months in advance of sale so that demand can be met. Materials
cost 50% of sales value. The supplier of the materials grants one month‟s credit. Wages and
overheads are RWF30,000 and RWF15,000 respectively per month.
A new machine costing RWF48,000 will be purchased in February for cash. The estimated life
of the machine is 4 years and there will be no scrap value at the end of its life. Depreciation will
be at the rate of RWF12,000 per annum and this will be charged in the monthly management
accounts at RWF1,000 per month.
Rent on the company‟s factory is charged in the monthly management accounts at RWF5,000.
This is paid half-yearly in March and September.
At the 31st December the company expects to have a cash balance of RWF50,000. Prepare a
Cash Budget for the period January to March.
Sales Revenue:
November 100,000 x 30% 30
December 110,000 x 60% / 30% 66 33
January 121,000 x 60% / 30% 73 36
February 133,100 x 60% 80
Investment Income 20
96 126 116
Outflows:
Materials:
February 133,100 x 50% 67
March 146,410 x 50% 73
April 161,051 x 50% 81
Wages 30 30 30
Overheads 15 15 15
Rent 30
Machine 48
Car Fleet 50
Bank Overdraft
This is one of the most important sources of short-term finance. It is a very useful tool in
cash management, particularly for companies involved in seasonal trades.
• Cost may be lower than other sources (generally, short-term finance is cheaper than long-
term).
• Less security required than for term loans - overdraft can be recalled at short notice.
• Repayment is easier as there are no structured repayments - funds are simply paid into the
account as they become available.
• Interest is only charged on the amount outstanding on a particular day.
• Extra flexibility is provided as all of the facility may not be used at any one time. The unused
balance represents additional credit which can be obtained quickly and without formality.
Term Loan
Finance is made available for a fixed term and usually, at a fixed rate of interest. Repayments
are in equal instalments over the term of the loan. Early repayment may result in penalties.
Cash Lodgement
It is important that cash is lodged as quickly as possible so that the organisation gets the
benefit through an increase in investments or a reduction in overdraft. However, apart from the
security risk of cash lying idle there are costs of making lodgements (bank, clerical, transportation
etc.) It becomes a “Balancing Act” to minimise costs and maximise benefits (interest).
Example
A company always works off an overdraft which currently costs 15% p.a. Sales are
RWF600,000 per week (5 working days). Half the cash is received on Monday and Tuesday,
It is now proposed to lodge on Monday, Wednesday and Friday but this will increase administration
and bank costs by RWF200 per week. Should the company change policy?
• Account Balances - information provided on all accounts within a group (domestic and
foreign). Details of un-cleared items which will clear the next day, forecast balances and
individual transactions are available.
• Decision Support - current money market and foreign exchange rates provided.
• Funds Transfer - some services offer a direct link to brokers/banks, permitting instant deals
to be made.
The service facilitates more efficient cash management as available cash balances are identified
and utilised to the maximum. Thus, overall cash flow planning is more accurate. To obtain the
full benefit cash management should be centralised. However, potential benefits must be
compared with the additional costs incurred.
Debtors are often one of the largest items in a company‟s Balance Sheet and also one of the most
unreliable assets, largely because company policies concerning them are often inadequate
or poorly defined and in the hands of untrained staff. Typically, a company could have 20% - 25%
of total assets as debtors.
By setting the “terms of sale” the company can, to some extent, control the level of debtors.
However, the relative strengths of the credit-giver and the credit-taker are important. Consideration
must also be given to the industry norm.
Discounts
As extended credit facilities may be expensive to finance the firm may offer customers a
discount (cash/settlement discount) to encourage them to pay early. As with extended credit
discounts may also be used as a marketing tool in an effort to increase sales. To evaluate
whether it is financially worthwhile the cost of the discount should be compared with the benefit
of the reduced investment in debtors.
Example
A company offers its customers 40 days credit. On average they take 60 days to pay. To
encourage early payment the company now proposes to offer a 2 % discount for payment within
10 days.
For each RWF100 of sales the cost is RWF2 and the company only receives a net RWF98. In
return the company receives payment 50 days earlier (day 60 - day 10). The annualised cost
of the discount is:
2
x 365 = 14.9% p.a.
98 50
The cost of 14.9% should be compared with other sources of finance. If, for example, the cost
of the company‟s overdraft is 16% p.a. the discount would seem to be worthwhile. If, on the other
hand, the cost of the overdraft is only 10% p.a. the discount should not be offered as it would be
better to leave the debts outstanding and finance through the overdraft.
In industries that deal with both trade and retail customers (e.g. building supplies) it is usual to
offer trade discounts. This may reflect the economies of scale which derive from larger orders
and the greater bargaining power of the customer. Trade discounts are frequently much
larger than cash/settlement discounts and may be for as much as 25% of the quoted price.
Debt Control
Good debt control can be summed up as ensuring that all sales are paid for within an agreed
period, without alienating customers, at the minimum cost to the company.
The company itself can take steps to “assist” the debtors to pay promptly:
There is no one debt collection policy that is applicable to all companies. Policies will differ
according to the nature of the product and the degree of competition. Debt control system
will probably include:
Debt collection policies must not be regarded as completely inflexible and systems should be
modified as circumstances change.
Among the many debt collection techniques that can be used are:
Credit Policy
Example 1
Current sales are RWF500,000 p.a. - all on credit. On average customers take 60 days credit.
Bad debts are 1% of sales.
Marketing manager suggests that if credit is relaxed to 90 days sales will increase by 20%.
However, bad debts will increase to 2%. It is estimated that 75% of existing customers will take
the 90 days. Variable costs are 90% of sales value and the company uses an overdraft costing
10% p.a.
(7,000)
Debtors - Existing 500,000 x 60/365 82,192
137,672
Increase in Debtors 55,480
Cost of Increased Debtors @ 10% p.a. 5,548)
Example 2
Current sales are RWF500,000 p.a. - all on credit. 60 days credit allowed but on average 90
days taken.
New credit terms of a 4% discount for payment by day 10 are being considered. It is estimated
that 60% of the customers will take the discount. The new terms will increase sales by 20%.
Variable costs are 85% of sales value and the company uses an overdraft costing
11% per annum. Should the discount be offered?
69,041
Factoring
This involves the sale of trade debts for immediate cash to a “factor” who charges
commission. Factoring companies are financial institutions often linked with banks. Unlike an
overdraft the level of funding is dependent, not upon the fixed assets of the company, but on its
success, for as the company grows and sales increase the facility offered by the factor grows,
secured against the outstanding invoices due to the company. Three basic services are offered,
although a company need not use all of them:
• Sales Ledger Management - the factor takes the place of the client‟s accounts
department. Duplicate invoices are sent to the factor who maintains a full sales ledger for each
client, handles invoices, chases outstanding payments etc. Commission of 1% - 2% is usually
charged.
• Credit Insurance - in return for a commission the factor provides a guarantee against bad
debts.
Recourse Factoring - the factor will reclaim the money advanced on any uncollected debt so the
business will retain the risk of non-recovery and, depending on the contract terms, perhaps
the administration burden as well.
Non-Recourse (Full) Factoring - the factor runs credit checks on the company‟s customers
and agrees limits dependent on their creditworthiness. These can be adjusted in the light of
experience, once a pattern has been established. The factor will protect the client against bad
debts on approved sales and will also take on all the administration burden. The balance
over the 80% advance is paid to the client an agreed number of days after the initial advance.
The cost of finance through factoring is usually slightly above overdraft rates. The administration
charges vary between 0.6% and 2.5% approx.
Advantages of Factoring
• It is an alternative source of finance if other sources are fully utilised, particularly for a
company with a high level of debtors.
• It is especially useful for growth companies where debtors are rising rapidly and funds
available from the factor will rise in tandem.
• Security for the finance is the company‟s debtors, leaving other assets free for
alternative forms of debt finance.
• The factor may be able to manage the company‟s sales ledger more efficiently by
employing specialist staff, leading to lower costs for the company and freeing management to
concentrate on growing the business.
• Bad debts will be reduced or guaranteed by credit insurance.
• Due to the greater guarantee of cash flow the company will have a better opportunity for
taking up cash discounts from suppliers.
• The factor will be more efficient in collecting monies. Evidence in Europe suggests that,
on average, it takes over 75 days for an invoice to be paid, whereas the average debt turn
of companies using factoring is 60 days.
• The company replaces a great many debtors with one - the factor - who is a prompt payer.
Disadvantages of Factoring
Invoice Discounting
This is similar to factoring but only the finance service is used. Invoices are discounted (like
Bills Receivable) and immediate payment, less a charge, is received. The company still collects
the debt as agent for the financial institution and is also liable for bad debts. The service tends
to be used on an ad hoc basis and is provided by factors for clients who need finance but not
the administrative service or protection. Invoice Discounting is confidential and solely a matter
between the lender and borrower, unlike Factoring where the bank assumes a direct and
visible role between the company and its debtors. Also, the company retains full control over the
management of its debtor‟s ledger, including credit control.
The credit is mistakenly believed to be cost-free. The costs include the following:
• Loss of Supplier‟s Goodwill - this is difficult to quantify. If the credit period is regularly
overdone suppliers may put a low priority on the quality of service given; further orders may be
refused; cash on delivery or payment in advance demanded.
• Higher Unit Costs - the supplier may try to recoup the cost of longer credit by charging
increased prices.
• Loss of Cash Discounts - if the credit period is used then discounts are not being taken.
• Thus, the cost of credit is the cost of not taking the discount.
Example
Your company normally pays within 45 days. The supplier offers a 2% discount for payment
within 10 days. If the company refuses the discount the implied cost of not taking the
discount is:
2 365
x = 21.3% p.a.
98 35
The cost of not taking the discount (opportunity cost) is 21.3% p.a.
Despite the above costs trade credit is the largest source of short-term funds for companies.
Among the advantages are:
• The Production manager desires a large stock of raw materials so that production is
uninterrupted.
• The Sales manager desires a large stock of finished goods so that no sales are lost.
• The Finance manager desires a low level of all types of stock so that costs are minimised.
Sound stock control entails having the right product available in the right quantity, at the right
time and at the right cost.
EOQ = 2 cd
h
Example:
A company has annual demand for 2,000 units. Each unit can be purchased for RWF20. The
cost of placing each order is RWF20 and the annual cost of holding an item in stock is RWF2.
Calculate the Economic Order Quantity.
2 cd 2 x 20 x 2,000
EOQ = 2 = 200 units
Calculate the total costs with and without the discount. Total costs will now consist of
ordering costs + holding costs + purchase price.
200 units
2,000
Ordering: RWF20 x RWF200
200
2,000
Holding: RWF2 x RWF200
2
400 units
2,000
Ordering: RWF20 x RWF100
400
Holding: RWF2 x 4,00 RWF400
2
Purchase: 2,000 x RWF19.60 RWF39,200
RWF39,700
With a JIT system there is little room for manoeuvre in the event of unforeseen delays – e.g.
on delivery times. The buyer is also dependent on the supplier for the quality of materials, as
expensive downtime or a production standstill may arise, although guarantees and penalties may
be included in the contract as protection.
Contents
• Introduction to risk management (types of risks and risk management process)
• Portfolio diversification (Systematic and unsystematic risk)
• Portfolio theory and its application in practical financial management.
• Calculate and interpret the risk and return of a two asset portfolio.
• Markowtzportifolio theory
• Security pricing: CAPM and APT (Assumptions and there Application)
• Efficient Frontier and Capital market line
INTRODUCTION
A portfolio is a collection of different investments which comprise an investor‟s total
investments. For example, a property investor‟s portfolio may consist of many investment
properties in different locations and which are used for varied purposes. Other examples of a
portfolio are an investor‟s holding of shares, or a company‟s investment in many different capital
projects. Portfolio Theory is concerned with setting guidelines for selecting suitable shares,
investments, projects etc. for a portfolio.
Example
An investor has RWF100,000 to invest. He is considering two companies A and B but is
unsure as to which company to select. He expects that either company will produce a return of
12%, which is acceptable. As he is a little worried about the risk of the investments he eventually
decides to invest RWF50,000 in each company.
What actually transpires is that company A produces a return of 22% but company B
produces a disappointing return of only 2%. By diversifying – i.e. by holding shares in both
companies - the investor achieves an overall return of 12% (1/2 x 22% + 1/2 x 2%). If he had
invested all of the RWF100,000 in company B a return of only 2% would have been
achieved. Thus, the risk of achieving a less than satisfactory return has been reduced by
investing in both companies. The exceptional return of company A has offset the poor return of
company B.
Investors are generally risk-averse and will seek to minimise risk where possible. The objectives
of portfolio diversification are to achieve a satisfactory rate of return at minimum risk for that
return.
A portfolio is preferable to holding individual securities because it reduces risk whilst still offering
a satisfactory rate of return – i.e. it avoids the dangers of “putting all your eggs in one basket”
When investments are combined, the levels of risk of the individual investments are not important.
It is the risk of the portfolio which should considered by the investor. This requires some
measure of joint risk and one such measure is the coefficient of correlation. The relationship
between investments can be classified as one of three main types:
• Positive Correlation – when there is positive correlation between investments if one performs
well (or badly) it is likely that the other will perform similarly. For example, if you buy shares in
one company making souvenirs and another which owns tourist hotels you would expect poor
tourist numbers to mean that both companies suffer. Likewise, good tourist numbers should
bring additional sales for both companies.
The Coefficient of Correlation can only take values between –1 and +1. A figure close to +1
indicates high positive correlation and a figure close to –1 indicates high negative correlation. A
figure of 0 indicates no correlation.
It is argued that if investments show high negative correlation then by combining them in a
portfolio overall risk would be reduced. Risk will also be reduced by combining in a
portfolio securities which have no significant correlation at all. If perfect negative correlation
occurs portfolio risk can be completely eliminated but this is unlikely in practice.
Usually returns on securities are positively correlated, but not necessarily perfectly positively
correlated. In this case investors can reduce portfolio risk by diversification.
You may be asked to calculate the expected return of individual investments and also their risk
(Standard Deviation). You may also be expected to calculate an expected return if the individual
investments are then combined in a portfolio.
Example:
Your client is planning to invest in a portfolio of investments. Details are as follows:
Investment 1
Investment of RWF300,000 in Cape Verde property. Expected annual returns are as follows:
-20% 0.5
40% 0.5
Investment 2
Investment of RWF700,000 in a London Alternative Investment Market (AIM) equity index fund
for a minimum five year period. The fund provides a guarantee against capital erosion, and its
expected annual returns are as follows:
8% 0.9
12% 0.1
Musanze Property
On the face of it the property could be sold and liquidated at short notice. However, you
should look carefully at whether or not in reality such property can be sold quickly without the
need to reduce prices drastically.
Risk
Investment risk refers to the likelihood that:
Investment risk can be systematic: the risk of the market as a whole and/or unsystematic i.e. risk
specific to a specific investment/industry.
Unsystematic risk can be reduced through portfolio diversification whilst systematic risk must
be accepted by the investor.
AIM investment
The risk is lower than the Musanze investment as the return expected is 8.4% with an
associated risk of 1.2% calculated as follows:
Deviation S Deviation =
% Return Probability Expectation Deviation Squared Square Root
x p x*p x – EV (x-EV)2 P((x-EV)Sq)
8 0.9 7.2 -0.4 0.16 0.144
12 0.1 1.2 3.6 12.96 1.296
Expected Value (EV) 8.4 1.44 1.2
Musanze Property
Whilst the potential return of 40% looks attractive there is also the risk of investment losses of
20%. The annual return expected from your investment in Musanze property is 10% and the risk
attaching thereto measured by standard deviation is 30%. They are calculated as follows:
Deviation S Deviation
% Return Probability Expectation Deviation Squared =
x P x*p x – EV (x-EV)2 P((x- Square
EV)Sq) Root
Introduction
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is an extension of Portfolio Theory, which is concerned
with the risk and return of portfolios and the process by which risk can be reduced by efficient
diversification. The CAPM assumes that all investors are efficiently diversified and examines
the risk and return of any capital asset. A capital asset can be a portfolio, an individual share
or security, a portfolio of projects or investments made by a company or even an individual
project.
The CAPM gives the required rate of return on a capital asset, based on its contribution to
total portfolio risk, called systematic risk. It gives a very neat way of calculating risk- adjusted
discount rates.
• Investors are rational and they choose among alternative portfolios on the basis of each
portfolio’s expected return and standard deviation.
• Investors are risk averse.
The investor should ensure that he holds those assets which will minimise his risk. He should
therefore diversify his risk.
The risk can be divided into two:
The diversifiable risk is that risk which the investor can be able to eliminate if he held an efficient
portfolio.
The non-diversifiable risk on the other hand is those risks that still exist in all well diversified efficient
portfolios.
The investor therefore seeks to eliminate the diversifiable risk. This can be shown below:
From the graph shown above as the number of assets increases, the portfolio risk reduces up to
point M. At this point the lowest risk has been achieved and adding more assets to the portfolio will
Figure 7.2
The shaded area is the attainable set of investment. However, investors will invest in a portfolio
with the highest return at a given risk or the lowest risk at a given return. The efficient set of
investment, therefore, will be given by the frontier B C D E. This frontier is referred to as the
Efficient Frontier.
Any point on the efficient frontier dominates all the other points on the feasible set.
When a capital asset (S) is combined with no other assets, the risk of the portfolio is simply
the standard deviation of (S). When further assets are added, however, the contribution of (S)
to the portfolio risk is quickly reduced – diversification is eliminating the unsystematic risk. It
takes a surprisingly low number of shares in a portfolio to eliminate the majority of unsystematic
risk (twenty shares in a portfolio will eliminate approximately 94% of unsystematic risk). All
unsystematic risk could only be eliminated when the market portfolio is held.
Only systematic risk is relevant in calculating the required return on capital assets. This is because,
on the assumption that investors hold efficient portfolios, unsystematic risk is automatically
eliminated when another asset is incorporated within that portfolio. The only effect an asset has
on portfolio risk is through its systematic risk.
Rs = Rf + ß (Rm - Rf )
Where:
Rs = The expected return on a capital asset(s)
Rf = The risk-free rate of return
ß = A measure of the systematic risk of the capital asset (the Beta factor)
Rm = The expected return from the market as a whole
This is a very important formula. Note that the expected return (Rs) is equal to the risk-free rate
of return (Rf) plus an excess return or premium (Rm - Rf ) multiplied by the asset‟s Beta
factor. You may see different symbols in many textbooks but the same principles apply.
The Beta factor is a measure of the systematic risk of the capital asset. Thus, if shares in ABC
Ltd tend to vary twice as much as returns from the market as a whole, so that if market returns
increase by, say, 3%, returns on ABC Ltd shares would be expected to increase by
6%. Likewise, if market returns fall by 3%, returns on ABC Ltd shares would be expected to fall
by 6%. The Beta factor of ABC Ltd shares would, therefore, be 2.0.
Example
The returns from the market as a whole have been 15% for some time, which compares with
a risk-free rate of return of 7%. Alpha Ltd‟s shares have a Beta factor of 1.25. What would be
the expected returns for Alpha‟s shares if:
1. Rs = Rf + ß (Rm - Rf )
= 7% + 1.25(16% - 7%)
= 7% + 11.25%
= 18.25%
2. Rs = Rf + ß (Rm - Rf )
= 7% + 1.25(9% - 7%)
= 7% + 2.5%
= 9.5%
The CAPM provides a useful technique for calculating costs of capital and discount rates
appropriate to capital projects based on their individual levels of risk. However, there are two
drawbacks to the practical application of the CAPM. Firstly, the data necessary to calculate Beta
factors and the difficulty in obtaining them. Secondly, the assumptions on which the
model is based, which question the validity of the model itself.
In conclusion, although the CAPM can be criticised it is nevertheless a very useful model in
dealing with the problem of risk.
• CAPM is a single period model—it looks at the end of the year return.
• CAPM cannot be empirically tested because we cannot test investors expectations.
• CAPM assumes that a security’s required rate of return is based on only one factor (the stock
market—beta). However, other factors such as relative sensitivity to inflation and dividend
payout, may influence a security’s return relative to those of other securities.
Where,
E(Ri) is the expected return on the security
Rf is the risk free rate
Βi is the sensitivity to changes in factor i
έi is a random error term.
Since APT makes fewer assumptions than CAPM, it may be applicable to a country like Kenya.
However, the model does not state the relevant factors. Cho(1984) has, however, shown the
security returns are sensitive to the following factors: Unanticipated inflation, Changes in the
expected level of industrial production, Changes in the risk premium on bonds, and Unanticipated
changes in the term structure of interest rates
Illustration
Security returns depend on only three riskfactors-inflation, industrial production and the aggregate
degree of risk aversion. The risk free rate is 8%, the required rate of return on a portfolio with unit
sensitivity to inflation and zero-sensitivity to other factors is 13.0%, the required rate of return on
a portfolio with unit sensitivity to industrial production and zero sensitivity to inflation and other
factors is 10% and the required return on a portfolio with unit sensitivity to the degree of risk
aversion and zero sensitivity to other factors is 6%. Security i has betas of 0.9 with the inflation
portfolio, 1.2 with the industrial production and-0.7 with risk bearing portfolio—(risk aversion)
Assume also that required rate of return on the market is 15% and stock i has CAPM beta of 1.1
REQUIRED:
Compute security i’s required rate of return using
• CAPM
• APT
LIMITATIONS OF APT
APT does not identify the relevant factors that influence returns nor does it indicate how many
factors should appear in the model. Important factors are inflation, industrial production, the spread
between low and high grade bonds and the term structure of interest rates.
• Gordon’s Model
• The Dividend-Irrelevance Theory and Company Valuation (MM Theory)
• Factors affecting dividends payouts
Retained Earnings – -One of the most important sources of “new” equity funds for companies.
The more funds retained, the less available for the payment of dividends and vice versa.
Prime Objective – To maximise the wealth of the shareholders. Dilemma – Pay dividends now
or retain earnings for future capital gain.
PRACTICAL CONSIDERATIONS
There are a number of practical considerations which a company must take into account in
setting its particular dividend policy. Chief among these are:
• Taxation – Income Tax v Capital Gains Tax. If shareholders pay high marginal rates of Income
Tax they may prefer low dividends. If subject to low tax rate or zero tax, they may prefer high
dividends.
• Investment Opportunities – “Residual Theory” => retain sufficient funds until all profitable
investments (those with a positive NPV) have been funded. Balance to be paid as dividends.
Drawback is that dividends may vary dramatically from year to year. Also, consider the timing of
the cash flows from the investments as these will be required to pay future dividends.
• Availability of Finance – If the company is highly geared it may have little option but to retain.
Retentions will build up the equity base, thus reducing gearing and assisting future borrowing.
Certain types of company (e.g. small/unquoted) may not have access to external funds and
may need to retain.
• Liquidity – Profits do not equal cash. Adequate cash must be available to pay dividends.
Also, for growth companies, sufficient liquidity must be available for reinvestment in fixed
assets.
• Cost of New Finance – The costs associated with raising new equity/debt can be quite high.
If debt is raised interest rates may be high at that particular point in time.
• Transaction Costs – Some shareholders may depend on dividends. If earnings are retained
they can create “home-made” dividends by selling some shares (capital). However, this
may be inconvenient and costly (brokerage fees etc.).
• Control – If high dividends are paid the company may subsequently require capital and this
may be obtained by issuing shares to new shareholders. This may result in a dilution of
control for existing shareholders.
• Inflation – In periods of high inflation companies may have to retain funds in order to maintain
their existing operating capability. On the other hand, shareholders require increased dividends
in order to maintain their purchasing power.
• Existing Debt – Restrictive covenants in existing loan agreements may limit the dividend
payout or prohibit the company from arranging further borrowing. Existing debt which may be
due for repayment will require funds and may cause a reduction in the level of dividend.
• Legal Restrictions – Dividends can only be paid out of realized profits. Past losses must
first be made good.
• Perceived Risk – The earnings from retained dividends may be perceived as being a more
risky return than actual cash dividends, thereby causing their perceived value to be lower (the
“Bird in the Hand Theory”).
Note: Some companies adopt a constant payout ratio, whereby a fixed percentage of
earnings is paid out as dividends. This has the drawback that dividends will rise and fall with
earnings. However, this may not be a problem for a company which is not subject to cyclical
factors and whose earnings grow steadily.
Conclusion: There is unlikely to be a single dividend policy which will maximize the wealth
of all shareholders. The company should try to ascertain the composition of its shareholders in
order to pursue a dividend policy which is acceptable. Maybe, the best is to adopt a consistent
policy and hope to attract a “clientele of shareholders” to whom it appeals.
Dividends are directly dependent on the firms earnings ability and if no profits are made no
dividend is paid.
This policy creates uncertainty to ordinary shareholders especially who rely on dividend income
and they might demand a higher required rate of return.
It protects the firm from periods of low earnings by fixing, DPS at a low level.
This policy treats all shareholders like preferred shareholders by giving a fixed return. The DPS
could be increased to a higher level if earnings appear relatively permanent and sustainable.
It gives the firm flexibility to increase dividends when earnings are high and the shareholders are
given a chance to participate in super normal earnings
The extra dividends is given in such a way that it is not perceived as a commitments by the firm
to continue the extra dividend in the future. It is applied by the firms whose earnings are highly
volatile e.g agricultural sector.
Forms of dividends
• Tax advantages
Shareholders can sell new shares, and generate cash in form of capital gains which is tax exempt
unlike cash dividends which attract 5% withholding tax which is final
• Conservation of cash
Bonus issue conserves cash especially if the firm is in liquidity problems.
NB: A firm can also make a script issue where bonus shares are directly from capital reserve.
Stock split is meant to make the shares of a company more affordable by low income investors
and increase their liquidity in the market.
Illustration
ABC Company has 1000 ordinary shares of frw.20 par value and a split of 1:4 i.e one stock is
split into 4. The par value is divided by 4.
A reverse split is the opposite of stock split and involves consolidation of shares into bigger
units thereby increasing the par value of the shares. It is meant to attract high income clientele
shareholders. E.g incase of 20,000 shares @ frw.20 par, they can be consolidated into 10,000
shares of frw.40 par. I.e. (20,000 x ½) = 10,000 and frw.20 = x 2 = 40/=
3. Stock Repurchase
The company can also buy back some of its outstanding shares instead of paying cash dividends.
This is known as stock repurchase and shares repurchased, (bought back) are called treasury
Stock. If some outstanding shares are repurchased, fewer shares would remain outstanding.
Assuming repurchase does not adversely affect firm’s earnings, E.P.S. of share would increase.
This would result in an increase in M.P.S. so that capital gain is substituted for dividends.
• It may be seen as a true signal as repurchase may be motivated by management belief that
firm’s shares are undervalued. This is true in inefficient markets.
• Utilization of idle funds
Companies, which have accumulated cash balances in excess of future investments, might find
share reinvestment scheme a fair method of returning cash to shareholders.
Example
A firm may invest surplus cash in an expensive acquisition, transferring value to another group
of shareholders entirely. There is a tendency for more mature firms to continue with investment
plan even when E (K) is lower than cost of capital.
• Market Signaling
Despite director’s effort at trying to convince markets otherwise, a share repurchase may be
interpreted as a signal suggesting that the company lacks suitable investment opportunities. This
may be interpreted as a sign of management failure.
The advantage for the company is that it conserves cash and increases the capital base, thereby
improving gearing. The shareholders can increase their holdings without incurring brokerage fees.
Some companies have offered enhanced scrip dividends, where the value of the shares
offered is greater than the cash alternative. Thus the shareholder is enticed to choose the scrip
dividends.
Therefore, one bird in hand (certain dividends) is better than two birds in the bush (uncertain
capital gains).
Therefore, a firm paying high dividends (certain) will have higher value since shareholders will
require to use lower discounting rate.
MM argued against the above proposition. They argued that the required rate of return is
independent of dividend policy. They maintained that an investor can realize capital gains
generated by reinvestment of retained earning, if they sell shares.
If this is possible, investors would be indifferent between cash dividends and capital gains.
Example – If the management pays high dividends, it signals high expected profits in future to
maintain the high dividend level. This would increase the share price/value and vice versa.
MM attacked this position and suggested that the change in share price following the change in
dividend amount is due to informational content of dividend policy rather than dividend policy
itself.Therefore, dividends are irrelevant if information can be given to the market to all players.
Dividend decisions are relevant in an inefficient market and the higher the dividends, the higher
the value of the firm. The theory is based on the following four assumptions:
They argued that tax rate on dividends is higher than tax rate on capital gains.Therefore, a firm
that pays high dividends have lower value since shareholders pay more tax on dividends.
Dividend decisions are relevant and the lower the dividend the higher the value of the firm and
vice versa.
Note
In Rwanda, dividends attract a withholding tax of 15% which is final and capital gains on shares
traded in stock exchange are tax exempt.
It stated that different groups of shareholders (clientele) have different preferences for dividends
depending on their level of income from other sources.
Low income earners prefer high dividends to meet their daily consumption while high income
earners prefer low dividends to avoid payment of more tax. Therefore, when a firm sets a dividend
policy, there’ll be shifting of investors into and out of the firm until an equilibrium is achieved. Low,
income shareholders will shift to firms paying high dividends and high income shareholders to
firms paying low dividends.
At equilibrium, dividend policy will be consistent with clientele of shareholders a firm has. Dividend
decision at equilibrium are irrelevant since they cannot cause any shifting of investors.
This is because they know the firm will be exposed to external parties through external borrowing.
Consequently, Agency costs will be reduced since the firm becomes self-regulating.
Dividend policy will have a beneficial effect on the value of the firm. This is because dividend
policy can be used to reduce agency problem by reducing agency costs.The theory implies
that firms adopting high dividend payout ratio will have a higher due to reduced agency costs.
• Net purchase rule States that dividend may be paid from company’s profit either past or present.
• Capital impairment rule: prohibits payment of dividends from capital i.e. from sale of ssets. This
is liquidating the firm.
• Insolvency rule: prohibits payment of dividend when company is insolvent. Insolvent company
is one where assets are less than liabilities. Insolvent company is one where assets are less
than liabilities. In such a case all earnings and assets of company belong to debt holders and
no dividends is paid.
4. Investment opportunity
Lack of appropriate investment opportunities i.e. those with positive returns (N.P.V.), may
encourage a firm to increase its dividend distribution. If a firm has many investment opportunities,
it will pay low dividends and have high retention.
5. Capital Structure
A company’s management may wish to achieve or restore an optimal capital structure i.e. if they
consider gearing to be too high, they may pay low dividends and allow reserves to accumulate
until a more optimal/appropriate capital structure is restored/achieved.
6. Industrial Practice
Companies will be resistant to deviation from accepted dividend or payment norms within the
industry.
7. Growth Stage
Dividend policy is likely to be influenced by firm’s growth stage e.g a young rapidly growing firm
is likely to have high demand for development finance and therefore may pay low dividend or a
defer dividend payment until company reaches maturity. It will retain high amount.
8. Ownership Structure
A dividend policy may be driven by Time Ownership Structure e.g in small firms where owners
and managers are same, dividend payout are usually low.
However in a large quoted public company dividend payout are significant because the owners
are not the managers. However, the values and preferences of small group of owner managers
would exert more direct influence on dividend policy.
9. Shareholders expectation
Shareholder clientele that have become accustomed to receiving stable and increasing div. Will
expect a similar pattern to continue in the future.
Any sudden reduction or reversal of such a policy is likely to dissatisfy the shareholders and may
result in a fail in share prices.
Dividend ratios
Contents
A. Introduction
B. Valuation Bases
C. Defence Tactics
D. Due Diligence
• Quoted Companies - where a bid is made and the offer price is an estimated “fair value”
in excess of the current market price of the shares.
• Unquoted Companies - where the company is going public; a scheme of merger is being
considered; shares are being sold; taxation purposes; to establish collateral for a loan
etc.
B. VALUATION BASES
Broadly, the various methods of valuation may be based on:
• Earnings
• Assets
• Dividends
• Cash Flow
• Combination of Other Methods
1. Earnings
*P/E Ratio - the P/E Ratio is the relationship of a company‟s share price to its EPS.
P/E = Price
EPS
If the prospective EPS can be estimated and a suitable P/E Ratio selected it should be possible to
arrive at a price (value) for the company. Where an unquoted company is being valued a “best
fit” P/E can be obtained from similar quoted companies (same industry, similar size, gearing
etc.). When an appropriate P/E has been selected this should then be reduced by 20% - 30%
to recognise that shares in unquoted companies are more risky and less marketable than those
of quoted companies.
Example:
If maintainable earnings are estimated at RWF1.5m. and the ARR is 10% the value is:
RWF1.5m
= RWF15m
. 10
RWF15m is the absolute maximum which could be paid in order to achieve the 10% rate of
return. When estimating the maintainable earnings it may be necessary to adjust them to bring
them into line with the bidder‟s policies.
*Super Profits - if super profits are expected these are reflected in the valuation. A normal rate
of return for the industry is applied to the net tangible assets in order to establish normal profits.
These are then compared with the expected annual profits and if the expected profits are higher
the difference is regarded as a super profit. The valuation is the net assets plus a number of
years (say, 3) of super profits. This method has become less fashionable than previously.
2. Assets
The valuation is based on the Net Tangible Assets which are attributable to the equity.
Any intangible assets and the interests of other capital providers are deducted.
The figure attached to an individual asset may vary considerably depending on whether it is
valued on a going-concern or a break-up (asset stripping ?) basis.
While an earnings basis might be more relevant the Net Assets basis is useful as a
measure of the “security” in a share value.
3. Dividends
The Dividend Valuation Model may be used to value the company‟s stream of expected
future dividends. It is suitable for the valuation of small shareholdings in unquoted companies.
Value = d o (1 + g)
r-g
Where: d o = most recent dividend
g = expected growth rate in dividends
r = company‟s cost of equity
4. Cash Flow
The valuation is based upon the expected net present value of future cash flows,
discounted at the required rate of return. However, accurate estimates of the cash flows will
rarely be available in an acquisition situation.
C. DEFENCE TACTICS
Where an unwelcome or hostile bid is received from another company there are a number of
steps that can be taken to thwart it:
• Reject the bid on the basis that the terms are not good enough.
• ssue a forecast of attractive future profits and dividends to persuade shareholders to hold
onto their shares.
• Revalue any undervalued assets.
• Mount an effective advertising and P.R. campaign.
• Find a “White Knight” that is more acceptable - in 1986 Distillers Co. (U.K.) received an
unwelcome bid from Argyll and found a white knight in Guinness. In Ireland in 1988 Irish
Distillers Group found Pernod in their battle with G.C. & C. Brands (Grand Metropolitan).
• Make a counter bid – generally only possible if the companies are of a similar size.
• Arrange a Management Buyout.
• Attack the credibility of the offer or the offeror itself, particularly if shares are offered
- e.g. commercial logic of the takeover, dispute any claimed synergies, criticize the track
record, ethics, future prospects etc. of the offer or.
• Appeal to the loyalty of the shareholders.
• Encourage employees to express opposition to the merger
• Persuade institutions to buy shares.
D. DUE DILLIGENCE
The main objective of Due Diligence is to confirm the reliability of the information which has
been provided and has been used in making an investment decision. Changes in these primary
assumptions may have a significant impact on the price to be paid and possibly even raise
questions on the wisdom of proceeding with the transaction. This is a very useful process and
at minimum will provide additional information on the potential target.
NB:
To Be done by the tutors as per the emerging issues existing at the time.
Contents
A. Introduction
B. Sundry Definitions
You do not need to write a thesis on each subject but a couple of well chosen sentences (as
below in Section B) will suffice. Where appropriate a numerical example will help you to get your
message across and put some order on your solution.
You should regard this question as a “banker” and if you have done your work you should be well
capable of attaining almost maximum marks (20 marks in total, 4 per topic).
B. SUNDRY DEFINITIONS
Altman‟s Z-Scores
Professor I Altman researched 66 companies that experienced corporate failure to determine
whether or not their ultimate failure could have been predicted? His summarised findings are
known as Altman‟s Z-Score Model. This model suggests that if five key financial ratios are
calculated and weighted, and, if the result lies outside stated parameters, then the business faces
a heightened risk of future corporate failure. The model is used by investors and analysts to
inform them of the financial risk associated with potential investments because of its usefulness
in predicting corporate failure.
Rp = Rf + ß ( Rm - Rf)
in the equation above (the „Beta‟ factor) is a variable which attempts to capture the
Systematic Risk associated with the business activity of a company. The model is significant in
that it is premised on the view that the return on any given security is associated with the non-
diversifiable (systematic) risk associated with the security.
Corporate Raider
Corporate raider is a title given to organisations/individuals who target companies to acquire,
and, if successful, will in the post acquisition period carve the business into its component
parts with a view to selling/strip the individual parts at a profit. Ultimately, the corporate raider
may retain ownership of a small element (if any) of the acquired enterprise.
• Profitability – what are the profits for the period for which the dividend is to be decided?
• Legality – in short, only realised gains can be distributed
• Cash Flow – has the company the cash reserves from which to pay dividends?
• Taxation – is it more tax efficient for equity shareholders to receive dividends or capital
growth, or the optimum mix thereof?
• Signalling Effect – what will the declaration of any size dividend (including a nil declaration)
signal to the investment community?
• Expectations – what are shareholders expecting as a dividend and how any change will
impact on their investment behaviour?
• Residual Theory – can the company use profits to invest in projects which will increase
the capital value of shares by more than the dividend that could be paid?
The Efficient Market Hypothesis proposes that a particular stock market is an efficient stock
market. This is because of the role that well informed institutional investors and their market
analysts play.
There has been much research carried out on the topic of measuring market efficiency, with
varying and sometimes contradictory findings.
Factoring of Debtors
The factoring of debtors is a financial service usually provided by a specialist agency, such as
a department within a bank. Typically, it involves the administration of a client companies
debtors, the collection of its debts, the elimination or at least tighter control of bad debts, and the
advancement of certain sums of cash on the basis of invoices issued to date. The provision
of factoring services therefore represents - on the part of the Factor - the ability to develop
specialist expertise, operating economies of scale, and an access to a level of liquidity
which is only likely to be available to a major financial institution such as a bank. Factoring
services are not however simply a means of resolving the problems of financially distressed or
illiquid companies, but rather are only likely to be available to reputable companies with
an established trading record. Most banks will be reluctant to take on the administration of a
particularly troublesome debtors‟ ledger containing many unknown client firms.
Flotation Costs
Flotation costs arise in the context where a company is offering its securities - either debt or
equity - for sale in the capital market. These costs can be significant and in most cases the
amount of funds the firm receives is less than the aggregate value suggested by the price at
which the issue in question has been sold. Typically flotation costs can involve all or any of the
following items - underwriting expenses, audit and legal fees, fees to corporate bankers or their
financial advisors, public relations fees, costs of printing, advertising and circulating the offer for
sale, and stock market fees. Although these costs can be significant, most firms tend to tale the
prudent view that they cannot afford to avoid them entirely. This is particularly so in relation to
underwriting costs and the fees associated with professional advice on the issue price for the
particular security in question. This latter aspect is especially important as failure to strike the
correct issue price could undermine the success of the entire issue.
Often with MBOs the most difficult challenge is to raise sufficient finance.
Operating Gearing
Operating gearing describes the relationship between the fixed and variable costs of
production. Operating gearing can be measured either as the percentage change in earnings
before interest and tax for a percentage change in sales, or as the ratio of fixed to variable costs.
Companies whose costs are mostly fixed are said to have high operating gearing. These
companies are highly vulnerable to the need to generate consistently high revenue earnings in
order to cover the high fixed costs. High operating gearing therefore is perceived to increase
business risk, and empirical tests have tended to support the view that such companies should
have relatively higher Beta factors (Study Unit 17 above). In terms of an influence on a company‟s
Beta factor, the analogy between financial and operating gearing is quite strong.
Overtrading
The term “overtrading” refers to a situation where a company is unable to finance the level of
operations which it has achieved. Usually this can arise where a company is under-
capitalised at the outset, or where providers of long-term capital remain unwilling to inject further
funds as the business grows and expands in volume terms. In such cases, the continued
growth of the business will put increasing strains upon working capital, as the company realises it
has little option but to have further recourse to short term borrowing and securing finance through
the non payment of creditors. Very often, overtrading occurs where a company significantly
expands its sales (and accordingly its volume of operations) through the introduction of generous
credit terms without enjoying any corresponding credit concessions from its creditors. Such an
arrangement will inevitably place a strain on the company’s liquidity which is only likely to be
finally resolved through some form of financial restructuring involving access to long term capital.
Portfolio Theory
A portfolio is the collection of different investments that make up an investor‟s total holding.
A portfolio might be the investment in stocks and shares of an investor or the investments in
capital projects of a company. Portfolio theory is concerned with establishing guidelines for
building up a portfolio of stocks and shares, or a portfolio of projects. The same theory applies
to both stick market investors and to companies with capital projects to invest in.
There are five major factors to be considered when an investor chooses investments, no
matter whether the investor is an institutional investor, a company making an investment or a
private individual investor:
Scrip Dividends
Scrip dividends are shares given to shareholders instead of - or in addition to - cash. Firms
may elect to pay a scrip dividend in circumstances where competing pressures on cash reserves
might render it unattractive to make a more conventional cash payment - this could be the case
where the firm is experiencing liquidity difficulties or where surplus cash may be target on a
potential capital investment. In such circumstances a firm may pay a scrip dividend in order to
be seen to be remunerating shareholders‟ investment in the firm without placing an unwelcome
strain on current cash resources.
Systematic Risk
Systematic risk refers to the inherent risk of a particular investment which cannot be
diversified away. This systematic risk simply reflects the fact that some business activities are
naturally more risky than others and any investor wishing to invest in the financial securities of
such a business, must accept the associated level of risk which cannot be detached from
the business. Normally, investors will expect to earn a higher reward for taking this additional
level of risk. This need to earn a higher reward is captured by the beta term of the capital asset
pricing model which serves to quantify the amount of risk premium to be associated with the
particular financial security.
The particular significance of the traditional view was that because it suggested that the WACC
could possess minimum point (i.e. a gearing level where the WACC was at its lowest), then
this in turn implied that the value of the firm would alter in line with changes in gearing and that
management could, by virtue of some creative financial engineering, manipulate the value of the
firm.
Venture Capital
The role of the Venture Capitalist as a source of finance has in many countries increased in
profile over the last number of years. A Venture Capitalist, as the name suggests is an
organisation which provides finance for new and developing businesses. A Venture Capitalist
typically takes the form of a department of an established financial services organisation or as
a private asset management expert.
Venture Capitalists carefully vet proposals put to them by businesses that require funding. Only
those businesses that are operationally and technologically feasible have market appeal and are
financially viable are likely to be backed by the Venture Capitalist.
(n) 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%
1 0·990 0·980 0·971 0·962 0·952 0·943 0·935 0·926 0·917 0·909 1
2 0·980 0·961 0·943 0·925 0·907 0·890 0·873 0·857 0·842 0·826 2
3 0·971 0·942 0·915 0·889 0·864 0·840 0·816 0·794 0·772 0·751 3
4 0·961 0·924 0·888 0·855 0·823 0·792 0·763 0·735 0·708 0·683 4
5 0·951 0·906 0·863 0·822 0·784 0·747 0·713 0·681 0·650 0·621 5
6 0·942 0·888 0·837 0·790 0·746 0·705 0·666 0·630 0·596 0·564 6
7 0·933 0·871 0·813 0·760 0·711 0·665 0·623 0·583 0·547 0·513 7
8 0·923 0·853 0·789 0·731 0·677 0·627 0·582 0·540 0·502 0·467 8
9 0·914 0·837 0·766 0·703 0·645 0·592 0·544 0·500 0·460 0·424 9
10 0·905 0·820 0·744 0·676 0·614 0·558 0·508 0·463 0·422 0·386 10
11 0·896 0·804 0·722 0·650 0·585 0·527 0·475 0·429 0·388 0·350 11
12 0·887 0·788 0·701 0·625 0·557 0·497 0·444 0·397 0·356 0·319 12
13 0·879 0·773 0·681 0·601 0·530 0·469 0·415 0·368 0·326 0·290 13
14 0·870 0·758 0·661 0·577 0·505 0·442 0·388 0·340 0·299 0·263 14
15 0·861 0·743 0·642 0·555 0·481 0·417 0·362 0·315 0·275 0·239 15
(n) 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 20%
1 0·901 0·893 0·885 0·877 0·870 0·862 0·855 0·847 0·840 0·833 1
2 0·812 0·797 0·783 0·769 0·756 0·743 0·731 0·718 0·706 0·694 2
3 0·731 0·712 0·693 0·675 0·658 0·641 0·624 0·609 0·593 0·579 3
4 0·659 0·636 0·613 0·592 0·572 0·552 0·534 0·516 0·499 0·482 4
5 0·593 0·567 0·543 0·519 0·497 0·476 0·456 0·437 0·419 0·402 5
6 0·535 0·507 0·480 0·456 0·432 0·410 0·390 0·370 0·352 0·335 6
11 0·317 0·287 0·261 0·237 0·215 0·195 0·178 0·162 0·148 0·135 11
12 0·286 0·257 0·231 0·208 0·187 0·168 0·152 0·137 0·124 0·112 12
13 0·258 0·229 0·204 0·182 0·163 0·145 0·130 0·116 0·104 0·093 13
14 0·232 0·205 0·181 0·160 0·141 0·125 0·111 0·099 0·088 0·078 14
15 0·209 0·183 0·160 0·140 0·123 0·108 0·095 0·084 0·074 0·065 15
Annuity Table
1 –(1 + r)–n
Present value of an annuity of 1 i.e.
r
Where r = discount rate
n = number of periods until payment
Periods
Discount rates (r)
(n) 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%
1 0·990 0·980 0·971 0·962 0·952 0·943 0·935 0·926 0·917 0·909 1
2 1·970 1·942 1·913 1·886 1·859 1·833 1·808 1·783 1·759 1·736 2
3 2·941 2·884 2·829 2·775 2·723 2·673 2·624 2·577 2·531 2·487 3
4 3·902 3·808 3·717 3·630 3·546 3·465 3·387 3·312 3·240 3·170 4
5 4·853 4·713 4·580 4·452 4·329 4·212 4·100 3·993 3·890 3·791 5
6 5·795 5·601 5·417 5·242 5·076 4·917 4·767 4·623 4·486 4·355 6
7 6·728 6·472 6·230 6·002 5·786 5·582 5·389 5·206 5·033 4·868 7
8 7·652 7·325 7·020 6·733 6·463 6·210 5·971 5·747 5·535 5·335 8
9 8·566 8·162 7·786 7·435 7·108 6·802 6·515 6·247 5·995 5·759 9
10 9·471 8·983 8·530 8·111 7·722 7·360 7·024 6·710 6·418 6·145 10
11 10·37 9·787 9·253 8·760 8·306 7·887 7·499 7·139 6·805 6·495 11
12 11·26 10·58 9·954 9·385 8·863 8·384 7·943 7·536 7·161 6·814 12
13 12·13 11·35 10·63 9·986 9·394 8·853 8·358 7·904 7·487 7·103 13
14 13·00 12·11 11·30 10·56 9·899 9·295 8·745 8·244 7·786 7·367 14
15 13·87 12·85 11·94 11·12 10·38 9·712 9·108 8·559 8·061 7·606 15
1 0·901 0·893 0·885 0·877 0·870 0·862 0·855 0·847 0·840 0·833 1
2 1·713 1·690 1·668 1·647 1·626 1·605 1·585 1·566 1·547 1·528 2
3 2·444 2·402 2·361 2·322 2·283 2·246 2·210 2·174 2·140 2·106 3
4 3·102 3·037 2·974 2·914 2·855 2·798 2·743 2·690 2·639 2·589 4
5 3·696 3·605 3·517 3·433 3·352 3·274 3·199 3·127 3·058 2·991 5
6 4·231 4·111 3·998 3·889 3·784 3·685 3·589 3·498 3·410 3·326 6
7 4·712 4·564 4·423 4·288 4·160 4·039 3·922 3·812 3·706 3·605 7
8 5·146 4·968 4·799 4·639 4·487 4·344 4·207 4·078 3·954 3·837 8
9 5·537 5·328 5·132 4·946 4·772 4·607 4·451 4·303 4·163 4·031 9
10 5·889 5·650 5·426 5·216 5·019 4·833 4·659 4·494 4·339 4·192 10
11 6·207 5·938 5·687 5·453 5·234 5·029 4·836 4·656 4·486 4·327 11
12 6·492 6·194 5·918 5·660 5·421 5·197 4·988 4·793 4·611 4·439 12
13 6·750 6·424 6·122 5·842 5·583 5·342 5·118 4·910 4·715 4·533 13
14 6·982 6·628 6·302 6·002 5·724 5·468 5·229 5·008 4·802 4·611 14
15 7·191 6·811 6·462 6·142 5·847 5·575 5·324 5·092 4·876 4·675 15