Production Book 2
Production Book 2
Prepared by
Prof Dr
Ali Ahmed Abdelkader
Professor and Head of Business Administration
department, faculty of commerce Kafrelsheikh University.
Economic advisor to Kafrelsheikh governorate
2024
Contents:
Chapter 5: Forecasting.
Introduction
Operations management (OM) is a field of
study that deals with the planning,
organizing, and controlling of the processes
that convert resources into products and
services. OM is a critical function in any
organization, as it is responsible for ensuring
that the organization can produce the
products or services that its customers
demand.
Learning Outcomes
Operations
Operations Management
Supply Chain
A sequence of activities and organizations
involved in producing and delivering a good or service
Inventories
Goods can be inventoried, meaning that they can be
stored for later sale. This is because goods are physical
objects that can be easily counted and tracked.
Services, on the other hand, cannot be inventoried.
This is because services are intangible experiences
that cannot be stored for later sale.
Customer contact
The amount of customer contact required to
provide a good or service can also vary. Goods
typically require less customer contact than services.
This is because goods are typically self-service,
meaning that customers can purchase and use them
without the assistance of a salesperson or service
provider. Services, on the other hand, often require a
high level of customer contact. This is because
services are typically provided by a company or
individual who interacts with the customer in order to
deliver the service.
Response time
The response time for goods and services can also
vary. Goods typically have a longer response time
than services. This is because goods need to be
manufactured or produced before they can be
delivered to the customer. Services, on the other hand,
can often be provided immediately.
Capital intensity
The capital intensity of goods and services can also
vary. Goods are typically more capital-intensive than
services. This is because goods require the use of
machinery and equipment in order to be produced.
Services, on the other hand, often require less capital-
intensive inputs, such as labor and knowledge.
Examples
Some examples of goods include:
Cars
Clothes
Food
Electronics
Some examples of services include:
Healthcare
Education
Entertainment
Transportation
Conclusion
Linear programming"
A firm that assembles computers and computer
equipment is about to start production of two
new types of microcomputers. Each type will
require assembly time, inspection time, and
storage space. The amount of each of these
resources that can devote to the production of
the microcomputer is limited; the manager of the
firm would like to determine the quantity of each
microcomputer to produce in order to maximize
the profit generated by sales of these
microcomputers, after meeting with design and
production personnel, the manager has obtained
the following information:
3. Constraints:
So;
Information requirements
1. Supply of the sources
2. demand of the destinations
3. unit shipping costs
Decision Variables
The decision variables in a transportation model
are the amounts of goods to be transported from
each source to each destination.
Objective Function
The objective function of a transportation model
is to minimize the total transportation cost.
Constraints
The constraints in a transportation model
are:
Supply constraints: The total amount of
goods transported from each source must
be less than or equal to the supply at that
source.
Demand constraints: The total amount of
goods transported to each destination must
be greater than or equal to the demand at
that destination.
Non-negativity constraints: The amount
of goods transported from each source to
each destination must be non-negative.
Destinations
Any point that receives goods
Factories
Warehouses
Departments
Example:
Special Cases of the Transportation Model
The transportation model can be extended to
handle a variety of special cases, including:
Unbalanced transportation model: This
occurs when the total supply of goods is
not equal to the total demand.
Transportation model with
transshipments: This occurs when goods
can be shipped from one source to another
before being shipped to their final
destination.
Transportation model with multiple
objectives: This occurs when there are
multiple objectives to be considered, such
as minimizing cost and minimizing time.
Applications of the Transportation Model
The transportation model has a wide range of
applications in production and operations
management, including:
Transportation of raw materials from
suppliers to manufacturing plants.
Transportation of finished goods from
manufacturing plants to warehouses.
Transportation of goods from warehouses
to customers.
Chapter 4: Assignment Model.
An assignment model is a linear
programming model that is used to assign
tasks to workers or resources to jobs. The
goal is to minimize the total cost or time
required to complete all the tasks.
How to assign every worker or job with every
machine with minimizing (costs, time) or
maximizing (profit, efficiency...).
Components of an Assignment Model
Tasks: The tasks that need to be
completed.
Workers or Resources: The workers or
resources that can be assigned to the tasks.
Costs or Times: The costs or times
associated with assigning each worker or
resource to each task.
Conditions of an Assignment Model
Each task must be assigned to exactly one
worker or resource.
Each worker or resource can be assigned
to at most one task.
The total cost or time required to complete
all the tasks must be minimized.
Each worker or job must be assigned to
only one machine.
Every machine is capable of handling
every job
The costs or values associated with each
assignment combination are known and
fixed
Example
Solving the Assignment Model
The assignment model can be solved using the
Hungarian algorithm. The Hungarian algorithm
is a polynomial-time algorithm that finds the
optimal solution to the assignment problem.
Applications of Assignment Models
Assignment models have a wide range of
applications in including:
Assigning workers to jobs: Assignment
models can be used to assign workers to
jobs in a way that minimizes the total cost
or time required to complete all the jobs.
Assigning resources to
projects: Assignment models can be used
to assign resources to projects in a way
that minimizes the total cost or time
required to complete all the projects.
Scheduling machines: Assignment models
can be used to schedule machines to tasks
in a way that minimizes the total cost or
time required to complete all the tasks.
Chapter 5: Forecasting.
Forecasting is the process of predicting future
demand for products or services. It is an
essential part of production and operations
management, as it allows businesses to plan
for future production and inventory levels.
Types of Forecasting
There are two main types of forecasting:
Qualitative forecasting: This type of
forecasting uses subjective methods, such
as expert judgment, to predict future
demand.
Quantitative forecasting: This type of
forecasting uses historical data to predict
future demand.
Quantitative Forecasting Methods
There are many different quantitative forecasting
methods, including:
Time series analysis: This method uses
historical data to identify trends and
patterns in demand.
Causal forecasting: This method uses
factors that are known to influence
demand, such as price and advertising, to
predict future demand.
Forecasting in Production and Operations
Management
Forecasting is used in production and
operations management to:
Plan production levels: Businesses use
forecasts to determine how much product
they need to produce in order to meet
future demand.
Manage inventory levels: Businesses use
forecasts to determine how much
inventory they need to hold in order to
meet future demand without stockouts or
overstocks.
Set prices: Businesses use forecasts to set
prices that will maximize profits.
Make marketing decisions: Businesses
use forecasts to make decisions about
marketing campaigns, such as how much
to spend and where to advertise
Example
Chapter 6: Economic Order Quantity.
Economic order quantity (EOQ) is a formula
used in inventory management to determine the
optimal order quantity for a product.
The goal of EOQ is to minimize the total cost of
inventory, which includes the cost of ordering
and the cost of holding inventory.
EOQ Formula
The EOQ formula is as follows:
EOQ = √(2DS / K)
Where:
EOQ is the economic order quantity
D is the annual demand for the product
S is the cost of placing an order
K is the cost of holding one unit of
inventory for one year
EOQ Assumptions
The EOQ formula makes the following
assumptions:
Demand is constant.
The cost of placing an order is constant.
The cost of holding inventory is constant.
Lead time is constant.
EOQ Applications
EOQ is used in a variety of industries, including
manufacturing, retail, and healthcare. It can be
used to determine the optimal order quantity for
any product that has a constant demand and a
known cost of ordering and holding inventory.
EOQ Benefits
EOQ can help businesses to:
Reduce inventory costs
Improve cash flow
Increase profits
EOQ Limitations
EOQ is a simple formula that can be used to
estimate the optimal order quantity. However, it
is important to note that EOQ is just an estimate
and the actual optimal order quantity may vary
depending on the specific circumstances.
EOQ is a valuable tool for inventory
management. It can help businesses to reduce
inventory costs, improve cash flow, and increase
profits. However, it is important to note that
EOQ is just an estimate and the actual optimal
order quantity may vary depending on the
specific circumstances.
EOQ models
Economic order quantity (EOQ) models identify
the optimal order quantity by minimizing the
sum of annual costs.
1 The basic economic order quantity model
2 The economic production quantity model
3 The quantity discount model
Example:
Chapter 7: Reorder Point.
Reorder point (ROP) is a level of inventory at
which a new order is placed for a product.
The goal of ROP is to ensure that there is
enough inventory to meet demand until the next
order arrives.