Fintron Group - B
Fintron Group - B
SKILL OFFERING ID :
PROJECT TITLE : As a technical Analyst, analyze the historical stock
prices of a company using candlestick charts.
Identify and interpret different candlestick patterns,
including bullish and bearish candles, and explain
their significance in predicting price movements.
Discuss how a trader or investor can use candlestick
analysis or decision-making.
COLLEGE NAME : Swami Dayananda College of Arts and Science
COLLEGE CODE : 148
PROJECT SUBMITTED TO : NSE – Naan Mudhalvan
YEAR : IIIrd Year (2022-2025)
DEPARTMENT : Commerce
SEMESTER : 5th Semester
GROUP NUMBER : 6
MEMBERS OF THE GROUP : 6
Technical analysis is a method of predicting future stock price movements based on historical
price and volume data. Unlike fundamental analysis, which evaluates a company's financial
health, technical analysis focuses on price patterns, trends, and indicators.
Technical analysis assumes that all known information (earnings, economic factors, market
sentiment) is already reflected in the stock price. Analysts focus only on price movements
rather than external factors.
Market patterns and investor behaviors tend to repeat due to psychological factors.
Candlestick patterns that worked in the past often provide insights into future price
movements.
• Support – A price level where demand is strong enough to prevent further decline.
• Resistance – A price level where selling pressure prevents further rise.
Identifying these levels helps traders make informed decisions on entry and exit points.
• A price movement with high trading volume is more significant than one with low
volume.
• Increasing volume in the direction of the trend confirms its strength, while divergence
may signal a reversal.
6. Indicators and Oscillators
Technical indicators like Moving Averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), and MACD
(Moving Average Convergence Divergence) help traders assess momentum, trend strength,
and potential reversals.
5. Structure of a Candlestick
Each candlestick consists of four key components:
1. Open Price – The price at which a stock opens during a trading session.
2. Close Price – The price at which the stock closes at the end of the session.
3. High Price – The highest price reached during the session.
4. Low Price – The lowest price reached during the session.
A bullish candle (green or white) forms when the close price is higher than the open price,
indicating upward momentum. A bearish candle (red or black) forms when the close price is
lower than the open price, indicating downward momentum.
1.1 Hammer
• A single candlestick pattern with a small body and a long lower shadow.
• Appears at the bottom of a downtrend and signals a potential reversal.
• The long lower shadow indicates that sellers pushed the price down, but buyers
regained control and drove it back up.
• Appears at the bottom of a downtrend, similar to a hammer but with a long upper
shadow.
• Suggests that sellers attempted to push the price down, but buyers took control.
• A confirmation candle (a bullish close the next day) is needed to validate the pattern.
• A two-candlestick pattern where a small bullish candle appears within the previous
bearish candle’s body.
• Signals that selling pressure is weakening and a bullish reversal may occur.
• Confirmation from the next bullish candle strengthens the signal.
2. Bearish Candlestick Patterns (Indicating Downtrend)
• A single candlestick pattern with a small body and a long upper shadow.
• Appears at the top of an uptrend, indicating potential reversal.
• The long upper wick shows that buyers pushed the price higher, but sellers regained
control.
• A two-candlestick pattern where a small bearish candle appears within the previous
bullish candle’s body.
• Signals that buying pressure is weakening and a bearish reversal may occur.
• Confirmation from the next bearish candle strengthens the signal.
1. Reversal Patterns
Reversal patterns indicate a potential change in the existing trend—either from bullish to
bearish or vice versa. These patterns are significant when they occur near strong support or
resistance levels.
• Hammer
o A small body with a long lower shadow and little to no upper shadow.
o Indicates strong buying pressure after a downtrend.
o Significance: Suggests potential trend reversal if confirmed by the next bullish
candle.
• Bullish Engulfing
o A large green (bullish) candle completely engulfs the previous red (bearish)
candle.
o Indicates strong buying momentum.
o Significance: A confirmation signal if followed by an uptrend.
• Morning Star
o A three-candle pattern consisting of a long bearish candle, a small-bodied
indecisive candle, and a large bullish candle.
o Indicates a weakening downtrend and potential reversal.
o Significance: Stronger if the third candle has high volume.
• Piercing Pattern
o A two-candle pattern where the second bullish candle opens lower but closes
above the midpoint of the previous bearish candle.
o Suggests buyers are gaining control.
o Significance: Stronger if it appears at a support level.
II. Bearish Reversal Patterns (Indicate a shift from an uptrend to a
downtrend)
• Shooting Star
o A small-bodied candle with a long upper shadow and little or no lower shadow.
o Indicates rejection at higher price levels.
o Significance: Confirmation needed with a bearish candle following it.
• Bearish Engulfing
o A large red (bearish) candle completely engulfs the previous green (bullish)
candle.
o Indicates strong selling momentum.
o Significance: More reliable if it appears at a resistance level.
• Evening Star
o A three-candle pattern consisting of a long bullish candle, a small-bodied
indecisive candle, and a large bearish candle.
o Indicates a weakening uptrend and potential reversal.
o Significance: Stronger if volume increases on the third candle.
Continuation patterns indicate that the prevailing trend is likely to continue after a brief
consolidation phase.
• Doji
o A small-bodied candle where the open and close prices are nearly equal.
o Indicates market indecision.
o Significance: A continuation signal if followed by a strong bullish or bearish
candle.
• Three White Soldiers
o Three consecutive bullish candles with higher closes.
o Indicates strong buying momentum.
o Significance: More reliable if seen after a downtrend.
• Rising Three Methods
o A bullish pattern where three small bearish candles are followed by a large
bullish candle.
o Indicates continued uptrend despite temporary selling pressure.
• Falling Three Methods
o A bearish pattern where three small bullish candles are followed by a large
bearish candle.
o Indicates continued downtrend despite temporary buying pressure.
3. Indecision Patterns
• Indecision patterns indicate uncertainty in the market. Traders usually wait for further
confirmation before making decisions.
• Spinning Top
o A small-bodied candle with long upper and lower shadows.
o Indicates uncertainty in both buying and selling pressure.
o Significance: A breakout above or below the spinning top determines the trend.
• Doji (Multiple Types)
o Neutral Doji – Open and close prices are almost the same, showing market
indecision.
o Dragonfly Doji – A Doji with a long lower shadow, indicating potential bullish
reversal.
o Gravestone Doji – A Doji with a long upper shadow, indicating potential bearish
reversal.
8. Case Study: Candlestick Chart Analysis of TCS Stock
(January 2025)
1. Introduction
• Selection of a company's stock for analysis (e.g., Reliance Industries, TCS, HDFC
Bank).
• Collection of historical stock price data over a specific time frame (e.g., past one year).
The following table presents the daily Open, High, Low, Close (OHLC) prices along with
volume for TCS stock in January 2025:
Date OPEN HIGH LOW PREV. ltp close vwap 52W H 52W L VOLUME VALUE No of
CLOSE trades
31- 4,110.00 4,128.4 4,085. 4,100.05 4,114 4,112. 4,106.05 4,592.25 3,591.50 14,92,943 6,13,01,03,902.20 1,21,858
Jan- 5 25 .15 40
25
30- 4,099.90 4,129.9 4,058. 4,099.80 4,100 4,100. 4,098.87 4,592.25 3,591.50 15,31,251 6,27,64,04,777.90 97,767
Jan- 0 50 .00 05
25
29- 4,054.00 4,107.8 4,054. 4,040.30 4,105 4,099. 4,091.12 4,592.25 3,591.50 12,17,089 4,97,92,53,773.00 1,08,284
Jan- 5 00 .00 80
25
28- 4,070.80 4,102.0 4,028. 4,065.15 4,040 4,040. 4,057.30 4,592.25 3,591.50 24,68,272 10,01,45,14,674.15 1,50,121
Jan- 0 30 .00 30
25
27- 4,102.00 4,156.3 4,041. 4,152.35 4,067 4,065. 4,088.62 4,592.25 3,591.50 15,51,782 6,34,46,44,149.25 1,43,859
Jan- 5 05 .00 15
25
24- 4,104.00 4,178.0 4,104. 4,145.45 4,153 4,152. 4,155.62 4,592.25 3,591.50 19,10,099 7,93,76,40,859.20 99,760
Jan- 0 00 .10 35
25
23- 4,168.00 4,191.3 4,140. 4,156.60 4,148 4,145. 4,161.12 4,592.25 3,591.50 18,22,998 7,58,57,18,475.40 1,39,860
Jan- 5 05 .00 45
25
22- 4,050.00 4,163.1 4,044. 4,035.85 4,152 4,156. 4,132.48 4,592.25 3,591.50 24,09,223 9,95,60,65,096.70 1,53,702
Jan- 5 20 .00 60
25
21- 4,095.30 4,111.0 4,030. 4,077.80 4,038 4,035. 4,065.27 4,592.25 3,591.50 19,71,591 8,01,50,45,148.00 1,48,666
Jan- 0 00 .00 85
25
20- 4,145.80 4,145.8 4,068. 4,124.30 4,080 4,077. 4,085.51 4,592.25 3,591.50 12,87,799 5,26,13,20,398.80 1,48,489
Jan- 0 10 .00 80
25
17- 4,159.90 4,160.6 4,100. 4,206.30 4,130 4,124. 4,132.60 4,592.25 3,591.50 17,61,466 7,27,94,36,408.25 1,57,671
Jan- 0 05 .00 30
25
16- 4,260.00 4,294.0 4,191. 4,249.60 4,215 4,206. 4,212.91 4,592.25 3,591.50 26,37,705 11,11,24,18,871.40 1,76,306
Jan- 0 85 .00 30
25
15- 4,218.00 4,256.4 4,207. 4,233.05 4,255 4,249. 4,229.68 4,592.25 3,591.50 16,53,474 6,99,36,67,215.60 1,30,857
Jan- 5 45 .40 60
25
14- 4,302.00 4,313.9 4,219. 4,291.10 4,241 4,233. 4,252.06 4,592.25 3,591.50 34,41,709 14,63,43,69,218.50 1,80,842
Jan- 0 05 .15 05
25
13- 4,245.00 4,322.9 4,227. 4,265.65 4,299 4,291. 4,294.04 4,592.25 3,591.50 40,03,771 17,19,23,53,666.25 2,70,932
Jan- 5 40 .00 10
25
10- 4,200.00 4,297.0 4,170. 4,038.85 4,265 4,265. 4,240.63 4,592.25 3,591.50 78,94,300 33,47,68,09,439.65 4,36,975
Jan- 0 00 .00 65
25
9- 4,101.00 4,137.7 4,025. 4,108.40 4,044 4,038. 4,073.67 4,592.25 3,591.50 23,92,472 9,74,61,49,398.35 1,83,446
Jan- 5 30 .00 85
25
8- 4,034.90 4,126.0 4,017. 4,028.30 4,095 4,108. 4,056.18 4,592.25 3,591.50 21,81,277 8,84,76,52,251.50 1,80,073
Jan- 0 75 .05 40
25
7- 4,114.95 4,140.3 4,011. 4,095.00 4,031 4,028. 4,045.86 4,592.25 3,591.50 26,69,054 10,79,86,29,271.20 1,77,825
Jan- 5 55 .00 30
25
6- 4,105.50 4,149.6 4,066. 4,099.90 4,090 4,095. 4,107.14 4,592.25 3,591.50 20,85,593 8,56,58,22,653.70 1,58,660
Jan- 5 40 .00 00
25
3- 4,179.95 4,179.9 4,092. 4,175.75 4,097 4,099. 4,114.17 4,592.25 3,591.50 17,91,953 7,37,24,04,407.85 1,25,354
Jan- 5 30 .00 90
25
2- 4,120.00 4,183.0 4,096. 4,112.45 4,166 4,175. 4,159.77 4,592.25 3,591.50 17,20,835 7,15,82,73,705.25 1,24,549
Jan- 0 95 .00 75
25
1- 4,094.40 4,134.0 4,085. 4,094.80 4,112 4,112. 4,112.75 4,592.25 3,591.50 7,63,161 3,13,86,92,117.15 99,498
Jan- 0 45 .00 45
25
This is the candlestick chart for the data given for Open, High, Low, Close (OHLC) prices
along with volume for TCS stock in January 2025:
Using this data, a candlestick chart was plotted for TCS stock in January 2025. The chart
highlights key trends, including bullish and bearish movements.
1. Swing Trading
2. Breakout Trading
• Identifies key support and resistance levels where stock prices break out of a trend.
• Example: A stock forming a bullish flag pattern followed by a strong green candle
confirms a breakout.
• Traders follow the overall market trend using moving averages and candlestick
confirmation.
• Example: If a stock is in an uptrend and forms a Hammer at support, it signals a
buying opportunity.
4. Reversal Trading
• Focuses on identifying candlestick reversal patterns like Morning Star (bullish) and
Evening Star (bearish).
• Example: A Shooting Star at resistance signals a potential price drop.
• Traders use stop-loss orders to minimize risks in case the market moves against their
position.
• Example: A trader enters a buy trade at ₹4050 (support level) with a stop-loss below
₹4000 to limit potential losses.
• Using these strategies, traders can increase their chances of success and protect
their capital from market volatility.
12. Conclusion
Candlestick charts are a powerful tool in technical analysis, helping traders and investors
make informed decisions by identifying trend reversals and continuations. This project
analyzed TCS stock price movements for January 2025, highlighting key bullish and bearish
candlestick patterns and their impact on trading strategies.
Key Takeaways:
1. Candlestick patterns reflect market psychology and provide early signals for trend
changes.
2. Confirmation with other indicators like RSI, Moving Averages, MACD, and Volume
Analysis improves accuracy.
3. Risk management is crucial, with stop-loss and take-profit levels helping to minimize
losses.
4. Candlestick analysis is best suited for short-term trading, such as swing and day
trading.
5. For long-term investing, fundamental analysis should complement candlestick
patterns for better decision-making.
Final Thoughts
This study of TCS stock in January 2025 shows that candlestick chart analysis can
significantly enhance trading decisions when used correctly. However, no technical tool
guarantees 100% accuracy, and traders should combine multiple strategies, manage risks,
and stay updated with market trends for long-term success.
By mastering candlestick patterns, traders gain an edge in predicting price movements and
making informed investment decisions.
13. References
1. Nison, S. (1991). Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques.
2. Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets.
3. NSE India – TCS Stock Price and Market Trends