Chapter 1. (1)
Chapter 1. (1)
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Introduction
• Definition:
• Economics = Greek word (oikon +Nomos) meaning ‘law of
household’ though it is covering all the managerial decision as
every organization is a primitive household.
• “economics is the science which studies human behavior as a
relationship between ends and scarce means which has
alternative uses.”- lionell Robbins
• “Engineering economics is the application of economic
techniques to the evaluation of design & engineering
alternatives. The role of engineering economics is to assess the
appropriateness of a given project , estimate its value, and
justify it from engineering standpoint.” –Dr. john M. Watts
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1.1 Origin of Engineering Economy
• During the later part of the 19th century, Arthur M.
Wellington (Civil Engineer) addressed the role of
economic analysis in engineering projects,
particularly in railroad building projects. He wrote
The Economic Theory of Railway Location, in 1887
• In 1930 Eugene Grant published A text book
Principles of Engineering Economy.
• Woods and Degarmo (1942) published introduction
to engineering economy which later entitled as
engineering economy by william G sullivan .
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Why engineering economics?
• Only people make decisions; computers, mathematical and other tools do
not. Techniques and models of engineering economy assist people in
decision making
• Observed value in future may differ from estimate made now therefore
numbers used in engineering economic analysis are best estimate of what is
expected to occur
• Commonly, sensitivity analysis is performed during engineering economic
study to determine how the decision might change based on varying
estimates especially those that may vary widely
• E.g. an engineer who expects initial software development cost to vary as
much as ± 20% from estimated $250,000 should perform the economic
analysis for first-cost estimates of $200,000, $250,000, and 300,000.
• Engineering economics can be used equally to analyze the outcomes of the
past. Observed data are evaluated to determine if outcomes have met or not
met a specific criterion such as rate of return requirement.
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Why engineering economics?
• E.g. suppose that 5 yrs ago, a US based
engineering design company initiated a detailed-
design service in Asia for automobile chassis.
Now a company president wants to know, if
actual return on investment has exceeded 15% per
year?
• Procedure used to address the development and
selection of alternatives commonly referred to as
problem solving approach or the decision making
process follows the steps as:
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Steps in an engineering economy study
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1.2 The Principles of Engineering
Economy
PRINCIPLE 1 Develop the Alternatives
• Carefully define the problem! Then the choice
(decision) is among alternatives. The alternatives
need to be identified and then defined for
subsequent analysis.
PRINCIPLE 2 Focus on the Differences
• Only the differences in expected future outcomes
among the alternatives are relevant to their
comparison and should be considered in the
decision.
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1.2 The Principles of Engineering
Economy
PRINCIPLE 3 Use a Consistent Viewpoint
• The prospective outcomes of the alternatives,
economic and other, should be consistently
developed from a defined viewpoint
(perspective).
PRINCIPLE 4 Use a Common Unit of Measure
• Using a common unit of measurement to
enumerate as many of the prospective outcomes
as possible will simplify the analysis of the
alternatives.
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1.2 The Principles of Engineering
Economy
PRINCIPLE 5 Consider All Relevant Criteria
• Selection of a preferred alternative (decision making)
requires the use of a criterion (or several criteria). The
decision process should consider both the outcomes
enumerated in the monetary unit and those expressed
in some other unit of measurement or made explicit in
a descriptive manner.
PRINCIPLE 6 Make Risk and Uncertainty Explicit
• Risk and uncertainty are inherent in estimating the
future outcomes of the alternatives and should be
recognized in their analysis and comparison.
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1.2 The Principles of Engineering
Economy
PRINCIPLE 7 Revisit Your Decisions
• Improved decision making results from an
adaptive process; to the extent practicable,
the initial projected outcomes of the selected
alternative should be subsequently compared
with actual results achieved.
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Strategic economic decisions
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1.3 Role of engineers in decision
making
• Inaccurate estimate of the for an asset can have
serious consequences
• If you invest to much in assets, you incur
heavy expenses.
• Too little investment in asset , equipment
may be to obsolete to produce products
competitively & without an adequate
capacity, may lose market share.
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1.4 Cash Flow Diagram
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1.4 Cash Flow Diagram
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1.4 Cash Flow Diagram
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Cash Flow Diagram (assignment)
• An electrical engineer wants to deposit an
amount P now such that she can withdraw an
equal annual amount of A1 $2000 per year for
the first 5 years, starting 1 year after the
deposit, and a different annual withdrawal of
A2 $3000 per year for the following 3 years.
How would the cash flow diagram appear if i=
8.5% per year?
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Thank You
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