towards-a-realistic-view-of-consumer-behaviour
towards-a-realistic-view-of-consumer-behaviour
doi:10.1017/S1744137424000353
RESEARCH ARTICLE
Abstract
Marginal utility (MU) theories of consumer demand assume that consumers try to maximise a generic
benefit (‘utility’) by selecting purchases giving equal MU per unit of cost, from which are predicted the
observed relationships between price changes and quantities of demanded consumer goods. Attempts to
remedy the explanatory shortcomings of MU theory usually supplement it with additional assumptions.
This paper proposes taking that approach to its logical conclusion by using consumer and psychological
research findings not to supplement but to replace the concept of utility entirely with realistic explanations
of consumer behaviour.
© The Author(s), 2025. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Millennium Economics Ltd. This is an Open Access article,
distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits
unrestricted re-use, distribution and reproduction, provided the original article is properly cited.
stochastic (Hare et al., 2009), and how rats and pigeons respond to reinforcement and stimuli (Battalio
et al., 1987). This leads to a three-stage explanation of consumer demand. First, psychophysical
mechanisms are described. Next, this description is translated into MU concepts. We read of ‘Nature’
assigning utilities to consumption bundles (Robson, 2002), the activity of consuming as ‘shadow price’
(Stigler and Becker, 1977), ‘internal evaluation’ as a ‘cardinal utility function’, or sensory rewards and
evolutionarily adaptive behaviour as the von Neumann–Morgenstern hedonic utility function (Robson,
2002). The term ‘utility signal at consumption’ (Fehr and Rangel, 2011: 15) assimilates neuronal signals
to utility and so on. Third, the resulting utility functions are mathematically modelled to predict
consumer behaviour.
Other elaborations redefine what consumers maximise. Specifically, the particular characteristics
(e.g. colour) of goods are what provide utility (Lancaster, 1966). Utility may include transaction utility
from getting unexpectedly cheap or high-quality goods (Thaler, 1999), changes in wealth (Kahneman
and Tversky, 1979), the pleasurable anticipation of risk (Allais, 1953), and (negatively) information-
search costs. Consumers attach more utility to keeping a good than to gaining it originally: the
‘endowment effect’ (Allais, 1953; Kahneman and Tversky, 1979). In theory, consumers might reach a
‘bliss point’ where their wants are satiated (Gowdy and Mayumi, 2001), but short of that, and usually,
they behave as utility maximisers.
Further elaborations relax the second core assumption about how much knowledge and precision
consumer decisions involve. Rather than consider every conceivable bundle of goods, consumers
approximately maximise utility by choosing among similar goods relevant to their immediate
purchasing aims (Lancaster, 1966). They weight decisions by subjective rather than objective
probabilities (Kahneman and Tversky, 1979), apply practical, ‘pseudo-maximising’ rules-of-thumb by,
say, comparing available goods and prices with the usually expected ones, and use ‘mental accounting’
(Thaler, 1999). Consumers sometimes make inconsistent or misinformed choices (Bernheim and
Rangel, 2009), but not to the extent of invalidating MU theory as a generalisation (Buchanan, 1969).
Yet further revisions facilitate the mathematical modelling. Revealed preference theory requires only
that utilities be ranked, not cardinally measurable (Houthakker, 1950). Utilities can be weighed for risk
and futurity (Friedman and Savage, 1948).
These elaborated ex ante forms of MU theory better predict observed consumer behaviour, for
example, why consumers sometimes maintain their demand when prices rise, or respond
asymmetrically to price reductions and increases. The grouping of goods explains advertising,
bandwagon and snob effects, and how universally desired goods contrast with more instrumental
consumer goods (Becker, 1962; Erdem et al., 2008). Many such predictions concern consumer
‘irrationality’ in acting, under certain conditions, in ways that do not maximise their utility. Without
endorsing them, McChesney (2013) listed 20 such analyses and more have appeared since.
Deeper revisions deny that MU theory describes anything psychological at all (Buchanan, 1969;
Friedman and Savage, 1948; McChesney, 2013). Becker (1962) showed that if consumers chose
mixtures of goods randomly, and their selections were uniformly distributed across individuals’
consumption possibilities, the mean (and mode) quantities of goods demanded would still change
inversely with price. In these views, utility maximisation is not an ex ante motivation, the psychological
consequence of a pre-defined utility function, but the ex post effect of consumer purchases upon
satisfaction, well-being, or experienced utility ‘irrespective of the processes generating behaviour’
(Bernheim and Rangel, 2009: 53). Rather, market structures and their Darwinian dynamics are what
maximise utility (Becker, 1962; McChesney, 2013). On this view, MU theory does
‘not assert that individuals explicitly or consciously calculate and compare expected utilities. [ : : :
Rather,] in making a particular class of decisions, individuals behave as if they calculated and
compared expected utility and as if they knew the odds’. (Friedman and Savage, 1948: 298)
Consequently, the first two defining assertions of MU theory are assumptions or axioms, not
observable. The third is an observable behavioural prediction (Samuelson, 1938; McChesney, 2013).
One might object that consumers’ errors mean that their purchasing decisions do not necessarily reflect
rationality or ‘true’ preferences (Fehr and Rangel, 2011). However, one can also observe what mistakes
consumers make, correct accordingly the preferences that might otherwise have been inferred from
their behaviour, and so infer their true underlying preferences (Kőszegi and Rabin, 2007).
Finally, MU theory has been reformulated as purely a logic of choice:
‘the simple requirement that returns to like units of outlay or input must be equalized at the
margins in order to secure a maximum of output’. (Buchanan, 1969: 48)
Without evidence that people do in fact behave ‘economically’, this claim is empirically empty. Further
assumptions must be added to yield empirically testable predictions about consumers (Buchanan,
1969). It also illustrates how MU theory uses terms, such as ‘efficient’, ‘preferable’, ‘rational’, and here
‘must’, ambiguously between a factual sense (equalising marginal input-to-cost ratios does maximise
output) and normatively (economic agents ought to do so). These ambiguities build normative
assumptions into MU theory (Robinson, 1962; Gowdy and Mayumi, 2001).
range of ‘as if’ explanations. Ariely et al. (2003) suggest five. Then, selecting which explanation is valid
requires evidence about what causal mechanisms were operating. Evidence of consumers’ motivation is
often available from their actual purchases (even if misjudged or if they would have preferred to be in
different circumstances) and, with methodological precautions, by questioning. Many neuro-
marketing studies describe neural responses to marketing mix or to marketing stimuli (cf. Hubert and
Kenning, 2008), rather than the neurological character of motivation. Nevertheless, the neural
mechanisms that perform choices, decisions, and hedonic responses are becoming observable, although
research is only beginning.
Whether by market-level analyses of consumer spending (e.g. Erdem et al., 2008), directly eliciting
consumers’ intentions (e.g. Ramirez and Goldsmith, 2009), or experimentally, empirical studies on
balance confirm the first law of demand and negative substitution effects, although these effects are not
necessarily the largest determinants of consumer behaviour (Houthakker and Taylor, 1974). However,
ex ante versions of MU theory give erroneous causal explanations of what links consumer motivation,
decision-making, and behaviour. The ex post versions give none. If, as Becker (1962) says, we can
dispense with some of the empirically dubious assumptions of MU theory and still derive (or explain)
downward-sloping consumer demand curves and other consumer behaviour, is it then possible to
replace all of them? A few economists have agreed, but with exceptions (e.g. Earl, 2023; Earl et al.,
2022), still fewer have contributed to such an explanation.
By studying the facts of consumer behaviour, what choices consumers face, and how they choose
and then behave when prices change, this paper aims to help fill that gap.
Methods
MU theory is deduced from a priori ‘foundations’ concerning consumer motivation, decision-making,
and behaviour. Since economic theory and consumer research have similar applications (Ratchford,
1975), a realistic replacement for MU theory also starts from consumer motivation, decision-making,
and behaviour (Muñoz, 2024) but instead explains them as consumer research does, by assembling
findings and hypotheses derived from observations and experiments (Katona, 1974). Consumer
research typically examines how firms’ marketing influences consumers’ purchasing and so examines
what factors form individual consumer behaviour. The method and contribution of the present paper
are therefore to complement such findings with institutional findings, so as to synthesise an alternative,
realistic micro-foundation for an economic explanation of how consumer demand is formed at the
whole-market level.
To give a first approximation of a systematic, realistic explanatory overview of consumer behaviour
requires an integrative review of already published findings. The Engel–Kollat–Blackwell (EKB) model
(Engel et al., 1990) offers a widely used framework. It depicts consumer behaviour as a sequence of need
recognition (motivation), information search, evaluation, decision rules (criteria), the purchase
decision including how consumers implement it, and consumers’ subsequent evaluation of their
purchase. To extend such a framework from individual to whole-market level, one must additionally
explain the institutional conditions and relationships leading from consumers’ motivational and
cognitive mechanisms at a neurological level (common to all economic structures) to market entry and
consumer behaviour in markets specifically (rather than in other institutions). One must explain the
market-level outcomes when many individual consumer decisions interact and how consumers’ market
experiences reciprocally affect demand formation. So the extended, integrated framework depicts the
formation of consumer demand in markets in this order:
Including feedback loops gives a dynamic rather than a static explanation of how consumer
demand forms.
A systematic review was used to populate and elaborate a first approximation of this framework.
Formal review methods made the findings as reproducible and non-subjective as possible. The stages
were planning: search, study selection; study quality assessment, data extraction, and data synthesis
(Tranfield et al., 2003). Planning consisted of creating the above framework, definition, and critique of
MU theory, which provided keywords for searches.
Reviews for grounding a well-defined theory or hypothesis, where none yet exists should ‘cast a wide
net’ (Simonson and Sela, 2011). Business Source Complete, Primo, ProQuest, Science Direct, Scopus,
SocIndex, and Web of Science databases were systematically searched for empirical, peer-reviewed
studies published in English since Becker (1962) about consumer responses to price changes in
developed capitalist economies. A Boolean search of titles, abstracts, and summaries used the keywords
(‘consum* behav*’ AND ‘pric*’ AND ‘retail*’ AND ‘data’). The search was extended to non-price
factors by snowballing references from the full-text papers reviewed after the initial search and by
hand-searching two leading consumer research journals (Journal of Consumer Behaviour, Journal of
Consumer Research) from their start until October 2024. Abstracts, summaries, and full texts were
retrieved from open-access websites and university libraries.
Titles and abstracts were then reviewed to exclude data-free models, discussions, and opinion pieces;
definitional and methodological debates; bibliometry; findings not derived from developed
(operationalised as Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)) economies;
and non-standard applications of consumer economics, for example, to labour markets. The inclusion
criteria were empirical findings about any of the points listed in the integrated framework above,
relationships between them, and any moderating or mediating contexts, hence what ceteris paribus
assumptions apply.
Full texts of 715 papers that apparently satisfied these criteria were then obtained. Having removed
those that on closer inspection did not qualify for inclusion, findings were extracted from the
remainder to populate the integrated framework, working backwards from the present until the
collated findings were sufficient to indicate common patterns, a method analogous to saturation in
qualitative analysis. Where available, higher-quality studies were favoured, in descending order (Evans,
2003): umbrella and systematic reviews, but they were rare, historical or narrative reviews, controlled
interventional studies, observational mixed-method analyses of consumers’ motives and decisions, and
single-method observational studies. In situ were preferred over laboratory studies, later to earlier
studies, and studies of multiple commodities or sites to those of just one. To synthesise the findings,
they were collated under the integrated framework headings, giving special attention to causal
relationships within and between components of the framework. Common patterns were noted or, for
conflicting findings, where the balance of evidence lay. Whilst being populated, the framework was
iteratively adjusted, made more consistent, qualified, reformulated, and supplemented as the evidence
suggested, to produce the basic theory outlined below. This populated framework used 199 papers,
reduced for publication to the 67 cited in the findings section. Appendix 1 is the PRISMA chart.
This method takes to its logical conclusion the approach only incompletely pursued by Becker’s and
most other attempts to ‘bring back in’. Most brought auxiliary assumptions back in only to supplement
MU theory whilst preserving its core assumptions. Instead, this paper brings explanatory empirical
material back in not to augment MU theory but replace it.
Findings
Figure 1 gives an overview of the synthesised basic theory, including the two main feedback loops, for
clarity omitting less important ones. The term ‘goods’ includes services.
Motivation
A precondition for a consumer’s purchase is that she wants the good at all. The evolutionary and
genetic origin, and neural embodiment, of human motivation is well-established. Hunger, shelter-
seeking, child-rearing, and other instinctual proclivities arise from yet anterior biological processes (e.g.
for food, nutrients, gut-driven satiety signals, adiposity-related hormones, and other mechanisms).
They stimulate evolutionarily formed behaviours: self-preservation, altruism towards kin, and so on.
There appear to be heritable influences on individual pre-dispositions towards some, but not all,
decision-making processes (Simonson and Sela, 2011; Wichary and Smolen, 2016).
Consumers’ psychological reward systems then develop and supplement these foundational
instinctual motives (Hubert and Kenning, 2008) into a complex, hierarchical motivational structure.
Among others, some early neo-classical economists (Gossen, Menger, Marshall, Engel [Chai and
Moneta, 2010]) proposed that non-instinctual desires arise from instinctual ones, whether as means to
obtain instinctually wanted things, by association, or interactively with the development of affect
(emotion, mood, attitude) (Holbrook and Hirschman, 1982), in an experiential, path-dependent
(Hansen, 2005), and therefore individualised sequence. The resulting structure of motivations is partly
instinctual, partly learned, and mutable (Mort and Rose, 2004; Van Osselaer and Janiszewski, 2012).
Taxonomies of the motives within it differ, but many studies report the desires for experiences besides
tangible things, for sustaining the consumer’s self-esteem, self-concept, cultural identity (Weingarten
and Goodman, 2021), and social status (many studies since Veblen, 2005). Much consumption is
symbolically motivated (Douglas et al., 2021). Consumers’ motivations correspondingly range from
preconscious to deliberative (Chartrand et al., 2008). Because the more immediately instinctual motives
tend to be stronger (Lindenberg, 1996), consumers tend to buy satisfiers for them first, then for the
most proximate unsatisfied wants, and so on (Ironmonger, 1972).
To arouse consumer demand, these often latent motives have to be activated. Activation can be
excitatory or inhibitory, chronic or temporary (Van Osselaer and Janiszewski, 2012). Homeostatic
regulation activates the instinctual motives (e.g. eating). A person’s consumption goals, affective states
(e.g. boredom [Maccarrone-Eaglen and Schofield, 2017; Yoon and Meyvis, 2024]), and attempts to
regulate mood or the emotions (Kemp and Kopp, 2011) may also activate motivation (Wichary and
Smolen, 2016). So do external cues (Hansen, 2005; Chartrand et al., 2008), including sensory cues such
as goods associated with previous purchases (Pfeiffer et al., 2022), social norms and pressures, and the
opportunity to obtain a desired good (Yoon and Meyvis, 2024) or substitute. A perception of
differences between one’s actual and desired self-image (Kim and Rucker, 2012), or of a loss of control,
can cue compensatory consumption.
Information
As explained above, learning, including information acquisition, extends, modifies, and individualises
consumers’ motivation structures. In selecting goods, consumers predict the physical, experiential,
symbolic, identity, and status effects of consuming them.
Consumers predict these effects partly from memory (previous learning) (Yoon and Meyvis, 2024).
Because situational cues may have activating effects, consumers frequently judge goods by appearance,
texture, smell, or colour, especially for routine, relatively unimportant purchases, making shopping and
trial consumption common methods of information search (Holbrook and Hirschman, 1982). Even
deliberative consumers often use ‘naïve theories’ about goods’ quality, social-symbolic, or other
characteristics (Deval et al., 2013). For instance, they take price, brand, or appearance as indicators of
quality (Völckner and Hofmann, 2007). For many routine purchases, memory, cues, and naïve theories
give consumers enough information not to search further. The size of the choice sets they face
influences how thorough a search strategy consumers use and their propensity to seek the best possible
or just a satisfactory choice (Levav et al., 2012). A minority of consumers seek information from
consumer organisations. Many consult social media. This gives shopping a collective character
although, at times, it is based on misinformation and fear, for example, panic buying, herding, and
bandwagon effects during the COVID-19 pandemic (Naeem and Ozuem, 2021). Consumers also
acquire ‘incidental information’ without searching, above all unsolicited marketing persuasion (Janssen
and Fennis, 2017). Extensive research reports how different marketing methods influence consumers’
beliefs, attitudes, motivations, and buying behaviour. (Kotler and Armstrong, 2010, is a widely used
overview.) Producers, retailers, and advertisers sometimes even bamboozle consumers with, say, bait-
and-switch and ‘halo-effect’ selling (Talukdar et al., 2010).
Learning more general institutional beliefs and norms also exercises ‘reconstitutive downwards
causation’ upon individuals’ habits (Earl, 2023) and motivation structures, socialising besides
individualising them. Motives based on self-identity, self-presentation, status, social identity, and
justifying one’s purchasing decisions (cf. Ajzen and Fishbein, 2000) necessarily incorporate knowledge
of social conventions, symbols, and norms. Consumers also engage in contagious imitation
(Ironmonger, 1972), fads, and fashions (Veblen, 2005; Wakefield and Inman, 2003). Sociologies of
consumption (e.g. Douglas et al., 2021; Ritzer, 2009) explain this socialisation in terms of different
cultures, micro-cultures, and sub-cultures of consumption, consumer habitus, or practice theory (Arsel
and Bean, 2013; Shove and Warde, 2002). Their ‘lived culture and social resources’, and marketing
representations, frame consumers’ horizons of feeling, thought, action, sense-making, sensibilities,
norms, consumption communities, identities, rituals, and decision rules in acquiring and using
consumer goods (Arnould and Thompson, 2005). ‘Marketplace institutions such as magazines,
websites, and transmedia brands’ perpetuate the resulting ‘taste regime’ (Arsel and Bean, 2013: 889).
These cultural differences influence the extent of consumer cosmopolitanism (Han and Won, 2018),
how consumers perform mental accounting (Banerjee et al., 2019), and how such ideologies as religion
and political conservativism (Lisjak and Ordabayeva, 2023), and marketing (Kotler and Armstrong,
2010), shape consumers’ desires. Through default choices, social influence, warnings, reminders, and
simplifications, policy-makers and marketers also try to ‘nudge’ consumers’ decisions.
Evaluative decision
As modified by learning, consumers’ consumption motives are also their criteria for evaluating the
goods they know about. A good’s attributes and price both influence what quantity a consumer
demands, but the attributes are causally prior. Unless she evaluates a good as desirable to begin with, its
price hardly matters to her. Often, her choice is simultaneously both under-determined (when several
products would all suffice) and over-determined (when a good would satisfy several motives at once).
Consumer decision processes range from preconscious to highly deliberative. Many, even most, are
low cognition (Chartrand et al., 2008; Hubert and Kenning, 2008), including choices made from
memory or which are:
Heuristics are more deliberative. Gigerenzer and Brighton (2009) describe eight ‘fast and frugal’
heuristics applicable to consumer choice, other studies at least 19 more. Reported heuristics include:
Consumers sometimes learn, combine, or devise decision rules ‘on the fly’ whilst making their
decisions. By repetition, habitual rules-of-thumb form (Levav et al., 2012). Consumers apply different
heuristics, or combinations of them, to different decision situations (Hodgson, 1997). Payne et al.
(1993) give an overview of how individuals trade off accuracy (e.g. not neglecting important
information) against cognitive effort (e.g. difficulty) in information processing.
Often, consumers try to avoid trade-offs between goods (Gu et al., 2013), for example, by using non-
compensatory decision rules (high levels of another characteristic do not compensate for lacking a
necessary characteristic) or using more general goals (e.g. environmentalism) to arbitrate between
lower-order goals (Levav et al., 2012). Consumers often under-weigh or ignore opportunity costs
(Frederick et al., 2009), although less so when facing tight financial constraints (Dias et al., 2022) or
difficult choices (e.g. between undesirable alternatives or conflicting motives) (Gu et al., 2013). In
practice, consumers seldom consider the opportunity cost of every good they might conceivably forgo
but only a comparison set of perhaps 15, often below 5, similar goods (Huang et al., 2009). When they
do consider opportunity costs, a hierarchical motivation structure will tend to favour essential over
discretionary purchases (Weingarten and Goodman, 2021). Engel’s ‘law’ states that households with
lower incomes spend a greater proportion of income on goods, which directly satisfy their physical
needs, as subsequent studies on balance confirm.
Ability to pay
Markets are just one institution through which consumers obtain goods. Institutional preconditions for
consumer demand in a market are that potential consumers:
(1) Confront property rights. Others own the desired goods but they do not;
(2) Can readily obtain these goods only by purchase, not by (say) making them, using up stores,
borrowing, sharing, barter, gift, or theft. Research on business models, intellectual property, and
certain aspects of marketing describes how firms create that precondition;
(3) Own enough money (income, wealth, savings, credit) to buy the desired good.
At the extreme, a consumer’s exclusion price is the one at which she would have to spend all her
money on the focal good except for prior non-discretionary items (e.g. goods such as food whose
consumption is hard to reduce below a physical minimum). Many spend all their income on
consumption (Martin and Paul Hill, 2012). Even for essentials, low income may drive consumers
towards ‘extreme value shopping’ (Carpenter, 2009). The opportunity cost of a purchase, and of an
increase in its price, is proportionately greater, the less money they own, and the greater their price
sensitivity (Houthakker and Taylor, 1974). Their usually unequal ownership of money (‘budget
constraint’, ‘opportunity set‘) excludes some consumers from a market before others when prices rise,
not through ‘willingness’ but the ability to pay. Being unable to afford a good does not necessarily stop a
consumer from wanting it and in that sense being willing to buy, but it does prevent her from revealing
that willingness in the market.
This exclusionary amount is the highest point where the individual’s demand curve can meet the
vertical axis (Figure 2).
Consumers as product-takers
For mass-produced goods distributed through large retailers, that is, most consumer goods in industrial
economies, consumers are usually price-takers (Erdem et al., 2008) and product-takers. The supplier
‘takes the initiative in making all the marketing and production decisions and so reduces the
price-takers facing him to playing the purely passive role of quantity adjusters who are free merely
to accept or reject the offers they face’. (Scitovsky, 1985: 520)
Consumer research studies and marketing textbooks (e.g. Kotler and Armstrong, 2010) advise firms to
base their marketing mix on consumer or market research findings, but typically this is something that
the firm decides without much bargaining with individual consumers. Whilst retailers often do adjust
their prices, this too is generally without negotiating with consumers, except for some large, non-
routine purchases (e.g. cars).
Willingness to pay
Below, usually far below, her exclusion price, a non-excluded consumer typically has a reservation price
which only then reflects how intensely she wants the good and how much disposable income she is
willing to pay for it (Erdem et al., 2008) – that is, whether to accept the price that suppliers set.
Consumers are often reluctant to exceed an anchoring or reference price (Ariely et al., 2003;
Mazumdar et al., 2005), set by their memory or observing what others pay. For fast-moving consumer
goods and services, they usually base it on their previous two or three purchases. For durable goods, the
suppliers’ ‘default option’ price is the more likely reference point. Consumers may remember reference
prices as exact or as approximate numbers, or qualitatively as price ranks, and more often for a brand or
particular item than a category of goods (Mazumdar et al., 2005). They tend to buy less only when a
price rises above an acceptable range, which varies by product type and brand loyalty (Wakefield and
Inman, 2003). A consumer is more likely to buy more of a good whose price falls when her:
Consumers are more price-sensitive when paying by cash (Skwara, 2023), if they feel their budget is
tight (Frederick et al., 2009), if the price seems unfair (far above the cost of production) (Spiller and
Belogolova, 2017), and when purchasing hedonic than utilitarian goods (Skwara, 2023). They tend to
buy more when the price reduction is large, when it falls further below that of substitute goods, or when
it looks unusually low (an apparent bargain) or likely to rise (Jacobson and Obermiller, 1990). They are
more responsive to price reductions that seem to offer economies of scale and, for unclear reasons
possibly related to anchoring, to ‘odd’ prices (e. g. €99.99 not €100). Exceptionally, these responses
reverse direction (e.g. for Giffen goods, status goods).
axis at her exclusion price, or her reservation price when lower, and the horizontal axis at her satiation
quantity of consumption (see below). Because individual consumers’ behaviour and available money
vary, their individual demand curves differ in position. They may cross, be stepped in either direction,
multi-segmented, or kinked (e.g. when social norms stipulate what goods to buy for, say, social events
such as weddings). Horizontally adding individual curves gives a whole-market demand curve
(Figure 2).
The aggregate curve slopes downwards because individual demand curves do, and consumers are
excluded cumulatively as price rises. The non-excluded consumers differ in motivation, learning,
evaluation processes, and money owned. As prices rise, those with successively higher reservation
prices become unwilling to buy and then stop buying, whilst others continue. All that is necessary for
the first law of demand to operate is that for some consumers, price changes trigger at least one of the
above mechanisms. Assuming that consumers who stop buying because of one price increase seldom
resume following another, each mechanism, and a fortiori, the combination, has cumulative effects
over successive price rises. The exclusionary institutional mechanisms are causally prior twice over.
When they apply, they pre-empt the excluded consumers’ preferences or ‘willingness’ altogether, and
consumers’ preferences don’t affect whether, when, and how they work. Together, these motivational
and institutional factors imply a down-sloping, possibly stepped, gapped, or non-smooth
demand curve.
To understand price elasticity then requires explaining how individual differences in ability and
willingness to pay are distributed and why. If a consumer’s spending on other goods remains
unchanged whilst a price change makes her buy less of the focal good, that decrease is the income effect
upon her. If the money she has remains unchanged, she can buy less of other goods, or save less, as the
price of the focal good rises. The proportion of her spending on the focal good that she moves to other
goods is the substitution effect. The income effect becomes defined either in real terms or the money
equivalent at post-change prices and the substitution effect as a proportion of spending. Neither
definition involves indifference curves or utility, unlike Hicks’, Marshall’s, or Slutsky’s definitions.
Non-price changes also affect the quantity demanded. They include products (e.g. mobile phones
[Yoo et al., 2021]) acquiring additional uses. Goods change in what they symbolise. Their want-
satisfying characteristics change (e.g. the sensory properties of food). So does how goods are packaged,
promoted, and sold. Marketing studies describe how firms use these changes to stimulate demand and
for non-price competition. Consumers’ characteristics also change, including life-cycle stage,
household size and composition, education, other demographic factors, and their opinions.
Purchasing activity itself sometimes changes consumers’ preferences, right up to the instant of
purchase, as point-of-sale marketing exploits (Degeratu et al., 2000). The above explanations need not
assume that consumers’ wants, tastes, or preferences are stable or consistent whilst their demand for a
good is forming.
Consumption
Purchase enables consumption, whose usual effects on consumer demand are satiation and learning.
Consumers satiate their desires not just by buying goods but by combining them with their own
time, effort, and other resources to produce a concrete benefit (e.g. a meal). To an extent depending on
the nature of the good, consumption is a household production activity involving effort, cognitive, and
embodied knowledge: a ‘consumption technology’ (Lancaster, 1966). Motivation to buy also depends
on the consumer believing herself able to consume the good, most obviously with goods (e.g.
motorcycles) that require skill or strength to use. In any event, consumption takes time (Stigler and
Becker, 1977), which imposes an upper limit even on the hedonic consumption of free goods. Since
consumers’ time is finite, so is their capacity to use goods, hence the amount they can actively consume.
(Ownership, unlike consumption, has no such limit.) At this amount, the individual’s demand curve
meets the horizontal axis (Figure 2).
Satiation deactivates the original consumption motive (Chartrand et al., 2008; Pfeiffer et al., 2022;
Van Osselaer and Janiszewski, 2012), especially for familiar ‘established’ goods (Ironmonger, 1972) and
for the most salient characteristics of the consumed good. Certain goods (e.g. haircuts) have a physical
limit on how much a person can consume. The satiation of most instinctual needs, some hedonic
experiences (e.g. listening to music [Ariely et al., 2003]), and some other goals (e.g. consistency of
choice [Silverman and Barasch, 2023]) are temporary but repeatable. Satiation is also observed when
prices are triflingly low, when the consumer pays a flat rate irrespective of how much she consumes, for
distress goods of which she consumes the minimum (and would prefer, none), and derived demand,
when she only buys in order to achieve some further purpose. For derived demand and distress goods,
these patterns appear when non-market institutions allocate the goods free of charge. (Patients do not
seek repeat surgery just because it is free.) At the market level, income elasticities that are low and
decline as income rises suggest satiation in ‘basic need’ goods (food, housing, energy) (Baxter and
Moosa, 1996). As individual consumers cumulatively become satiated, so does market demand, even if
slowly. Over 15 years can elapse between the first and the last consumers buying a new high-technology
consumer good for the first time (Ironmonger, 1972).
Experience reinforces (Levav et al., 2012) or alters consumer’s expectations about consuming a
particular good (Holbrook and Hirschman, 1982). Repeated consumption of a good reduces predicted
enjoyment, hence the consumer’s likelihood of purchasing it again (Pasdiora et al., 2020). By learning
these predictive associations (Van Osselaer and Janiszewski, 2012), consumers acquire consumption
and purchasing habits and skills and inertia in product choices.
Satiation and learning feed back into consumers’ memory and motivation to consume. Because of
these feedback loops, the often temporary nature of satiation, and because the other factors mentioned
above are continually changing, the formation of consumer demand is dynamic. Any equilibrium in a
consumer’s demand and consumption is likely to be transient.
Implications
In summary, consumers:
(1) Are motivated to obtain consumer goods in order to satiate their desires, of which the
instinctual drives have evolutionary origins.
(a) Learning and experiential rewards add further motives.
(b) That produces a hierarchical motivation structure, ramifying from instinctual and the
concomitant practical motives to hedonic, symbolic, identity, or status-related motives, all at
varying levels of consciousness.
(c) Internal body systems and external cues activate these motives, triggering attempts to
consume.
(2) Learn by combining sensory and cognitive contents and cues from:
(a) Memory, products themselves, and information searches.
(b) Institutions: suppliers’ unsolicited persuasion; socialised beliefs, attitudes, and taste regimes.
(3) Evaluate potential purchases by applying different combinations of:
(a) Practical, hedonic, symbolic, identity, and status-related criteria.
(b) Intuitive, heuristic, and deliberative decision processes.
(4) Who use markets to obtain goods face:
(a) Largely supplier-set product characteristics, options, and prices.
(b) An exclusion price (ability to pay), above which they cannot enter the market at all.
(c) A reservation price (willingness to pay), reflecting individual reference price, money available,
opportunity costs, motivation, learning, and decision processes.
(5) Enter and leave markets at different price levels, depending on individual variations in exclusion
and reference prices.
(a) Increasing a price makes consumers cumulatively leave the market.
(b) For most consumer goods these mechanisms are described by a usually down-sloping, perhaps
stepped and/or gapped, demand curve (first law of demand).
(6) Who purchase and consume a good then usually experience
(a) Satiation, which temporarily deactivates the relevant motivation.
(b) Learning, which reinforces or alters their motivation structure and memory.
Synthesising this integrated explanatory structure, enabling consumer research to contribute more
fully and directly to economic theory, and proposing to replace MU theory entirely with this synthesis
or future developments of it are the main contributions of this paper. Like Ironmonger’s, this work
illustrates how institutionalist assumptions and methods can yield a formal economic model. ‘Realism
in assumptions forces us to analyse the world that exists, not some imaginary world that does not’
(Coase, 1988: 7). The foregoing explanation starts from a process-based description of choice
(cf. Loasby, 1967; Muñoz, 2024), not a priori assumptions as conventional economic analysis often
does. Such explanations are more complex than MU theory, but that, Katona (1974) argues, is a price
worth paying for a realistic, evidential explanation. Because firms do not all respond similarly when
market conditions change, a theory that explains the differences is preferable to one that cannot
(Loasby, 1967), and analogously for consumer demand. A summary of where the foregoing realistic
explanations converge with and diverge from the ex ante versions of MU theory (Appendix 2) might be
useful to economics instructors and students.
Discussion
The concept of utility is neither necessary nor, usually, accurate for conceptualising rationality, goal-
directedness, prudential behaviour, self-interest, choice, ranking or preferring goods or experiences,
pursuing or experiencing pleasures, pain avoidance, well-being, gain, or pay-offs. The foregoing does
not deny that consumers compare and choose goods but suggests that they compare goods for their
uses, qualities, and symbolism, not marginal utilities. Neither does it deny that prices alone sometimes
guide consumers’ buying decisions. As a counter-explanation of the same observations, the theory
proposed above has some predictive overlaps with MU theory, for example, that demand for most
consumer goods is price-elastic and income-elastic and less elastic for necessities than luxuries. It
concerns demand formation when other prices and the consumer’s available money are fixed,
something closer to the concept of uncompensated (Marshallian) than compensated (Hicksian)
demand, but in relinquishing the concept of utility, different to both. People who consume all their
income without saving anything have also been called ‘rule of thumb’ consumers, a different usage to
above. Because behavioural and neuro-economics lack explanatory components specific to markets
(McChesney, 2013), it is necessary to complement (not replace) them with institutional components in
order to explain consumer demand patterns, the first law of demand, price elasticity, and aspects of
consumer psychology itself.
As limitations, the foregoing sets aside such supply-side questions as how firms estimate consumer
demand, design products or set prices, and institutionalist theories of organisation. It does not
necessarily extend to commodities other than consumer goods. Up-sloping demand curves describing
such well-known special cases as Giffen goods and prestige goods require additional explanation. It
assumes that how much money the consumer has, the above mechanisms, and other prices remain
constant whilst a price changes, making it, to that extent, a ceteris paribus theory. Tuck (1976)
suggested that integrative, inductive models of consumer demand ‘save the phenomena’ but cannot be
operationalised or tested. However, the model above derives not only from observations but from
already- tested hypotheses. The studies cited above, and many others, have already operationalised its
components, whether at a general level (e.g. econometric studies of income elasticity, few of which
depend on MU theory [Buchanan, 1969]) or single-component level (e.g. about reasoned behaviour
[Ajzen and Fishbein, 2000]). The relationships included in the above model can, therefore, be tested
against, and used to analyse, new data at component, multi-component, or general level, and revised as
necessary.
Since this initial synthesis derived from studies in particular databases and journals, it may miss
some causal findings and nuances in the explanation of consumer behaviour. Mostly the primary
studies described quite small parts of consumer markets: one commodity and/or one retailer, in one
country. Much consumer research by firms is not publicly available. As far as they go, however, the
above explanations are evidence-based and not a priori truths. Searching more databases and with
additional keywords would reveal further evidence that would qualify, elaborate, correct, or update the
above synthesis. For example, ongoing marketing and technological changes such as apps (Silverman
and Barasch, 2023) continually influence consumer demand formation in new ways. Still to consider
are non-OECD economies, the methodological implications, and the normative and ethical aspects of
demand formation, consumption, and consumerism more widely.
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Appendix 1
(Continued )
Cite this article: Sheaff R (2025). Towards a realistic view of consumer behaviour. Journal of Institutional Economics 21, e7,
1–20. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1744137424000353