Article Thebeatmar2025
Article Thebeatmar2025
March 2025
3 Spanning Bonds, Equities, Alternatives and Transition*, this monthly review provides timely
information across a broad array of markets and investment topics.
BONDS Each edition explores investment ideas, identifies areas of focus and provides a
comprehensive outlook on asset allocation — all supported by a concise review of economic
22 and asset class data through clear and impactful charts.
We believe The BEAT is a critical desk reference that enables more informed discussion and
EQUITIES
understanding of financial markets.
34
17
29
3
ALTERNATIVES
45
If you are viewing this book on your computer or
TRANSITION tablet, click or tap on the section box to jump to
the beginning of each section.
51
Data provided is for informational use only. See end of report for important additional information.
*Transition is an asset allocation view, which refers to cash, cash equivalents or liquid short-duration assets, such as short-dated Treasuries, that can be used to “transition” to other
asset classes.
The views and opinions expressed are those of the Portfolio Solutions Group at the time of writing of this presentation and are subject to change at any time due to market, economic, or
other conditions, and may not necessarily come to pass. Not to be construed as an investment or research recommendation.
The views and opinions expressed are those of the Portfolio Solutions Group at the time of writing of this presentation and are subject to change at any time due to market, economic, or
other conditions, and may not necessarily come to pass. Not to be construed as an investment or research recommendation.
3.4
3.2
2.6
2.4
2.2
2.0
Jan 2021 Jul 2021 Jan 2022 Jul 2022 Jan 2023 Jul 2023 Jan 2024 Jul 2024 Jan 2025
US 5Y Breakeven US 7Y Breakeven US 10Y Breakeven
5Y Breakeven Avg 7Y Breakeven Avg 10Y Breakeven Avg
Source: Bloomberg, MSIM. As of February 11, 2025. “Inflation breakevens” are a market-based measure of inflation expectations. The views and opinions expressed are those of the
Portfolio Solutions Group at the time of writing/of this presentation and are subject to change at any time due to market, economic, or other conditions, and may not necessarily come to
pass. Forecasts/estimates are based on current market conditions, subject to change, and may not necessarily come to pass. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
As Money from Fiscal Largesse Wanes, the Private Sector Can Take Over as the Growth Driver
Fed balance sheet (RH, in $ billions), reverse repo facility (LH, in $ billions)
$3,000 $9,500
$2,500 $8,500
Reverse Repo Facility (in $ billions)
$1,500 $6,500
$1,000 $5,500
$500 $4,500
$- $3,500
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Reverse Repo Facility (in $ billions) Fed Balance Sheet (in $ billions)
Source: Bloomberg, MSIM. As of February 11, 2025. The views and opinions expressed are those of the Portfolio Solutions Group at the time of writing/of this presentation and are
subject to change at any time due to market, economic, or other conditions, and may not necessarily come to pass. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Tariffs Will Impact Global Trade, but Risks Are Skewed Towards ex-U.S.
We continue to view the core policy priorities of the Trump administration as net positive for the U.S. (deregulation, taxes)
and negative for ex-U.S. (tariffs). Canada, Mexico and China represent ~40% of U.S. trade and have all been subjected to
noise surrounding tariffs. While trade represents ~25% of U.S. GDP, it represents ~70% of GDP for Canada and Mexico.
Canada, Mexico and China Are ~40% of U.S. Trade… … but the U.S. Relies Less on Trade than Its Peers
Share of U.S. imports/exports by region (%) Trade in goods and services as % of GDP
100% 100%
90% 90%
80%
80%
70%
70%
60%
60%
50%
50% 40%
40% 30%
20%
30%
10%
20%
0%
2016
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
10%
Source: World Bank, Council of Foreign Relations, MSIM. As of February 11, 2025. The views and opinions expressed are those of the Portfolio Solutions Group at the time of writing/of
this presentation and are subject to change at any time due to market, economic, or other conditions, and may not necessarily come to pass. Past performance is no guarantee of
future results.
Economic Policy Uncertainty Has Spiked to Levels Consistent with Past Crises
Baker, Bloom and Davis U.S. Economic Policy Uncertainty Index
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Source: Bloomberg, MSIM. As of February 11, 2025. The views and opinions expressed are those of the Portfolio Solutions Group at the time of writing/of this presentation and are
subject to change at any time due to market, economic, or other conditions, and may not necessarily come to pass. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Earnings for Cyclical Sectors Have Shown More Positive Surprises thus far in Q4
Positive-negative surprise metric spread by sector group
90
Positive-negative surprise metric for cyclicals
has risen by ~23% from last quarter 80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4
Cyclicals Defensives (ex utilities) Technology/Growth
Source: Bloomberg, MSIM. As of February 11, 2025. The views and opinions expressed are those of the Portfolio Solutions Group at the time of writing/of this presentation and are
subject to change at any time due to market, economic, or other conditions, and may not necessarily come to pass. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Large-Cap EPS Has Defied the Trend in PMIs… … While for Small Caps the Trend Is More Consistent
ISM manufacturing (LH), S&P 500 BF Real EPS 6M Change (RH) ISM manufacturing (LH), S&P 600 BF Real EPS 6M Change (%)
70 30% 70 45%
65 65 35%
20%
25%
60 60
10%
15%
55 55
0% 5%
50 50
-10% -5%
45 45
-15%
-20%
40 40
-25%
35 -30% 35 -35%
30 -40% 30 -45%
2013
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
ISM Manufacturing PMI S&P 500 Real BF EPS 6M % Change ISM Manufacturing PMI S&P 600 Real BF EPS 6M % Change
Source: Bloomberg, MSIM. As of February 11, 2025. The views and opinions expressed are those of the Portfolio Solutions Group at the time of writing/of this presentation and are
subject to change at any time due to market, economic, or other conditions, and may not necessarily come to pass. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
40% 40%
30% 30%
20% 20%
10% 10%
0% 0%
-10% -10%
-20% -20%
-30% -30%
Equity Contribution
Source: Bloomberg, MSIM. As of December 31, 2024. The views and opinions expressed are those of the Portfolio Solutions Group at the time of writing/of this presentation and are
subject to change at any time due to market, economic, or other conditions, and may not necessarily come to pass. Forecasts/estimates are based on current market conditions, subject
to change, and may not necessarily come to pass. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Loans Continue to Outperform Other Credit Sectors Since the Fed Began Cutting Rates
Performance since 9/18/2024 (first Fed rate cut)
6%
4%
Loans
3.4%
2%
US High Yield
2.7%
0% US IG Corporates
-0.7%
-4%
-6%
-8%
-10%
Sep 2024 Oct 2024 Nov 2024 Dec 2024 Jan 2025 Feb 2025
Source: Morningstar, MSIM. As of February 28, 2025. The views and opinions expressed are those of the Portfolio Solutions Group at the time of writing/of this presentation and are
subject to change at any time due to market, economic, or other conditions, and may not necessarily come to pass. Forecasts/estimates are based on current market conditions, subject
to change, and may not necessarily come to pass.Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Agency MBS Spreads Look Attractive Today The Demand for Agency MBS Is Expected to Rise in 2025
Current spread to worst (RHS) and 10-year spread BankPortfolio demand (in $ billions)
percentile (LHS)
Source: Bloomberg, MSIM. As of February 28, 2024. The views and opinions expressed are those of the Portfolio Solutions Group at the time of writing/of this presentation and are
subject to change at any time due to market, economic, or other conditions, and may not necessarily come to pass. Forecasts/estimates are based on current market conditions, subject
to change, and may not necessarily come to pass. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
The Drag on PMIs from Monetary Policy and FX EU GDP Forecasts Have Been Significantly Revised Down
Appreciation Is Set to Fade in Coming Months Since the Odds of a Trump Victory Started to Rise;
EU manufacturing PMI (LH), GS EU financial conditions The Impact of Tariffs Looks Well “Baked In”
(6M lag, inverse) (RH) Bloomberg consensus forecast for 2025 GDP growth
65 -2 1.5
-1.5
1.4
60
-1
1.3
-0.5
55
0 1.2
50
0.5
1.1
1
45
1.5 1
40 2
0.9
2001 2005 2009 2013 2017 2021
EU Manufacturing PMI
0.8
GS EU Financial Conditions Index (6M Lag,Inverse, RHS)) Jan-24 Apr-24 Jul-24 Oct-24 Jan-25
Source: Macrobond, Bloomberg, Goldman Sachs, MSIM. As of January 17, 2025. The views and opinions expressed are those of the Portfolio Solutions Group at the time of writing/of this
presentation and are subject to change at any time due to market, economic, or other conditions, and may not necessarily come to pass. Forecasts/estimates are based on current market
conditions, subject to change, and may not necessarily come to pass. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
12% 4
11% 11%
2
8%
-2
-4
-6
-8
1%
-10
MSCI Europe MSCI USA MSCI EMU S&P 500 MSCI Japan
* Diversification does not eliminate the risk of loss. IBES stands for the Institutional Brokers’ Estimate System.
Source: Bloomberg, MSIM. As of February 17, 2025. The views and opinions expressed are those of the Portfolio Solutions Group at the time of writing/of this presentation and are
subject to change at any time due to market, economic, or other conditions, and may not necessarily come to pass. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
45 15
10
25
5
5
0
-15 -5
-10
-35
-15
-55
-20
-75 -25
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026
ECB Bank Lending Survey Expected Mortgage Demand (4Q Lag) EU Residential Spending
Source: MSIM, Bloomberg. As of February 17, 2025. The views and opinions expressed are those of the Portfolio Solutions Group at the time of writing/of this presentation and are
subject to change at any time due to market, economic, or other conditions, and may not necessarily come to pass. Forecasts/estimates are based on current market conditions, subject
to change, and may not necessarily come to pass. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
U.S. Cap Rates Have Stabilized… …and the Pace of New Construction Has Slowed
Real estate sector cap rates (%) Construction square footage (M, LH), as % of inventory (RH)
11.0% SF (M) Construction % of Inventory
1,400 7.0%
10.0%
1,200 6.0%
9.0%
1,000 5.0%
600 3.0%
7.0%
400 2.0%
6.0%
200 1.0%
5.0%
0 0.0%
4.0%
Office Retail
Multifamily Industrial
Office % of Inventory Retail % of Inventory
Office Retail Multifamily Industrial Multifamily % of Inventory Industrial % of Inventory
Source: CoStar (Sept 01 – Dec 24) as of February 1, 2025. The views and opinions expressed are those of the Portfolio Solutions Group at the time of writing/of this presentation and are
subject to change at any time due to market, economic, or other conditions, and may not necessarily come to pass. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Duration We remain underweight duration. While the UST 10Y yield at ~4.5% sits towards the middle of our view on a
longer-term range, we see the near-term balance of risks skewing higher with recession risk low, but inflation
risk a relevant focus.
Credit
Equities We remain overweight equities, having added incrementally to our European equity exposure in February. Our
core view in the U.S. remains soft landing, and we continue to assess U.S. political developments as net
Risk Level positive for 2025 equity returns. We remain vigilant to new policy developments.
Alternatives Private investment activity has been subdued year-to-date as investors cautiously interpreted announcements
to changes in U.S. Fed policy, including its interaction with global geopolitics. However, we believe the
Private Markets directional clarity of the new administration and the continuing maturation of relatively low-cost financing are
expected to expand deal-making activity in 2025. In addition, attractive entry prospects have emerged within
sub-segments of real estate, private equity and private credit, but investor commitment levels have not yet
responded to the heightened level of opportunity.
Hedge Funds
Hedge funds are benefiting from a constructive market environment for skill-based managers. We maintain
conviction in equity long/short and fixed income relative value strategies as our expectations for market
dispersion remain supportive while correlations have decreased at the micro level.
Commodities We remain neutral on key commodity markets as geopolitical upside risks are balanced by high spare capacity
in markets such as crude, which limit upside absent physical disruptions.
Transition
We remain underweight cash and short duration instruments.
Cash/Short Duration
For informational purposes and does not constitute an offer or a recommendation to buy or sell any particular security or to adopt any specific investment strategy. The tactical views expressed
above are a broad reflection of our team’s views and implementations, expressed for client communication purposes. Individual team allocations may differ. The information herein does not contend
to address the financial objectives, situation or specific needs of any individual investor. The signals represent the Portfolio Solutions Group view on each asset class.
Public Credit
Muni ratios versus USTs currently look closer to “fair value” than cheap. We still like the asset class for taxable
investors but are not forecasting large excess returns.
Municipal Bonds
Spreads are near all-time tights, excess return over USTs should be minimal and IG remains sensitive to left-tail
outcomes. Our positive economic outlook keeps this from being a high-conviction underweight.
Investment Grade
We continue to hold high conviction in ABS and yield per unit of credit quality remains attractive. U.S. 30Y fixed
mortgage rates are higher than BB-rated corporate yields, a rare occurrence in the past 25 years.
MBS/ABS
With spreads at historic lows across credit ratings, we see little upside left for high yield. We prefer to allocate to
areas of fixed income with less stretched valuations.
High Yield
Loan spreads have continued to tighten and now look moderately expensive versus history. However, we still
see a lot of relative value with the recent repricing of Fed expectations higher. Loans look poised to continue
Bank Loans outperforming other fixed income asset classes due to their higher carry and low-duration sensitivity.
For informational purposes and does not constitute an offer or a recommendation to buy or sell any particular security or to adopt any specific investment strategy. The tactical views expressed
above are a broad reflection of our team’s views and implementations, expressed for client communication purposes. Individual team allocations may differ. The information herein does not contend
to address the financial objectives, situation or specific needs of any individual investor. The signals represent the Portfolio Solutions Group view on each asset class.
Style
Growth vs. Value Growth style indexes remain disproportionately exposed to Big Tech, where we seek to keep our risk exposure
close to neutral.
Quality With little excess risk premium in equities and a limit to economic growth acceleration due to inflation risk, we
continue to prefer a tilt toward quality. We balance this with selective cyclical exposure.
Large Cap vs. Small Cap Mid-caps represent the sweet spot between elevated large-cap valuation and small-cap quality risk.
We continue to favor selective cyclical exposure consistent with late cycle expansion.
For informational purposes and does not constitute an offer or a recommendation to buy or sell any particular security or to adopt any specific investment strategy. The tactical views expressed
above are a broad reflection of our team’s views and implementations, expressed for client communication purposes. Individual team allocations may differ. The information herein does not contend
to address the financial objectives, situation or specific needs of any individual investor. The signals represent the Portfolio Solutions Group view on each asset class.
Alternatives
Representative Positioning from Portfolio Solutions Group
Alternative Assets Commentary
Private Markets
We expect investor cash flows to recover due to increasing market activity, and asset pricing to offer an attractive entry point. While a key discipline in private equity investing is to limit
exposure to exogenous risks, the directional clarity associated with the change of government in the U.S. is expected to expand deal-making activity, but likely to have an uneven impact on
Private Equity the growth opportunities and risks within each sector. The prospect of deregulation will potentially lead to increased opportunities in Financials and Healthcare and reduced anti-trust
intervention could spark additional M&A more broadly. However, growth policies have the potential to add to inflation, so we continue to focus on middle-market strategies that rely less on
leverage and are well-placed to deliver asset management initiatives to drive margin expansion and real earnings growth.
Commercial real estate is working through its debt maturity wall and pockets of elevated supply, leading to increased transaction volumes at more attractive entry valuations. These reset
valuations and retreat of bank lending have created interesting opportunities for commercial real estate lenders. At the same time, fundamentals are constructive, as debt liquidity improves
and the future supply in key sectors is materially lower, setting up an attractive opportunity for commercial real estate equity as well - particularly in secularly growing sectors including
industrial, residential and net lease.
Private Real
Assets Private infrastructure continues to participate in the investable opportunities relating to the mega trends of digitization and power generation. These themes converge where data services
require power, and generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) is highlighting the fact that the current power mix is insufficient in terms of volume, density and reliability. Private investors are playing a
key role in supplying this enabling infrastructure with attractive growth prospects. Recently observable policy changes in the U.S. and the Deepseek announcements could threaten
performance in projects that are over-extended in their cash flow or valuations, but we believe investments in mature cost-competitive technologies that are under supplied versus demand
tailwinds will continue to be positioned for strong returns.
Within corporate lending, covenant relief cases have increased as debt service has become more burdensome, but demand for products and services is generally healthy which is supporting
Private Credit profitability and debt coverage. Companies in unorthodox or transitional situations are accessing special situations capital that is improving alignment and offering attractive returns for
investors.
Liquid Alternatives
Given the current market drivers, we prefer hedge fund specialist portfolio managers who are best positioned to analyze policy impacts on security prices and capture the potential opportunity
Hedge Funds in increased capital markets activity. We stress the need to incorporate highly liquid, responsive, macro convexity strategies within portfolios to capitalize on price volatility should consensus
views prove incorrect, stoking periods of broader market volatility. In addition, our highest conviction sub-strategies are fixed income relative value and quantitative long / short equity to take
advantage of decreasing correlations at the micro level.
Commodities We remain neutral on key commodity markets as geopolitical upside risks are balanced by high spare capacity in markets such as crude, limiting upside absent physical disruptions.
For informational purposes and does not constitute an offer or a recommendation to buy or sell any particular security or to adopt any specific investment strategy. The tactical views
expressed above are a broad reflection of our team’s views and implementations, expressed for client communication purposes. Individual team allocations may differ. The information
herein does not contend to address the financial objectives, situation or specific needs of any individual investor. The signals represent the Portfolio Solutions Group view on each asset
class. Note: Over/underweight in private markets refers to decisions regarding the flow of new investments, not the stock of existing investments.
16% 16%
1 Mo. Ago 1 Mo. Ago
12 Mo. Ago 12 Mo. Ago
12% 12%
8% 8%
4% 4%
Feb ’25
Feb ’25
0% 0%
Monetary Policy
Central Bank Policy Rates Market Expectations for Future Central Bank Rates
Current 1-Mo. Ago 12-Mo. Ago
5.0%
U.S. Federal Reserve 4.50% 4.50% 5.50%
10% 4.49%
BOE
BOE 4.50% 4.75% 5.25% 4.26% 4.23%
9% BOE 4.07% 3.95%
BOJ 0.50% 0.50% -0.10% 4.0% 4.29% 3.83%
4.0% 4.21% 3.74%
3.80%
8% 4.06% 3.79%
ECB 2.90% 3.15% 4.50% 3.98% 3.61%
U.S. Federal Reserve 3.80%
U.S. Federal Reserve
3.65% 3.62% 3.55%
3.66%
7% 3.58%
3.0%
6% 3.0%
BOE
U.S. Federal Reserve ECB
5%
2.48%
4% 2.0% ECB
2.0% 2.24% 2.15%
1.95% 2.05%
1.85%
2.05% 1.72%
3% 1.66%
1.86%
0.83%
1.01% 1.14%
0.86%
2% 1.0% 0.74%
ECB 0.84%
1.0% 0.58%
0.47% 0.70%
1% BOJ BOJ 0.57%
BOJ
0% 0.0%
'98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 '12 '14 '16 '18 '20 '22 '24 3M 6M 1Y 2Y 3Y
0.0%
(1%) 3M 6M 1Y 2Y 3Y
Source: Bloomberg, Factset as of 2/28/25. Data provided is for informational use only. See end of report for important additional information. Forecasts/estimates are based on current
market conditions, subject to change, and may not necessarily come to pass.
3%
3-yr. Treasury 3.96 4.24 4.42 1.04 5.13
2%
5-yr. Treasury 4.00 4.33 4.24 1.73 4.88
Source: Factset, Morningstar as of 2/28/25. Data provided is for informational use only. Past Performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. See end of report for important
additional information.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Source: Bloomberg, J.P. Morgan, ICE BofA Data Indices, LLC, Factset, and Leveraged
Commentary & Data (LCD), as of 2/28/25. Data provided is for informational use only. See end of report for important additional information. Yield to maturity is shown for the Morningstar
LSTA U.S. Leveraged Loan Index and the FTSE World Government Bond Index. S+ refers to SOFR (Secured Overnight Financing Rate) as the base rate. Loan Index spread represents
the three-year discounted spread over SOFR. Returns of the ICE BofA Developed Mtks HY Ex-Sub Financial Index are USD Hedged. The averages for the index are unhedged. Returns
and averages for the Bloomberg Euro-Agg Corps and Bloomberg Pan-Euro HY indices are in EUR (unhedged).
1,400 1331
High
1,200 1087
Current
Median 1,000
Low
800
721
600 492
373 475
400 325 427 398
260 363
328 287
366
200 127 132
261 259
83 87 118 97 134
32 45 31 50 52 79
0 34
54 74
29 7 22
-200 -88
Floating-Rate Emerging
Aggregate MBS ABS CMBS Corporate Preferred Loans Markets (USD) High Yield
Max Spread Date 3/20/2020 3/19/2020 3/26/2020 3/25/2020 3/23/2020 3/23/2020 3/20/2020 3/23/2020 3/23/2020
Min Spread Date 4/14/2021 4/14/2021 6/21/2021 6/21/2021 11/08/2024 12/6/2017 4/20/2018 2/1/2018 1/22/2025
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Source: Factset and Leveraged Commentary & Data (LCD) as of 2/28/25. Spread
history measures past 10 years. Data provided is for informational use only. See end of report for important additional information. All fixed-income spreads are in basis points and
measure option-adjusted yield spread relative to comparable maturity U.S. Treasuries using daily data. Aggregate represented by Bloomberg US Aggregate Index. MBS represented by
Bloomberg U.S. Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Index. ABS represented by Bloomberg U.S. Asset Backed Securities (ABS) Index. CMBS represented by Bloomberg U.S. CMBS
Investment Grade Index. Corporate represented by Bloomberg U.S. Corporate Investment Grade Index. Preferred represented by ICE BofA Fixed Rate Preferred Securities Index.
Floating-Rate Loans represented by Morningstar LSTA U.S. Leveraged Loan Index. Loan Index spread represents the three-year discounted spread over SOFR (Secured Overnight
Financing Rate). Emerging Markets(USD) represented by J.P. Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index (EMBI) Global Diversified. High Yield represented by ICE BofA US High Yield Index.
Bloomberg U.S. Corp. Investment Grade Index 4.32 93.7 5.08 87 10.6 6.9 2.04 0.62 2.60 6.56 0.38 0.09 2.49
AAA Index 3.39 84.4 4.71 38 16.8 10.0 2.99 -0.18 3.23 4.04 -2.79 -2.33 1.58
AA Index 3.69 90.1 4.76 51 12.5 7.8 2.23 0.43 2.72 5.26 -1.24 -1.19 1.47
A Index 4.20 93.9 4.96 74 10.4 6.9 2.02 0.55 2.58 6.10 0.12 -0.23 2.20
BBB Index 4.56 94.4 5.27 105 10.4 6.7 2.00 0.72 2.59 7.24 0.97 0.64 2.92
ICE BofA U.S. High Yield Index 6.44 96.5 7.16 287 4.7 3.1 0.65 1.60 2.04 10.06 4.89 4.79 4.97
BB Index 5.79 98.2 6.12 182 4.9 3.3 0.72 1.35 2.02 8.61 4.11 4.40 4.89
B Index 7.11 98.7 7.20 288 4.5 2.8 0.61 1.72 2.04 9.27 4.83 4.36 4.63
CCC Index 7.23 84.7 11.75 760 4.2 2.8 0.46 2.30 2.10 18.38 7.72 7.27 6.08
Morningstar LSTA U.S. Leveraged Loan Index S+3.32 97.2 8.41 427 4.5 - 0.11 1.37 0.80 8.10 7.34 6.19 5.05
BBB Index S+1.90 100.0 6.21 189 5.1 - 0.29 1.35 0.90 7.43 6.81 4.97 4.30
BB Index S+2.50 99.8 6.87 257 5.1 - 0.18 1.38 0.84 7.78 7.43 5.36 4.52
B Index S+3.60 98.2 8.50 430 4.5 - 0.09 1.31 0.76 8.68 7.78 6.59 5.40
CCC Index S+4.71 80.2 18.69 1411 3.3 - 0.33 1.91 1.30 5.92 4.41 6.12 6.06
400
High Yield Corporate
200
0 Investment
Grade Corporate
8%
Current 1-Mo. Ago 12-Mo. Ago Median
6% HY Corporate 0.27 0.39 1.66 1.81
High Yield Loans 0.81 0.94 1.41 1.43
Loans Corporate
4%
2%
0%
Bloomberg Municipal Bond Index 4.60 102.5 3.55 13.5 6.3 0.99 0.02 1.50 2.96 0.99 0.67 2.33
AAA Index 4.53 103.5 3.39 13.1 6.5 1.01 -0.03 1.57 2.60 0.79 0.46 1.92
AA Index 4.62 103.4 3.42 13.1 6.1 1.00 0.03 1.41 2.64 0.90 0.56 2.13
A Index 4.60 101.0 3.79 13.9 6.3 0.96 0.08 1.57 3.52 1.37 1.01 2.74
BBB Index 4.61 97.7 4.28 17.4 7.2 1.03 -0.14 1.83 4.90 1.49 1.15 3.36
5-Year Index 4.73 106.0 3.02 5.0 3.6 0.86 0.76 1.51 2.95 1.45 0.85 1.74
10-Year Index 4.58 105.9 3.26 9.9 5.7 1.19 0.82 2.02 2.14 1.25 0.77 2.44
22+ Year Index 4.63 98.2 4.28 26.6 10.1 0.98 -1.46 1.06 3.24 -0.47 -0.18 2.62
Bloomberg High Yield Municipal Bond Index 4.74 66.7 5.43 19.4 6.6 1.25 0.32 2.02 8.12 2.01 2.15 4.35
Hospital 5.31 78.0 5.64 20.6 5.9 1.62 0.94 2.49 14.20 1.69 1.47 3.83
IDR/PCR 4.47 38.8 6.01 19.2 6.8 1.17 0.57 1.86 5.24 1.34 1.88 5.25
Tobacco 2.27 19.2 6.24 27.8 10.4 1.37 1.68 2.95 4.38 0.78 2.00 6.83
Puerto Rico 3.55 56.2 4.61 18.9 6.9 1.00 0.22 2.05 4.39 2.27 2.85 4.78
5Y 64 63 57 73
280%
10Y 67 65 58 84
210% 30Y 86 83 82 95
70%
5Y
0%
AA 11 11 7 16
150
A 35 35 31 38
BBB 83 83 83 85
100
BBB
50
A
AA
0
Sovereign EMD Spreads (USD) Corporate EMD Spreads (USD) Local EMD Yields (%)
Bps Bps Bps
8%
500 500
6%
300 300
4%
100 100 2%
'15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23 '24 '25 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23 '24 '25 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23 '24 '25
Avg. Spread (bps) Avg. Spread (bps) Avg. Yield (%)
Coupon (%) Price ($) Yield (%) Duration 1-Mo. 3-Mo. YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y
EMD (Hard EMD (Local EMD EMD (Local EMD EMD EMD (Local EMD (Hard EMD (Hard
Bank Loan Treasury
Currency) Currency) (Corp. Bonds) Currency) (Corp. Bonds) (Corp. Bonds) Currency) Currency) Currency)
0.44 2.68
1.23 9.94 7.96 13.47 7.13 0.91 -11.69 11.09 6.54
Investment Investment Investment Global Agg EMD (Hard EMD Investment EMD
Bank Loan MBS MBS
Grade Grade Grade Ex-U.S. Currency) (Corp. Bonds) Grade (Corp. Bonds)
8.64 -1.04 1.20
-0.68 6.11 6.42 -2.15 5.88 -12.26 8.52 2.36
EMD (Hard
Bank Loan MBS Municipal High Yield Municipal Municipal Treasury Municipal Municipal High Yield
Currency)
-0.69 1.67 5.45 -2.26 7.54 5.21 -12.46 6.40 1.05 2.04
-1.51
Global Agg EMD (Hard Global Agg EMD (Hard EMD (Local Global Agg
Treasury MBS MBS Bank Loan MBS
Ex-U.S. Currency) Ex-U.S. Currency) Currency) Ex-U.S.
1.04 2.47 6.35 3.12 5.05
-6.02 -4.61 -7.05 -16.45 -2.38 1.40
EMD (Local EMD (Local Global Agg EMD (Local EMD (Local Global Agg Global Agg
Municipal Treasury Treasury Bank Loan
Currency) Currency) Ex-U.S. Currency) Currency) Ex-U.S. Ex-U.S.
0.25 2.31 4.05 0.80
-14.92 -6.21 5.09 2.69 -8.75 -18.70 -4.22
Lower
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. In general, fixed income investments are subject to credit and interest rate risks. High
yield investments may have a higher degree of credit and liquidity risk. Foreign securities are subject to currency, political, economic and market risks. Investors should carefully review
the risks of each asset class prior to investing. Source: Morningstar as of 2/28/25. Data provided is for informational use only. See end of report for important additional information.
Investment Grade represented by Bloomberg U.S. Corporate Index. MBS represented by Bloomberg U.S. Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) Index. Treasury represented by Bloomberg
U.S. Treasury Index. High Yield represented by ICE BofA US High Yield Index. Municipal represented by Bloomberg Municipal Bond Index. Bank Loan represented by Morningstar LSTA
U.S. Leveraged Loan Index. Global Agg Ex-U.S. represented by Bloomberg Global Aggregate Ex-USD Index. EMD (Local Currency) represented by J.P. Morgan Government Bond
Index-Emerging Markets (GBI-EM) Global Diversified. EMD (Hard Currency) represented by J.P. Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index (EMBI) Global Diversified. EMD (Corp. Bonds)
represented by J.P. Morgan Corporate Emerging Market Bond Index (CEMBI) Broad Diversified.
Large Cap 0.41 -1.75 -3.59 15.75 18.11 19.75 8.65 12.07 14.84
Mid Cap -1.82 -2.84 -5.70 11.67 12.25 14.54 6.14 7.18 9.51
Small Cap -3.83 -5.35 -6.77 7.58 6.69 5.83 2.79 3.34 3.62
< -20
0 to 10
Emerging Emerging Emerging
International International International
Markets Markets Markets
10 to 20 1.94 8.77 6.42
0.48 10.07 0.46
> 20
0.8 50.0
40.0 VIX
0.6
Average 30.0
0.4
20.0
0.2 10.0
0.0 0.0
'02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 '19 '20 '21 '22 '23 '24 '25 '20 '21 '22 '23 '24 '25
Valuation Analysis
High 69.0
70.0
Current
60.0
Average
Low
50.0
40.0
32.7
30.0
22.9 27.8
24.2 24.3 23.3 21.2
MSCI World 19.7
21.5 18.1 19.3 17.4 17.4
20.0 17.6
18.3 15.7
Current P/E 16.9 17.0
15.3 15.2 14.3 14.3
16.9 16.8 12.8 14.2
12.1 14.2 13.6 13.6
12.1
10.0 14.4 13.5
12.1 11.3 11.0 11.3
10.1 10.5
High Date 8/20 6/20 8/20 3/21 8/20 8/20 8/20 1/21 6/20 1/21
Low Date 12/18 9/22 2/16 9/22 12/18 9/22 9/22 10/18 9/22 12/18
Source: FactSet as of 2/28/25. NTM P/E is market price per share divided by expected earnings per share over the next twelve months. Data provided is for informational use only. See
end of report for important additional information. Forecasts/estimates are based on current market conditions, subject to change, and may not necessarily come to pass.
Valuation Analysis
S&P 500 Sectors: Current NTM P/E vs. 10-Year High, Low, Average
High
77.2
70.0
Current
Average
50.0 45.3
Low
30.4
24.0 26.2
30.0 22.1 21.3
S&P 500 27.0 22.6 19.9 27.1
24.0 22.6 17.7 22.5
Current P/E
19.6 19.8 17.4 17.9 18.6 21.5 20.7 17.2 17.9 17.7
16.5 14.4 15.5 16.3
13.4
10.0 16.9 16.4 14.7 14.7
13.8 13.6 12.2
10.0 9.3
(10.0)
(30.0) -263.8
*Not to scale
Communication Consumer Consumer Information
Services Discretionary Staples Energy Financials Health Care Industrials Technology Materials Utilities
High Date 8/20 6/20 2/25 4/16 11/24 8/24 8/20 6/24 7/20 3/22
Low Date 5/18 2/16 4/18 7/20 3/20 3/20 12/18 12/18 9/15 6/15
Source: FactSet as of 2/28/25. NTM P/E is market price per share divided by expected earnings per share over the next twelve months. The Real Estate sector is excluded from this 10-
year chart since the sector was created on August 31, 2016. Data provided is for informational use only. See end of report for important additional information. Forecasts/estimates are
based on current market conditions, subject to change, and may not necessarily come to pass.
Regions/Styles
Expected EPS Growth
28.95
30.0 2023 EPS Growth
18.25 17.14
20.0 21.68
10.46 8.21 7.29
10.0 3.18 2.55 0.10
1.36 0.79 0.31 -0.13
0.0
-6.33 -1.02 -4.04 -0.03
(10.0) -7.28
(20.0) -17.73
Russell 1000 MSCI EM MSCI Asia Pac S&P 500 MSCI World ex MSCI World Russell 2000 MSCI EAFE Russell 1000 MSCI Europe
Growth USA Small Cap Value
Source: FactSet as of 2/28/25. Expected EPS Growth is defined as the expected % change in the EPS growth from the beginning of the current calendar year though the end of the
calendar year. 2023 EPS Growth is defined as the % change in EPS from the beginning of the year through the end of the year. Data provided is for informational use only. See end of
report for important additional information. Forecasts/estimates are based on current market conditions, subject to change, and may not necessarily come to pass.
20.00 20.00
10.00 10.00
0.00 0.00
(10.00) (10.00)
Source: FactSet as of 2/28/25. Data provided is for informational use only. See end of report for important additional information. Forecasts/estimates are based on current market
conditions, subject to change, and may not necessarily come to pass.
MSCI World -0.72 0.11 2.78 15.63 10.22 13.91 9.82 18.67 23.79 -18.14 21.82 15.90
MSCI EAFE 1.94 4.86 7.30 8.77 6.42 8.70 5.28 3.82 18.24 -14.45 11.26 7.82
MSCI EM 0.48 2.14 2.28 10.07 0.46 4.26 3.49 7.50 9.83 -20.09 -2.54 18.31
MSCI AC Asia Pac -0.30 0.23 1.14 8.39 2.62 5.73 4.72 9.56 11.45 -17.22 -1.46 19.71
MSCI ACWI -0.60 0.30 2.73 15.06 9.14 12.79 9.11 17.49 22.20 -18.36 18.54 16.25
Global MSCI Europe 3.67 8.10 10.81 11.20 7.40 9.74 5.42 1.79 19.89 -15.06 16.30 5.38
Equities MSCI World Small Cap -3.31 -5.93 0.04 7.68 3.18 9.12 6.98 8.15 15.76 -18.76 15.75 15.96
MSCI World Ex USA Small Cap -0.40 0.08 2.77 7.13 0.76 6.20 5.22 2.76 12.62 -20.59 11.14 12.78
FTSE 100 3.36 5.92 8.90 19.21 7.49 9.53 4.26 7.73 14.38 -7.01 17.36 -8.73
FTSE All Small -1.63 -2.90 -2.01 9.42 0.15 7.35 4.96 8.62 12.57 -23.06 22.15 10.77
STOXX Europe 600 3.46 7.80 10.46 11.13 7.20 9.64 5.50 1.97 19.87 -16.14 16.09 6.83
Nikkei 225 Average -3.47 -2.94 -2.81 -4.44 3.97 6.32 6.22 8.45 22.05 -19.49 -4.69 23.99
S&P 500 Comm. Services -6.29 5.92 2.26 29.17 15.46 16.38 10.85 40.23 55.80 -39.89 21.57 23.61
S&P 500 Cons Disc -9.37 -3.11 -5.38 17.42 8.39 14.51 12.41 30.14 42.41 -37.03 24.43 33.30
S&P 500 Cons Staples 5.70 2.49 7.85 19.25 8.38 12.01 8.92 14.87 0.52 -0.62 18.63 10.75
S&P 500 Energy 3.97 -3.93 6.13 9.16 12.87 19.88 5.64 5.72 -1.33 65.72 54.64 -33.68
S&P 500 Financials 1.41 2.19 8.06 31.45 12.77 16.78 12.47 30.56 12.15 -10.53 35.04 -1.69
Sectors S&P 500 Health Care 1.49 1.65 8.38 4.56 6.42 11.88 9.43 2.58 2.06 -1.95 26.13 13.45
S&P 500 Industrials -1.44 -4.70 3.52 14.42 12.87 15.14 10.93 17.47 18.13 -5.48 21.12 11.06
S&P 500 Info Tech -1.33 -3.09 -4.19 18.44 18.76 24.40 21.35 36.61 57.84 -28.19 34.53 43.89
S&P 500 Materials -0.01 -5.74 5.58 3.16 4.24 13.25 7.83 -0.04 12.55 -12.27 27.28 20.73
S&P 500 Real Estate 4.22 -2.98 6.14 14.30 2.14 6.90 6.91 5.23 12.36 -26.13 46.19 -2.17
S&P 500 Utilities 1.69 -3.64 4.67 31.73 8.70 8.45 9.40 23.43 -7.08 1.57 17.67 0.48
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Source: Morningstar as of 2/28/25. Data provided is for informational use only.
Results in US Dollar. See end of report for additional information.
International International
Value S&P 500 S&P 500 Small-Cap Growth International S&P 500 S&P 500 Value
Small-Cap Small-Cap
17.34 -4.38 31.49 19.96 27.60 -14.45 26.29 25.02 5.05
5.46 31.04
International
S&P 500 Mid-Cap Growth Value Mid-Cap S&P 500 Value Mid-Cap Global Global
Small-Cap
1.38 13.80 30.21 -8.27 30.54 18.40 25.16 -17.32 22.20 17.49
2.77
Emerging
International S&P 500 International Mid-Cap Global Mid-Cap S&P 500 International Mid-Cap Global
Markets
-0.81 11.96 25.03 -9.06 26.60 22.58 -18.11 18.24 15.34 2.73
18.31
Emerging Emerging
Global Global Global Value Mid-Cap Global Global Mid-Cap Value
Markets Markets
-2.36 23.97 -9.42 26.54 17.10 18.54 -18.36 17.23 14.37
11.19 2.28
Emerging
Mid-Cap Global S&P 500 Small-Cap Small-Cap Global Small-Cap Small-Cap Small-Cap S&P 500
Markets
-2.44 7.86 21.83 -11.01 25.52 16.25 14.82 16.93 11.54 1.44
-20.09
Spot Returns vs. USD (%) Spot Returns vs. EUR (%) Local Interest Rates (%)
140
120
100
80
60
'70 '72 '74 '76 '78 '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 '12 '14 '16 '18 '20 '22 '24
Spot Returns vs. USD (%) Spot Returns vs. EUR (%) Local Interest Rates (%)
Chinese Renminbi (CNY) -0.26 0.22 -1.24 -4.66 -0.82 -0.30 -0.21 2.77 -2.19 0.27 1.44
Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) -0.11 0.20 6.34 -2.01 -1.13 -0.16 -0.23 10.65 0.53 -0.05 3.22
Indian Rupee (INR) -1.01 -2.16 -5.24 -4.86 -3.78 -1.06 -2.58 -1.40 -2.39 -2.72 6.56
Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) -1.69 -2.93 -5.22 -4.66 -2.85 -1.73 -3.35 -1.38 -2.19 -1.78 6.23
Philippine Peso (PHP) 0.66 -0.25 -3.07 -4.02 -2.55 0.61 -0.69 0.86 -1.53 -1.47 4.26
Singapore Dollar (SGD) 0.48 1.14 -0.31 0.21 0.69 0.44 0.70 3.73 2.82 1.79 2.64
South Korean Won (KRW) -0.68 0.63 -8.98 -6.33 -3.65 -0.72 0.20 -5.29 -3.89 -2.59 2.60
Taiwanese Dollar (TWD) -0.26 -0.09 -3.67 -5.11 -1.59 -0.30 -0.52 0.24 -2.64 -0.51 1.33
Thai Baht (THB) -1.46 -0.23 4.95 -1.48 -1.58 -1.50 -0.66 9.21 1.08 -0.50 1.89
Latin America
Brazilian Real (BRL) -0.46 5.27 -15.33 -4.25 -5.12 -0.50 4.82 -11.90 -1.76 -4.08 15.04
Chilean Peso (CLP) 2.71 4.04 1.17 -5.97 -3.01 2.67 3.59 5.27 -3.52 -1.95 5.33
Colombian Peso (COP) 1.43 6.69 -4.91 -1.89 -2.99 1.39 6.22 -1.06 0.66 -1.93 8.57
Mexican Peso (MXN) 0.55 1.28 -16.87 -0.16 -0.72 0.50 0.84 -13.50 2.44 0.37 9.11
Peruvian New Sol (PEN) 1.24 2.24 2.70 1.12 -1.22 1.20 1.79 6.86 3.74 -0.13 4.15
Spot Returns vs. USD (%) Spot Returns vs. EUR (%) Local Interest Rates (%)
Europe
Czech Koruna (CZK) 0.49 0.83 -3.02 -2.39 -0.77 0.44 0.39 0.92 0.14 0.32 3.18
Hungarian Forint (HUF) 1.95 3.28 -5.53 -5.00 -4.39 1.90 2.83 -1.70 -2.53 -3.33 5.89
Polish Zloty (PLN) 1.50 3.40 -0.17 1.55 -0.26 1.46 2.95 3.88 4.19 0.84 4.86
Romanian Leu (RON) 0.02 0.40 -4.04 -2.72 -1.74 -0.02 -0.04 -0.15 -0.19 -0.66 6.58
Russian Ruble (RUB) 10.47 22.63 1.79 6.20 -5.57 10.43 22.10 5.91 8.96 -4.53 --
Turkish New Lira (TRY) -1.83 -3.18 -14.52 -27.60 -29.75 -1.87 -3.60 -11.05 -25.72 -28.98 36.33
Ghanaian Cedi (GHS) -1.03 -5.22 -18.60 -24.05 -18.98 -1.07 -5.63 -15.30 -22.08 -18.09 17.90
Israeli Shekel (ILS) -0.70 1.25 -0.75 -3.78 -0.60 -0.74 0.82 3.27 -1.28 0.49 4.17
Kenyan Shilling (KES) 0.00 0.12 13.78 -4.13 -4.77 -0.04 -0.32 18.39 -1.64 -3.72 10.50
Moroccan Dirham (MAD) 0.69 1.67 1.15 -1.43 -0.70 0.64 1.23 5.25 1.13 0.39 2.56
Nigerian Naira (NGN) -1.31 2.61 5.04 -34.87 -24.64 -1.35 2.17 9.30 -33.18 -23.81 19.61
South African Rand (ZAR) 0.52 1.60 3.29 -5.95 -3.27 0.48 1.16 7.48 -3.50 -2.20 8.22
Ugandan Shilling (UGX) 0.05 0.65 6.91 -1.22 0.18 0.01 0.22 11.24 1.35 1.29 14.99
Zambian Kwacha (ZMK) -1.76 -2.31 -17.76 -14.63 -11.78 -1.80 -2.73 -14.43 -12.41 -10.81 15.00
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. 2/28/25. Data provided is for informational use only. See end of report for important additional information..
Developed Market Local Interest Rates % (1 Year) Emerging Market Local Interest Rates % (1 Year)
Current 1 Yr Prior Current 1 Yr Prior
4.14 36.33
Norwegian Krone (NOK) Turkish New Lira (TRY)
4.41 40.50
4.06 Nigerian Naira (NGN) 19.61
U.S. Dollar (USD) 11.54
4.70
Brazilian Real (BRL) 15.04
3.97 9.76
Australian Dollar (AUD)
4.06 Mexican Peso (MXN) 9.11
11.13
3.47
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) Colombian Peso (COP) 8.57
5.06 8.30
2.53 South African Rand (ZAR) 8.22
Canadian Dollar (CAD) 8.89
4.64
Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) 6.23
2.09 6.32
Euro (EUR) *
3.12 5.89
Hungarian Forint (HUF)
2.04 6.47
Swedish Krona (SEK) 5.33
3.56 Chilean Peso (CLP)
5.41
1.86 4.86
Danish Krone (DKK) Polish Zloty (PLN)
3.32 4.95
Philippine Peso (PHP) 4.26
1.59 6.09
British Pound (GBP)
4.77 4.15
Peruvian New Sol (PEN)
0.83 5.25
Japanese Yen (JPY) 3.22
0.17 Malaysian Ringgit (MYR)
3.27
0.39 1.89
Swiss Franc (CHF) Thai Baht (THB)
1.02 2.12
-5.00 0.00 5.00 10.00 15.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00
Bloomberg Sub Industrial Metals 2.75 1.02 4.16 10.55 -4.42 9.93
Bloomberg Commodity Index 0.78 5.83 4.76 11.60 0.71 10.56
Aluminum 0.42 0.71 2.83 16.34 -8.94 7.16
Bloomberg Sub Agriculture -2.30 3.63 2.42 3.96 -1.93 11.47
Copper 5.61 9.98 12.64 19.82 2.55 13.18
Coffee 1.45 21.43 20.32 123.3 28.86 31.07
Nickel 1.40 -3.27 0.50 -14.41 -14.10 4.68
Corn -4.85 6.71 0.39 -0.08 -8.03 7.89
Zinc 1.86 -10.57 -6.63 15.16 -5.34 8.48
Cotton -2.29 -9.83 -5.54 -35.62 -11.51 5.83
Bloomberg Sub Precious Metals -0.10 5.14 7.51 37.18 12.44 11.70
Soybean -2.80 2.48 0.59 -8.02 -4.39 10.55
Gold 0.81 6.33 7.52 37.37 13.66 11.44
Soybean Oil -5.00 5.10 8.93 -1.26 -8.06 16.32
Platinum -9.84 -1.90 3.73 6.34 -1.58 2.13
Sugar 3.77 -4.03 4.63 -3.02 14.07 12.25
Silver -2.99 1.37 7.43 36.38 8.35 12.57
Wheat -2.59 0.20 -0.82 -12.90 -21.83 -5.16
Bloomberg Sub Livestock -5.37 -1.45 -0.72 6.70 6.35 4.72
Bloomberg Sub Energy 4.86 13.63 6.71 5.48 -3.30 5.92
Lean Hogs -7.08 -8.74 -3.48 2.96 -2.95 2.99
Brent Crude -2.50 5.14 0.33 1.68 6.40 17.81
Live Cattle -4.46 2.75 0.76 10.55 12.39 6.10
Heating Oil -1.00 9.22 3.82 -6.97 14.41 21.17
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 YTD 2025
Higher Multi-Strategy MLP Long/Short Equity
Fixed Income
Long/Short Equity
Convertible
MLP MLP MLP MLP MLP
Arbitrage Arbitrage
3.84 18.31 13.41 12.17 40.17 30.92 26.56 24.41 8.79
1.10 10.25
Long/Short Equity Commodity Currency Global Macro Global Macro Long/Short Equity Commodity Managed Futures Long/Short Equity Long/Short Equity Commodity
3.55 11.77 11.54 -0.11 10.38 7.86 27.11 19.12 10.93 14.78 3.95
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Source: Morningstar as of 1/31/25. *Data is on a 1-month lag. Data provided is for
informational use only. Alternative investments often are speculative and include a high degree of risk. See end of report for important additional information. Global Macro represented by
Credit Suisse Global Macro Index. MLP represented by Alerian MLP Index. Event Driven represented by Credit Suisse Event Driven Index. Multi-Strategy represented by Credit Suisse
Multi-Strategy Index. Long/Short Equity represented by Credit Suisse Long/Short Equity Index. Convertible Arbitrage represented by Credit Suisse Convertible Arbitrage Index. Currency
represented by J.P. Morgan EMLI+ Index. Equity Market Neutral represented by Credit Suisse Equity Market Neutral Index. Fixed Income Arbitrage represented by Credit Suisse Fixed
Income Arbitrage Index. Managed Futures represented by Credit Suisse Managed Futures Index. Commodity represented by Bloomberg Commodity Index.
S&P 500 1.00 0.86 0.68 0.86 0.39 0.41 0.80 0.60 0.40
International 0.86 1.00 0.79 0.76 0.43 0.47 0.80 0.60 0.45
Emerging
0.69 0.79 1.00 0.60 0.39 0.44 0.70 0.56 0.49
Markets
Small Cap 0.86 0.80 0.66 1.00 0.29 0.33 0.76 0.63 0.37
U.S.
0.60 0.66 0.59 0.50 1.00 0.85 0.50 0.15 -0.05
Aggregate
Municipal 0.62 0.69 0.66 0.55 0.85 1.00 0.56 0.29 0.04
High Yield 0.83 0.83 0.72 0.81 0.62 0.71 1.00 0.80 0.50
Bank Loan 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.66 0.23 0.39 0.80 1.00 0.49
Commodities 0.39 0.45 0.44 0.36 0.04 0.15 0.48 0.49 1.00
5 Years ended February 28, 2025 10 Years ended February 28, 2025
Source: Morningstar as of 1/31/25. Flow data is on a one-month lag. Data provided is for informational use only. See end of report for important additional information.
S&P 500 High Yield International Bank Loan Small-Cap S&P 500 Commodities Bank Loan International Small-Cap Commodities
1.38 17.49 25.03 0.44 25.52 18.40 27.11 -0.77 18.24 11.54 4.76
US Agg S&P 500 S&P 500 US Agg International Emerging Markets Small-Cap Municipal Small-Cap Asset Allocation US Agg
0.55 11.96 21.83 0.01 22.01 18.31 14.82 -8.53 16.93 9.79 2.74
Bank Loan Commodities Small-Cap High Yield Asset Allocation Asset Allocation Asset Allocation High Yield Asset Allocation Bank Loan Asset Allocation
-0.69 11.77 14.65 -2.26 18.70 11.95 11.43 -11.22 14.09 8.95 2.43
International Emerging Markets Asset Allocation S&P 500 Emerging Markets International International US Agg High Yield High Yield Emerging Markets
-0.81 11.19 14.02 -4.38 18.42 7.82 11.26 -13.01 13.46 8.20 2.28
Asset Allocation Bank Loan High Yield Asset Allocation High Yield US Agg High Yield Asset Allocation Bank Loan Emerging Markets High Yield
-2.03 10.16 7.48 -5.40 14.41 7.51 5.36 -13.04 13.32 7.50 2.04
Small-Cap Asset Allocation Municipal Small-Cap US Agg High Yield Bank Loan International Emerging Markets Commodities Municipal
-4.41 8.61 5.45 -11.01 8.72 6.17 5.20 -14.45 9.83 5.38 1.50
High Yield US Agg Bank Loan Commodities Bank Loan Municipal Municipal S&P 500 Municipal International S&P 500
-4.64 2.65 4.12 -11.25 8.64 5.21 1.52 -18.11 6.40 3.82 1.44
Emerging Markets International US Agg International Commodities Bank Loan US Agg Emerging Markets US Agg US Agg Bank Loan
-14.92 1.00 3.54 -13.79 7.69 3.12 -1.54 -20.09 5.53 1.25 0.80
Commodities Municipal Commodities Emerging Markets Municipal Commodities Emerging Markets Small-Cap Commodities Municipal Small-Cap
-24.66 0.25 1.70 -14.57 7.54 -3.12 -2.54 -20.44 -7.91 1.05 -2.87
Lower
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Source: Morningstar as of 2/28/25. Data provided is for informational use only.
Investing involves risks including the possible loss of principal. Investors should carefully review the risks of each asset class prior to investing. See end of report for important additional
information. S&P 500 represented by the S&P 500 Index. International represented by MSCI EAFE Index. Emerging Markets represented by MSCI Emerging Markets Index. Small-Cap
represented by Russell 2000 Index. US Aggregate represented by the Bloomberg Capital US Aggregate Bond Index. Municipal represented by Bloomberg Municipal Bond Index. High
Yield represented by ICE BofA US High Yield Index. Bank Loan represented by Morningstar LSTA U.S. Leveraged Loan Index. Commodity represented by Bloomberg Commodity Index.
The Asset Allocation portfolio assumes the following weights: 25% in the S&P 500 Index, 15% in the MSCI EAFE Index, 5% in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, 10% in the Russell
2000 Index, 25% in the Bloomberg Capital US Aggregate Bond Index, 5% in the Bloomberg Municipal Bond Index, 5% in the Bloomberg US Corporate High Yield Index, 5% in the
Morningstar LSTA U.S. Leveraged Loan Index, and 5% in the Bloomberg Commodity Index.
. 54
The BEAT | March 2025
Asset Allocation Committee
JITANIA KANDHARI
Deputy CIO, Solutions & Multi Asset Group;
Head of Macro & Thematic Research,
Emerging Markets; Portfolio Manager
Index Definitions
Bloomberg Commodity Index is a broadly diversified index tracking CBOE S&P 500 BuyWrite Index measures the performance of a Morgan Stanley Capital International All Country Asia Pacific Index
futures contracts on physical commodities. hypothetical buy-write strategy on the S&P 500 Index. (MSCI AC Asia Pac) is an unmanaged total return, capitalization-weighted
index that measures the performance of stock markets in 15 Pacific region
Bloomberg Euro-Aggregate Corporates Index consists of bonds issued ICE BofA US Inflation-Linked Treasury Index tracks the performance of
countries, including Australia, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan,
in the euro or the legacy currencies of the 16 sovereign countries USD denominated inflation linked sovereign debt publicly issued by the
Korea, Malaysia, New Zealand, Pakistan, the Philippines, Singapore, Sri
participating in the European Monetary Union (EMU) US government.
Lanka, Taiwan and Thailand.
Bloomberg Global Aggregate Ex-USD Index is a broad-based measure ICE BofA Fixed Rate Preferred Securities Index is an unmanaged index
Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) Japan Index is an
of global Investment Grade fixed-rate debt investments, excluding USD- of fixed-rate, preferred securities issued in the U.S.
unmanaged index designed to measure the performance of the large and
denominated debt.
ICE BofA European Union Government Bond Index tracks the mid cap segments of the Japan market.
Bloomberg High Yield Municipal Bond Index is an unmanaged index of performance of sovereign debt publicly issued by countries that are
Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) World Index is an
non-Investment Grade Municipal bonds traded in the U.S. members of the European Union.
unmanaged index of equity securities in the developed markets.
Bloomberg Municipal Bond Index is an unmanaged index of Municipal ICE BofA U.S. High Yield Index is an unmanaged index of below-
Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) World ex USA Small Cap
bonds traded in the U.S. investment grade U.S. corporate bonds.
Index is an unmanaged index of small-cap equity securities in the
Bloomberg Pan-European High Yield Index covers the universe of ICE BofA Developed Markets High Yield Ex-Subordinated Financial developed markets, excluding the United States.
fixed-rate, sub-investment-grade debt denominated in euros or other Index (Hedged) is an unmanaged index of global developed market
Morgan Stanley Capital International All Country World (MSCI AC
European currencies (except Swiss francs). below investment grade corporate bonds, USD hedged.
World) Index is an unmanaged free float-adjusted market-capitalization-
Bloomberg Taxable Municipal Bond Index is an unmanaged index of FTSE 100 Index is an unmanaged market-capitalization weighted index weighted index designed to measure the equity market performance of
Taxable Municipal bonds traded in the U.S. representing the performance of the 100 largest UK listed blue chip developed and emerging markets.
companies, which pass screening for size and liquidity.
Bloomberg U.S. Agency Index measures agency securities issued by Morgan Stanley Capital International Europe (MSCI Europe) Index is
U.S government agencies, quasi-federal corporations, and corporate or FTSE All Small Index consists of all the companies in the FTSE an unmanaged free float-adjusted market-capitalization-weighted index
foreign debt guaranteed by the U.S. government. SmallCap and FTSE Fledgling indices. designed to measure the equity market performance of the developed
markets in Europe.
Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Index is an unmanaged index of domestic FTSE World Government Bond Index (WGBI) measures the
investment-grade bonds, including corporate, government and mortgage- performance of fixed-rate, local currency, investment-grade sovereign Morgan Stanley Capital International Europe, Australasia, Far East
backed securities. bonds. (MSCI EAFE) Index is an unmanaged index of equities in the developed
markets, excluding the U.S. and Canada.
Bloomberg U.S. Asset Backed Securities (ABS) Index measures ABS J.P. Morgan Corporate Emerging Markets Bond Index (CEMBI) Broad
with the following collateral type: credit and charge card, auto, and utility Diversified is an unmanaged index of USD-denominated emerging MSCI USA Index is designed to measure the performance of the large and mid
loans. market corporate bonds. cap segments of the US market. With 625 constituents, the index covers
approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization in the US.
Bloomberg U.S. CMBS Index measures the market of conduit and fusion J.P. Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index (EMBI) Global Diversified
CMBS deals with a minimum current deal size of $300mn. is an unmanaged index of USD-denominated bonds with maturities of MSCI China captures large and mid-cap representation across China A-
more than one year issued by emerging markets governments. shares, B-shares, H-shares, Red-chips and P-chips. It reflects the Mainland
Bloomberg U.S. Corporate Investment Grade Index is an unmanaged
China and Hong Kong opportunity set from an international investor’s
index that measures the performance of investment-grade corporate J.P. Morgan Government Bond Index-Emerging Markets (GBI-EM)
perspective.
securities within the Barclays U.S. Aggregate Index. Global Diversified is an unmanaged index of local-currency bonds with
maturities of more than one year issued by emerging market governments. The MSCI India Index is designed to measure the performance of the large
Bloomberg U.S. Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) Index measures
and mid cap segments of the Indian market.
agency mortgage-backed pass-through securities issued by GNMA, Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) Emerging Markets Index
FNMA, and FHLMC. is an unmanaged index of emerging markets common stocks The MSCI World Index is a free float adjusted market capitalization
weighted index that is designed to measure the global equity market
Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Index measures public debt instruments MSCI EMU Index (European Economic and Monetary Union) captures
performance of developed markets. The term "free float" represents the
issued by the U.S. Treasury. large and mid cap representation across the 10 Developed Markets
portion of shares outstanding that are deemed to be available for purchase
countries in the EMU. With 229 constituents, the index covers
CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) tracks the implied volatilities of a wide range in the public equity markets by investors. The performance of the Index is
approximately 85% of the free float-adjusted market capitalization of the
of S&P 500 Index options. listed in U.S. dollars and assumes reinvestment of net dividends.
EMU.
Risk Considerations
This material has been prepared on the basis of publicly available information, internally developed data
Diversification does not eliminate the risk of loss.
and other third-party sources believed to be reliable. However, no assurances are provided regarding
In general, equity securities’ values also fluctuate in response to activities specific to a company. the reliability of such information and the Firm has not sought to independently verify information taken
Investments in foreign markets entail special risks such as currency, political, economic, and market from public and third-party sources.
risks. The risks of investing in emerging market countries are greater than risks associated with
This material is a general communication, which is not impartial, and all information provided has been
investments in foreign developed countries. Fixed income securities are subject to the ability of an
prepared solely for informational and educational purposes and does not constitute an offer or a
issuer to make timely principal and interest payments (credit risk), changes in interest rates (interest-
recommendation to buy or sell any particular security or to adopt any specific investment strategy. The
rate risk), the creditworthiness of the issuer and general market liquidity (market risk). In a rising
information herein has not been based on a consideration of any individual investor circumstances and
interest-rate environment, bond prices may fall and may result in periods of volatility and increased
is not investment advice, nor should it be construed in any way as tax, accounting, legal or regulatory
portfolio redemptions. In a declining interest-rate environment, the portfolio may generate less income.
advice. To that end, investors should seek independent legal and financial advice, including advice as to
Longer-term securities may be more sensitive to interest rate changes. Alternative investments are
tax consequences, before making any investment decision.
speculative, involve a high degree of risk, are highly illiquid, typically have higher fees than other
investments, and may engage in the use of leverage, short sales, and derivatives, which may increase The Firm does not provide tax advice. The tax information contained herein is general and is not
the risk of investment loss. These investments are designed for investors who understand and are exhaustive by nature. It was not intended or written to be used, and it cannot be used by any taxpayer,
willing to accept these risks. Performance may be volatile, and an investor could lose all or a substantial for the purpose of avoiding penalties that may be imposed on the taxpayer. Each Jurisdiction tax laws
portion of its investment. are complex and constantly changing. You should always consult your own legal or tax professional for
information concerning your individual situation.
There is no guarantee that any investment strategy will work under all market conditions, and each
investor should evaluate their ability to invest for the long-term, especially during periods of downturn in Charts and graphs provided herein are for illustrative purposes only. Past performance is no
the market. guarantee of future results.
A separately managed account may not be appropriate for all investors. Separate accounts The indexes are unmanaged and do not include any expenses, fees or sales charges. It is not possible
managed according to the Strategy include a number of securities and will not necessarily track to invest directly in an index. Any index referred to herein is the intellectual property (including registered
the performance of any index. Please consider the investment objectives, risks and fees of the trademarks) of the applicable licensor. Any product based on an index is in no way sponsored,
Strategy carefully before investing. A minimum asset level is required. endorsed, sold or promoted by the applicable licensor and it shall not have any liability with respect
thereto.
For important information about the investment managers, please refer to Form ADV Part 2.
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The views and opinions and/or analysis expressed are those of the author or the investment team as of
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43274 | 3/5/2025