Economics-Update-Magazine-Issue1
Economics-Update-Magazine-Issue1
update
Winter 2021 Issue 1
Contents:
BIG IDEAS IN ECONOMICS
GLOBAL ECONOMY CASE STUDY
FOCUS ON EXAM TECHNIQUE
COUNTRY ECONOMIC PROFILE
FOCUS ON QUANTITATIVE SKILLS
UK ECONOMY UPDATE
www.tutor2u.net/economics
BIG IDEAS IN
ECONOMICS
BASIC ECONOMIC
PROBLEM
One of the biggest ideas in economics is the Basic Economic Problem. Lots of students
ignore this, but it lies at the heart of the subject.
You will know that resources are limited in some way (i.e. “finite”), but that there are no limits to what people want
(i.e. infinite). This means that there is scarcity (not enough to go around) and choices must made. We need to
think about what we are going to produce with these scarce resources, how are we going to produce things to
make the best possible use of our resources and crucially importantly, who gets what. A similar, but smaller problem
is the choices you make when you start to earn money. Perhaps this allows you to buy more and do more things,
but these are still limits.
One of the first things you studied in Economics is “allocation mechanisms” or economic systems. Allocation
mechanisms are how economies decide who gets what.
Most of the economies in the world today are mixed When you learn about market failures such as externalities
economies although the relative sizes of the market (where the decisions people take impact others) you are
economy and the part decided by governments differ. In learning about situations where market economies solve
the UK it is very roughly half and half. The UK attempts the basic economic problem imperfectly because the
to solve its basic economic problem in part through wrong amounts are allocated in certain situations. When
prices determined by the market mechanism and in part you learn about public goods you are learning about
through government decisions. If a new technology good how market economies fail to solve the basic economic
comes on to the market it will be expensive at first. Prices problem at all and where governments will not only need
will mean it is “allocated” to those most willing and able to step in to decide who gets what but to provide the
to pay. Healthcare in the UK is “allocated” by the good or service themselves.
government. It depends on need and not ability to pay.
When you learn about demand and supply diagrams,
how prices change and how this signals resources to Top Tip! If you want to do well in Economics
and enjoy the subject, you should always ask
be reallocated, you are learning about how the basic yourself why a concept has been included in the
economic problem is tackled in market economies. specification and what it helps you to understand!
Over to you
Easy access to bank loans made it possible for property developers in China to increase supply of new properties very
fast. This was encouraged by buoyant demand from Chinese households, who wanted to buy the new apartments, so
the profits available were extremely attractive for the builders.
i Use a supply and demand diagram to show the effects of excess supply
ii Explain how the functions of price have led to a new equilibrium at which the property developers cannot
afford to supply.
www.tutor2u.net/economics 3
FOCUS ON - EXAM TECHNIQUE
Wonderful words
Longer written answers in Economics exams are assessed using “levels of response” (sometimes known as
“marking grids”). The levels of response cover a wide range of skills and evidence, but one of the key features
of answers in the highest levels is that there is excellent use of appropriate economic terminology. This means
that you should use as much economic language as you can, and use it in the best possible way. Take a look at
the following examples, showing how you can upgrade your writing to include wonderful words:
Example 1
Original answer The government could increase the amount of money it collects from people
Improved answer The government could increase the tax revenue it collects from people
Even better The government could increase the tax revenue it collects from a range of economic
answer agents, for example households and firms
Example 2
Original answer More of a good is bought when people have more money to spend
Improved answer Demand for a good is higher when people have a greater income
Even better Demand for a good is higher when people have a greater disposable income and the
answer good is a normal good
Example 3
Original answer A currency will go down if we sell fewer goods abroad
Improved answer A currency will depreciate if we sell fewer exports
Even better A currency will depreciate if we sell a lower value of exports, ceteris paribus
answer
Over to you
Activity 1
Read through these sentences written by Economics students. Note down how you think these sentences could
be improved by using wonderful words.
1 If people get more money when they save then more money will leave the circular flow.
2 When an economy gets bigger it is likely that more people will have a job, and so the government
will spend less money.
3 When the price of meals from McDonald’s rises then people will buy more meals from KFC instead,
making their meals more expensive.
4 If the price level keeps on rising then people will want to be paid more, and so this causes firms to
spend more on them and the price level will rise even more.
5 A PPF has a curvy shape because people have different skills and it becomes increasingly harder
for them to do different jobs.
www.tutor2u.net/economics 5
Japan
Country profile
Has few natural resources Japan was the first country World’s highest public debt: Economy structure is
and is dependent on imported to ratify the Trans Pacific interest payments on this agriculture: 1.1%,
energy and raw materials Partnership debt account for 24% of industry: 30.1%,
government spending services: 68.7%.
GDP Unemployment
Real GDP $5.065 trn Unemployment 3.0%
Real GDP per capita $42,939 Average unemployment 2014-19 2.95%
Average real GDP growth 2014-19 0.82% Youth unemployment 4.3%
Average youth unemployment 2014-19 4.83%
Trade Labour force participation rate 8.6%
Trade balance (% of GDP) 0.171%
Average trade balance 2014-19 (% of GDP) 0.29% Monetary policy
Chief trade partners US, China, Australia, S Korea Base rate - 0.1%
Quantitative Easing to date in excess of $45 bn
Fiscal policies CPI Inflation rate 0.2%
Government spending this year $0.97 tn Average inflation 2014-19 0.82%
Budget balance (% of GDP) - 8.9%
Healthcare
Government debt (% of GDP) 233.7%
Healthcare as a percentage of government spending 2014-19 23.65%
Average tax revenue (% of GDP) 2014-19 31.02%
Private spending on healthcare per capita, PPP $716
Top rate of income tax 45%
Key reforms to the fiscal system include raising sales taxes from 8% to 10%
Focus for spending is on 4 key areas: digital transformation, a greener society, the revival of regions and
childcare support to cope with the fast-aging population
Improving economic relations and diplomacy with the US, to help counteract the rising economic power
of Japan
Japan is continually updating its immigration policy to allow workers with relevant skills into the country,
to help tackle the impact of aging population
In 2019 Duflo won the Nobel Prize in Economics, with her two co-researchers Abhijit
Banerjee and Michael Kremer, a recognition for “for their experimental approach
to alleviating global poverty”. Duflo is the youngest person, and only the second
woman, to win the award.
Journey to the top Fascinating Fact
Born in Paris in 1972, Duflo studied history and economics Duflo initially arrived at University to study towards a degree
at the École Normale Supérieure before a Master’s Degree in in History and Economics, with the goal of becoming a
economics. In 1999, she completed her PhD at MIT and was History professor. During ten months in Russia to complete
then appointed as an assistant professor. Her PhD thesis her History thesis on the Soviet Union, she re-assessed her
focused on the economic evaluation of a school-expansion ambitions and decided that “economics had potential as a
program in Indonesia, a “natural experiment”. She co-founded lever of action in the world” and, instead, went on to complete
the Poverty Action Lab at the Massachusetts Institute of a PhD in economics at the Massachusetts Institute of
Technology and is Professor of Economics at MIT. Technology in 1999.
www.tutor2u.net/economics 7
FOCUS ON - QUANTITATIVE SKILLS
Calculating index numbers
Index numbers are a type of statistic used by economists in order to express data so that it can be more easily
understood and used as a basis of comparison with other data sets. It is typically (but not always) used to express
“time series” economic data. An index number is a figure reflecting a price or quantity compared with a base
value. The base value always has an index number of 100. The index number is then expressed as 100 times the
ratio to the base value. Note that index numbers have no units (e.g. £, Euros or $).
You can find a short video If you want to take this topic a bit
explanation of index numbers by further, take a look at this video on
following this QR code: weighted index numbers:
Activity 1
Using the information provided, complete the table that follows using 2016 as the base year. Give the index numbers
to 2dp. Several years have been completed for you as worked examples.
Germany’s GDP per capita (US$)
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
GDP per 43979 44071 44143 44931 45208 45845 46862 47314 47469 45065
capita (US$)
Activity 3
The table below provides data on the price of groceries at a local supermarket. In some cases, the actual price of the
item is given. In other cases, the index value is given. An example of how to calculate the price from the index number
is given below. Complete the remainder of the table.
Product Price (£s) Index (box of eggs = 100)
Pack of 6 apples 84.21
Box of 6 free-range organic eggs 1.90 100
Block of 400g cheddar cheese 2.00
Loaf (800g) of white sliced bread 1.10
1.5kg bag porridge oats 78.95
Multipack of 6 bags salt n vinegar crisps 89.47
To calculate the price of a pack of 6 apples:
84.21/100 x £1.90 = £1.60
Activity 4 – a challenge
This is a more challenging activity, because you do not have the data from the base period. A worked example is
provided below the table. Once you have read through that, use the same method to fill in the blanks in the table.
Number of people employed in the UK
Date Total number employed Index (Jan 2014 = 100)
Jan 2019 107.61
June 2019 28 884 296 107.92
Jan 2020 108.54
June 2020 105.82
Jan 2021 105.15
June 2021 107.09
Total number employed in Jan 2020 = 28 884 296 / 107.92 x 108.54 = 29 050 236
www.tutor2u.net/economics 9
RISING UK ENERGY PRICES
Price S2
S1
The cold winter caused
a shift inwards of supply P1
while reopening industry
caused demand to shift
P2
outwards.
D1 D2
Q1 Q2 Quantity
Market for gas
Necessity, and lack of Since the start of the year, the wholesale price of gas has risen
substitutes, will make approximately 250%. There are multiple causes: after
Price Elasticity of Demand This will cause Price
very inelastic a cold winter in Europe and Asia there is less gas held in
storage than usual, and there’s been a strong need for gas and Elasticity of Supply to be
This will cause issues for very inelastic, at least in
energy in many countries as they emerged from lockdown and the short run, as there is
those on lower incomes, industry reopened. The UK is one of Europe’s biggest users of
as they will be forced to no capacity to increase
spend more on energy
natural gas - 85% of homes use gas central heating, and gas supply in response to the
bills; it is likely to lead to also generates a third of the country’s electricity. There is also rising price.
greater inequality. Some a shortage of gas storage facilities; the UK has only 8% of the
may even have to make storage capacity that the Netherlands has, and only 5.6% of the
choices between using capacity in Italy.
domestic fuel and paying Could this cause a wage-
for other necessities such As a result, about 15 million UK households have seen their price spiral? Employees
as food or transport. energy bills rise by 12% since the beginning of October. There are likely to ask for
higher wages to cover
Government spending is
is an energy price cap which limits household bills by setting the expected increase
already under enormous the maximum price suppliers in England, Wales and Scotland in their fuel bills.
pressure, and taxpayers can charge domestic customers, but the industry regulator
already face a very Ofgem say that the cap will go up again in April, the next time
significant burden for it is reviewed. Two threats to
years to come after the macroeconomic
spending during the Businesses have called for help to deal with their energy objectives: cost push
pandemic. If the costs, as the energy price caps do not apply to their bills. inflation, and higher
government was to give unemployment.
subsidies to energy Manufacturers have warned of higher prices for their goods as
suppliers, they would have they pass on increases to consumers, and other firms have said
to either reduce spending they may be forced to shut down their factories, which could A number of energy
on other services threaten tens of thousands of jobs. But a price cap would risk suppliers have already
(opportunity cost) or raise simply passing on the extra costs to energy suppliers, while ‘gone bust’ and left the
taxes in order to fund market, which means
those subsidies – at a
direct subsidies would add to the burden on taxpayers, there is a reduction in
time when they already at a time when Chancellor Rishi Sunak is expected to seek the amount of competition
face the problem of how to curb public spending in his Budget on 27 October. in energy supply.
to fund government debt.
Over to you
Short research task
What planned changes to Income Tax and Corporation Tax did the Chancellor announce in the Budget Statement on
March 3rd 2021, and what changes to National Insurance were announced in September 2021?
Year 12 micro question
Use a demand and supply diagram to show the effect of a maximum price (price cap) on the market for gas.
Year 13 micro question
Use a cost and revenue diagram to show the effect on business costs and revenues of rising gas prices.
D1
of Lake Garda in Italy. D
D
Part of the explanation is that far more people than usual Q Q1 Quantity
Q Q1 Quantity are choosing to holiday in the UK. It is a similar explanation
as to why holidays of all types are more expensive in
Price elasticities of demand school holiday time than they are in term time. Another
are also likely to fall (become factor is that the cost of supplying holiday accommodation Disruptions to supply chains
more inelastic) as perceived has increased. Cleaning would be just one example may also lower the price
substitutes fall. This means as well as the rising cost of food stuffs for hotels. elasticity of supply. This means
that any adjustment to a new it is harder and more expensive
equilibrium will fall more Is there more to it than this though? For some holiday for firms to allocate resources
heavily on price. makers, the risk of overseas travel is too great, and this to this market in response to
Price
S1
means they will be far less responsive to price changes a price rise.
S
for UK holidays because of the perceived lack of
alternatives. This is something suppliers can take
P1
advantage of to increase their profits. It may not be the
P accommodation owners themselves, but the booking
sites used in many cases. These sites use dynamic
D
pricing as demand surges allowing them to take
Q1 Q Quantity full advantage of changing tastes and trends.
Price S
The fall in PED means that the monopoly power of firms in this market has increased. Monopoly power is
P1
the ability to set price. Individual accommodation owners probably have little monopoly power unless the
P
property they own is unique since there are many alternatives available. However, the large booking agents
do. When PED is low, revenue will increase when price increases. This provides an incentive to depress
quantity supplied to elevate price for example from Q to Q1. Consumer surplus falls to now just the pink
area and the green box transfers from consumer surplus to producer surplus. The shaded triangle shows D
the deadweight loss. Q1 Q Quantity
Over to you
Explain why holidays are typically more expensive out of term time (i.e. in school holidays) than during term time.
Consider using a demand and supply diagram in your answer.
www.tutor2u.net/economics 11
THE UK ECONOMY AN UPDATE
It is important for your A-Level Economics exams that you have a good understanding of UK economic
performance. This doesn’t mean that you need to memorise precise facts and figures, but you do need a
strong awareness of trends in the various performance indicators. Here we look at three key macroeconomic
indicators and put them in the broader context of UK macroeconomic performance over recent years.
UK Economic Growth
The chart below shows the annual GDP growth rate in the UK from 1949 to 2021. You should find it easy to
identify the periods in which there was recession, because the growth rate was negative. The UK economy
shrank by a record 9.8% in 2020.
Real GDP growth in the UK 1949-2021, per cent, (2021 is a forecast is from the Bank of England)
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2
-4
-6
-8
-10
-12
1949
1951
1953
1955
1957
1959
1961
1963
1965
1967
1969
1971
1973
1975
1977
1979
1981
1983
1985
1987
1989
1991
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
2011
2013
2015
2017
2019
2021
UK Unemployment Rate
Usually, during recession, the unemployment rate rises because of cyclical unemployment – if fewer goods and
services are being produced, then there is less demand for labour. Compare the unemployment rates during
the last 4 recessions (shown below) with the extent to which there was negative economic growth (shown
above). You should notice that, whilst unemployment has risen during these recessions, the peak unemployment
rate is lower. There are several reasons for this, including a more flexible labour force, greater “gig economy”
work, and most recently, the furlough scheme.
Unemployment rate in the UK from March 1971 to July 2021, % of the labour force
14
11.9
12 10.7
10 8.5
8
6 5.1
4
2
0
Mar 71
Aug 72
Jan 74
Jun 75
Nov 76
Apr 78
Sep 79
Feb 81
Jul 82
Dec 83
May 85
Oct 86
Mar 88
Aug 89
Jan 91
Jun 92
Nov 93
Apr 95
Sep 96
Feb 98
Jul 99
Dec 00
May 02
Oct 03
Mar 05
Aug 06
Jan 08
Jun 09
Nov 10
Apr 12
Sep 13
Feb 15
Jul 16
Dec 17
May 19
Oct 20
Surge in recovery spending Economy better prepared for Borrowing costs remain low...
might stimulate investment the end of furlough scheme for now...
Reasons to be fearful
Chronic supply shortages Demand hit by steep fall in real Economy remains vulnerable to
persist (domestic and external) disposable incomes in 2022 historically high debt levels
www.tutor2u.net/economics 13
SUGGESTED ANSWERS TO ACTIVITIES
UK HOLIDAYS 2021
Suggested answer to Over to You – UK Holidays 2021
A suitable diagram is likely to be:
Price Points to make:
S • Most schools prevent pupils from taking holidays during
term time.
• This means that the population able to demand holidays is
P1 much greater out of term times.
• Population is one of the conditions of demand and the
P
increase (shift) in the demand will move the market for
holidays into disequilibrium.
• There will be excess demand and dissatisfied consumers
D1
have an incentive to increase the price they are willing to
D
pay.
• This increase in price sends a signal and provides an
Q Q1 Quantity incentive for firms to allocate more resources to the market
and for some consumers to ration. Eventually a new
equilibrium is reached with a higher price.
• In addition, PED is likely to fall outside of term time as
consumers have less options. This means any changes
to the conditions of supply will fall more heavily on price.
UK ENERGY PRICES
Suggested answers to Over to You
Short research task Year 12 micro question
3 March 2021: As the price cap is set below market equilibrium
• Tax-free personal allowance to be frozen at £12,570 from (P1), suppliers will only be willing to supply Q2
April 2021 levels to 2026. gas, while consumers wish to use Q3 gas, so
• Higher rate income tax threshold to be frozen at £50,270 there is excess demand of ab.
from April 2021 levels to 2026. Price S
• Corporation tax on company profits above £250,000 to rise
from 19% to 25% in April 2023.
• Rate to be kept at 19% for about 1.5 million smaller
companies with profits of less than £50,000.
P1 a b = excess demand
at Pmax
a b
Pmax
Q2 Q1 Q3 Quantity
AL
Q2 Q1 Output
MR
Q1 Q3 Q2 Q4 Quantity
Index number 95.93 96.13 96.29 98.01 98.61 100.00 102.22 103.20 103.54 98.30
(2016 = 100)
www.tutor2u.net/economics 15
Activity 2
Economy GDP per capita (US$) Index (UK = 100)
Australia 48 698 116.97
Canada 45 857 110.16
Euro Area 43 681 104.93
Japan 41 380 99.41
United Kingdom 41 627 100
United States 60 236 114.70
Activity 3
Product Price (£s) Index (box of eggs = 100)
Pack of 6 apples 1.60 84.21
Box of 6 free-range organic eggs 1.90 100
Block of 400g cheddar cheese 2.00 105.26
Loaf (800g) of white sliced bread 1.10 57.89
1.5kg bag porridge oats 1.50 78.95
Multipack of 6 bags salt n vinegar crisps 1.70 89.47
Activity 4 – a challenge
Date Total number employed Index (Jan 2014 = 100)
Jan 2019 28 801 326 107.61
June 2019 28 884 296 107.92
Jan 2020 29 050 236 108.54
June 2020 28 322 241 105.82
Jan 2021 28 142 918 105.15
June 2021 28 662 150 107.09
Activity 1
1 A business that has to pay more tax may be less incentivised to carry out investment.
A business that has to pay more corporation tax may be less incentivised to carry out investment.
2 As part of its fiscal policy, a government may choose to increase spending, for example by spending
more on infrastructure.
As part of its expansionary fiscal policy, a government may choose to increase capital spending, for
example by spending more on transport infrastructure.
3 When income rises, demand for goods increases causing their demand curves to shift to the right.
When disposable income rises, demand for normal goods increases causing their demand curves to
shift to the right.
4 When a good has very few substitutes then it is likely to have inelastic demand.
When a good has very few effective substitutes then it is likely to have price inelastic demand.
5 One way in which governments can reduce the impact of externalities is by using permits.
One way in which governments can reduce the impact of negative externalities is by using tradeable
permits.
6 Unemployment can occur when there is less demand for labour due to a recession.
Cyclical unemployment can occur when there is less derived demand for labour due to a recession.
7 If income tax increases then households have less income, ceteris paribus, and so AD will fall.
If income tax rates increase then households have less disposable income, ceteris paribus, and so
AD will fall.
8 Many developing economies rely on selling commodities in order to earn revenue.
Many developing economies rely on selling soft commodities in order to earn export revenue.
www.tutor2u.net/economics 17
MASTERING QUANTITATIVE SKILLS
FOR A-LEVEL ECONOMICS
Enroll on this FREE online course to help you grab those crucial
20% of marks in the summer exams!
Every quantitative skill required by A-Level Economics students is covered in this
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With quantitative and numerical skills accounting for around 20% of marks in A-Level Economics,
it is vital that students develop their confidence and skills in this area.
Mastering A-Level Economics: Quantitative Skills provides students with comprehensive coverage
of every skill. Short videos introduce and illustrate each topic with lots of opportunities to practice.
Interactive resources and worksheet downloads complement the videos to make for a complete study
package!
The quantitative and numerical skills covered by Mastering A-Level Economics: Quantitative Skills are:
Ratios and Fractions Percentages Means, Medians and Quantiles
Index Numbers Costs Revenue and Profit
Real and Nominal Data Elasticity Graphical Forms
Other numerical exam skills
Order your
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www.tutor2u.net/economics 19
Join us for our FREE A-Level Economics
revision livestreams!
• 30-40 mins of livestreamed,
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• Archive of over 30 sessions
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• Meet Geoff, Lisa, Cathy, Jon,
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