Ekonomi Sunumu - ENG 7f84aa86bb42467b
Ekonomi Sunumu - ENG 7f84aa86bb42467b
i. GROWTH
iv. INFLATION
v. PUBLIC FINANCE
Switzerland
S.Arabia
Türkiye
Netherlands
Indonesia
Spain
Australia
Mexico
S.Korea
Russia
Canada
Brazil
Italy
France
UK
India
Japan
Germany
China
USA
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
5,3
5
4,8 4,8
3
1924-2024 2004-2024 2014-2024
17.000
15.463
15.000
13.000
11.000
9.000
7.000
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Source: TURKSTAT 8
-16
0
8
-8
16
24
Source: TURKSTAT
2013 Q1
Q3
2014 Q1
Q3
2015 Q1
Q3
2016 Q1
GDP (annual % change)
Q3
2017 Q1
Q3
2018 Q1
Q3
2019 Q1
Q3
2020 Q1
Q3
2021 Q1
Q3
2022 Q1
Q3
2023 Q1
Q3
2024 Q1
3,0
Q3
9
Contribution to GDP Growth in Terms of Expenditure (% point)
20
16
12
1,1
4
1,0
0,2
2,8
0
-1,8
-4
-8
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Private Consumption Public Consumption Total Investments Stock Change Net Exports
12
10
4
0,9
2 1,6
0,4
0 0,1
0.2
-2
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
(*) Total of mining and quarrying, electricity, gas, steam and air-conditioning generation and distribution, water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation activities.
(**) It is calculated by subtracting agriculture, industry, construction sectors and tax-subsidies from total GDP.
Industrial Production Index (2021=100) Capacity Utilization Rate of Manufacturing Industry (%)
116 80
107,8
75 75,2
96
70
76
65
56 60
Jan-18
Jul-18
Jan-19
Jul-19
Jan-20
Jul-20
Jan-21
Jul-21
Jan-22
Jul-22
Jan-23
Jul-23
Jan-24
Jul-24
Jan-25
Jan-18
Jul-18
Jan-19
Jul-19
Jan-20
Jul-20
Jan-21
Jul-21
Jan-22
Jul-22
Jan-23
Jul-23
Jan-24
Jul-24
Jan-25
(*) Seasonally adjusted.
Source: TURKSTAT, CBRT 12
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
Jan-18
Jul-21
Confidence Indices*
Jan-22
Jul-22
Jan-23
Jul-23
Jan-24
Jul-24
103,2
Jan-25
60
70
80
90
100
Jan-18
Jul-18
Jan-19
Jul-19
Jan-20
Jul-20
Jan-21
Jul-21
Consumer
Jan-22
Jul-22
Jan-23
Jul-23
Jan-24
Jul-24
85,9
Jan-25
13
GDP Growth Projections (%)
5,5
5,0
5,0
4,5
4,5
4,0
4,0
3,5
3,0
2025 2026 2027
20.420
20.000
18.990
18.000
17.028
16.000
14.000
12.000
2025 2026 2027
80 15
66,2
60 56.0
10
40
35,2
26.9
5
20
2.4 2,9
0 0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025*
33
32,3
31
29
27
25
24.5
23
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025*
20
18,9
16
12 12.5
8
6,7
5.1
4,8
4 5.0
1.8 2,2
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Source: TURKSTAT 19
Unemployment Rate (%)
14
12
10
8.9
8,2
8
6
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025*
53,2
52
48,8
48.0
48
44 43.7
40
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025*
35 34.5
31
27 26,5
23 22.5
19
16,9
15
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Informal Employment Rate Informal Employment Rate (Non-Agriculture)
Source: TURKSTAT 22
Unemployment Rate Projections (%)
10
9.6
9.2
9
8.8
8
2025 2026 2027
400
347
300
261 263
200
161
100 99
85
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025*
110
92
90
79
76
70
62
50
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025*
Export Import Coverage Ratio Export Import Coverage Ratio (Excluding Gold & Energy)
(*) 12 month rolling as of February 2025
Source: TURKSTAT, Ministry of Treasury and Finance Calculations 26
Top Exported Goods (billion dollar)
11
125
14
100 16
17
75
21
50
25
25
32
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025*
Vehicles Boilers and machineries
Ready-made garments Electrical machinery and equipment
Mineral fuels and oils Precious stones, metals, pearls and articles
Plastics and articles
(*) 12 month rolling as of February 2025
Source: TURKSTAT 27
Export Performance (annual % change*)
6
5.3
4 3.7
3.4
2.8
2.1
2
0
World Euro Area Emerging and Developing Latin America and the Türkiye
Asia Caribbean
(*) 2014-23 period average.
Note: For Türkiye based on exports of goods data, for other regions based on volume of exports of goods and services data.
Source: TÜİK, IMF, Ministry of Treasury and Finance Calculations 28
Türkiye's Share in the World Exports (%)
1,1
1,08
1,0
0,9
0,85
0,8
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024*
400
19
300 50
55
200
66
100
157
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025*
Intermediate Goods Excluding Energy and Gold Energy Consumption Goods Capital Goods Gold
(*) 12 month Rolling as of February 2025
Source: TURKSTAT 30
Foreign Trade Projections (billion dollar)
450 418
391
369
350 320
296
280
250
150
50
-50
70
61 62
60
50
40 39
40
30
20
10
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
4,0
4
3,3
3 2,8
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
January-23
Current Account Balance (Excluding Gold & Energy)
May-23
September-23
January-24
May-24
September-24
51,1
-12,8
January-25
34
Current Account Balance/GDP (%)
10
4,0
2 1,1
-0,8
-2
-5,1
-6
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Current Account Balance/GDP Current Account Balance/GDP (Excluding Gold & Energy)
80
60
40
24,8
20
15,2
4,8
0
-16,5
-20
-15,3
-40
-60
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025*
Net Foreign Direct Investment Net Portfolio Investment Net Other Investment Reserve Assets Net Errors & Omissions
Note: (+) sign in Reserve Assets indicates decrease in reserves and (-) sign indicates accumulation of reserves.
20
4,2
15
3,0 3,9
4,3 2,5
6,3
10 5,6 2,8
5,9
4,6 3,6
15,1
5,0
10,5 4,0
5 9,9 9,7
9,0 8,4
7,0 7,5 7,1
6,5 6,5
4,5
3,6
0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025*
Source: CBRT 37
120
150
180
0
30
60
90
Source: CBRT
(*) As of April 4, 2025
Jan-13
Jun-13
Nov-13
Apr-14
Sep-14
Feb-15
Jul-15
Dec-15
May-16
Oct-16
Mar-17
Aug-17
FX
Jan-18
Jun-18
Nov-18
Apr-19
Sep-19
Gold
Feb-20
Jul-20
Dec-20
May-21
Oct-21
Mar-22
Aug-22
Jan-23
Central Bank’s Gross International Reserves (billion dollar)
Jun-23
Nov-23
Apr-24
*154.3 billion dollar
Sep-24
Feb-25
38
Current Account Deficit Projections (billion dollar)
30
28,6
28
26 25,6
24
22,6
22
20
2025 2026 2027
2,5
2,0
2,0
1,6
1,5
1,3
1,0
2025 2026 2027
90
75
60
45
38.1
37,4
30
15
0
Apr-20
Jan-18
Apr-18
Oct-18
Jan-19
Apr-19
Oct-19
Jan-20
Oct-20
Jan-21
Apr-21
Oct-21
Jan-22
Apr-22
Oct-22
Jan-23
Apr-23
Oct-23
Jan-24
Apr-24
Oct-24
Jan-25
Jul-18
Jul-19
Jul-20
Jul-21
Jul-22
Jul-23
Jul-24
CPI C Index*
(*) CPI excluding energy, food and non-alcoholic beverages, alcoholic beverages, tobacco and gold
Source: TURKSTAT 42
-20
100
130
160
10
40
70
Source: TURKSTAT
Jan-18
Apr-18
Jul-18
Oct-18
Energy
Jan-19
Apr-19
Jul-19
Oct-19
Jan-20
Apr-20
Jul-20
Oct-20
Consumer Inflation (annual, %)
Jan-21
Apr-21
Jul-21
Food and Non-Alcoholic Beverages
Oct-21
Jan-22
Apr-22
Jul-22
Oct-22
Jan-23
Core Goods
Apr-23
Jul-23
Oct-23
Jan-24
Service
Apr-24
Jul-24
Oct-24
Jan-25
37,1
19,4
42,0
56,3
43
120
160
0
40
80
Source: TURKSTAT
Jan-18
Apr-18
Jul-18
Oct-18
Jan-19
Apr-19
Jul-19
Oct-19
Jan-20
Apr-20
Jul-20
Oct-20
Jan-21
Apr-21
Jul-21
Oct-21
Jan-22
Apr-22
Jul-22
Domestic Producer Price Inflation (annual, %)
Oct-22
Jan-23
Apr-23
Jul-23
Oct-23
Jan-24
Apr-24
Jul-24
Oct-24
Jan-25
23,5
44
0
10
20
30
40
50
Source: CBRT
Jan-18
Apr-18
Jul-18
Oct-18
Jan-19
Apr-19
Jul-19
Oct-19
Jan-20
12 Months Ahead
Apr-20
Jul-20
Oct-20
Jan-21
Apr-21
Jul-21
Oct-21
Jan-22
Apr-22
Jul-22
Consumer Inflation Expectations (annual, %)
Oct-22
Jan-23
24 Months Ahead
Apr-23
Jul-23
Oct-23
Jan-24
Apr-24
Jul-24
Oct-24
Jan-25
17,7
25,6
Apr-25
45
Consumer Inflation Projections (%)
20
17,5
10 9,7
7,0
0
2025 2026 2027
-1
-1,0
-2
-3
-4
-5 -4,9
-6
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
2 1,7
-1
-2
-1,9
-3
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
-2
-2,5
-2,8
-3,1
-4
2025 2026 2027
1,0
0,6
0,5
0,3
0,0
0,0
2025 2026 2027
Maastricht Criterion
60
50
40
30,9
30
24,7
20
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
28
26
25,3
25,1
24,8
24
22
20
2025 2026 2027
100
100
31,6
80
80
54,7
60 60
40 40
68,4
45,3
20 20
0 0
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025-2
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025-2
Fixed Floating
TL Denominated Foreign Currency Denominated
60
50
40 42,0
39,0
30
24,2
20
19,7
10
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
15,3
2013
2024-2
17,7
2025-2
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Argentina
Banking Sector: Capital Adequacy Ratio (%)
Indonesia
Romania
Czechia
Poland
Thailand
Mexico
Hungary
Colombia
UAE
17,7
Malaysia
Türkiye
Brazil
S. Korea
India
China
57
Russia
0
2
4
6
2,7
2013
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
1,5
2024
1,9
2024-2
2025-2
0
2
4
6
UAE
Russia
Colombia
India
Banking Sector: Non Performing Loan Ratio (%)
Hungary
Thailand
Brazil
Romania
Poland
Indonesia
1,9
Mexico
Türkiye
Argentina
Malaysia
China
Czechia
58
S. Korea
Banking Sector Indicators
50 5
39,9
40
3
2,3
30,6
30
1
20
14,2
-1 -0,6
10
0 -3
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2024-2
2025-2
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025*
(*) As of 4 April, 2025
Source: BRSA 59
Indebtedness (Debt/GDP*, %)