ACF_assignment2.Group_6
ACF_assignment2.Group_6
Explanation
The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model is a fundamental valuation method used to determine
the intrinsic value of a business based on its expected future cash flows. This model discounts
projected cash flows back to their present value using a discount rate that reflects the risk of
those cash flows.
Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF) represents the cash flows available to all capital
providers—both equity holders and debt holders—after accounting for operating expenses and
reinvestment needs. FCFF is preferred in DCF analysis when valuing the overall firm
(enterprise value) rather than just equity.
The standard formula for FCFF is:
These FCFF values are then discounted using the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
to obtain the enterprise value.
Sol 1.
Calculation of ULFCF 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
EBITDA 800000 1000000 1200000 1490000 1660000
EBIT 750000 950000 1150000 1440000 1610000
EBIT(1-t) EAT 525000 665000 805000 1008000 1127000
Depreciation 35000 35000 35000 35000 35000
Amortisation 15000 15000 15000 15000 15000
NWC -10000 -12000 -18000 -20000 -23000
(-) Capex -15000 -15000 -20000 -22000 -24000
Total ULFCF 550000 688000 817000 1016000 1130000
Discount rate 10% 10% 10% 10%
Present Value of ULFCF 625454.5 675206.6 763335.8 21572727.3
Total present value of
ULFCF 23636724.3
Interpretation
The DCF model was applied systematically by forecasting Free Cash Flows for the period 2024
to 2028. Key drivers such as revenues, operating costs, depreciation, and working capital
changes were considered carefully. The FCFFs were appropriately discounted at the
determined WACC rate to reflect the time value of money.
This methodology ensures a clear and comprehensive assessment of the firm's ability to
generate value. The detailed breakdown of assumptions in the projection allows for a
transparent and logical valuation process.
Explanation
Terminal Value (TV) captures the value of the firm beyond the explicit forecast period,
typically using either the Gordon Growth Model or the Exit Multiple Method:
The Gordon Growth Model assumes a perpetual, stable growth rate for cash flows, whereas the
Exit Multiple Method estimates value based on comparable industry multiples.
Interpretation
The terminal value was calculated using both the perpetuity growth approach and the EBITDA
exit multiple method. This dual-method analysis strengthens the reliability of the valuation by
cross-validating results from intrinsic and market-based perspectives.
Using a stable growth assumption aligns with firms operating in mature industries, while the
EBITDA multiple approach benchmarks the firm's valuation against industry norms, offering
a practical market view.
Subsequently, Net Debt is deducted from EV to determine the Equity Value available to
shareholders.
Sol(2)
Calculate the value of firm using EBITDA Multiple
approach
Interpretation
By appropriately discounting both the forecasted FCFF and Terminal Value, a robust Enterprise
Value estimate was achieved. Adjusting for net debt provides a realistic measure of shareholder
value.
The methodology effectively captures both operational efficiency and capital structure. The
sequential buildup from FCFF to EV and finally to Equity Value highlights the logical flow of
valuation and demonstrates financial rigor.
Explanation
To assess and compare investment opportunities, two primary valuation methods were applied:
• DCF-Based Valuation using a Perpetuity Growth Model: Emphasizes intrinsic firm value
based on internal projections.
• EBITDA Multiple Valuation: Reflects relative market-based valuation based on industry
comparables.Each method offers a distinct perspective, helping balance internal growth
assumptions with external market benchmarks.
Conclusion
The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) and Free Cash Flow to Firm (FCFF) analyses are
fundamental tools in modern financial valuation, offering a structured and detailed approach to
assessing the true worth of investment opportunities. By projecting future cash flows and
appropriately discounting them, these models provide deep insights into a company's intrinsic
value beyond market perceptions. Incorporating methods like Terminal Value estimation and
Enterprise Value calculation ensures a comprehensive understanding of a firm's financial health
and growth potential. Additionally, adjusting for Net Debt and applying relative valuation
techniques enhances the accuracy and reliability of investment evaluations. Overall, mastering
DCF and FCFF methodologies equips analysts and investors with critical skills needed to make
informed, data-driven investment decisions in today's complex financial landscape.