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Operation Research Notes Mba

The document provides an overview of Operational Research (OR) and Linear Programming (LP), detailing their definitions, origins, scopes, and roles in decision-making. It discusses various methods for solving transportation problems, including the Northwest Corner Method, Least Cost Entry Method, and Vogel's Approximation Method, along with techniques for finding optimal solutions like the Modi and Stepping Stone methods. Additionally, it highlights the importance of duality and degeneracy in linear programming.

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100% found this document useful (1 vote)
6 views21 pages

Operation Research Notes Mba

The document provides an overview of Operational Research (OR) and Linear Programming (LP), detailing their definitions, origins, scopes, and roles in decision-making. It discusses various methods for solving transportation problems, including the Northwest Corner Method, Least Cost Entry Method, and Vogel's Approximation Method, along with techniques for finding optimal solutions like the Modi and Stepping Stone methods. Additionally, it highlights the importance of duality and degeneracy in linear programming.

Uploaded by

Phanindra
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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MAA OMWATI

INSTITUTE OF MGT. AND TECH.

HASSANPUR

NOTES

CLASS:- MBA 3rd SEM

SUBJECT: OPERATION RESEARCH


Unit-1

Operational Research (OR) is an interdisciplinary field that combines analytical


methods, mathematical models, and data analysis to make better decisions in
complex systems. Also known as Operations Research or Management Science, OR
has its roots in the military and industrial settings of the mid-20th century.

Meaning:

Operational Research involves using advanced analytical techniques to optimize


decision-making processes in various fields, such as business, healthcare, finance,
logistics, and more. It aims to identify the most effective solutions to complex
problems, often involving trade-offs between competing objectives.
Origin:

The term "Operational Research" was first used in the UK during World War II to
describe the application of scientific methods to military operations. After the war, OR
expanded to other fields, including industry and management.
Scope:

The scope of Operational Research is broad and encompasses various aspects of


decision-making, including:
1. Problem-solving

2. Decision analysis

3. Risk analysis

4. Optimization

5. Simulation

6. Modeling

7. Data analysis
8. Performance measurement

Role in Managerial Decision Making:


Operational Research plays a vital role in managerial decision-making by providing a
structured approach to analyzing complex problems and making informed decisions.
OR helps managers:
1. Identify and formulate problems
2. Develop and evaluate alternatives
3. Choose the best course of action
4. Implement and monitor solutions
5. Improve communication and collaboration

By applying OR techniques, managers can make more informed, data-driven


decisions that optimize resources, minimize costs, and maximize efficiency.

Linear Programming (LP) is a method used to optimize a linear objective


function, subject to a set of linear constraints. It is a powerful tool for decision-
making and resource allocation in various fields, including operations research,
management science, and economics.

Meaning:

Linear Programming involves finding the best outcome (maximum or minimum) of a


linear objective function, subject to a set of linear constraints. The objective function
represents the goal to be achieved, while the constraints represent the limitations
and requirements of the problem.
Scope:

The scope of Linear Programming includes:


1. Resource allocation
2. Production planning
3. Scheduling
4. Transportation
5. Inventory control
6. Financial planning
7. Network optimization

Limitations:
1. Linearity assumption: LP assumes a linear relationship between variables, which
may not always hold true.
2. Simplistic modeling: LP models can be oversimplified, failing to capture complex
relationships and nuances.
3. Scalability: LP can become computationally expensive and difficult to solve for
large, complex problems.
4. Data requirements: LP requires accurate and reliable data, which may be difficult
to obtain.
5. Interpretation: LP solutions require careful interpretation and sensitivity analysis to
ensure practical applicability.
6. Assumption of certainty: LP assumes certainty in the data and parameters, which
may not always be the case.
7. Limited flexibility: LP models can be inflexible and difficult to adjust to changing
circumstances.
Despite these limitations, Linear Programming remains a powerful tool for
optimization and decision-making, widely used in various fields.
Here are some common formulations of industrial and business problems as linear
programming problems:

1. Production Planning:
- Maximize profit = Σ (selling price - production cost) x quantity produced
- Subject to: production capacity, material availability, labor constraints
2. Resource Allocation:
- Maximize efficiency = Σ (resource utilization x resource cost)
- Subject to: resource availability, demand constraints
3. Inventory Control:
- Minimize cost = Σ (holding cost x inventory level) + ordering cost
- Subject to: inventory capacity, demand constraints
4. Transportation:
- Minimize cost = Σ (transportation cost x distance)
- Subject to: supply and demand constraints, route constraints
5. Scheduling:
- Maximize efficiency = Σ (machine utilization x machine cost)
- Subject to: machine availability, labor constraints, deadline constraints
6. Financial Planning:
- Maximize return = Σ (investment return x investment amount)
- Subject to: budget constraints, risk constraints
7. Supply Chain Optimization:
- Minimize cost = Σ (production cost + transportation cost + inventory cost)
- Subject to: supply and demand constraints, route constraints
8. Quality Control:
- Maximize quality = Σ (quality metric x production quantity)
- Subject to: production capacity, material constraints
9. Energy Management:
- Minimize cost = Σ (energy consumption x energy cost)
- Subject to: energy availability, demand constraints
10. Portfolio Optimization:

- Maximize return = Σ (investment return x investment amount)


These are just a few examples of how industrial and business problems can be
formulated as linear programming problems. The specific formulation will depend on
the details of the problem and the goals of the organization.
Here are the general steps for solving linear programming problems using graphical
and simplex methods:

*Graphical Method:*

1. Plot the constraints on a graph.

2. Identify the feasible region.


3. Plot the objective function.

4. Find the optimal solution by graphically identifying the point where the objective
function intersects the feasible region.
*Simplex Method:*

1. Convert the linear programming problem to standard form.

2. Create a simplex tableau.

3. Perform pivoting operations to transform the tableau into a form where the optimal
solution is easily identified.

4. Read off the optimal solution from the final tableau.

*Simplex Algorithm:*

1. Initialize the tableau with the initial basic feasible solution (BFS).

2. Check if the current BFS is optimal. If yes, stop.


3. Select a non-basic variable to enter the basis.

4. Select a basic variable to leave the basis.

5. Perform pivoting to update the tableau.

6. Repeat steps 2-5 until the optimal solution is reached.

*Example:*

Maximize: 2x + 3y

Subject to:

x+y≤4
2x - y ≤ 3
x, y ≥ 0
Using the graphical method, we can plot the constraints and objective function on a
graph and identify the optimal solution as x = 2, y = 2.

Using the simplex method, we can convert the problem to standard form, create a
simplex tableau, and perform pivoting operations to find the optimal solution as x = 2,
y = 2.

Note: The simplex method is a more systematic and efficient approach for
solving linear programming problems, especially for larger problems. The
graphical method is useful for small problems and for visualizing the solution.

Degeneracy and duality are two important concepts in linear programming.


Degeneracy:

A linear programming problem is said to be degenerate if there are multiple optimal


solutions or if the optimal solution is not unique.
- In other words, degeneracy occurs when the problem has multiple extreme points
with the same objective function value.
- Degeneracy can lead to difficulties in solving the problem and interpreting the
results.

Duality:

- Duality is a fundamental concept in linear programming that relates to the


relationship between the primal problem and its dual problem.

- The primal problem is the original linear programming problem, while the dual
problem is derived from the primal problem by transposing the coefficient matrix and
changing the optimization direction (maximization to minimization or vice versa).

- The dual problem provides a lower bound on the optimal value of the primal
problem, and the optimal value of the dual problem is equal to the optimal value of
the primal problem.

- Duality is useful for solving linear programming problems, as it provides an


alternative formulation that can be easier to solve.

Types of Duality:

- Weak Duality: The optimal value of the dual problem is less than or equal to the
optimal value of the primal problem.
- Strong Duality: The optimal value of the dual problem is equal to the optimal value
of the primal problem.
Importance of Duality:

- Provides a deeper understanding of the linear programming problem


- Helps in solving linear programming problems
- Useful in sensitivity analysis and post-optimality analysis
- Provides a connection between linear programming and other areas of
mathematics, such as game theory and convex analysis.
Unit-2

Transportation problems are a type of linear programming problem that deals with
the transportation of goods from one place to another. There are two types of
transportation problems: balanced and unbalanced.

Balanced Transportation Problem:

- A transportation problem is said to be balanced if the total supply equals the total
demand.
- In other words, the sum of the supplies from all sources equals the sum of the
demands at all destinations.
- A balanced transportation problem can be solved using the transportation
algorithm.
Unbalanced Transportation Problem:
- An unbalanced transportation problem occurs when the total supply does not equal
the total demand.
- This can happen when there is excess supply or excess demand.
- An unbalanced transportation problem can be converted into a balanced problem
by adding a dummy source or destination to absorb the excess supply or demand.

Solving Unbalanced Transportation Problems:


- Add a dummy source or destination to absorb excess supply or demand.
- Assign a zero transportation cost to the dummy source or destination.
- Solve the problem using the transportation algorithm.
Important Considerations:
- Identify whether the problem is balanced or unbalanced.

- Convert unbalanced problems into balanced problems by adding a dummy source


or destination.
- Use the transportation algorithm to solve balanced transportation problems.

- Consider the possibility of degeneracy and use techniques like perturbation or


preprocessing to avoid it.

Note: Transportation problems can be solved using various methods,


including the transportation algorithm, linear programming relaxation, and
network simplex method.
The Northwest Corner Method is a heuristic used to find an initial basic
feasible solution to a transportation problem. Here's how to apply it:

1. Start with the top-left cell (i.e., the cell in the first row and first column).

2. Allocate the maximum possible value to this cell, which is the minimum of the
supply and demand.

3. Move to the next cell in the row (i.e., the cell to the right) and allocate the
maximum possible value to it, which is the minimum of the remaining supply and
demand.

4. Repeat step 3 for each row, moving from left to right.

5. Once all rows have been processed, move to the next column and repeat steps 2-
4.

6. Continue this process until all cells have been allocated a value.

The resulting solution is an initial basic feasible solution, which can then be improved
upon using the transportation algorithm.

Example:

Suppose we have a transportation problem with the following supply and demand:

| | A | B | C | Supply |

| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |

| 1 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 100 |
| 2 | 40 | 10 | 20 | 150 |

| 3 | 20 | 30 | 40 | 120 |

| Demand | 80 | 120 | 100 | |

Using the Northwest Corner Method, we get:

| | A | B | C | Supply |

| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |


| 1 | 10 | 20 | 0 | 100 |

| 2 | 40 | 0 | 20 | 150 |

| 3 | 20 | 30 | 40 | 120 |

| Demand | 80 | 120 | 100 | |


Unit-3

This is the initial basic feasible solution obtained by the Northwest Corner Method.

The Least Cost Entry Method is a method used to find an initial basic feasible
solution to a transportation problem. It involves assigning values to the cells of the
transportation table in a way that minimizes the total transportation cost.

Here are the steps to apply the Least Cost Entry Method:

1. Identify the cell with the lowest transportation cost (i.e., the cell with the smallest
cost per unit).

2. Allocate the maximum possible value to this cell, which is the minimum of the
supply and demand.

3. Make sure that the row and column totals are not exceeded.

4. If there are multiple cells with the same lowest transportation cost, choose the one
with the highest demand.

5. Repeat steps 1-4 until all cells have been allocated a value.

The resulting solution is an initial basic feasible solution, which can then be improved
upon using the transportation algorithm.

Example:

Suppose we have a transportation problem with the following supply and demand:

| | A | B | C | Supply |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |

| 1 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 100 |

| 2 | 40 | 10 | 20 | 150 |

| 3 | 20 | 30 | 40 | 120 |

| Demand | 80 | 120 | 100 | |

The transportation costs per unit are:

| |A| B|C|
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

|1|2|3|4|

|2|3|2|1|

|3|4|3|2|
Using the Least Cost Entry Method, we get:

| | A | B | C | Supply |

| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |


| 1 | 10 | 20 | 0 | 100 |

| 2 | 40 | 0 | 20 | 150 |

| 3 | 20 | 30 | 40 | 120 |

| Demand | 80 | 120 | 100 | |

This is the initial basic feasible solution obtained by the Least Cost Entry Method.

Vogel's Approximation Method (VAM) is a heuristic used to find an initial basic


feasible solution to a transportation problem. It is based on the idea of
assigning values to the cells of the transportation table in a way that
minimizes the total transportation cost.

Here are the steps to apply VAM:

1. Calculate the penalty for each cell as the difference between the supply and
demand.

2. Identify the cell with the highest penalty.

3. Allocate the maximum possible value to this cell, which is the minimum of the
supply and demand.

4. Update the row and column totals.

5. Repeat steps 2-4 until all cells have been allocated a value.

VAM is similar to the Least Cost Entry Method, but it uses penalties instead of
transportation costs to make assignments.

Example:

Suppose we have a transportation problem with the following supply and demand:

| | A | B | C | Supply |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |

| 1 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 100 |

| 2 | 40 | 10 | 20 | 150 |

| 3 | 20 | 30 | 40 | 120 |

| Demand | 80 | 120 | 100 | |


The penalties are calculated as:

| |A|B|C|
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

| 1 | 10-20=-10 | 20-10=10 | 30-20=10 |

| 2 | 40-10=30 | 10-20=-10 | 20-30=-10 |

| 3 | 20-30=-10 | 30-20=10 | 40-30=10 |

Using VAM, we get:

| | A | B | C | Supply |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |

| 1 | 10 | 20 | 0 | 100 |

| 2 | 40 | 0 | 20 | 150 |

| 3 | 20 | 30 | 40 | 120 |

| Demand | 80 | 120 | 100 | |

This is the initial basic feasible solution obtained by VAM.

The Modi and Stepping Stone methods are two popular techniques used to find the
optimal solution to transportation problems.
Modi Method:

1. Find an initial basic feasible solution using any method (e.g., Northwest Corner,
Least Cost, or Vogel's Approximation).
2. Calculate the net evaluations (NE) for each cell:
- NE = Transportation cost - Dual variable
3. Identify the cell with the most negative NE (called the "incoming cell").
4. Draw a loop starting from the incoming cell, passing through the basic cells, and
returning to the incoming cell.
5. Calculate the loop's net evaluation (NE-loop).
6. If NE-loop ≥ 0, the current solution is optimal. Otherwise, proceed to step 7.
7. Update the dual variables and basic variables accordingly

Stepping Stone Method:

1. Find an initial basic feasible solution using any method.


2. Create a "stepping stone" table with the following columns:
- Cell
- Transportation cost
- Dual variable
- Net evaluation (NE)
3. Identify the cell with the most negative NE (called the "incoming cell").
4. Draw a loop starting from the incoming cell, passing through the basic cells, and
returning to the incoming cell.
5. Calculate the loop's NE-loop.
6. If NE-loop ≥ 0, the current solution is optimal. Otherwise, proceed to step 7.
7. Update the dual variables and basic variables accordingly.
8. Repeat steps 3-7 until the optimal solution is reached.
Both methods are used to improve upon an initial basic feasible solution and find the
optimal solution to a transportation problem. The Modi method uses a more
straightforward approach, while the Stepping Stone method uses a more visual
approach with the stepping stone table.

Degeneracy in transportation problems refers to a situation where multiple cells in


the transportation table have the same minimum cost, making it difficult to
determine which cell to choose for transportation. This can lead to multiple
optimal solutions or an infinite number of solutions.

Types of Degeneracy:

1. *Cell Degeneracy*: When multiple cells have the same minimum cost.

2. *Row Degeneracy*: When all cells in a row have the same minimum cost.

3. *Column Degeneracy*: When all cells in a column have the same minimum cost.

4. *Global Degeneracy*: When all cells in the transportation table have the same
minimum cost.

Effects of Degeneracy:

1. *Multiple Optimal Solutions*: Degeneracy can lead to multiple optimal


solutions, making it difficult to choose the best one.

2. *Infinite Number of Solutions*: In some cases, degeneracy can result in an infinite


number of solutions.
3. *Difficulty in Finding the Optimal Solution*: Degeneracy can make it challenging to
find the optimal solution using traditional methods.

Methods to Resolve Degeneracy:

1. *Perturbation*: Add a small random value to the costs to break the degeneracy.
2. *Preprocessing*: Transform the transportation table to reduce degeneracy.
3. *Specialized Algorithms*: Use algorithms designed specifically for degenerate
transportation problems.
4. *Heuristics*: Use heuristic methods to find a good, but not necessarily optimal,
solution.
It's important to note that degeneracy can be a challenging issue in transportation
problems, and resolving it may require specialized techniques or algorithms.
The Assignment Problem and the Traveling Salesman Problem are both classical
problems in Operations Research and Computer Science.
Assignment Problem:

- Definition: The Assignment Problem is a problem where we have a set of tasks and
a set of agents, and we want to assign each task to exactly one agent in such a way
that the total cost or time is minimized.
- Example: Assigning jobs to machines, assigning students to projects, etc.
- Solution methods: Hungarian Algorithm, Linear Programming Relaxation, etc.

Traveling Salesman Problem (TSP):

- Definition: The TSP is a problem where we have a set of cities and we want to find
the shortest possible tour that visits each city exactly once and returns to the starting
city.

- Example: A salesman wants to visit a set of cities and return home,


minimizing the total distance traveled.

- Solution methods: Exact algorithms (e.g., Concorde), Heuristics (e.g., Nearest


Neighbor, 2-opt), Metaheuristics (e.g., Simulated Annealing, Genetic Algorithms).

Both problems are NP-hard, meaning that the running time of traditional algorithms
increases exponentially with the size of the problem instance. However, there are
many approximation algorithms and heuristics that can be used to solve these
problems in reasonable time.

Some key differences between the two problems are:

- The Assignment Problem is a minimization problem, while TSP is a minimization


problem with an additional constraint (visiting each city exactly once).
- The Assignment Problem has a linear objective function, while TSP has a non-
linear objective function (distance between cities).
1. Unbalanced Problem: When the number of tasks and agents is not equal, the
problem is said to be unbalanced.
2. Maximization Objectives: Instead of minimizing the total cost or time, the objective
is to maximize the total profit or utility.
3. Multiple Optimal Solutions: In some cases, there may be multiple optimal solutions
with the same minimum cost or maximum profit.
4. Degeneracy: When multiple cells in the assignment table have the same minimum
cost, the problem is said to be degenerate.
5. Infeasibility: When it is not possible to assign all tasks to agents, the problem is
said to be infeasible.
6. Bottleneck Assignments: When a single agent is assigned multiple tasks, creating
a bottleneck.
7. Multiple Tasks per Agent: When agents can perform multiple tasks simultaneously.
8. Task Dependencies: When tasks have dependencies, and the assignment of one
task affects the assignment of another.
9. Agent Skills: When agents have different skills, and tasks require specific skills.
10. Time Windows: When tasks have time windows, and agents must complete tasks
within those windows.
These special cases require modifications to the standard assignment algorithms or
the use of specialized algorithms to solve.
PERT (Program Evaluation and Review Technique) and CPM (Critical Path Method)
are both project management techniques used for planning, scheduling, and
controlling projects. The main differences between PERT and CPM are:
1. Approach:
- PERT: Focuses on the uncertainty of task durations and uses probabilistic
estimates.
- CPM: Uses deterministic estimates and focuses on the critical path activities.
2. Task Duration Estimates:
- PERT: Uses three-point estimates (optimistic, most likely, and pessimistic) to
account for uncertainty.
- CPM: Uses single-point estimates (fixed duration).
3. Network Diagram:
- PERT: Uses an activity-on-arrow (AOA) diagram.
- CPM: Uses an activity-on-node (AON) diagram.
4. Critical Path:
- PERT: Identifies multiple critical paths and near-critical paths.
- CPM: Identifies a single critical path.
5. Scheduling:

- PERT: Uses a simulation approach to schedule activities.

- CPM: Uses a deterministic approach to schedule activities.

6. Resource Allocation:

- PERT: Does not consider resource allocation explicitly.

- CPM: Explicitly considers resource allocation and leveling.


7. Objective:

- PERT: Focuses on completing the project within a specified time frame.

- CPM: Focuses on minimizing the project duration.

In summary, PERT is more suited for projects with uncertain task durations,
while CPM is better suited for projects with fixed task durations and a focus on
resource allocation.

Network construction refers to the process of building a project network diagram,


which is a visual representation of the project's activities, dependencies, and
relationships. Here are the general steps involved in network construction:
Unit-4
Activity list

1. Identify the project activities: List all the activities that need to be performed to
complete the project.
2. Determine the dependencies: Identify the dependencies between activities,
including predecessor and successor relationships.
3. Draw the network diagram: Use a node (or box) to represent each activity and an
arrow to represent the dependencies.
4. Add activity details: Include relevant information such as activity descriptions,
durations, and resource requirements.
5. Check for errors: Verify that the network diagram is accurate, complete, and free
of errors.
Some popular network construction techniques include:
1. Activity-on-node (AON)
2. Activity-on-arrow (AOA)
3. Precedence diagramming method (PDM)
Network construction is a critical step in project management, as it helps to:
1. Visualize the project scope and activities
2. Identify dependencies and relationships
3. Develop a project schedule
4. Assign resources and estimate costs
5. Identify potential risks and bottlenecks
By constructing a comprehensive project network diagram, project managers can
better plan, coordinate, and control their projects.

EST (Early Start Time) is a metric used in project management to calculate the
earliest possible start time of an activity. Here's how to calculate EST:

EST = max (EF predecessor, ES predecessor) + 1

Where:
- EF predecessor is the early finish time of the predecessor activity

- ES predecessor is the early start time of the predecessor activity

This calculation ensures that the activity starts after its predecessor has finished, or if
there are multiple predecessors, it starts after the latest finish time of all
predecessors.

For example, if an activity has two predecessors with EF times of 10 and 12, and ES
times of 8 and 9 respectively, the EST would be:
EST = max (12, 9) + 1 = 13

This means that the activity can start at time 13, which is after the latest finish
time of its predecessors.
Note that EST is used in conjunction with other metrics like EFT (Early Finish Time),
LST (Late Start Time), and LFT (Late Finish Time) to calculate the float and slack in
a project schedule.

EFT (Early Finish Time) is a metric used in project management to calculate the
earliest possible finish time of an activity. Here's how to calculate EFT:

EFT = EST + Duration

Where:

- EST (Early Start Time) is the earliest possible start time of the activity

- Duration is the estimated time required to complete the activity

For example, if an activity has an EST of 10 and a duration of 5, the EFT would
be:

EFT = 10 + 5 = 15

This means that the activity can finish at time 15, which is the earliest possible
finish time.

Note that EFT is used in conjunction with other metrics like EST, LST (Late Start
Time), and LFT (Late Finish Time) to calculate the float and slack in a project
schedule.

Here are some key points to remember:

- EFT is the earliest possible finish time of an activity

- EFT is calculated by adding the duration to the EST


- EFT is used to calculate the float and slack in a project schedule

I hope that helps! Let me know if you have any other questions.

Here are the definitions and calculations for LST, LFT, and Float:

LST (Late Start Time):

The latest possible start time of an activity without delaying the project.

Calculation:

LST = LFT - Duration

Where:
- LFT (Late Finish Time) is the latest possible finish time of the activity
- Duration is the estimated time required to complete the activity
LFT (Late Finish Time):

The latest possible finish time of an activity without delaying the project.

Calculation:
LFT = EFT + Float

Where:

- EFT (Early Finish Time) is the earliest possible finish time of the activity

- Float is the amount of time an activity can be delayed without affecting the project
schedule

Float:

The amount of time an activity can be delayed without affecting the project schedule.

Calculation:

Float = LFT - EFT

Where:
- LFT (Late Finish Time) is the latest possible finish time of the activity

- EFT (Early Finish Time) is the earliest possible finish time of the activity

Total Float (TF):

The total amount of float available for an activity.

Calculation:
TF = LFT - EST

Where:
- LFT (Late Finish Time) is the latest possible finish time of the activity

- EST (Early Start Time) is the earliest possible start time of the activity

Free Float (FF):

The amount of float available for an activity without affecting the early start time of its
successor activities.

Calculation:

FF = min (LST (successor) - EFT (activity), TF (activity))

Where:

- LST (successor) is the late start time of the successor activity


- EFT (activity) is the early finish time of the activity

- TF (activity) is the total float of the activity

I hope this helps clarify the calculations for LST, LFT, and Float! Let me know if you
have any further questions.

Probability considerations in PERT (Program Evaluation and Review Technique) are


used to account for uncertainty in activity durations and project completion times.
Here are some key probability considerations in PERT:

1. Activity duration uncertainty: PERT uses probabilistic estimates for activity


durations, such as optimistic, most likely, and pessimistic times.

2. Probability distributions: PERT assumes that activity durations follow a beta


distribution, which is a continuous probability distribution defined by two shape
parameters.

3. Expected value: The expected value of an activity duration is calculated using the
formula: (Optimistic + 4 x Most Likely + Pessimistic) / 6

4. Variance: The variance of an activity duration is calculated using the formula:


((Pessimistic - Optimistic) / 6)^2

5. Standard deviation: The standard deviation of an activity duration is the square


root of the variance.

6. Probability of completion: PERT calculates the probability of completing the project


by a given date using the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the project
completion time.

7. Sensitivity analysis: PERT performs sensitivity analysis to identify critical activities


and assess the impact of changes in activity durations on the project completion
time.

Time-Cost Tradeoff (TCT) is a concept in project management that refers to the


relationship between the duration of a project and its cost. It suggests that there is a
tradeoff between the two, meaning that reducing the duration of a project will
typically increase its cost, and vice versa.

The TCT concept is often represented graphically, with time on the x-axis and cost
on the y-axis. The curve typically shows that as the project duration decreases, the
cost increases exponentially.

There are several strategies for managing the time-cost tradeoff, including:

1. Crashing: Reducing the project duration by adding more resources, which


increases cost.
2. Fast tracking: Overlapping activities to reduce duration, which may increase cost.
3. Schedule compression: Reducing duration by reducing scope or extending
working hours.

By understanding the time-cost tradeoff, project managers can make informed


decisions about how to allocate resources and manage the project scope, schedule,
and budget to achieve the desired outcomes.

Here's a simple example:

Project Duration (months) | Cost ($)

-------------------------|--------

6 months | $100,000

5 months | $120,000

4 months | $150,000

3 months | $200,000
In this example, reducing the project duration by 1 month increases the cost by
$20,000. This illustrates the time-cost tradeoff, where shorter duration results in
higher cost.

8. Risk analysis: PERT uses risk analysis to identify potential risks and their impact
on the project completion time.

By considering these probability factors, PERT provides a more realistic and robust
project schedule, allowing for better risk management and decision-making.

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