E-Commerce: Framing The Market Opportunity
E-Commerce: Framing The Market Opportunity
E-Commerce: Framing The Market Opportunity
Rayport, Jaworski
Overview of the market opportunity analysis framework Seed the opportunity Uncover unmet or underserved customer needs Identify and choose priority segments Evaluate company capabilities to deliver value Assess the overall opportunity attractiveness Prepare a go/no-go assessment Case study: Schwab Conclusion
Last Updated: 08/08/01 Copyright 2001 by Marketspace LLC
Overview of the market opportunity analysis framework Seed the opportunity Uncover unmet or underserved customer needs Identify and choose priority segments Evaluate company capabilities to deliver value Assess the overall opportunity attractiveness Prepare a go/no-go assessment Case study: Schwab Conclusion
Last Updated: 08/08/01 Copyright 2001 by Marketspace LLC
Uncover Opportunity Nucleus: Identify Unmet and Underserved Needs Investigative Stages
Does the firm have the resources and capabilities to support the new business and serve the customer needs? Is the new opportunity attractive from a financial, competitive and technology standpoint? Based on the overall analysis, should the firm launch the new business?
Last Updated: 08/08/01 Copyright 2001 by Marketspace LLC
Final Decision
Car Buyers Are Dissatisfied With Current Retail Car Buying Process
The retail car-buying process was frustrating and inefficient: Little information available to the consumer Bargaining with salesperson viewed as a hassle Long process overall
MSN CarPoint selected two primary target segments for its service: The intimidated by the process The information seekers MSN CarPoint could leverage Microsofts expertise in software development, the Microsoft brand name and its multitude of online properties Competition was getting fierce with more and more online car services entering the market But the financial opportunity was large: 66% of new car buyers used online services in 2000 In 1996 the first version of CarPoint was shipped By 1998, CarPoint was driving $5 million in car sales a day
Shoppers Who Feel Intimidated by Sales People and Look for More Efficient Way
How Big Is the Online Car-Buying Market? Who Are CarPoints Main Competitors?
Overview of the market opportunity analysis framework Seed the opportunity Uncover unmet or underserved customer needs Identify and choose priority segments Evaluate company capabilities to deliver value Assess the overall opportunity attractiveness Prepare a go/no-go assessment Case study: Schwab Conclusion
Last Updated: 08/08/01 Copyright 2001 by Marketspace LLC
Customize Offerings
Overview of the market opportunity analysis framework Seed the opportunity Uncover unmet or underserved customer needs Identify and choose priority segments Evaluate company capabilities to deliver value Assess the overall opportunity attractiveness Prepare a go/no-go assessment Case study: Schwab Conclusion
Last Updated: 08/08/01 Copyright 2001 by Marketspace LLC
Prepurchase
Information Gathering
Blue Book
Internet
Dealers
Friends Parents
Evaluation
Purchase
Purchase Decision
Buy car
Postpurchase
Overview of the market opportunity analysis framework Seed the opportunity Uncover unmet or underserved customer needs Identify and choose priority segments Evaluate company capabilities to deliver value Assess the overall opportunity attractiveness Prepare a go/no-go assessment Case study: Schwab Conclusion
Last Updated: 08/08/01 Copyright 2001 by Marketspace LLC
Description
the market into different geographical units the market on the basis of demographic variables the market on the basis of company-specific variables the market based on how customers actually buy and use the product the market based on the situation that leads to a product need, purchase or use
Examples Variables
Country
/ region / city, city size, density (urban, suburban, rural), ISP domain gender, income, occupation, education, nationality, family status, Internet connectivity / offline business, number of employees, company size, job function, purchasing process / offline shopping behavior, webpage or site customer arrived from, website loyalty, prior purchases occasion, special occasion, time (time of day, day of week, holidays), location (from home, on the road), event (when writing a business plan, when shopping), trigger (out of supply) (laid back, type A), lifestyle (thrill seeker, fun lover, recluse), affinity (community builder, belonger, outcast) economy, quality, ease of use, speed, information, selection
Last Updated: 08/08/01 Copyright 2001 by Marketspace LLC
Divides
Age,
Firmographic
Divides
Online
Behavioral
Divides
Online
Occasion (Situational)
Divides
Routine
Psychographic
Divides
the market based on lifestyle and / or personality the market based on benefits or qualities sought from the product
Personality
Benefits
Divides
Convenience,
Geographic segmentation divides the market into distinct geographical units, such as nations, states or regions
In the Internet space, geographic barriers are to a large extent lifted However, there still are many industries where local relationships and distribution channels play a key role, maintaining the need for a local focus Peapod is currently operating in Fairfield County, CT, Washington D.C., Chicago, Montgomery County, MD, Boston, Long Island, NY, and Fairfax County, VA; entry into new geographical markets will require the building of the necessary home-delivery infrastructure Many construction sites have a local or regional focus, since relationships with local or regional contractors and suppliers are of critical importance
Description
Segmentation Examples
Source: Kotler, Philip. Marketing Management. Upper Saddle River: Prentice Hall, 1997, p.257.
Citysearch.com
Citysearch.com is a leading local portal and transactions company, providing content and services in select popular cities in the US, and slowly expanding to international cities While the look and feel of different cities website is very similar, Citysearch customizes the citys homepage to target the interests of city residents or city visitors
Last Updated: 08/08/01 Copyright 2001 by Marketspace LLC
Description
Segmentation Examples
B2C: Demographic
Demographic segmentation divides the consumer market into groups based on customer demographic variables It is one of the most popular methods for distinguishing customer groups, highly actionable
B2B: Firmographic
Demographic segmentation divides the business market into groups based on business demographic variables
Source: Kotler, Philip. Marketing Management. Upper Saddle River: Prentice Hall, 1997, p.258.
Onvia.com is a site targeting small businesses, aiming to offer them everything they may need to run their business At the same time, Onvia.com provides sellers with a better and faster way to acquire new customers, through the sales leads that it generates A large number of companies are focusing on small businesses, trying to provide them with products and services, including: AllBusiness.com, bCentral.com, Business.com, BuyerZone.com, KillerBiz.com, Bizbuyer.com and Works.com
Consumers and businesses purchase goods and services because they satisfy their needs The same product may satisfy many different needs; a person may purchase chewing gum in order to freshen her breath, to promote dental health, to help her quit smoking or because she enjoys the taste
Needs-based segmentation seeks to understand why a purchase is made (i.e., what needs are being satisfied) and to divide the market into groups of buyers whose needs are homogenous Needs-based segmentations are particularly compelling for technology companies; they can prevent companies from developing new technology features because they are cool or just because they are possible
Meaningful
Customers must demonstrate needs, aspirations or behavioral patterns that are similar within a segment and different across segments
Actionable
Example:
A company must be able to reach customers within each segment through effective and targeted marketing programs
Webvan, the online grocery company, targeted families with high income, Internet connectivity at home, and living close to one another as their attractive market segment
-Webvans
segmentation is meaningful because it is predictive of specific online grocery behavior (e.g., people in families with high income and Internet connectivity at home are more likely to use an online grocery service like Webvan) Webvans segmentation is actionable because it is possible for Webvan to easily identify and reach its target customers (e.g., advertising in upscale cooking magazines)
Last Updated: 08/08/01 Copyright 2001 by Marketspace LLC
CustomerCentric Variables
Who are the customers? What is their purchase process? What source of information do they use when buying the product?
MicroeconomicsCentric Variables
What is the situation when they buy or use the product? What are the major cost drivers?
Personal The reason for the trip Business Scheduled in advance Occasion Flexible trip Lead time for a trip Last minute trip Other Student
Customer lifestage
Demographics Income/occupation
Behavior
Number of flight
Frequent fliers
Last Updated: 08/08/01 Copyright 2001 by Marketspace LLC
Personal
Schedulable in Advance (e.g., family vacation) Flexible Event (e.g., going home) Last Minute (e.g., surprise birthday party) All Other
Business
Students
Students on Vacation
Retirees Low Middle Income / Not All Other Families Frequent Fliers Middle Upper Income / Frequent Fliers
Families With Children All Other Families Families With Children
Retirees Low / Mid Income Families on Vacation Other Low / Mid Income on Vacation High Income Families on Vacation
Last Minute
Business Trips
Different data can be used to represent the segments economic activities. Some common data is: - Size (i.e., percentage of consumer in each segment) - Growth rate - Average amount of money spent (or percentage over total) - Average amount of product consumed (or percentage over total)
Market mapping is important because: - It helps identify the location of money and the relative opportunity in the market - It helps select the priority segments and lay out a plan for sequencing the approach to other segments in the future - It provides a easy-to-read representation of the market where additional information can be summarized - It represents a touchstone for identifying future shifts in the market
Personal
Flexible Event (e.g., going home) Last Minute (e.g., surprise birthday party)
Business
All Other
Students
Students on Vacation
Retirees
Families With Children All Other
Retirees Low / Mid Income Families on Vacation Other Low / Mid Income on Vacation High Income Families on Vacation
Last Minute
Groups
Group Trips
= 5%2%
= 10%2%
= 40%5%
Personal
Flexible Event (e.g., going home) Last Minute (e.g., surprise birthday party)
Business
All Other
Students
Students on Vacation
Retirees
Families With Children All Other
Retirees Low / Mid Income Families on Vacation Other Low / Mid Income on Vacation High Income Families on Vacation
Last Minute
Groups
Group Trips
= Primary Focus
Overview of the market opportunity analysis framework Seed the opportunity Uncover unmet or underserved customer needs Identify and choose priority segments Evaluate company capabilities to deliver value Assess the overall opportunity attractiveness Prepare a go/no-go assessment Case study: Schwab Conclusion
Last Updated: 08/08/01 Copyright 2001 by Marketspace LLC
Chapter 2: Segment the Market Exhibit 2 11: Evaluate Capabilities to Deliver Value
A company should define the resources and assets needed to deliver value in the new market, and assess whether they are available or can be created in the company or can be provided through business partnerships
Market and sell FreeMarkets B2B Global Marketplace to its existing and new customers AMS, Arthur Andersen, Deloitte & Touche Provide product extensions that add additional functionality to the B2B Global Marketplace Hologix, Microsoft, Xelus Help FreeMarketss customers connect their enterprise systems to the FreeMarkets B2B Global Marketplace Sapiens Help FreeMarkets extend its B2B Global Marketplace to new geographies Mitsubishi Help FreeMarkets add and connect new suppliers to its B2B Global Marketplace National Tooling and Machining Association (NTMA), SMC Business Councils Add services or product extensions to FreeMarketss asset solutions
Last Updated: 08/08/01 Copyright 2001 by Marketspace LLC
Supplier Network
Asset Exchange
Overview of the market opportunity analysis framework Seed the opportunity Uncover unmet or underserved customer needs Identify and choose priority segments Evaluate company capabilities to deliver value Assess the overall opportunity attractiveness Prepare a go/no-go assessment Case study: Schwab Conclusion
Last Updated: 08/08/01 Copyright 2001 by Marketspace LLC
Competitive Intensity
Number of competitors Competitors strengths and weaknesses
Customer Dynamics
Unconstrained opportunity Segment interaction Rate of growth
Microeconomics
Market size Profitability
To assess the intensity of the competition in an online space a company need to:
Identify the competitors that specifically serve the companys target segments Assess their ability to serve these segments
Intel Olympus
cameraworks.com
Fuji
Moto Photo
Store Pictures on CD
Take Pictures
Eastman Kodak
Digitally Manipulate Pictures Print and Receive Pictures Download and Choose Pictures to Print Shutterfly
Seattle Filmworks
Share Pictures
Adobe Systems
Geocities
District
Snapfish
Ofoto
Last Updated: 08/08/01 Copyright 2001 by Marketspace LLC
HP
Road & Truck Automobile Magazine Edmunds.com Cars.com Kelley Blue Book
AutoWorld Information CarPrice.com Search Evaluation of Alternatives Autobytel.com CarsDirect.com
Used Cars
Ford Honda
Execute Purchase
AutoNet
MSN CarPoint
Car Accessories and Gifts Finance/Insurance
Direct Competition
Indirect Competition
AutoAccessory
CarParts.com ALLDATA.com
IBM Oracle
PeopleSoft Microsoft
mySAP.com
EqualFooting
FreeMarkets
Direct Competition
Indirect Competition
Travelocity
Southwest
AA E-Fares
Special Fare
deals
Very
Low Only
watch selection
Large
Often
not enough
notice
Poor
selection
Low
prices
Vacation planning tools Large selection Can select schedule Not as low prices
Very
low prices
Often
Inconvenient
Limited
not enough
flight schedules
Low
destinations
Tiring
notice
Poor
quality of service
selection seats
Limited
Last-minute
prices
Considerable
Last-Minute Travelers
Lower
Limited
Limited
Very
Positive Factor
Neutral Factor
Negative
Factor
Competitive Technical Magnitude Interaction Vulnerability Vulnerability of Between Unmet Need Segments
Overview of the market opportunity analysis framework Seed the opportunity Uncover unmet or underserved customer needs Identify and choose priority segments Evaluate company capabilities to deliver value Assess the overall opportunity attractiveness Prepare a go/no-go assessment Case study: Schwab Conclusion
Last Updated: 08/08/01 Copyright 2001 by Marketspace LLC
Opportunity Story
Target segment overview High-level value proposition Expected customer benefits Critical capabilities and resources needed Why these capabilities will be a source of advantage Categorization of capabilities How the company can monetize the opportunity Initial assessment of financial opportunity
Overview of the market opportunity analysis framework Seed the opportunity Uncover unmet or underserved customer needs Identify and choose priority segments Evaluate company capabilities to deliver value Assess the overall opportunity attractiveness Prepare a go/no-go assessment Case study: Schwab Schwab launched Schwab.com in January 1998. How could Schwab have assessed that opportunity?
Conclusion
Compressing
Enabling
Disrupting
Customizing
Extending
reach / access
Building
Collaborating
Introducing
Education on investing
Research Stocks
Place Order
Receive Dividends
Sell Stock
Tax Reporting
Frequent Trades
Professional <$150k Professional >$150k
Blue Collar
Retiree
University Student
Single
Married
Children
No Children
> 30
High Priority
Secondary Priority
Tertiary Priority
De-emphasize
Last Updated: 08/08/01 Copyright 2001 by Marketspace LLC
Overall
Established Brand
Multiple Channels
Technology Leadership
Low Price
Quality Information
Customer Service
Quality Advice
Full Management
Capability highly addressing segment need Capability moderately addressing segment need Capability not addressing segment need
Last Updated: 08/08/01 Copyright 2001 by Marketspace LLC
Ameritrade
DLJ Direct
Comprehensive
No
research
High-quality Service
Limited
service
High-quality
Portfolio
Bare-bones
Lowest Comprehensive
price ($8 /
Comprehensive
research
High
High
price
trade)
Limited
Access
Moderate
to analysis
research tools (company profiles and earnings estimates) price ($8 / trade) research
IPO
Moderate
High
quality of information prices for frequent traders channels for trading (phone, online, branch) software (introduced August 1999)
Medium performance level
Very
Lowest
No
Reduced
Limited
price reduction for frequent traders 3.0 providing faster trade execution alerts and trading
Eventually:
Multiple
Eventually:
Marketspeed
Multiple
high price
Eventually:
Velocity
channels for trading (including online, telephone, Web and wireless) real-time quotes and current financial news
Wireless
Free
Real-time
Positive Factor
Neutral Factor
Migration from offline to online brokerage was likely to occur fast High degree of competitive intensity New competitors entering the market
Negative Factor
Competitive Vulnerability
Technical Vulnerability
Technology Vulnerability
Market Size
Level of Profitability
Overview of the market opportunity analysis framework Seed the opportunity Uncover unmet or underserved customer needs Identify and choose priority segments Evaluate company capabilities to deliver value Assess the overall opportunity attractiveness Prepare a go/no-go assessment Case study: Schwab Conclusion
Last Updated: 08/08/01 Copyright 2001 by Marketspace LLC
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