Options & Futures
Options & Futures
Options & Futures
Fin 444
Class Notes: http://business.fullerton.edu/Finance/tylai Click Material, Click Fin444 S&P 500 Index Futures: http://data.tradingcharts.com/futures/quotes
Whole Picture of Fin444 Call (Creates) Put (Put-Call parity) Call & Put Forward Contract Futures Contract = A Series of Forward Contracts Swap = A Portfolio of Forward Contracts In Sum, If you know the Call Options, You know all
Definition
1. Option: gives the buyer the right (not obligation) to buy or sell something at a later date at a price agreed upon today.
Ex. Stock Option, Index Option, Lines of credit, Loan Guaranties, Insurance, Stock(option on the firm's value)
3. Futures Contracts: Same as Forward Contract except traded on Futures Exchange and subject to daily settlement procedure (mark-to-the market) (see p. 272, Table 8.2)
4. Options on Futures: Same as Option with the Futures Contract as the underlying asset. 5. Swap: A contract in which 2 parties agree to exchange cash flows.
Portfolio of Forward
CAPM
Expected Rate of Return
Risk (beta )
ST (Stock Price)
ST (Stock Price)
(High Risk <=> High Return) If & Only If Market Must Be Efficient Issue of Market Efficiency:
Current price reflects all relevant information. A market is efficient with respect to a set of information if it is impossible to make a NPV > 0 based upon that information
Linkages Between Spot & Derivatives Mkts : 1. Arbitrage and the Law of One Price
Different location, service could result in different prices for the identical good. Arbitrage: zero investment zero risk with positive NPV No arbitrage => The Law of One Price (two identical goods cannot sell different prices, or the same risk should have the return)
2. Factors affect the price difference between spot and option and futures markets
Storage Delivery & Settlement (i.e., how to fulfill the contract)
4. Market Efficiency (because arbitrage opp.) 5. Speculation (Re-distribute wealth, neither create nor destroy wealth)
Call (Put): A contract that the buyer has the right to buy (sell) an asset at a fixed price (i.e., exercise, striking, strike) before or at a specific date (i.e. the maturity date). Ex. Rain check, Loan guarantee, Callable Bond, Warrants The price of the option is called as Premium. American Option: Can exercise the right before or at the maturity date European Option: Only can exercise at the maturity date. Hedge = A strategy to protect an asset's value
From buyer's viewpoint if he (she) exercise his (her) option he (she) will be: In-the-money: if spot price (S) > exercise price (E) for call if S < E for put At-the-money: if S = E Out-of-the money:
if S < E for call, S > E for put
Disadvantage of OTC
1. Credit Risk 2. Large size of transaction exclude investors
Size of OTC: Underlying Value $76T with $2.1T Mkt Value in 12/2007 Total transaction contract Volume over $1B in 2004 Trading options on: bonds, interest rates, commodities, swap , foreign currency, and other
Exercise price intervals: $ 2.5 intervals if S < $25 $ 5 intervals if $ 25 < S < $200 $ 10 intervals if $ 200 < S Note:Exercise price of index option is $5 intervals, yet exchange has the right to waive this rule.
Participates in Option Market 1. Seat: Membership in an exchange (cost about $875,000 in 2005, w/annual fee &5,400), Lease (a Seat): 0.5%-0.75%/month of Membership Price p. 35 2. Market maker(CBOE & PSE separate Broker & Dealer, But not in Amex & Phlx) Bid price: the purchase price of market maker Ask price: the selling price of market maker Spread = Ask price - Bid price
4. Floor brokers (executes trade orders) 5. Order book officials (key in order in the
computer & execute the limit order)
Other Option Trading System (Amex & Phlx) (other Option exchanges see Table 2.1, p. 32) 6. Specialist (a market maker) 7. Registered option traders (a trader & a
broker)
Exercising Options: Delivery or Cash Settlement Note: 1n 1998 about 11% of call & 14% of put on the CBOE were exercised, and about 30% of call and 37% of put were expired Cash Settlement = (Index - E)x multiple Open interest = outstanding contracts Option price quotations: (see p.40)
(1) Stock (equity) Options (2) Index Options: cash settlement & exercise at the end of the day, not at the time of the order(60% @ CBOE trading volume) (S&P 100(x100,A, Most widely traded). S&P 500(x100,E), MMI (x100(major mkt index 20 blue chip),A) . NASDAQ100 is Most Active Traded Index Option Note: Premium difference = 1/16 (if premium < 3) and = 1/8 (if premium 3)
Types of Options:
(3) Interest Rate Options (on bonds): T-bill, T-notes, T-bonds (popular in the OTC)
(4) Currency Option, Warrants, Convertible & Callable Bond (5) Options on Futures, Real Options (Option on
Bid-Ask Spread
Example:. If the market maker would buy (bid) @ $3 and sell (ask) @ $3.25, then the quotation is bid @ $3 and ask @ $3.25 and the spread ask-bid = $3.25-$3 =.$.25
Margin:
Buy option: pay full if T<9 Months. Borrow up to 25% if T>9 Months Sell uncovered option: Deposit = Premium + Margin + Adjustment. Margin requirement for selling a call = Max{.2(S)+C-max{0,ES}, .1(S)+C}x100 Example: S = $100 = E, C = $5, Total Deposit = $2,500 (why?) Margin requirement for selling a put = Max{.2(S)+P-max{0,SE}, .1(E)+P}x100 Ex. p.49 Margin on Index option is 15% (not 20%) of stock's value
Example: S = $100 = E, C = $5, Total Deposit = $2,500 (why?) Margin requirement for selling a call = Max{.2(S)+Cmax{0,E-S}, .1(S)+C}x100 Margin Requirement = Max{.2($100) + $5 - 0, 0.1($100)+$5}x100 = $2,500 If E = $105 Max{.2($100)+$5-max{$0,$105-$100}, 0.1($100)+ $5} x 100 = $2,000
Minimum Values of Options Maximum Values of Options Values of Options @ Expiration Effect of Time to Expiration on Option Prices Effect of Exercise Price on Option Prices
Lower Bound of European Options
Early Exercise & the Difference Between American & European Options Effect of Interest Rates on Option Prices Effect of Volatility of the Stock on Option Prices European & American Put-Call Parity
Notation:
Relax, it is only notations ! S: Stock price Not A Big Deal ! E: Exercise price T: Time to maturity (yearly base) r: Risk-free rate ST: Stock price @ maturity time T C(S,T,E,r,): Call price P(S,T,E, r,): Put price
Note:
T = # of days to the maturity/365, (annual)
Example Ex. On x/21, T-bill quoted 5.59 & 5.63 mature on (x+1)/20. (1). (5.63+5.59)/2 = 5.61, (2). 29/360, (3). 100- 5.61(29/360) = 99.5481, (4). r =(100/99.5481)365/29 - 1= 5.866%
The Effect of Time to Maturity on Call Price C/ T > 0, (i.e., Time value decay when T decreases) Deep-in-the-$ if St - E is very high, Deep-out-of-$ if E-St is very high, both have low time value
The Effect of Exercise Price: C/E < 0 1. If E2 > E1 , then E2 -E1 > (E2 -E1 )(1+r) -T >
Ce(S,T,E1 ) - Ce(S,T,E2 ) or Ce(S,T,E1) < Ce(S,T,E2) + (E2-E1)(1+r)-T Ex. IBM Feb 95 (E1) call= $5.4 and Feb 100 (E2) call = $2.3 (on 1/18 Yahoo), E -E = 100-95 = 5 > 5.4-2.3=3.1
American Call Option Also Satisfies: E2 -E1 > Ca(S,T,E1) - Ca(S,T,E2) or Ca(S,T,E1) < Ca(S,T,E2) + E2 -E1 if E2 > E1 2. Ce(S,T,E) + E(1+r)-T > S (why?) American call > European call (why?) Note: If No dividend, then American call should not early exercise Because S-E < S - E(1+r)-T < Ce(S,T,E) < Ca(S,T,E) (alive) Note: Early exercise is likely if there is a dividend Because S-E could be > Ca(S-D,T,E) The Effect of Risk-free Rate on Call Option: C/r > 0 The Effect of Stock Volatility on Call Option: C/2> 0
PV(E) - S < Pe
PV(E)-P
E-(E-ST) = ST
Note: Pe(S,T,E) > Max{0,E(1+r)-T -S} Or if pay constant dividend D Pe(S,T,E) > Max{0,(E+D)(1+r)-T -S} = Max{0,PV(E)-[S-PV(D)]} 6. The Effect of Interest Rate: P/r < 0 7. The Effect of Stock Volatility: P/2 > 0 8. Put-Call parity: Pe = Ce - S + E(1+r)-T Put-Call Parity for American Options (see P.81),S=SPV(D)
Ca(S',T,E)+E +PV(D)> S'+Pa(S',T,E) > Ca(S',T,E)+E(1+r)-T
9. Early exercise of American put: if E-S = Pa(S,T,E) > Pe(S,T,E) = Ce(S,T,E)-S+E(1+r)-T or if Ce(S,T,E) < E[1-(1+r)-T] = PV(rE) => Early Exercise. A summary of this Chapter see p.88
Ce+PV(E)
0+ E
(ST - E) +E
1 Su
1 Cu
S Sd
Cd
Procedure to valuate C:
1. Find hedge ratio h= # stocks/option = C/S
=(Cu-Cd)/(Su-Sd ), where Su = S(1+u) and Sd=S(1+d)
2. Construct a risk-free portfolio consists of h of stocks and short one call option, its portfolio value V @ time 0 is V = hS C 3. @ time 1, (1+r)V = hSu -Cu = hSd - Cd Hence V = (hSd-Cd)/ (1+r), plug in V = hS - C @ time 0 to solve for C Alternative Method. C = [pCu + (1-p)Cd]/(1+r), where p = (r-d)/(u-d)
Example
S = $100, u = 30%, d = -20%, r = 10%, E = $110 Cu = $20, Cd = $0, h = (20-0)/(130-80) = .4 V = (.4x80-0)/1.1 = 29.09, C = .4x100 - 29.09 = $10.91 Or by the Alternative
Consider a hedged portfolio which consists of short of 100 call and long 40 stocks, the net worth V p @ time 0 is
Vp = 40($100) - 100($10.91) = $2,909 The net worth at time 1 is:
Su Sd Cu
Two-Period Binomial Model: Procedures to value a Call 1. Find the hedge ratios hu for up and hd for down at time 1
2. Create the risk-free portfolio consists of long h shares of stock and short one call. 3. Find the value of the risk-free portfolio's value V2 at time 2 given the stock value and the call option's value 4. Discount the risk-free portfolio value to time 1, and then find the call option value at time 1 for up and down respectively.
Cu = [pCuu + (1-p)Cud]/(1+r)
Cd = [pCud + (1-p)Cdd]/(1+r) C = [pCu + (1-p)Cd]/(1+r) where p = (r-d)/(u-d)
100
130 80
Cu 48.18 Cd 6.36
C 28.593
Example:
V = hpS + P S = $100, Su = 130, Sd = $80, E = $110, Pu = 0, Pd = $30, r = 10%, hp = -(0-30)/(130-80) = .6 V1 = .6(130) + 0 = 78 = .6(80) + 30, V0 = V1/ (1+r)=78/1.1= 70.91, P = 70.91 - .6(100) = $10.91
Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model: (p. 133) C = SN(d1) - Ee-rTN(d2) Easy? 2 [ln(S/E) + (r + /2)T] Yes where: d1 = , d2 = d 1 - T No? T
N(.) = cumulative normal distribution
Example: S = 100, E = 105, r =5%, 2 = 9%, T = .36. d1 = [ln(100/105)+0.095x.36]/(.3x.6)=(-.04879+.0342)/.18= = -.081, d2 = -.081-.18 =-.261, N(-.081)=.4681, N(-.261)= =.3974, C=100(.4681) - 103.12691(.3974)=5.827366 see p. 135
ST Upper Bound
ST - E
Intrinsic Value S
Upper Bound
Intrinsic Value
Comparative Static of B/S model: C(S,T,E, ,r) 1. C/S = N(d1) > 0 : Delta
i.e., S increases $1 => C will increase approximately by $ (.4681 = ) Example. Delta hedge consists S and short one Calls is risk-free 2. C/E = -e-rTN(d2) < 0 i.e., E $1 => C $ C/ E Ex. 3. C/r = ETN(d2)e-rT > 0 : Rho i.e., increase 1% of r => increase $ of call Ex.
4. -C/T =p. 158: Theta, C/T > 0 Ex. 5. (or ) C/ = STN'(d1) > 0: Vega (or Kappa, or Lambda) Ex. 6. () 2C/S2 = N'(d1)/(S T) > 0 :Gamma
the gamma => the difficulty to create a
2. Continuous Dividend:
SD = Se-T, = annual dividend yield EX: see p. 155
2 = (rci-rc)2/(n-1) Note:
1.
Historical volatility:
Annualized 2 = 2 (52) for weekly, (250) for daily, and (12) for monthly (see p. 158) Ex. (see Table 6, p.158-159), rc = ln(1+ri)
2.
Implied Volatility:
a. try-and-error (Fig 17, p. 162) b. T= 2)C/S if S=PV(E) (see. p.163 Brenner & Subrahmanyam) c. Short-cut by Manaster & Koehler see p.180 (Iteration method) d. T= N-1(C/S) - N-1[erT(- C/E)] = N-1(C/S) - N-1[(S C/ S) - C)/PV(E)] (Lai, Lee & Tucker (Journal of Financial Engineering1992))
1 C T = 2 N ( ) 2 2S 1 1 C = 2N ( + ). 2S 2
1
(21)
ln( K 3 / K1 ) T= 1 C1 C 2 1 C 2 C3 2[ N ( ) N ( )] K 2 K1 K3 K2
Note:
The relationship among call, put, risk-free rate, stock see Fig 21, p. 175
Buy a Stock
C 0 -C E
-P+Max{0,E-ST}
Note:
= -C+Max{0,ST-E}=CT-C for a Long Call, - for a Short Call = -P+Max{0,E-ST}=PT-P for a Long Put, - for a Short Put = -S + ST for a Long Stock, - for a Short Stock
E2
ST
T1
T2
Short a call C-S -S Short a Stock & Long a Call = Synthetic Put
Covered Call ST
Short a call C1-S C2-S Short a Stock & Long a Call = Synthetic Put
T1 < T T
T1
ST Short a call
Short a Stock & Long a Call = Synthetic Put Synthetic Put = S-ST-C+Max{0,ST-E} =S-C-E+Max{0,E-ST}=S-C-E+Put S S-C 0 -C -P
E
Long a call
S-C-E
E T1 <T
E-S-P
Synthetic Call (Long a Stock and a Put) Profit of Buying a Stock and a Put = -S+STP+Max {0,E-ST} = -S-P+E+Max{0,ST-E} Profit of Buying a Actual Call = -C+ Max{0,S T-E} Cost of Synthetic Call at Beginning = -S-P Cost of Actual Call at Beginning = -C Put-Call Parity: S+P-C=PV(E), If Violates (Say <) [i.e., Actual Call is Overpriced or Synthetic Call is Under-priced] Then Buy Synthetic Call & Sell Actual Call (So Called Conversion)
Synthetic Put (Short a Stock and Long a Call) Profit of Selling a Stock and Buying a Call = S-S TC+Max{0,ST-E}=S-C-E+Max{0,E-ST} Profit of Buying a Put = -P +Max(0, E-S T} Cost of Synthetic Put @ Beginning= S-C Cost of Actual Put @ Beginning= -P Put-Call Parity: S-C+P=PV(E), If Violates (Say >) [i.e., Actual Put is Overpriced or Synthetic Put is Under-priced] Then Sell Actual Put & Buy a Synthetic Put (So Called Reversal)
Note:
Long a Call & Short a Stock = Synthetic Put Long a Put & Stock = Synthetic Call Conversion, Sell a Actual Call Buy a Synthetic Call Reverse Conversion, Buy a Synthetic Put & Sell an Actual Put
A: Spreads: One Long & One Short Option 1. Vertical(or Money) Spread (Same T Different E)
Call Bull Spread Call Bear Spread Put Bull Spread Put Bear Spread
1.Vertical Spread (Same T Different E) a. Call Bull Spread: Long a Call @E1 & Short a Call @ E2 (here E1 < E2) Profit
0 T1 T Holding Period
E2-E1+C2-C1 0 E1 -C1+C2 E2 ST
b: Call Bear Spread: Long a Call @ E2 & Short a Call @ E1 Profit C1-C2 0 E2 E1 T1 ST T2 T
Call Bear Spread Make $ in a Bear Market
E1-E2+C1-C2
T1 T2 T
Breakeven, ST =E1+C1 - C2
Call
C(E1)
C(E2)
E1
E2
ST
c: Put Money Spreads: Bull Spreads: Long a Put @ E1 & Short a Put @ E2 Bear Spreads: Long a Put @ E2 & Short a Put @ E1 why?
ST
Long a Put @ E1
E1 < E2
ST
Break Even ?
Butterfly Spreads
Profit
T Short 2 Middle Calls & Long a Low and a High Call Each 0 T1 T E3
E1
E2
ST
T1
-C1 + 2C2 - C3
-E1 + 2 E2 - E3 - C1 + 2C2 - C3
0
0
T1 E T1 T
ST
Time to Maturity
Ratio Spreads: long N1 call @ C1 and N2 call @ C2 (Applies to Money or Calendar Spread)
Find N1 and N2 such that this portfolio value V is risk-free to Stock, where V = N1C1 + N2C2, i.e., Solve for N1/N2 = -(C2/S)/(C1/S) < 0, so ratio spread is N1 long @ C1 and N2 short @ C2. Ex. see p.241
End of Spread
Straddles
Profit
= 0 @ ST=?
ST
a. Straps: Long 2 Calls & One Put (bet market will go up)
= 2 Max(0, ST - E) - 2C + Max(0, E - ST ) - P = 2ST - 2E - 2C - P = -2C + E - ST - P if ST > E if ST < E
Straps
Profit Straddle (Long a Call & a Put)
ST
b. Strips: Long 2 Puts & One Call (bet market will go down)
= Max(0, ST - E) - C + 2Max(0, E - ST ) - 2P = ST - E - C - 2P = -C + 2E - 2ST - 2P if ST > E if ST < E
There are 2 Breakeven points, where ? Where is the minimum of ? When the of Straddle = the of Strip (or Strap)? Profit on Short the Straddle, Strip, Strap ?
Strips
Profit Straddle (Long a Call & a Put)
ST
E1
E2
c.
Box Spreads:Long One Call & Short One Put @ E1 & Short one Call & Long One Put @ E2
= Max(0,ST-E1) - C1 - Max(0, ST -E2) + C2 + Max(0, E2 - ST) - P2 - Max(0, E1 - ST) + P1 = E2 - E1 - C1 + C2 -P2+P1 (risk-free, check) From put-call parity @ E1 and @ E2 are S = C1 -P1+ PV(E1) S = C2 -P2+ PV(E2) PV(E2 - E1) = (C1 - C2) - (P1-P2) = Cost of Box Spread
Compound Options: Option on Option (i.e., The Underlying Good is Option (Call or Put, eg., Call on Call, or Call on Put, Put on Call, Put on Put) Chooser Options (As-You-Like-It Option): Owner has the Right to Determine Whether the Chooser Option Will Become a Call or Put by a Specified Choice Date. After the Date, Chooser Option=Plain Vanilla Option Barrier Options: In Option and Out Option. In Barrier Option Has No Value Until the S Touches a Certain Barrier Price and the In Barrier Option Becomes a Plain Vanilla Option. Out Option is Vanilla Option Except S Penetrates the Stated Barrier and the Option is Expired Worthless Immediately.
8 Types of Barrier Options: Down-and-In Call (Put), Up-and-In Call (Put), Down-and Out Call (Put), Upand-Out Call (Put) Barrier Options May Also Pay a Rebate (Booby Prize). The Rebate is Paid Immediately when The Barrier is Hit and the Option Passed out of Existence for Out Barrier Option. The Rebate Is Paid if the Option Expires without ever Hitting the Barrier Price.
1. Barrier ST E; Payoff= ST - E 2. ST Barrier E, &Barrier was Touch, Payoff=ST -E 3. ST Barrier E, & Barrier was Never Touched, Rebate 4. ST E Barrier, &Barrier was Touch, Payoff=ST -E 5. ST E Barrier, & Barrier was Never Touched, Rebate
Continuous. Either 0 or a Considerable Amount Cash-or-Nothing Call:. Pay Nothing if ST < E and Pay Fixed Amount of Cash if ST E . (Reverse for Put) Asset-or-Nothing (Pay Underlying Asset or Nothing) Supershares: Get Pay only if Market Value is between Lower and Upper Bound. Eg., Payoff= ST/ELif ELS EU ; 0
Lookback Options: Max{0, ST-Min[St, St+1, St+2, , ST]} for Call Purchased @ t Mature @ T For Put: Max{0, Max[St, St+1, St+2, , ST)-ST]} for Put Purchased @ t Mature @ T Average Price Options (Asian Option: Offered by Bankers Trust was the 1st to Offer such Products in Tokyo Office). Payoff=Average of the S t, t=tT Exchange Options: Option to Exchange one Asset for Another Rainbow Options: Options on 2 Risky Assets (# of Risky Assets =# of Colors in the Rainbow) 1. Call on the Best of 2 Risky Assets & Cash (No Exercise Price): 3 Choices @T, Risky Asset 1, Risky Asset 2, Fixed Cash Amount
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Call on Maximum of 2 Risky Assets w/Exercise Price E. Payoff= Max {S1T, S2T, E}-E Call on the Better of 2 Risky Assets (a Special Case of a Call on 2 Risky Assets & Cash) with Cash=0 Call on Minimum of 2 Risky Assets: Payoff=Max{0, Min(S1T, S2T)-E} Call on the Worse of 2 Risky Assets, Payoff= Min(S1T, S2T) Put On the Maximum of 2 Risky Assets, Payoff=Max{0, E-Max (S1T, S2T)} Put on the Minimum of 2 Risky Assets Payoff=Max{0, E-Min(S1T, S2T)}