Week 2 Titman - PPT - CH05
Week 2 Titman - PPT - CH05
Week 2 Titman - PPT - CH05
Chapter 5
The Time Value of
Money—The Basics
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Learning Objectives (2 of 2)
3. Understand discounting and calculate the
present value of cash flows using mathematical
formulas, a financial calculator and an Excel
spreadsheet.
4. Understand how interest rates are quoted and
know how to make them comparable.
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Principles Applied in this Chapter
• Principle 1: Money Has a Time Value.
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5.1 USING TIMELINES TO VISUALIZE CASHFLOWS
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Using Timelines to Visualize Cashflows
• A timeline identifies the timing and amount of a
stream of payments – both cash received and
cash spent - along with the interest rate earned.
Timelines are a critical first step that financial
analysts use to solve financial problems.
• A timeline is typically expressed in years, but it
could also be expressed as months, days or any
other unit of time.
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Time Line Example
i = 10%
Years 0 1 2 3 4
Cash flow −$100 $30 $20 −$10 $50
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5.2 COMPOUNDING AND FUTURE VALUE
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Compounding and Future Value
Time value of money calculations involve Present
value (what a cash flow would be worth to you
today) and Future value (what a cash flow will be
worth in the future).
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Compound Interest and Time (1 of 2)
The Future value of an investment grows with the
number of periods we let it compound.
Example: Suppose that you deposited $500 in your
savings account that earns 5% annual interest. How
much will you have in your account after two years?
After five years?
• FV2 = PV(1+i)n = 500(1.05)2 = $551.25
• FV5 = PV(1+i)n = 500(1.05)5 = $638.14
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Compound Interest and Time (2 of 2)
YEAR PV or Interest Earned (5%) FV or
Beginning Value Ending Value
1 $500.00 $500*.05 = $25 $525
2 $525.00 $525*.05 = $26.25 $551.25
3 $551.25 $551.25*.05 = $27.5 $578.81
4 $578.81 $578.81*.05 = $28.94 $607.75
5 $607.75 $607.75*.05 = $30.39 $638.14
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Figure 5.1 Future Value and Compound Interest Illustrated
(Panel A) Calculating Compound Interest
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Figure 5.1 Future Value and Compound Interest Illustrated
(Panel B) The Power of Time
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Figure 5.1 Future Value and Compound Interest Illustrated
(Panel C) The Power of the Rate of Interest
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Applying Compounding to Things Other
Than Money
Example A car rental firm is currently renting 8,000
cars per year. How many cars will the firm be
renting in 10 years if the demand for car rentals
is expected to increase by 7% per year?
• Using Equation 5-1a,
– FV = 8000(1.07)10 = 15,737.21 Cars
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CHECKPOINT 5.2: CHECK YOURSELF
Calculating the FV of a Cash Flow
What is the FV of $10,000 compounded at 12% annually for 20 years?
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Compound Interest with Shorter
Compounding Periods
Banks frequently offer savings account that
compound interest every day, month, or quarter.
More frequent compounding will generate higher
interest income and lead to higher future values.
m × (Number of Years ( n ))
Annual
Future Value
Present Interest Rate ( i )
in Year n = 1+
Value (PV ) Compounding (5-1b)
(FVn ) Periods per Year ( m)
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Table 5-2 The Value of $100 Compounded at Various Non—
Annual Periods and Various Rates (1 of 2)
For 1 Year at i Percent i = 2% 5% 10% 15%
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Table 5-2 The Value of $100 Compounded at Various Non—
Annual Periods and Various Rates (2 of 2)
For 10 Years at i Percent i = 2% 5% 10% 15%
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Table 5-2 Observations
Table 5-2 shows how shorter compounding periods
lead to higher future values. For example, if you
invested $100 at 15 percent for one year and the
investment was compounded daily rather than
annually, you would end up with $1.18 more
($116.18-$115.00). However, if the period was
extended to 10 years, then the difference would
grow to $43.47 ($448.03-$404.56)
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= $135,352.07
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5.3 DISCOUNTING AND PRESENT VALUE
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Present Value: The Key Question
• What is value today of cash flow to be received in
the future?
• The answer to this question requires computing
the present value (PV) - the value today of a
future cash flow - and the process of discounting,
determining the present value of an expected
future cash flow.
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The Mechanics of Discounting Future
Cash Flows
Future Value
Present 1
= in Year n Numbers of Years ( n )
Value (PV )
(FVn ) 1+ Annual
Interest Rate ( i )
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Figure 5.2 The Present Value of $100 Compounded at
Different Rates and for Different Time Periods
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= $29,530
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Two Additional Types of Discounting
Problems
Solving for: (1) Number of Periods; and
(2) Rate of Interest
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Solving for the Number of Periods
How long will it take to accumulate a specific
amount in the future?
• It is easier to solve for “n” using the financial
calculator or Excel rather than mathematical
formula. (See checkpoint 5.5)
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The Rule of 72
It determine the number of years it will take to
double the value of your investment.
N = 72/interest rate
For example, if you are able to generate an
annual return of 9%, it will take 8 years (=72/9)
to double the value of investment.
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CHECKPOINT 5.5: CHECK YOURSELF
Solving for Number of Periods, n
How many years will it take for $10,000 to grow to $200,000, given a 15% compound
growth rate?
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Step 1: Picture the Problem
i = 15%
Years 0 1 2… N=?
Cash flow Blank −$10,000 Blank $200,000
We know FV,
PV, and i and
are solving for N
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Step 2: Decide on a Solution Strategy
In this problem, we are solving for “n”. We know the
interest rate, the present value and the future value.
We can calculate “n” using a financial calculator or
an Excel spreadsheet.
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Step 3: Solve
• Using a Financial Calculator • Using an Excel Spreadsheet
I/Y = 15 N = NPER(rate,pmt,pv,fv)
PMT = 0 = NPER(.15,0, −10000,200000)
PV = −10,000 = 21.4 years
FV = 200,000
N = 21.4 years
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Step 4: Analyze
It will take 21.4 years for $10,000 to grow to
$200,000 at an annual interest rate of 15%.
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Interpolasi
• Bisa juga dicari dengan menggunakan interpolasi.
• Contoh: berapa tahun kah nilai $300 untuk menjadi $500 pada i = 10%
?
• Rumus FV = PV * (1+i)n
• tabel FVIA 5 tahun: 300*1,6105 = $483,1530
• tabel FVIA 6 tahun: 300*1,7716 = $531,4863
= 6 - ((531,4863 – 500)/(531,4863-483,1530))
= 6 - 0,65131128 = 5,3487 tahun
= $499,47970 (tidak bulat 500 karena interpolasi merupakan garis
lurus sedangkan fungsi FV adalah parabola)
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Solving for the Rate of Interest
What rate of interest will allow your investment to
grow to a desired future value?
We can determine the rate of interest using
mathematical equation, the financial calculator or
the Excel spread sheet.
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.1050 or 10.50%
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5.4 MAKING INTEREST RATES COMPARABLE
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Annual Percentage Rate (APR)
The annual percentage rate (APR) indicates the
interest rate paid or earned in one year without
compounding. APR is also known as the nominal
or quoted (stated) interest rate.
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Calculating the Interest Rate and
Converting it to an EAR
We cannot compare two loans based on APR if
they do not have the same compounding period.
To make them comparable, we calculate their
equivalent rate using an annual compounding
period. We do this by calculating the effective
annual rate (EAR)
m
APR or Quoted
Annual Rate
Effective Annual Rate ( EAR ) = 1+ 1
Compounding Periods
per Year ( m )
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To the Extreme: Continuous
Compounding
• As m (number of compounding period) increases,
so does the EAR. When the time intervals
between when interest is paid are infinitely small,
we can use the following mathematical formula to
compute the EAR.
• EAR = (e quoted rate ) −1
– Where “e” is the number 2.71828
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EAR with Continuous Compounding
• Example What is the EAR on your credit card with
continuous compounding if the APR is 18%?
• EAR = e.18 −1
= 1.1972 −1
= .1972 or 19.72%
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Key Terms (1 of 2)
• Annual Percentage Rate (APR)
• Compounding
• Compound Interest
• Discounting
• Discount Rate
• Effective Annual Rate (EAR)
• Future Value
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Key Terms (2 of 2)
• Future Value Interest Factor
• Nominal or quoted (stated) Interest Rate
• Present Value
• Present Value Interest Factor
• Rule of 72
• Simple Interest
• Timeline
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Copyright
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