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    Tugas TOM 3 - 8 & 3 - 17

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    Agung
    This document contains a network diagram and calculations for a project. It includes: 1) A network diagram with 8 activities (A-K) and their time estimates. 2) Calculations for the critical path (B-D-E-G), total project time (26 days), and slack times. 3) A second example with activity time estimates and calculations for expected time, variance, critical path, and total critical path time. It finds a 10% variance and 9.6% probability of completing before 36 weeks.

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    Tugas TOM 3 - 8 & 3 - 17

    Uploaded by

    Agung
    28 views2 pages
    This document contains a network diagram and calculations for a project. It includes: 1) A network diagram with 8 activities (A-K) and their time estimates. 2) Calculations for the critical path (B-D-E-G), total project time (26 days), and slack times. 3) A second example with activity time estimates and calculations for expected time, variance, critical path, and total critical path time. It finds a 10% variance and 9.6% probability of completing before 36 weeks.

    Original Description:

    Operation Management solution task 3.8

    Original Title

    Tugas TOM 3_8 & 3_17

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    © © All Rights Reserved

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    This document contains a network diagram and calculations for a project. It includes: 1) A network diagram with 8 activities (A-K) and their time estimates. 2) Calculations for the critical path (B-D-E-G), total project time (26 days), and slack times. 3) A second example with activity time estimates and calculations for expected time, variance, critical path, and total critical path time. It finds a 10% variance and 9.6% probability of completing before 36 weeks.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pptx, pdf, or txt
    28 views2 pages

    Tugas TOM 3 - 8 & 3 - 17

    Uploaded by

    Agung
    This document contains a network diagram and calculations for a project. It includes: 1) A network diagram with 8 activities (A-K) and their time estimates. 2) Calculations for the critical path (B-D-E-G), total project time (26 days), and slack times. 3) A second example with activity time estimates and calculations for expected time, variance, critical path, and total critical path time. It finds a 10% variance and 9.6% probability of completing before 36 weeks.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pptx, pdf, or txt
    You are on page 1of 2

    Agung Dwi Cahyana

    Eks B 39 D
    Operation Management

    3 ES EF
    a. AON Network : E LS LF

    time
    2 15 18

    15 18
    A
    0 2 3 8
    13 15 10
    G
    2 5 D
    Start 5 15
    B 5 15
    18 26
    0 5
    18 26
    10
    0 5
    1 6 8
    5
    C F
    0 1 1 7
    11 12 12 18

    1 6

    Activity Time ES EF LS LF Slack(LS-ES) Critical Path


    A 2 0 2 13 15 13 No
    B 5 0 5 0 5 0 Yes
    C 1 0 1 11 12 11 No
    D 10 5 18 5 15 0 Yes
    E 3 15 15 15 18 0 Yes
    F 6 1 7 12 18 11 No
    G 8 18 26 18 26 0 Yes

    b. Critical Path : B-D-E-G


    c. Total Project completion time : 26 Days
    d. Slack time for individual activity : A=13, B=0, C=11, D=0, E=0, F=11, G=0
    a. Expected time for C b. Variance time for C
    t=(a+4m+b)/6 t=((b-a)/6)^2
    =(8+(4x12)+16)/6 =((16-8)/6)^2
    = 72/6 = (1.33)^2
    = 12 weeks = 1.78 weeks

    c. Critical Path : A,C, F, H, J, K


    d. Estimated time Critical Path :
    = Time activity (A+C+ F + H + J + K)
    = 7.7+12.0 +9.7 + 2.0 + 6.7 + 2.2
    = 40. 3 weeks

    2.0
    9.7 9.7 6.0
    B E
    F I
    7.7 2.0
    12.0
    2.2
    A C H
    Start 3.0 K

    6.3 G
    D 6.7

    J
    Time Estimates (In Weeks)
    Most
    Slack Critical Variance
    Optimistic Likely Pessimistic estimted time ES EF LS LF
    (LS-ES) Path [(b-a)/6]^2
    Activity IP (a) (m) (c) t=(a+4m+b)/6
    A - 4 8 10 7.7 0 7.7 0.0 7.7 0.0 Yes 1.0
    B A 2 8 24 9.7 7.7 17.4 8.0 17.7 0.3 No 13.4
    C A 8 12 16 12.0 7.7 19.7 7.7 19.7 0.0 Yes 1.8
    D A 4 6 10 6.3 7.7 14.0 25.1 31.4 17.4 No 1.0
    E B 1 2 3 2.0 17.4 19.4 17.7 19.7 0.3 No 0.1
    F E,C 6 8 20 9.7 19.7 29.4 19.7 29.4 0.0 Yes 5.4
    G E,C 2 3 4 3.0 19.7 22.7 26.4 29.4 6.7 No 0.1
    H F 2 2 2 2.0 29.4 31.4 29.4 31.4 0.0 Yes 0.0
    I F 6 6 6 6.0 29.4 35.4 32.1 38.1 2.7 No 0.0
    J D, G, H 4 6 12 6.7 31.4 38.1 31.4 38.1 0.0 Yes 1.8
    K I, J 2 2 3 2.2 38.1 40.3 38.1 40.3 0.0 Yes 0.0

    e. Activity variance along the critical path : f. Probability of completion of the project before 36 weeks :
    = var A+ var C+ var F + var H + var J + var K Std dev = Square root(variance)
    = 1.0 + 1.8 + 5.4 + 0.0 + 1.8 + 0.0 = square root(10.0)
    = 10.0 = 3.16

    Z value based on normal distribution :


    Zvalue=(due date-expected completion date)/standard deviation
    = (36-40.3)/3.16
    =-1.36

    Probability of z value <-1.36 = 9.6%

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