Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply Analysis: Powerpoint
Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply Analysis: Powerpoint
Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply Analysis: Powerpoint
to accompany
Chapter 13
Aggregate
Demand and
Aggregate
Supply Analysis
Learning Objectives
1. Understand what happens during
business cycles and their relationship to
long-run economic growth.
2. Discuss the determinants of aggregate
demand, and distinguish between a
movement along the aggregate demand
curve and a shift of the curve.
3. Discuss the determinants of aggregate
supply, and distinguish between a
movement along the short-run aggregate
supply curve and a shift of the curve.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Learning Objectives
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Business cycles impacts on Canon
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 1
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Movements in real GDP, Australia,
1980 – 2007: Figure 13.1
6
3
Per cent
0
1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007
-1
-2
-3
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (2008),
Australian National Accounts , Cat. No. 5206.0. Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 1
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 1
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
The effect of the business cycle on new car
sales, Australia, 1994 – 2007: Figure 13.2
65 000
60 000
55 000
Car sales
50 000
45 000
40 000
35 000
30 000
6
Per cent
11
10
9
Per cent
4
1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (2007),
Labour Force: Electronic Delivery , Cat. No. 6203.0. Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 1
4
Per cent
0
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
-1
-2
-3
Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics (2007),
Australian National Accounts , Cat. No. 5206.0. Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 2
Aggregate Demand
Aggregate demand and aggregate
supply model: A model that explains
short-run fluctuations in real GDP and the
price level.
Real GDP and the price level are
determined in the short run by the
intersection of the aggregate demand curve
and the short-run aggregate supply curve.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 2
Aggregate Demand
Aggregate demand curve (AD): A
curve showing the relationship between the
price level and the quantity of real GDP
demanded by households, firms and the
government.
Short-run aggregate supply curve:
(SRAS): A curve showing the relationship in
the short-run between the price level and
the quantity of real GDP supplied by firms.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Aggregate demand and aggregate
supply: Figure 13.6
Price level
Short-run
aggregate
supply,
SRAS
100
Aggregate
demand, AD
0
$1000 Real GDP (billions of
dollars)
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 2
Aggregate Demand
Why is the aggregate demand curve
downward sloping?
1. The wealth effect
How a change in the price level affects
consumption.
2. The interest rate effect
How a change in the price level affects
investment.
3. The international-trade effect
How a change in the price level affects net
exports.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 2
Aggregate Demand
Shifts in the aggregate demand curve
versus movements along it.
The AD curve shows the relationship
between the price level and the quantity of
real GDP demanded, holding everything
else constant.
Changes in the price level are depicted as
movements up or down a stationary
aggregate demand curve.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 2
Aggregate Demand
The variables that shift the aggregate
demand curve:
1. Changes in government policies.
Examples: taxes; government purchases.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
MAKING THE
13.1CONNECTION The effect of exchange
rates on sales
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 2
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 2
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 2
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 2
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 2
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 3
Aggregate Supply
The long-run aggregate supply curve
(LRAS): A curve showing the relationship in
the long run between the price level and the
quantity of real GDP supplied.
The long-run aggregate supply curve
shows that in the long run, increases in the
price level do not affect the level of real
GDP.
The long-run aggregate supply curve is a
vertical line at potential GDP.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 3
Aggregate Supply
Shifts in the long-run aggregate supply
curve.
The LRAS curve shifts because potential
real GDP increases over time.
Increases in potential GDP (or economic
growth) are due to:
1. An increase in resources.
2. An increase in machinery and equipment.
3. New technology.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
The long-run aggregate supply
curve: Figure 13.7
Price level
LRAS2006 LRAS2007 LRAS2008
112
100
95
0
$1100 $1140 $1170 Real GDP
(billions of dollars)
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 3
Aggregate Supply
The short-run aggregate supply curve.
The SRAS is upward sloping, showing that
in the short-run firms will produce more in
response to higher prices.
The prices of inputs tends to rise more
slowly than the prices of final products.
Contracts make some wages and prices ‘sticky’.
Firms are often slow to adjust wages.
Menu costs make some prices sticky. Menu
costs are costs to firms of changing prices.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 3
Aggregate Supply
Shifts in the short-run aggregate supply
curve versus movements along it.
The SRAS curve shows the short-run
relationship between the price level and the
quantity of goods and services firms are willing
to supply, holding everything else constant.
Changes in the price level are depicted as
movements up or down a stationary short-run
aggregate supply curve.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 3
Aggregate Supply
Variables that shift the SRAS curve.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
How expectations of the future price level affect
the short-run aggregate supply: Figure 13.8
Price level
1. If firms and workers
expect the price level to SRAS2010
be 3% higher in 2010
than in 2009 … SRAS2009
0
$1000 Real GDP (billions of
dollars)
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 3
Aggregate Supply
Variables that shift the short-run and the
long-run aggregate supply curves.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 4
Macroeconomic equilibrium in
the long run and the short run
In long-run equilibrium, the aggregate
demand and short-run aggregate supply
curves intersect at a point along the
long-run aggregate supply curve.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Long-run macroeconomic equilibrium:
Figure 13.9
Price level
LRAS
SRAS
100
AD
0
$1000 Real GDP (billions of
dollars)
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 4
Macroeconomic equilibrium in
the long run and the short run
Recessions, expansions and supply
shocks.
The following analysis of the aggregate
demand and aggregate supply model begins
with a simplified case, using two
assumptions:
1. The price level is currently at 100, and workers
and firms expect it to remain at 100 in the future.
2. Potential GDP is at $1000 billion and will remain
at that level in the future.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 4
Macroeconomic equilibrium in
the long run and the short run
Recession
1. The short-run effect of a decline in
aggregate demand.
AD curve shifts left, and real GDP declines.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
The short-run and long-run effects of a
decrease in aggregate demand: Figure 13.10
Price level
1. A decline in LRAS SRAS1
investment
shifts AD to SRAS2
the left causing
a recession.
AD2 AD1
0
3. Equilibrium moves from point $980 1000 Real GDP (billions of
B back to potential GDP at dollars)
point C, with a lower price level. Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 4
Macroeconomic equilibrium in
the long run and the short run
Expansion
1. The short-run effect of an increase in
aggregate demand.
AD curve shifts right, real GDP and the price
level rise.
AD1 AD2
0
3. Equilibrium moves from point B $1000 1030 Real GDP (billions of
back to potential GDP at point C, dollars)
with a higher price level. Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 4
Macroeconomic equilibrium in
the long run and the short run
Supply shock: An unexpected event that
causes the short-run aggregate supply
curve to shift.
Stagflation: A combination of inflation and
recession, usually resulting from a supply
shock.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 4
Macroeconomic equilibrium in
the long run and the short run
Supply shock
1. The short-run effect of a supply shock.
SRAS curve shifts left, real GDP falls and the
price level rises.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
The short-run and long-run effects of a supply
shock: Figure 13.12
2. …moving short-run
equilibrium to point B,
with lower real GDP Price
Price and a higher price level
level level. LRAS SRAS2
SRAS2
LRAS
SRAS1 SRAS1
B B
104 104 2. Equilibrium
moves from
100 1. An increase in oil
A prices shifts SRAS 100 A point B
potential GDP
to the left … at the original
price level.
AD AD
(a) A recession with a rising price level – (b) Adjustment back to potential GDP –
the short-run effect of a supply shock. the long-run effect of a supply shock.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
The short-run and long-run effects of a supply
shock: Figure 13.12 1. The recession caused by the
supply shock eventually leads to
2. …moving short-run falling wages and prices,
equilibrium to point B,
with lower real GDP Price shifting SRAS back to its
Price original position.
and a higher price level
level level. LRAS SRAS2
SRAS2
LRAS
SRAS1 SRAS1
B B
104 104 2. Equilibrium
moves from
100 1. An increase in oil
A prices shifts SRAS 100 A point B to
potential GDP
to the left … at the original
price level.
AD AD
(a) A recession with a rising price level – (b) Adjustment back to potential GDP –
the short-run effect of a supply shock. the long-run effect of a supply shock.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 4
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 4
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 4
The price level is now higher than workers and firms had
expected. As workers and firms adjust to the higher
price level, prices and wages rise, and the short-run
aggregate supply curve shifts inwards to the left.
Equilibrium moves back to potential GDP, but at a higher
price level.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
LEARNING OBJECTIVE 5
1. If AD shifts to
104 B the right more
than LRAS …
100 A
2. …the price
level rises.
AD2
AD1
0
$1000 1050 Real GDP (billions of
dollars)
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
MAKING THE
13.2CONNECTION Does rising productivity
growth reduce
employment?
New technology
and equipment
increases labour
productivity.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
An Inside Look
JB Hi-Fi reports
sales up 36% and
net profit after tax
up 56%.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
An Inside Look
Figure 1: Australian economic expansion between 2002 and
2007
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Key Terms
Aggregate demand and aggregate supply model
Aggregate demand curve (AD)
Business cycle
Long-run aggregate supply curve (LRAS)
Menu costs
Short-run aggregate supply curve (SRAS)
Stagflation
Supply shock
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Get Thinking!
At various times, the Australian dollar increases in value
against the US dollar and other major currencies. At the same
time, higher education continues as an important component
of Australia’s export revenue. The cost of education in
Australia therefore increases when the Australian dollar rises
relative to other currencies.
Discuss with your fellow students from other countries the role
the changing value of the Australian dollar played in their
decision to study in Australia.
Explain the impact that such changes have on the net export
component of aggregate demand, and hence aggregate
demand, ceteris paribus.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Check Your Knowledge
Q1. From a trough to a peak, the
economy goes through:
a. The recession phase of the business
cycle.
b. The expansion phase of the business
cycle.
c. A contraction.
d. A depression.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Check Your Knowledge
Q1. From a trough to a peak, the
economy goes through:
a. The recession phase of the business
cycle.
b. The expansion phase of the business
cycle.
c. A contraction.
d. A depression.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Check Your Knowledge
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Check Your Knowledge
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Check Your Knowledge
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Check Your Knowledge
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Check Your Knowledge
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Check Your Knowledge
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Check Your Knowledge
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Check Your Knowledge
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Check Your Knowledge
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Check Your Knowledge
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Check Your Knowledge
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Check Your Knowledge
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
APPENDIX
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
An example of a 45° line diagram:
Figure 13A.1
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
APPENDIX
AE = C + I + G + NX
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
APPENDIX
Graphing macroeconomic
equilibrium
Using the 45° line diagram to illustrate
macroeconomic equilibrium.
The 45° line measures real national income
against planned real aggregate expenditure.
All points of macroeconomic equilibrium must
lie along the 45° line.
At points above the 45° line, aggregate
expenditures are greater than GDP.
At points below the 45° degree line,
aggregate expenditures are less than GDP.
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
The relationship between planned aggregate
expenditure and GDP on a 45° line diagram:
Figure 13A.2
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Macroeconomic equilibrium on the 45°
line diagram: Figure 13A.3
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Macroeconomic equilibrium : Figure 13A.4
Hubbard, Garnett, Lewis and O’Brien: Essentials of Economics © 2010 Pearson Australia
Showing a recession on the 45° line: Figure
13A.5