Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
Discounted Cash Flow Valuation
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Multiple Cash Flows – FV
Example 5.1
• Find the value at year 3 of each cash
flow and add them together.
• Today (year 0): FV = $7,000(1.08) 3
= $8,817.98
• Year 1: FV = $4,000(1.08)2 =
$4,665.60
• Year 2: FV = $4,000(1.08) = $4,320
• Year 3: value = $4,000
• Total value in 3 years = $8,817.98 +
4,665.60 + 4,320 + 4,000 =
$21,803.58
• Value at year 4 = $21,803.58(1.08)
= $23,547.87
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Multiple Cash Flows – FV
Example 2
FV = $500(1.09)2 + $600(1.09) =
$1,248.05
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Example 2 Continued
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Multiple Cash Flows –
FV Example 3
• Suppose you plan to deposit $100
into an account in one year and
$300 into the account in three
years. How much will be in the
account in five years if the interest
rate is 8%?
FV = $100(1.08)4 + $300(1.08)2 =
$136.05 + $349.92 = $485.97
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Multiple Cash Flows –
PV Example 5.3
• Find the PV of each cash flow and
add them
• Year 1 CF: $200 / (1.12)1 =
$178.57
• Year 2 CF: $400 / (1.12)2 =
$318.88
• Year 3 CF: $600 / (1.12)3 =
$427.07
• Year 4 CF: $800 / (1.12)4 =
$508.41
• Total PV = $178.57 + 318.88 +
427.07 + 508.41 = $1,432.93
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Example 5.3 Time Line
0 1 2 3 4
318.88
427.07
508.41
1,432.93
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Example: Spreadsheet
Strategies
• You can use the PV or FV functions
in Excel to find the present value
or future value of a set of cash
flows
• Setting the data up is half the
battle – if it is set up properly,
then you can just copy the
formulas
• Click on the Excel icon for an
example
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Decisions, Decisions
PV = $40/(1.15)1 + $75/(1.15)2 =
$91.49
No! The broker is charging more
than you would be willing to pay.
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Saving For Retirement
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Annuities and Perpetuities
Defined
• Annuity – finite series of equal
payments that occur at regular
intervals
• If the first payment occurs at the
end of the period, it is called an
ordinary annuity
• If the first payment occurs at the
beginning of the period, it is called
an annuity due
• Perpetuity – infinite series of equal
payments
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Annuities and Perpetuities – Basic
Formulas
• Perpetuity: PV = C / r
• Annuities:
1
1
(1 r ) t
PV C
r
(1 r ) t 1
FV C
r
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Annuity – Example 5.5
1
1
(1.01) 48
PV 632 23,999.54
.01
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Annuity – Sweepstakes Example
PV = $333,333.33[1 – 1/1.0530] / .
05 = $5,124,150.29
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Buying a House
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Buying a House - Continued
• Bank loan
Monthly income = $36,000 / 12 =
$3,000
Maximum payment = .28($3,000)
= $840
PV = $840[1 – 1/1.005360] / .005
= $140,105
• Total Price
Closing costs = .04($140,105) =
$5,604
Down payment = $20,000 – 5,604
= $14,396
Total Price = $140,105 + 14,396 =
$154,501
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Example: Spreadsheet Strategies
– Annuity PV
• The present value and future value
formulas in a spreadsheet include
a place for annuity payments
• Click on the Excel icon to see an
example
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Quick Quiz
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Quick Quiz
• You want to receive $5,000 per month for
the next 5 years. How much would you
need to deposit today if you can earn .
75% per month?
• What monthly rate would you need to earn
if you only have $200,000 to deposit?
• Suppose you have $200,000 to deposit
and can earn .75% per month.
• How many months could you receive
the $5,000 payment?
• How much could you receive every
month for 5 years?
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Perpetuity – Example 5.7
• Perpetuity formula: PV = C / r
• Current required return:
$40 = $1 / r
r = .025 or 2.5% per quarter
• Dividend for new preferred:
$100 = C / .025
C = $2.50 per quarter
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Effective Annual Rate (EAR)
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Annual Percentage Rate
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Computing APRs
• What is the APR if the monthly rate is .5%?
.5%(12) = 6%
• What is the APR if the semiannual rate is .
5%?
.5%(2) = 1%
• What is the monthly rate if the APR is 12%
with monthly compounding?
12% / 12 = 1%
Can you divide the above APR by 2 to
get the semiannual rate? NO!!! You need
an APR based on semiannual
compounding to find the semiannual
rate.
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Computing EARs -
Example
• Suppose you can earn 1% per month on $1
invested today.
• What is the APR? 1%(12) = 12%
• How much are you effectively earning?
• FV = 1(1.01)12 = 1.1268
• Rate = (1.1268 – 1) * 100 = .1268 =
12.68%
• Suppose if you put it in another account, and
you earn 3% per quarter.
• What is the APR? 3%(4) = 12%
• How much are you effectively earning?
• FV = 1(1.03)4 = 1.1255
• Rate = (1.1255 – 1) * 100 = .1255 =
12.55%
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EAR - Formula
m
APR
EAR 1 1
m
Remember that the APR is the quoted rate,
and m is the number of compounds per year
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Pure Discount Loans –
Example 5.11
• Treasury bills are excellent
examples of pure discount loans.
The principal amount is repaid at
some future date, without any
periodic interest payments.
• If a T-bill promises to repay
$10,000 in one year and the
market interest rate is 7 percent,
how much will the bill sell for in
the market?
PV = $10,000 / 1.07 = $9,345.79
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Interest-Only Loan - Example
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Amortized Loan with Fixed
Payment - Example
• Each payment covers the interest
expense; plus, it reduces principal
• Consider a 4-year loan with annual
payments. The interest rate is 8%
and the principal amount is
$5,000.
• What is the annual payment?
• $5,000 = C[1 – 1 / 1.084] / .08
• C = $1,509.60
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Amortization Table for Example
Year Beg. Total Interest Principal End.
Balance Payment Paid Paid Balance
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Example: Spreadsheet
Strategies
• Each payment covers the interest
expense; plus, it reduces principal
• Consider a 4-year loan with annual
payments. The interest rate is 8% and
the principal amount is $5,000.
• What is the annual payment?
•4N
• 8 I/Y
• 5,000 PV
• CPT PMT = -1,509.60
• Click on the Excel icon to see the
amortization table
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Quick Quiz
• No Homework!!!!! Woo-hooooooo!
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