Presentation TCM
Presentation TCM
Presentation TCM
INTRODUCTION
Wondo Genet is one of the most well-known naturebased recreation sites in Ethiopia. The main attractions of the site includes: the hot spring water for bathing and swimming; the forested landscape, streams, birds and other wildlife in the surrounding and the cafeteria, bar and bedroom services
Cont Over the past decades, considerable conversion of the natural ecosystem into other land uses mainly: to agriculture, settlement and plantation has occurred and recurrent occurrences of fire and illegal overexploitation of timber has been going on in the sub-catchment, where the recreation site is part of the area suffered by the impacts.
Objective
The primary objective of this study was to estimate the recreation use value of the site
Method of Estimation
vTo estimate the economic value of the recreation site, travel cost method (TCM) is applied. vThere are several ways to approach the problem, but we used a simple zonal travel cost approach.
Cont vThe basic premise of the travel cost method is that the time and travel cost expenses that people incur to visit a site represent the price of access to the site We need to calculate the cost of
Traveling to the park (explicit cost) Time spent traveling (implicit cost) Then we estimate a demand function and determine the benefits associated with the area
Cont
vHow can we calculate the cost of traveling to the site? Determine how far people must travel Determine an average cost per km Travel Cost = Cost ($) /km * Distance (km)
Individuals opportunity cost of time is approximately equal to their wage Cost of time spent traveling = travel time * wage
Cont
A B C D E
0 20 40 60 80
0 30 60 90 120
0 10 20 30 40
0 6 12 18 24
0 16 32 48 64
Cont Regressing the number of visits as a function of the cost (proxy for price) we get: V = -3.468 * C + 248 Using our cost data and adding different values for an entrance fee, we can construct a demand curve
The Area under the curve can be calculated by various methods. We have tried to fit the curve using logarithmic function and integrated over the range.
Cont
Total Visitors/year, X 3000 2480 2046 1699 1352 1047 839 631 433 329 225 121 80 45 5 0
A=[Xn- Xn+1 ]* [ Fn+Fn+1 ]/2 1300.00 3255.00 4337.50 6064.66 6872.58 5720.00 6760.00 7425.00 4420.00 4940.00 5460.00 2357.50 2187.50 2700.00 362.50 0.00 $64,162.24
Conclusion
If we assume the investment cost is less than $63240 per year, then it is economical to develop the site. If not we have to decide whether other factors make them worthwhile.
Thankyouforyour Attention