Session 11 - 12
Session 11 - 12
Session 11 - 12
Arguments
Validity/Invalidity & Soundness
Strength/Weakness & Cognecy
Standards to Judge Arguments
• Validity/Invalidity
• Soundness
• Strength/Weakness
• Cogency
Vices & Virtues in Arguments
• Vices
• The premises do not succeed in guaranteeing the conclusion or the
conclusion does not follow necessarily from the premises
• One or more premises is/are false
• By avoiding the above two vices, we can get the corresponding
virtues: Validity and Soundness
• Validity requires one virtue (it is necessary that, if the premises are
• true, then the conclusion is true)
• Soundness requires both virtues (Validity and true premises)
Relation Between Premises and Conclusion
• In deductive arguments, the conclusion should follow from
the premises
• It should be structured in such a way that it’s valid
• An argument is valid if and only if it’s not possible that both of its premises
are true and its conclusion is false
• Whenever its conclusion is false, at least one premise must be false
• A valid argument is a deductive argument in which the
premises succeed in guaranteeing the conclusion
• An invalid argument is a deductive argument in which the
premises fail to guarantee the conclusion
Valid Arguments
• All biologists are scientists. John is not a scientist. So, John is not a
biologist.
• If Alice stole the diamonds, then she is a thief. And Alice did steal the
diamonds. Hence, Alice is a thief.
• Either Bill has a poor memory or he is lying. Bill does not have a poor
memory. Therefore, Bill is lying.
Kinds of Arguments
True Conclusion False Conclusion
True Premises Some Valid, Some Not ALL INVALID
A False Premise Some Valid, Some Not Some Valid, Some Not
Kinds of Arguments...
• An argument can have one or more false premises and still be valid.
• All birds have beaks. Some cats are birds. So, some cats have beaks.
• An argument can have both false premises but can still be valid.
• All sharks are birds. All birds are politicians. So, all sharks are politicians.
Kinds of Arguments...
• We cannot rightly conclude that an argument is valid
simply on the grounds that its premises are all true.
• Some Americans are women. Brad Pitt is an American.
Therefore, Brad Pitt is a woman.
• Is this argument valid?
• Some Americans work in the movie industry. Angelina Jolie
is an American. Hence Angelina Jolie works in the movie
industry.
• The question, “are the premises really true?” is
distinct from “is the argument valid?”
Kinds of Arguments...
• One can know whether an argument is valid or invalid even if one
does not know the truth value of the conclusion and all of the
premises.
• All Schnitzers are BMWs. Emily Larson owns a Schnitzer. So, Emily Larson
owns a BMW.
Deductive Arguments
Valid Invalid
Arguments Arguments
Valid Valid
arguments arguments
All invalid
with all with at least
arguments
true premises one false
are unsound.
are premise are
sound. unsound.
Inductive Strength & Weakness
• Strong inductive arguments are well-reasoned
• The conclusion follows probably from the premises
• A strong argument is one in which it is probable (but not necessary) that, if
the premises are true, then the conclusion is true.
• Negatively, a strong inductive argument is one in which it is possible, but
improbable, that the conclusion is false, given the assumption that the
premises are true
• Weak inductive argument is one in which it is not probable that, if the
premises are true, then the conclusion is true
Examples
• All meteorites found to this day have contained sugar. Therefore,
probably the next meteorite to be found will contain sugar.
Inductive Strength & Weakness...
• 98 percent of Lahore Qalandars fans believe they can win the PSL.
Adnan is a Lahore Qalandars fan. So, Adnan believes they can win the
PSL.
• 14 percent of Karachi Kings fans prefer Amir Yameen to Muhammad
Amir. Nadia is a Karachi Kings fan. So, Nadia prefers Amir Yameen to
Muhammad Amir.
Inductive Strength & Weakness...
• According to Boston University historian Howard Zinn, an expert in
early twentieth-century American history, by 1933, the worst year of
America’s Great Depression, one-fourth to one-third of America’s
labour force was out of work. So, one-fourth to one-third of American
workers were unemployed in 1933.
• According to Ali Hassan, an incoming freshman at LUMS, Pakistan’s
GNP will decrease by 4.67 percent next year. So, the GNP of Pakistan
will go down nearly 5 percent next year.
Inductive Strength & Weakness...
• Rehan’s horse is similar in certain respects (size, speed, strength and
training) to Zoe’s horse. Zoe’s horse is able to jump the fence. Hence,
Rehan’s horse is able to jump the fence also.
• The horses have the same coat and eye colour, they have the same
length of mane and tail, they have the same number of nostrils, and
both have riders wearing Levi’s 501s.
Inductive Strength & Weakness...
• Strength and weakness come in degrees but validity and invalidity do
not
• In statistical arguments, the strength and weakness will vary
according to the numerical values of the percentages
• How will it vary in arguments by authority?
• How will it vary in arguments from analogy?
Inductive Strength & Weakness...
•According to the National Weather Service, there is a 60 percent chance of rain
today.
Therefore, probably it will rain today.
• An inductive argument that is either weak, or strong with at least one false
premise is an uncogent argument
• All previous U.S. presidents have been Democrats.
Therefore, probably the next U.S. president will be a Democrat.
Uncogent Argument Categories
• Category 1. It is strong, but it has at least one false premise.
• Category 2. It is weak, but all of its premises are true.
• Category 3. It is weak and it has at least one false premise.
Map of the Main Concepts
Inductive Arguments
Strong Weak
Arguments Arguments
Strong Strong
arguments arguments Weak
with all with at least arguments
true premises one false are all
are premise are uncogent.
cogent. uncogent.
Examples
• Since some fruits are green, and some fruits are apples, it follows that
some fruits are green apples.
• Since Agatha is the mother of Raquel and the sister of Tom, it follows
that Tom is the uncle of Raquel.
Writing Well-Crafted or
Standardized Arguments
Principles
Principles for Writing Well-Crafted Versions
of Arguments
• Principle 1: Identify the premise and conclusion
• We should abolish the death penalty because it does not deter
crime.
• 1. The death penalty does not deter crime.
• So, 2. We should abolish the death penalty.
• Principle 2: Eliminate excess verbiage
• Words and statements that add nothing to the argument, should
not be included in the well-crafted version of the argument.
• Four common types of excess verbiage
• Discount
• Repetition
• Assurances
• Hedges
Discount
• A discount is an acknowledgment of a fact or possibility that might
be thought to render the argument invalid, weak, unsound, or
uncogent.
• Although certain events in the subatomic realm occur at random, I
still say that the universe as a whole displays a marvellous order.
Perhaps the best evidence for this is the fact that scientists continue
to discover regularities that can be formulated as laws.
• Discounts are very important rhetorically
Discount...
• 1. Scientists continue to discover regularities that can be formulated
as laws.
• So, 2. The universe as a whole displays a marvellous order.
• The following are used as discount indicators:
• although while it may be true that
• even though while I admit that
• in spite of the fact that I realize that . . . , but
• despite the fact that I know that . . . , but
Repetition
• Repetition
• Authors and speakers who use repetition restate a premise or conclusion,
perhaps altering the wording slightly.
• The study of logic will increase both your attention span and your
patience with difficult concepts. In other words, if you apply yourself
to the subject of logic, you’ll find yourself able to concentrate for
longer periods of time. You will also find yourself increasingly able to
approach complex material without feeling restless or frustrated.
Therefore, a course in logic is well worth the effort.
Repetition...
• 1. The study of logic will increase both your attention span and your
patience with difficult concepts.
• So, 2. A course in logic is well worth the effort.