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    MGNM578 Lecture 9

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    Ankit rana
    This document provides an overview of the risks and trends associated with international business. It discusses various types of risks like weak economies, regulatory risks, and reputation damage. It then analyzes Vodafone's operations and challenges in India using financial data and news articles. Finally, it outlines recent global foreign direct investment trends, policy priorities to support FDI, and forecasts a decline in world trade in 2020 followed by a moderate recovery in 2021.

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    MGNM578 Lecture 9

    Uploaded by

    Ankit rana
    29 views31 pages
    This document provides an overview of the risks and trends associated with international business. It discusses various types of risks like weak economies, regulatory risks, and reputation damage. It then analyzes Vodafone's operations and challenges in India using financial data and news articles. Finally, it outlines recent global foreign direct investment trends, policy priorities to support FDI, and forecasts a decline in world trade in 2020 followed by a moderate recovery in 2021.

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    This document provides an overview of the risks and trends associated with international business. It discusses various types of risks like weak economies, regulatory risks, and reputation damage. It then analyzes Vodafone's operations and challenges in India using financial data and news articles. Finally, it outlines recent global foreign direct investment trends, policy priorities to support FDI, and forecasts a decline in world trade in 2020 followed by a moderate recovery in 2021.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pptx, pdf, or txt
    29 views31 pages

    MGNM578 Lecture 9

    Uploaded by

    Ankit rana
    This document provides an overview of the risks and trends associated with international business. It discusses various types of risks like weak economies, regulatory risks, and reputation damage. It then analyzes Vodafone's operations and challenges in India using financial data and news articles. Finally, it outlines recent global foreign direct investment trends, policy priorities to support FDI, and forecasts a decline in world trade in 2020 followed by a moderate recovery in 2021.

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    © All Rights Reserved
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    You are on page 1of 31

    MGNM578

    International Business Environment

    RAJEEV GUPTA

    1
    Poll

    Q. Technology has drastically reduced time between conceiving an idea and ___________

    that idea.

    a) Processing

    b) Implementing

    c) Generating

    d) None of these
    2
    News Article

    3
    Learning
    Outcome

    • After this Lecture, you will be able to


    • Classify the various types of risks while undertaking
    an international assignment.
    • Illustrate recent world trade and foreign investment
    trends.
    Risks Associated with International Business

    • Weak Economies
    • Regulatory Risks
    • Increasing Competition
    • Damage to Reputation
    • Failure to attract top talent
    • Failure to Innovate
    • Commodity Price Risk
    Risks Associated with International Business

    • Cashflow & Liquidity Risk


    • Political Risk
    • Disruptive Technologies Risk
    PESTEL Analysis

    • A PESTEL analysis is an acronym for a tool used to identify the macro (external)


    forces facing an organisation.

    • The letters stand for Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Environmental and Legal.

    • Depending on the organisation, it can be reduced to PEST or some areas can be added
    (e.g. Ethical)
    PESTEL Analysis

    Political

    Legal Economic

    PESTEL
    ANALYSIS

    Environmental Social

    Technological
    Example-Vodafone
    Revenue of the Vodafone Group from 2010 to 2022 (in billion British pounds/euros)

    10
    Vodafone India
    Number of Vodafone mobile customers -
    from 2013 to 2020, by country/market

    Source: - Statista 2020


    Number of Vodafone mobile customers

    13
    News Article

    Source- https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/company/corporate-trends/vodafones-eventful-
    journey-in-india-takes-a-new-turn/articleshow/57741944.cms?from=mdr
    Number Tell Their Own Story

    Source- https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/company/corporate-trends/vodafones-eventful-
    journey-in-india-takes-a-new-turn/articleshow/57741944.cms?from=mdr
    News Article

    Source: - https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/industry/telecom/telecom-news/vodafones-future-in-
    india-in-doubt-after-latest-setback/articleshow/72021843.cms?from=mdr
    News Article

    Source: -https://www.ft.com/content/15af5d8c-1811-11ea-9ee4-11f260415385
    News Article

    Source: - https://www.indiatvnews.com/business/news-agr-dispute-vodafone-idea-could-head-
    bankruptcy-589485
    News Article

    19
    News Article

    20
    Current Statistics of Mobile Subscribers in India

    21
    Global Status of FDI Trends -
    FDI Inflows 2015 – 2019 (millions of Dollars)

    Source: UNCTAD, FDI/MNE database


    Global Investment trend 2020 Q1-Q3
    (Percent Change vs 2019)

    Source: UNCTAD
    FDI inflows by region, 2020 H1 vs 2019 (Billions of US dollars and percent)

    Source: UNCTAD
    Number & Type of Investment policy Changes in Asian & Pacific countries,
    Jan19- Oct. 20

    Source: UNCTAD (2020) Investment Policy Hub, Geneva


    Available at: https://investmentpolicy.unctad.org/country-navigator
    Policy Priorities for Supporting FDI

    • Developing and implementing a green growth recovery strategy with a robust role
    for both inward and outward FDI.

    • Putting in place policy measures to support both local and foreign SMEs in supply
    chains.

    • Focusing on boosting digital competitiveness.

    • Introducing sunset clauses to restrictive measures.


    Outlook & Implications
    for Foreign Investors
    World Trade Trends

    The World Trade Organization forecasts a 9.2% decline in the volume of


    world merchandise trade for 2020, followed by a 7.2% increase in 2021.
    World Trade Trends

    The 2021 projection is in line with the WTO’s “weak recovery” expectation,
    and falls short of previously-projected growth, which was last forecast at
    21.3%.
    World Trade Trends

    Major factors that could impact the projections include a resurgence of COVID-
    19 that triggers additional extended lockdowns and a successful vaccine that
    could accelerate recovery efforts.
    THANK YOU

    RAJEEV GUPTA

    31

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