Session 1 - Basics of Risk and Insurance
Session 1 - Basics of Risk and Insurance
Session 1 - Basics of Risk and Insurance
INSURANCE
1 Session 1
COURSE OBJECTIVES
🞆 Understand the meaning and application of the following concepts:
- Peril
- Risk
- Hazard
- Uncertainty
🞆 Identifying hazards:
- Physical,
- Moral
- Morale hazale
- Understand the risk management process 2
COURSE OBJECTIVES
RISK
ACTIONS 4
WHAT IS RISK?
🞆 Etymology of the word risk:
1661, risque, from Fr. risque, from It. risco,
riscio (modern rischio), from riscare
"run into danger"
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DO YOU KNOW, WHAT IS HAZARD?
🞆 A hazard is the source of danger. The hazard is the
underlying factor behind the peril that leads to the
probability of a particular loss to the insurer. It is the
active ingredient that could create a peril, which could
then lead to a particular loss event
RISK PERIL
When a building burns, fire is the Faulty wiring could be the hazard.
peril.
When a person dies, death is the Falling from a ladder could be the
peril. hazard
When a person becomes ill from a Smoking could have been the
disease, the disease is the peril hazard
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AND, WHAT IS UNCERTAINTY?
🞆 Uncertainty is when the outcome can be either positive
or negative. Risk is only when the outcome is only
negative. A lottery is an uncertainty.
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WHAT ARE TYPES OF RISKS - PURE AND
SPECULATIVE RISKS?
A category of risk in which loss is the only possible
PURE RISKS outcome; there is no beneficial result. Pure risk is
related to events that are beyond the risk-taker's
control and, therefore, a person cannot consciously
take on pure risk.
SPECULATIVE
A category of risk that, when undertaken, results in
RISKS an uncertain degree of gain or loss. All speculative
risks are made as conscious choices and are not just
a result of uncontrollable circumstances. 10
TYPES OF RISKS – FUNDAMENTAL AND
PARTICULAR RISKS
FUNDA-
Fundamental risks affect the entire economy or
MENTAL large numbers of people or groups within the
economy.
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HOW DO WE DO RISK IDENTIFICATION
🞆 The process of identifying potential risks must, in any
case, work for the type of organisation and, therefore,
for the type of product/service offered and the type of
market in which the organisation itself operates; it
normally refers to:
⚫ the objectives, which the organisation has set for itself;
⚫ the scenarios, which the organisation may find it must face in
carrying out its business;
⚫ the procedures or practice, which the organisation adopts for
management and operational purposes.
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HOW DO WE PERFORM RISK
ASSESSMENT
🞆 For each risk identified in the previous stage, analyse
⚫ Probability of the event
⚫ Severity of the event
🞆 Once each risk is evaluated on the basis of the above risk
matrix, we arrive at the risk profile of the organisation
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RISK TREATMENT UNDER DIFFERENT
SCENARIOS
High Probability and low High probability and high
HIGH
severity severity
Retain Avoid
PROBABILITY
Ignore/ Insure
Manage
Low probability and high severity
Low Probability and low severity
LOW
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LARGE NUMBER OF SIMILAR
EXPOSURE UNITS
🞆 Enable the insurer to predict loss based on the law of
large numbers
🞆 Exposure units = item, person, etc…
🞆 If exposure units are dissimilar and the insurer treats
them indifferently, there will be “adverse selection”
problem.
🞆 If “large number” is violated, the insurer will not be
confident in their estimations, and thus, high risk charge
must be added in the premium.
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WHAT ARE ACCIDENTAL AND
UNINTENTIONAL LOSSES
🞆 The loss should be fortuitous and outside of the insured’s
control.
🞆 The law of large number is based on the random
occurrence of events. Thus, if non-random (intentional
or non-accidental) loss is insured, the prediction on the
probability of a loss would be highly inaccurate.
🞆 If intentional loss is paid, moral hazard would be
substantially increased, and premium would rise as a
result.
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NO CATASTROPHIC LOSS – LETS
DISCUSS
🞆 No excessive possibility of catastrophe for the group as a
whole.
🞆 Catastrophic event could imperil the insurer’s solvency.
🞆 The pooling (loss sharing) mechanism of insurance
breaks down and becomes unworkable if catastrophic
loss occurs.
🞆 In certain cases, insurers are forced to provide coverage
for catastrophic losses.
🞆 Terrorism coverage
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REMEDY FOR CATASTROPHIC LOSSES
🞆 Reinsurance
🞆 Geographical dispersion
🞆 CAT Bonds (Catastrophic bonds)
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WHAT ARE DETERMINABLE AND
MEASURABLE LOSSES
🞆 A loss must be definite in time, place, and amount.
🞆 It enables an insurer to determine if the loss is covered
under the policy, and if it is covered, how much should
be paid.
🞆 Easy to determine and measure
⚫ Most property losses
⚫ Life insurance cases
🞆 Difficult to determine and measure
⚫ Disability income benefits
⚫ Pain and suffering
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WHAT IS CALCULABLE CHANCE OF
LOSS
🞆 The insurer must be able to calculate both the average
frequency and severity of future losses with some accuracy.
🞆 It is necessary so that a proper insurance premium can be
charged.
🞆 Easy to calculate chance of loss
⚫ Fire accidents
⚫ Auto accidents
🞆 Difficult to calculate chance of loss
⚫ Floods
⚫ Wars
⚫ Cyclical unemployment
⚫ Terrorism 26
DO WE KNOW WHAT IS ECONOMICALLY
FEASIBLE PREMIUM
🞆 The insured must be able to pay the premium.
🞆 The premium paid must be substantially less than the
potential loss.
⚫ Would you like to buy an insurance policy covering losses to
your Reynolds pen?
🞆 To have economically feasible premium, the chance of
loss should be relatively low.
⚫ A life insurance policy on a man age 99.
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WHAT ARE SOME NEW RISKS RISING IN
DYNAMIC WORLD
🞆 Cyber risks
🞆 Terrorism
🞆 Environmental risks
🞆 Directors and Officers Liability
🞆 Professional Liability
🞆 Pandemic
🞆 Political risk
🞆 Product Liability
🞆 Supply Chain
🞆 Trade Credit
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🞆 Work force
LET’S TALK ABOUT FUNCTIONS OF
INSURANCE
🞆 Spread of risk by the individual – purchasing insurance.
🞆 Spread of risk by the insurer – volume, diversity of type and
diversity of location.
🞆 Security - provides peace of mind to the insured.
🞆 Credit - protects both the insured’s and lenders financial
interests.
🞆 Capital – the economy is stimulated by the insurer’s
investment of the premium collected from the insured’s.
🞆 Employment – provides direct employment for people and
support many insurance related businesses.
🞆 Loss Prevention – by lobbying for safer products and
practices, fire prevention, safe driving, and crime and fraud 29
prevention.
APPROACH TO ALTERNATE RISK
TRANSFER
Closer to Insurance Closer to Securities
Self Insurance Securitization
Large deductible plans Contingent Surplus Notes
Retention groups Contingency equity put (Cat E Puts)
Captives Insurance derivatives
Multi-line Multi-Year programmes Weather derivatives
Time and Distance (financial Standard asset protection and residual
reinsurance) value
Catex
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