Download as PPTX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
Download as pptx, pdf, or txt
You are on page 1of 72
MODULE- 1
An Overview Of International Finance
To identify the main goal of the multinational company (MNC) and conflicts with the goal. To describe the key theories that justify the international business To explain the common methods used to conduct international business Doing of trade and making money through the exchange of foreign currency Conti… Finance in an international context… Why do we need to study international finance? We are living in a highly globalized and integrated world economy Continued liberalization of international trade further internationalizes the consumption pattern Globalized production: MNCs source inputs and locate productions anywhere in the world Integrated financial markets: internationally diversified investment, internationally tradable financial securities Conti… International Finance: is defined as the set of relations for the creation and using of funds (assets), needed for the foreign economic activity of international companies and countries. Assets: is the financial aspect considered not just as money, but money as the capital, i.e. the value that brings added profit (value) Capital: is the movement, the constant change of forms in the cycle that passes through three stages: the monetary, the productive, the commodity. What makes International Finance special? Three major dimensions make international finance different from purely domestic finance: Foreign exchange & political risks Market imperfections Expanded opportunity sets Foreign exchange and Political risk Unexpected fluctuations of the exchange rates may adversely affect the MNCs as well as individuals who are engaged in cross border transactions Exchange rate uncertainty may affect all the major economic functions including consumption, production, and investment. Sovereign country can change the rules, e.g., Tax rules Expropriation of assets In some countries, there is a lack of tradition of the rule of law. Conti…. Foreign exchange risk E.g., an unexpected devaluation adversely affects your export market… Political risk E.g., an unexpected overturn of the government that puts a risk to existing negotiated contracts… Market imperfections Market imperfections represent various frictions and impediments preventing markets from functioning perfectly. Such frictions/ impediments/ barriers include Legal restrictions Excessive transportation and transaction costs Information asymmetry Discriminatory taxation Often, MNCs are motivated to locate production overseas due to such market imperfections Imperfection in the international financial market often restrict the extent to which investors can diversify their portfolios. Expanded Opportunity Set If firms venture into the arena of global markets, they can benefit from an expanded opportunity set by: locating production in any country/region of the world to maximize performance raising fund in any capital market where the cost capital is the lowest. deploying assets on a global basis to gain from greater economies of scale. Nature if International Finance IF is concerned with the financial decisions taken in international business. IF is an extension of corporate finance at international level. IF set the standard for international tax planning and international accounting. IF includes management of exchange rate risk. SCOPE OF INTERNATIONAL FINANCIALMANAGEMENT International Institutions Balance of Payments International Financial Markets FOREX Markets International financial services International Taxation & Accounting Globalization of the World Economy: Major Trends and Developments
Key trends and developments include:
Emergence of Globalized Financial Markets Emergence of the Euro as a Global Currency Europe’s Sovereign Debt Crisis of 2010 Trade Liberalization and Economic Integration Privatization Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009 Emergence of Globalized Financial Market
In 1980s & 90s a rapid integration of international
capital and financial market was seen. In 1980 Japan deregulated its foreign exchange market. In 1985 Tokyo Stock Exchange admitted as members a limited number of foreign brokerage firms. In Feb 1986 London Stock Exchange (LSE) began admitting foreign firms as full members. On October 27, 1986 LSE eliminated fixed brokerage commission & therefore it is celebrated as “Big Bang”. Emergence of the euro as a global currency The advent of the euro in 1999 represents a momentous event in the history of world financial system More than 300 million Europeans are using the common currency Many new members of the EU would like to adopt the euro The transaction domain of the euro may become larger than the USD in near future Europe’s sovereign-debt crisis of 2010
All EU member states are automatically members of both the
Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) and the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) SGP is an agreement, among the member states of the European Union, to facilitate and maintain the stability of the EMU. The SGP requires each Member State to implement a fiscal policy aiming for the country to stay within the limits on government deficit (3% of GDP) In December 2009, the new Greek government revealed that the actual budget deficit was 12.7 percent compared to the previously forecasted 3.7 percent based on falsified national account data Therefore, Greece actually was in a serious violation of the SGP. This situation was a result of excessive borrowing and spending, with wages and prices rising faster than productivity Greece could not use the traditional means of depreciating national currency as the country had adopted the euro. Investors became worried about sovereign default. They started to sell off Greek government bonds The panic spread to other weak European countries, especially Ireland, Portugal, and Spain In 2010, credit rating agencies downgraded the government bonds of the affected countries Borrowing and refinancing became more costly Although the debt crisis in Greece accounted for only about 2.5% of Eurozone GDP, it quickly escalated to a Europe-wide debt crisis Trade liberalization and economic integration
Over the past 50 years, international trade increased about
twice as fast as world GDP. There has been a change in the attitudes of many of the world’s governments, who have abandoned mercantilist views and embraced free trade as the surest route to prosperity for their citizenry. The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) is a multilateral agreement among member countries that has reduced many barriers to trade. The World Trade Organization (WTO) has the power to enforce the rules of international trade. The European Union (EU) was established to foster economic integration among the countries of Western Europe. The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) calls for phasing out impediments to trade between Canada, Mexico, and the United States over a 15-year period beginning in 1994. Privatization The selling of state-run enterprises to investors is also known as “denationalization.” Privatization is often seen as socialist economies in transition to market economies. By most estimates, this increases the efficiency of the enterprise. It also often spurs a tremendous increase in cross- border investment. Global financial crisis of 2008—2009
The “Great Recession” was the most serious,
synchronized economic downturn since the Great Depression of the 1930s. Factors included: Households and financial institutions borrowed too much and took too much risk. This risk was repackaged with securitization. Multinational Corporations
A multinational corporation (MNC) is a firm that has
been incorporated in one country and has production and sales operations in other countries. There are about 60,000 MNCs in the world. Many MNCs obtain raw materials from one nation, financial capital from another, produce goods with labor and capital equipment in a third country, and sell their output in various other national markets. International Trade grew at annual rate of 3.5% during the same period after 1991. MNCs obtain financing from major money centers around the world in many different currencies to finance their operations. Global operations force the treasurer’s office to establish international banking relationships, place short term funds in several currency denominations, and effectively manage foreign risk. Foreign owned manufacturing companies in the world’s most highly developed countries are generally more productive and pay their workers more than comparable locally owned business according to Organization for Economic Co-operation & Development (OECD). Theory of Comparative Advantage The theory of Comparative Advantage was originally advanced by the 19th Century economist “David Ricardo”. The theory claims that economic well-being is enhanced if each country’s citizens produce that which they have comparative advantage in producing relative to the citizens of other countries, and then trade products. Underlying the theory are the assumptions of free trade between nations and that the factors of production (land, labour, capital & technology) are relatively immobile. ASSUMPTIONS 1) 2 x 2 x 1 model Two country-two commodity-one factor model 2) Labour is the only productive factor 3) Cost of production is measured in terms of wage 4) Labour is perfectly mobile only within the nation 5) Labour is homogenous 6) Free trade / Unrestricted trade between nations 7) Constant returns to scale for producing both commodities in both nations 8) All factors are fully employed in all nations in both nations 9) Perfect competition in both nations: No firm/consumer/Government is able to influence prices On the basis of these assumptions, trade between 2 nations happens on the basis of comparative cost advantage Conti… As per the above table, England needs 120 labour hours in order to produce 1 unit of wine. Portugal takes only 80 labour hours for the same. Here Portugal has the absolute advantage while England has absolute disadvantage. Similarly, England requires 100 labour hours to produce 1 unit of cloth while that is just 90 in Portugal. Here also Portugal has the absolute cost advantage and England has absolute cost disadvantage. Then only Portugal can export if absolute advantage theory is followed. But when comparative advantage theory is in operation, both nations (Portugal and England) will get a chance to specialize and export. We need to measure comparative cost ratios of two nations in terms of two commodities. (See next table and explanation). Different cost ratios of Portugal and England on wine and cloth are shown in the above table. For Portugal, cost ratio of wine is lower (0.66) than cloth (0.9). So Portugal can specialize and export wine instead of cloth. England has got the lower cost ratio for cloth (1.11) than wine (1.50). Although England’s cost ratios for both wine and cloth are greater than Portugal’s cost ratios, Portugal can do better if they employ their entire labour force for wine. It is better for them to let England to specialize in cloth. Here according to Comparative advantage theory, trade is governed by comparative differences in cost rather than absolute differences in cost. According to Ricardian theory of comparative advantage, better for Portugal to specialize in wine and England in cloth For Portugal: cost ratio of wine is lower than cloth. Portugal has comparative advantage for wine than cloth. So Portugal can produce and export wine For England: cost ratio of cloth is lower than wine. England has comparative advantage for cloth than wine. So England can produce and export LIMITATIONS OF COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE THEORY 1 ) Too simplified model: It is not easy to apply this theory for the current multination trade situation. 2) The theory neglected the role of capital . 3) The theory neglected other costs of production; like price of capital, maintenance cost, advertisement costs. 4) Labour is mobile across the boarder: The theory neglected this possibility. • Eg: Keralites travel to gulf countries for seeking employment. 5) Labour is not homogeneous in all countries • Productivity of labours may differ Conti… 6) The theory did not consider trade barriers like import duty, export duty etc. 7) The theory neglected the possibility of increasing/decreasing returns to scale 8) The theory did not consider the possibility of unemployment of factors. 9) Perfect competition cannot be practical. Imperfect market is quite common. But the theory neglected this possibility. International Monetary System The international monetary system can be defined as the “institutional framework within which international payments are made, movements of capital are accommodated, and exchange rates among currencies are determined. It is a complex whole of agreements, rules, institutions, mechanisms, and policies regarding exchange rates, international payments, and the flow of capital. STAGES IN INTERNATIONAL MONETARY SYSTEM
1. Bimetallism: Before 1875
2. Classical Gold Standard: 1875-1914 3. Interwar Period: 1915-1944 4. Bretton Woods System: 1945-1972 5. The Flexible Exchange Rate Regime: 1973- Present Bimetallism: Before- 1875 A “double standard” in the sense that both gold and silver were used as money. Some countries were on the gold standard, some on the silver standard, some on both. Both gold and silver were used as international means of payment and the exchange rates among currencies were determined by either their gold or silver contents. Gresham’s Law implied that it would be the least valuable metal that would tend to circulate. Gresham’s Law Gresham's law is an economic principle that states: "if coins containing metal of different value have the same value as legal tender, the coins composed of the cheaper metal will be used for payment, while those made of more expensive metal will be hoarded or exported and thus tend to disappear from circulation.” It is commonly stated as: "“Bad” (abundant) money drives out “Good” (scarce) money”. The law was named in 1860 by Henry Dunning Macleod, after Sir Thomas Gresham (1519–1579), who was an English financier during the Tudor dynasty. However, there are numerous predecessors. Image of first United States gold coin - the 1795
Gold Eagle Classical Gold Standard (1875-1914)
During this period in most major countries:
Gold alone was assured of unrestricted coinage There was two-way convertibility between gold and national currencies at a stable ratio. Gold could be freely exported or imported. The exchange rate between two country’s currencies would be determined by their relative gold contents. Rules of the GOLD system Each country defined the value of its currency in terms of gold. Exchange rate between any two currencies was calculated as X currency per ounce of gold/ Y currency per ounce of gold. These exchange rates were set by arbitrage depending on the transportation costs of gold. Central banks are restricted in not being able to issue more currency than gold reserves. Classical Gold Standard : Exchange rate determination For example, if the dollar is pegged to gold at U.S. $30 = 1 ounce of gold, and the British pound is pegged to gold at £6 = 1 ounce of gold, it must be the case that the exchange rate is determined by the relative gold contents. $30 = £6 $5 = £1 Classical Gold Standard: Highly stable exchange rates under the classical gold standard provided an environment that was favorable to international trade and investment Misalignment of exchange rates and international imbalances of payment were automatically corrected by the price-specie- flow mechanism. Suppose Great Britain exported more to France than France imported from Great Britain. Net export of goods from Great Britain to France will be accompanied by a net flow of gold from France to Great Britain. This flow of gold will lead to a lower price level in France and, at the same time, a higher price level in Britain. The resultant change in relative price levels will slow exports from Great Britain and encourage exports from France. Interwar Period: 1915-1944 Exchange rates fluctuated as countries widely used “predatory” depreciations of their currencies as a means of gaining advantage in the world export market. Attempts were made to restore the gold standard, but participants lacked the political will to “follow the rules of the game” The world economy characterized by tremendous instability and eventually economic breakdown, what is known as the Great Depression (1930 – 39) International Economic Disintegration: Many countries suffered during the Great Depression. Major economic harm was done by restrictions on international trade and payments. These beggar-thy-neighbor policies provoked foreign retaliation and led to the disintegration of the world economy. All countries’ situations could have been bettered through international cooperation Bretton Woods agreement Bretton Woods System: 1945- 1972 Named for a 1944 meeting of 44 nations at Bretton Woods, New Hampshire. The purpose was to design a postwar international monetary system. The goal was exchange rate stability without the gold standard. The result was the creation of the IMF and the World Bank 1. IMF: maintain order in monetary system 2. World Bank: promote general economic development The Demise of the Bretton Woods System In the early post-war period, the U.S. government had to provide dollar reserves to all countries who wanted to intervene in their currency markets. The increasing supply of dollars worldwide, made available through programs like the Marshall Plan, meant that the credibility of the gold backing of the dollar was in question. U.S. dollars held abroad grew rapidly and this represented a claim on U.S. gold stocks and cast some doubt on the U.S.’s ability to convert dollars into gold upon request. Domestic U.S. policies, such as the growing expenditure associated with Vietnam resulted in more printing of dollars to finance expenditure and forced foreign governments to run up holdings of dollar reserves. The world moved from a gold standard to a dollar standard from Bretton Woods to the Smithsonian Agreement. Growing increase in the amount of dollars printed further eroded faith in the system and the dollars role as a reserve currency. By 1973, the world had moved to search for a new financial system: one that no longer relied on a worldwide system of pegged exchange rates. An agreement reached by a group of 10 countries (G10) in 1971 that effectively ended the fixed exchange rate system established under the Bretton Woods Agreement. The Smithsonian Agreement reestablished an international system of fixed exchange rates without the backing of silver or gold, and allowed for the devaluation of the U.S. dollar. This agreement was the first time in which currency exchange rates were negotiated. The Flexible Exchange Rate Regime: 1973- Present Flexible exchange rates were declared acceptable to the IMF members. Central banks were allowed to intervene in the exchange rate markets to iron out unwarranted volatilities. Gold was abandoned as an international reserve asset. The currencies are no longer backed by gold. In September 1985, the so called G-5 countries (France, Japan, Germany, U.K. & U.S.) met at the Plaza Hotel in New York and reached what became known as the “Plaza Record”. They agreed that it would be desirable for the dollar to depreciate for the dollar to depreciate against most major currencies to solve the U.S. trade deficit problem. In 1986 in Paris, to address the problem of exchange rate volatility and other related issues, the G-7 economic summit meeting was convened. The meeting produced the “Louvre Accord”, according to which: The G-7 countries would cooperate to achieve greater exchange rate stability. The G-7 countries agreed to more closely consult and coordinate their macro-economic policies. The Louvre Accord marked the inception of the managed-float system under which G-7 countries would jointly intervene in the exchange market to correct over-or undervaluation of currencies. Current Exchange Rate Arrangements Free Float The largest number of countries, about 48, allow market forces to determine their currency’s value. Managed Float About 25 countries combine government intervention with market forces to set exchange rates. Pegged to another currency Such as the U.S. dollar or euro etc.. No national currency Some countries do not bother printing their own, they just use the U.S. dollar. For example, Ecuador, Panama, and have dollarized. Balance of Payments According to Kindle Berger, "The balance of payments of a country is a systematic record of all economic transactions between the residents of the reporting country and residents of foreign countries during a given period of time". It is a double entry system of record of all economic transactions between the residents of the country and the rest of the world carried out in a specific period of time when we say “a country’s balance of payments” we are referring to the transactions of its citizens and government. Balance Of Payment : Definition The balance of payments of a country is a systematic record of all economic transactions between the residents of a country and the rest of the world. It presents a classified record of all receipts on account of goods exported, services rendered and capital received by residents and payments made by them on account of goods imported and services received from the capital transferred to non- residents or foreigners. - Reserve Bank of India A country has to deal with other countries in respect of the following 1. Visible items: which include all types of physical goods exported and imported. 2. Invisible items: which include all those services whose export and import are not visible. e.g. transport services, medical services etc. 3. Capital transfers: which are concerned with capital receipts and capital payment Features It is a systematic record of all economic transactions between one country and the rest of the world. It includes all transactions, visible as well as invisible. It relates to a period of time. Generally, it is an annual statement. It adopts a double-entry book-keeping system. It has two sides: credit side and debit side. Receipts are recorded on the credit side and payments on the debit side. Importance of Balance Of Payments 1. BOP records all the transactions that create demand for and supply of a currency. 2. Judge economic and financial status of a country in the short-term 3. BOP may confirm trend in economy’s international trade and exchange rate of the currency. This may also indicate change or reversal in the trend. 4. This may indicate policy shift of the monetary authority (RBI) of the country. 5. BOP may confirm trend in economy’s international trade and exchange rate of the currency. This may also indicate change or reversal in the trend. The General Rule in BOP Accounting
a. If a transaction earns foreign currency
for the nation, it is a credit and is recorded as a plus item. b. If a transaction involves spending of foreign currency it is a debit and is recorded as a negative item. The various components of a BOP 1. Current Account 2. Capital Account 3. Reserve Account 4. Errors & Omissions Current Account Balance BOP on current account is a statement of actual receipts and payments in short period. It includes the value of export and imports of both visible and invisible goods. There can be either surplus or deficit in current account. The current account includes:- export & import of services, interests, profits, dividends and unilateral receipts/payments from/to abroad. BOP on current account refers to the inclusion of three balances of namely – Merchandise balance, Services balance and Unilateral Transfer balance Types of Balances Trade Balance Merchandise: exports - imports of goods Services: exports - imports of services Income Balance Net investment income: net income receipts from assets Net international compensation to employees: net compensation of Employees Net Unilateral Transfers Gifts from foreign countries minus gifts to foreign countries Capital Account Balance The capital account records all international transactions that involve a resident of the country concerned changing either his assets with or his liabilities to a resident of another country. Transactions in the capital account reflect a change in a stock – either assets or liabilities. It is difference between the receipts and payments on account of capital account. It refers to all financial transactions. The capital account involves inflows and outflows relating to investments, short term borrowings/lending, and medium term to long term borrowing/lending. Conti… There can be surplus or deficit in capital account. It includes: - private foreign loan flow, movement in banking capital, official capital transactions, reserves, gold movement etc. These are classifies into two categories Direct foreign investments Portfolio investments Other capital The Reserve Account Three accounts: IMF, SDR, & Reserve and Monetary Gold are collectively called as The Reserve Account. The IMF account contains purchases (credits) and repurchase (debits) from International Monetary Fund. Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) are a reserve asset created by IMF and allocated from time to time to member countries. It can be used to settle international payments between monetary authorities of two different countries. Errors & Omissions The entries under this head relate mainly to leads and lags in reporting of transactions It is of a balancing entry and is needed to offset the overstated or understated components. Disequilibrium In The Balance Of Payments A disequilibrium in the balance of payment means its condition of Surplus Or deficit A Surplus in the BOP occurs when Total Receipts exceeds Total Payments. Thus, BOP= CREDIT>DEBIT A Deficit in the BOP occurs when Total Payments exceeds Total Receipts. Thus, BOP= CREDIT<DEBIT Causes of Disequilibrium In The BOP Cyclical fluctuations Short fall in the exports Economic Development Rapid increase in population Structural Changes Natural Calamites International Capital Movements Measures To Correct Disequilibrium in the BOP 1. Monetary Measures :- a) Monetary Policy The monetary policy is concerned with money supply and credit in the economy. The Central Bank may expand or contract the money supply in the economy through appropriate measures which will affect the prices. b) Fiscal Policy Fiscal policy is government's policy on income and expenditure. Government incurs development and non - development expenditure,. It gets income through taxation and non - tax sources. Depending upon the situation governments expenditure may be increased or decreased. Conti… c) Exchange Rate Depreciation By reducing the value of the domestic currency, government can correct the disequilibrium in the BOP in the economy. Exchange rate depreciation reduces the value of home currency in relation to foreign currency. As a result, import becomes costlier and export become cheaper. It also leads to inflationary trends in the country, d) Devaluation devaluation is lowering the exchange value of the official currency. When a country devalues its currency, exports becomes cheaper and imports become expensive which causes a reduction in the BOP deficit. Conti… e) Deflation Deflation is the reduction in the quantity of money to reduce prices and incomes. In the domestic market, when the currency is deflated, there is a decrease in the income of the people. This puts curb on consumption and government can increase exports and earn more foreign exchange. f) Exchange Control All exporters are directed by the monetary authority to surrender their foreign exchange earnings, and the total available foreign exchange is rationed among the licensed importers. The license-holder can import any good but amount if fixed by monetary authority. Conti…. II. Non- Monetary measures :- a) Export Promotion To control export promotions the country may adopt measures to stimulate exports like: export duties may be reduced to boost exports cash assistance, subsidies can be given to exporters to increase exports goods meant for exports can be exempted from all types of taxes.
b) Import Substitutes
Steps may be taken to encourage the production of import substitutes. This will save foreign exchange in the short run by replacing the use of imports by these import substitutes. Conti… c) Import Control Import may be kept in check through the adoption of a wide variety of measures like quotas and tariffs. Under the quota system, the government fixes the maximum quantity of goods and services that can be imported during a particular time period. 1. Quotas – Under the quota system, the government may fix and permit the maximum quantity or value of a commodity to be imported during a given period. By restricting imports through the quota system, the deficit is reduced and the balance of payments position is improved. 2. Tariffs – Tariffs are duties (taxes) imposed on imports. When tariffs are imposed, the prices of imports would increase to the extent of tariff. The increased prices will reduced the demand for imported goods and at the same time induce domestic producers to produce more of import substitutes Some Terminologies