CH 11 Hull OFOD9 TH Edition
CH 11 Hull OFOD9 TH Edition
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 9th Edition, Copyright © John C. Hull 2014 1
Introduction
The chapter looks at the factors that affect
stock options prices;
Using a number of no arbitrage arguments,
the relationships between European,
American option and their underlying stock
prices
The most important of these relationships is
the put-call parity
3
Effect of Variables on Option
Pricing
The change in option pricing if any of these
variables change, ceteris paribus.
The current price of the stock, S0
Call: as S0 increases (decreases) the value of
the call, c or C increases (decreases)
Put: as S0 increases (decreases) the value of
the put, p or P decreases (increases)
the rationale behind that is as the option becomes
closer to or more in-the-money, its values naturally
increases as it is more profitable
4
Effect of Variables on Option
Pricing
The Strike price of the option, K
Call: as K increases (decreases) the value of
the call, c or C decreases (increases)
Put: as K increases (decreases) the value of
the put, p or P increases (decreases)
5
Effect of Variables on Option
Pricing
Time to expiration (Life of option), T
American options: the longer the time to expiration
T , the higher the value of the option (call or put).
• Because the likelihood of the option expiring in-
the-money is higher.
European options: this does not apply to European
options as the can only be exercised at maturity
6
Effect of Variables on Option
Pricing
Volatility of stock price,
As volatility increases the value of the option (call
or put) increases
Due to the asymmetric payoffs of the option
unlike the underling stock whose payoffs are
symmetric which results in upward volatility
offsetting the effect of downward volatility
Therefore, the increase in volatility increase the
chance that an option expires in the money.
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 9th Edition, Copyright ©
John C. Hull 2014 7
Effect of Variables on Option
Pricing
Risk-free rate, r over the life of the option
Call: as r increases (decreases) the value of
the call, c or C increases (decreases)
Put: as r increases (decreases) the value of
the put, p or P decreases (increases)
12
Upper and lower bounds for
option prices: upper bound
Put option
Since a put option is the right to sell the underlying
asset @ certain price (the strike or exercise price),
it cannot sell for a price greater than the strike or
exercise price.
What if it happens? Everyone will sell the option
and invest the proceeds @ the risk-free rate until
the option expires. Therefore, we can write:
P ≤ K while the European put upper bound can be
reduced to the present value of the strike price:
p≤ Ke –rT because it cannot be exercised early
13
Upper and lower bounds for option
prices: lower bound (no Div)
A lower bound of an European call option is:
c max(S0 –Ke –rT, 0)
Suppose that
c=3 S0 = 20
T=1 r = 10%
K = 18 D=0
17
Calls: An Arbitrage Opportunity?
The call expires out of the money
Say the stock price @expiry is $17
T=0 T=1
Sell the stock @$20 buy the stock back @-$17
Buy the call @-$3 The call expires out of the money so
the option is left to expire worthless
(no cash flows involved)
18
A more formal argument
Consider the following 2 portfolios:
Portfolio A: European call on a stock + zero-
coupon bond that pays K at time T
Portfolio B: the stock
So, there are two scenarios @Time T
the call expires out of the money portfolio A
will be worth K
the call expires in the money portfolio A will
be worth ST
19
A more formal argument
So, we can write that portfolio A is worth
max(ST, K) depending on the whether the call ends
up out of the money or in the money.
the stock will be always worth ST portfolio B
is always worth ST
hence, we can see that portfolio A at least
worth as much as portfolio B @maturity
Suppose that
p= 1 S0 = 37
T = 0.5 r =5%
K = 40 D =0
24
Puts: An Arbitrage Opportunity?
The put expires out of the money
Say the stock price @expiry is $42
T=0 T=1
Borrow to buy the stock and the The put expires worthless and the
put @$38 stock is sold for @$42
Buy the stock and the put @-$38 Repay the loan @-$38.96
(38e 0.05(0.5))
Net 0 Net $3.04
25
A more formal argument
Consider the following 2 portfolios:
Portfolio C: European put on a stock + the stock
Portfolio D: zero-coupon bond that pays K at time T
So, there are two scenarios @Time T
the put expires in the money portfolio C will
be worth K
the put expires out of the money portfolio C
will be worth ST
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 9th Edition, Copyright ©
John C. Hull 2014 26
A more formal argument
So, we can write that portfolio C is worth
max(ST , K) depending on the whether the put ends
up out of the money or in the money.
c + Ke -rT = p + S0
c = p + S0 – Ke -rT
p = c + Ke -rT – S0
31
The Put-Call Parity Result
S0= c – p +Ke –rT
Ke -rT=S0 – c + p
The single securities on the left-hand side of the
equations all have the same payoffs as the
portfolios on the right-hand side. The portfolios
on the right-hand side are the “synthetic”
equivalents of the securities on the left. Note
that the options must be European, and the
puts and calls must have the same strike price
for these relations to hold. 32
Arbitrage Opportunities
Suppose that
c= 3 S0= 31
T = 0.25 (three months) r = 10%
K =30 D=0
34
Arbitrage Opportunities: if p=2.25
if the Call expires in the money
T=0 T=1
Buy the call @-$3 The call expires in the money so the
option is exercised @-$30
Short the put @$2.25 As the call expires in the money i.e.,
ST>30, the put by definition will be
out of the money so the holder of
put will let it expire worthless (no
cash flows involved)
Short the stock @$31 Close the short position by
delivering the stock to the broker
(no cash flows involved)
Invest @10% the proceeds -$30.25 The investment matures 31.02
(30.25e 0.1(0.25))
Net 0 $1.02
35
Arbitrage Opportunities: if p=2.25
if the Call expires out of the money
T=0 T=1
Buy the call @-$3 The call expires out of the money so
the option is left to expire worthless
(no cash flows involved)
Short the put @$2.25 As the call expires out of the money
i.e., ST<30, the put by definition
will be in the money so the holder
of put will exercise it and we will
buy it @K -$30
Short the stock @$31 Close the short position by
delivering the stock to the broker
(no cash flows involved)
Invest @10% the proceeds -$30.25 The investment matures 31.02
(30.25e 0.1(0.25))
Net 0 $1.02
36
Early Exercise
The only difference between European and
American option is that American can be
exercised early
Usually there is some chance that an
American option will be exercised early
An exception is an American call on a non-
dividend paying stock
This should never be exercised early
Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 9th Edition, Copyright ©
John C. Hull 2014 37
An Extreme Situation
For an American call option:
S0 = 100; T = 0.25; K = 60; D = 0
Should you exercise immediately?
What should you do if
You want to hold the stock for the next 3 months?
You do not feel that the stock is worth holding for the
next 3 months?
P pmax(Ke –rT – S0 , 0)
rT
c S 0 D Ke
rT
p D Ke S0