The document outlines the economic way of thinking, emphasizing that choices involve tradeoffs, rational decision-making based on benefits and costs, and the importance of marginal analysis. It also discusses the role of economists as social scientists and policy advisers, highlighting the distinction between positive and normative statements. Additionally, it covers job prospects and skills required for economics majors, noting a projected growth in related job opportunities and the need for greater diversity in the profession.
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Microeconomics Michael Parkin Lecture 2
The document outlines the economic way of thinking, emphasizing that choices involve tradeoffs, rational decision-making based on benefits and costs, and the importance of marginal analysis. It also discusses the role of economists as social scientists and policy advisers, highlighting the distinction between positive and normative statements. Additionally, it covers job prospects and skills required for economics majors, noting a projected growth in related job opportunities and the need for greater diversity in the profession.
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Economic Way of Thinking (1 of 8)
Six key ideas define the economic way of thinking:
• A choice is a tradeoff. • People make rational choices by comparing benefits and costs. • Benefit is what you gain from something. • Cost is what you must give up to get something. • Most choices are “how-much” choices made at the margin. • Choices respond to incentives.
Economic Way of Thinking (2 of 8) A Choice Is a Tradeoff The economic way of thinking places scarcity and its implication, choice, at center stage. You can think about every choice as a tradeoff—an exchange—giving up one thing to get something else. On Saturday night, will you study or have fun? You can’t study and have fun at the same time, so you must make a choice. Whatever you choose, you could have chosen something else. Your choice is a tradeoff.
Economic Way of Thinking (3 of 8) Making a Rational Choice A rational choice is one that compares costs and benefits and achieves the greatest benefit over cost for the person making the choice. Only the wants of the person making a choice are relevant to determine its rationality. The idea of rational choice provides an answer to the first question: What goods and services will be produced and in what quantities? The answer is: Those that people rationally choose to buy!
Economic Way of Thinking (4 of 8) How do people choose rationally? The answers turn on benefits and costs. Benefit: What You Gain The benefit of something is the gain or pleasure that it brings and is determined by preferences Preferences are what a person likes and dislikes and the intensity of those feelings.
Economic Way of Thinking (5 of 8) Cost: What You Must Give Up The opportunity cost of something is the highest-valued alternative that must be given up to get it. What is your opportunity cost of going to a live concert? Opportunity cost has two components: 1. The things you can’t afford to buy if you purchase the concert ticket. 2. The things you can’t do with your time if you attend the concert.
Economic Way of Thinking (6 of 8) How Much? Choosing at the Margin You can allocate the next hour between studying and instant messaging your friends. The choice is not all or nothing, but you must decide how many minutes to allocate to each activity. To make this decision, you compare the benefit of a little bit more study time with its cost—you make your choice at the margin.
Economic Way of Thinking (7 of 8) To make a choice at the margin, you evaluate the consequences of making incremental changes in the use of your time. The benefit from pursuing an incremental increase in an activity is its marginal benefit. The opportunity cost of pursuing an incremental increase in an activity is its marginal cost. If the marginal benefit from an incremental increase in an activity exceeds its marginal cost, your rational choice is to do more of that activity.
Economic Way of Thinking (8 of 8) Choices Respond to Incentives A change in marginal cost or a change in marginal benefit changes the incentives that we face and leads us to change our choice. The central idea of economics is that we can predict how choices will change by looking at changes in incentives. Incentives are also the key to reconciling self-interest and the social interest.
Economics: A Social Science and Policy Tool (1 of 4) Economist as Social Scientist Economists distinguish between two types of statement: • Positive statements
• Normative statements
A positive statement can be tested by checking it against
facts. A normative statement expresses an opinion and cannot be tested.
Economics: A Social Science and Policy Tool (2 of 4) Unscrambling Cause and Effect The task of economic science is to discover positive statements that are consistent with what we observe in the world and that enable us to understand how the economic world works. Economists create and test economic models. An economic model is a description of some aspect of the economic world that includes only those features that are needed for the purpose at hand.
Economics: A Social Science and Policy Tool (3 of 4) • A model is tested by comparing its predictions with the facts. • But testing an economic model is difficult, so economists also use: – Natural experiments – Statistical investigations – Economic experiments
Economics: A Social Science and Policy Tool (4 of 4) Economist as Policy Adviser Economics is a toolkit for advising governments and businesses and for making personal decisions. All the policy questions on which economists provide advice involve a blend of the positive and the normative. Economics can’t help with the normative part—the goal. But for a given goal, economics provides a method of evaluating alternative solutions—comparing marginal benefits and marginal costs.
Economists in the Economy (1 of 8) What are the jobs available to an economics major? Is the number of economics jobs expected to grow or shrink? How much do economics graduates earn? What are the skills needed for an economics job?
Economists in the Economy (2 of 8) Jobs for an Economics Major A major in economics opens the door to the pursuit of a masters or Ph.D. and a career as an economist. The work of economists varies enormously, but it includes: Collecting and analyzing data on the production and use of resources, goods, and services; Predicting future trends; and Studying ways of using resources more efficiently. Economists work in private firms, government, and international organizations.
Economists in the Economy (3 of 8) Economics majors also work as market research analysts, financial analysts, and budget analysts. Figure 1.3 shows the relative number of jobs for economists and analysts that use economic ideas and tools.
Economists in the Economy (4 of 8) Will Jobs for Economists Grow? The BL S forecasts that from 2019 to 2029 jobs for: 1. Economists with a Ph..D. will grow by 14 percent. 2. Budget analysts will grow by 3 percent. 3. Financial analysts will grow by 5 percent. 4. Market research analysts will grow by 18 percent.
Economists in the Economy (5 of 8) Earnings of Economics Majors Earnings depend on the job and the level of qualifications. Web source payscale.com reports economists earn from $56,500 to $139,600, with a median of $105,100 a year. An economics major with a Ph. D., who gets a job as an economist, earns about $150,000 a year by mid-career. Pay in “analyst” jobs averages $55,000 a year for market research and $82,000 a year for financial analysts.
Economists in the Economy (6 of 8) Figure 1.4 shows starting salaries of college graduates and mid-career salaries. Economics majors are not the highest earners. But at mid-career, they earn $140,000 a year, more than most other majors.
Economists in the Economy (7 of 8) Skills Needed for Economics Jobs Employers look for five skills: 1. Critical-thinking skills 2. Analytical skills 3. Math skills 4. Writing skills 5. Oral communication skills
Economists in the Economy (8 of 8) Diversity Challenge for Economics Profession Compare the change from 1995 to 2015 in the percentages of women and minorities with economics degrees and STE M degrees. Economics profession needs to attract more women and minorities at all levels.