Ch05
Ch05
A PowerPointTutorial
to Accompany macroeconomics, 5th ed.
N. Gregory Mankiw
CHAPTER FIVE
The Open Economy
Mannig J. Simidian
Chapter 1
Five
Y = C + I + G + NX
NX = Y - (C + I + G)
NetExports
Net Exports Domestic
Domestic
Output
Output Spending
Spending
This equation shows that in an open economy, domestic spending need
not equal the output of goods and services. If output exceeds domestic
spending, we export the difference: net exports are positive. If output
falls short of domestic spending, we import the difference: net exports
are negative.
Chapter 3
Five
Start with the national income accounts identity. Y=C+I+G+NX.
Subtract C and G from both sides and obtain Y-C-G = I+NX.
Trade Balance
Chapter Net Foreign Investment 4
Five
Net Capital Outflow = Trade
Balance
S-I=NX
S-I=NX
If S-I and NX are positive, we have a trade surplus. We would be net
lenders in world financial markets, and we are exporting more
goods than we are importing.
If S-I and NX are exactly zero, we have balanced trade since the value
of imports equals the value of exports.
Chapter 5
Five
We are now going to develop a model of the
international flows of capital and goods. Then, we’ll
address issues such as how the trade balance responds to
changes in policy.
Chapter 6
Five
Recall that the trade balance equals the net capital outflow, which
in turn equals saving minus investment, our model focuses on saving
and investment. We’ll borrow a part of the model from Chapter 3, but
won’t assume that the real interest rate equilibrates saving and
investment. Instead, we’ll allow the economy to run a trade deficit
and borrow from other countries, or to run a trade surplus and lend
to other countries.
Real
interest S' S
NX = (Y-C(Y-T) - G) - I (r*)
rate, r*
NX = S - I (r*)
NX I(r)
Investment, Saving, I, S
Chapter 10
Five
A fiscal expansion in a foreign economy large enough to influence
world saving and investment raises the world interest rate
from r1* to r2*.
Real
interest S
rate, r*
The higher world interest rate reduces
investment in this small open
economy, causing a trade surplus
r 2*
where S > I.
r 1* NX
I(r)
Investment, Saving, I, S
Chapter 11
Five
An outward shift in the investment schedule from I(r)1 to I(r)2 increases
the amount of investment at the world interest rate r*.
As a result, investment now
Real exceeds saving I > S, which
interest S means the economy is
rate, r* borrowing from abroad and
running a trade deficit.
r 1*
I(r)2
NX I(r)1
Investment, Saving, I, S
Chapter 12
Five
In the next few slides, we’ll learn about the foreign
exchange market, exchange rates and much more!
Chapter 13
Five
Let’s think about when the US and Japan engage in trade. Each country
has different cultures, languages, and currencies, all of which could
hinder trade. But, because of the foreign exchange market, trade
transactions become more efficient. The foreign exchange market is a
global market in which banks are connected through high-tech
telecommunications systems in order to purchase currencies for their
customers.
The next slide is a graphical representation of the flow of the trade
between the U.S. and Japan, and how the mix of traded things might be
different, but is always balanced. Also, notice how the foreign exchange
market will play the middle-man in these transactions. For instance, the
foreign exchange market converts the supply of dollars from the U.S.
into the demand for yen, and conversely, the supply of yen into the
demand for dollars.
Chapter 14
Five
In order for the U.S to pay for its imports of
goods and services and securities from Japan,
it must supply dollars which are then converted
into yen by the
V IC E S foreign
& S E R &
Securities
O O D S exchange
G
market.
DemandYEN Supply$
Foreign
Foreign
Exchange
Exchange
Market
Market
SupplyYEN Demand$
Goods and
Services ES
URITI
& SEC
Chapter 16
Five
-relative price of the currency of two countries
-denoted as e
Chapter 17
Five
The nominal exchange rate is the relative price of the currency of
two countries. For example, if the exchange rate between the U.S.
dollar and the Japanese yen is 120 yen per dollar, then you can
exchange 1 dollar for 120 yen in world markets for foreign currency.
A Japanese who wants to obtain dollars would pay 120 yen for each
dollar he bought. An American who wants to obtain yen would get
120 yen for each dollar he paid. When people refer to “the exchange
rate” between two countries, they usually mean the nominal exchange
rate.
Chapter 18
Five
Suppose that there is an increase in the demand for U.S. goods and
services. How will this affect the nominal exchange rate?
To see the difference between the real and nominal exchange rates,
consider a single good produced in many countries: cars. Suppose an
American car costs $10,000 and a similar Japanese car costs 2,400,000
yen. To compare the prices of the two cars, we must convert them into
a common currency. If a dollar is worth 120 yen, then the American
car costs 1,200,000 yen. Comparing the price of the American car
(1,200,000 yen) and the price of the Japanese car (2,400,000 yen), we
conclude that the American car costs one-half of what the Japanese
car costs. In other words, at current prices, we can exchange 2
American
Chapter cars for 1 Japanese car. 20
Five
We can summarize our calculation as follows:
Real Exchange Rate = (120 yen/dollar) (10,000 dollars/American car)
(2,400,000 yen/Japanese Car)
= 0.5 Japanese Car
American Car
At these prices, and this exchange rate, we obtain one-half of a Japanese
car per American car. More generally, we can write this calculation as
Real Exchange Rate =
Nominal Exchange Rate Price of Domestic Good
Price of Foreign Good
The rate at which we exchange foreign and domestic goods depends on
the prices of the goods in the local currencies and on the rate at which
the currencies
Chapter
are exchanged. 21
Five
Nominal
Real Exchange Exchange Ratio of Price
Rate Rate Levels
= e × (P/P*)
Note: P is the price level of the domestic country (measured
in the domestic currency) and P* is the price level of the
foreign country (measured in the foreign currency).
Chapter 22
Five
Real Exchange Nominal Exchange Ratio of Price
Rate Rate Levels
= e × (P/P*)
The real exchange rate between two countries is computed from the
nominal exchange rate and the price levels in the two countries. If the
real exchange rate is high, foreign goods are relatively cheap, and
domestic goods are relatively expensive. If the real exchange rate is
low, foreign goods are relatively expensive, and domestic goods
are relatively cheap.
Chapter 23
Five
How does the level of prices effect exchange rates? It doesn’t. All
changes in a nation’s price level will be fully incorporated into the
nominal exchange rate. It is the law of one price applied to the
international marketplace.
Purchasing Power Parity suggests that nominal exchange rate
movements primarily reflect differences in price levels of nations. It
states that if international arbitrage is possible, then a dollar must
have the same purchasing power in every country. Purchasing
Power Parity does not always hold because some goods are not
easily traded, and sometimes traded goods are not always perfect
substitutes– but it does give us reason to expect that fluctuations in
the real exchange rate will be small and short-lived.
Chapter 24
Five
Real The law of one price applied to the
exchange S-I international marketplace suggests that
rate, net exports are highly sensitive to small
movements in the real exchange rate.
This high sensitivity is reflected here
with a very flat net-exports schedule.
NX()
Net Exports, NX
Chapter 25
Five
The relationship between the real exchange rate
and net exports is negative: the lower the real
Real S-I exchange rate, the less expensive are domestic
exchange goods relative to foreign goods, and thus the
rate, greater are our net exports.
The real exchange rate is determined by the
intersection of the vertical line representing
saving minus investment and downward-sloping
net exports schedule.
Here the quantity of dollars
NX() supplied for net foreign
investment equals the
0 Net Exports, NX
quantity of dollars demanded
for the net exports of goods
Chapter 26
Five and services.
Real S2-I S1-I Expansionary fiscal policy at home, such as an
exchange increase in government purchases G or a cut in
rate, taxes, reduces national saving.
The fall in saving reduces the supply of dollars
to be exchanged into foreign currency, from
2 S1-I to S2-I. This shift raises the equilibrium real
exchange rate from 1 to 2.
1
NX() A reduction in saving reduces
Chapter 28
Five
Real S-I2 S-I1 An increase in investment demand raises
exchange the quantity of domestic investment from I1
rate, to I2.
As a result, the supply of dollars to be
exchanged into foreign currencies falls
from S-I1 to S-I2.
2
This fall in supply raises the
1 equilibrium real exchange
NX() rate from 1 to 2.
Chapter 29
Five
Net exports
Trade balance
Net capital outflow
Trade surplus and trade deficit
Balanced trade
Small open economy
World interest rate
Nominal exchange rate
Real exchange rate
Purchasing-power parity
Chapter 30
Five