Power and Oil & Gas 14 Sep 2011
Power and Oil & Gas 14 Sep 2011
Power and Oil & Gas 14 Sep 2011
On
15 June 2012
Sequence of Coverage
Overview of Energy Sector Energy Requirements Natural Gas LNG Gas Pipeline Projects Oil & Gas Sector Policy
BACKGROUND
India - On verge of transformation to a vibrant economy GDP growth of the country showing promising trendsexpected to be around 7-8% in coming years Projection -India to be a strong economic force by 2020 Indigenous energy sources may not be adequate to meet increasing power demand For Sustainable development- right fuel mix based on welldiversified portfolio of indigenous and imported sources of fuel necessary Integration of all Sources of Power Nuclear Agreement between US & India, its Implications Investment in Public Sector Current Problems of Power Sector Private Participation Agreement with other Countries
Natural Gas
Natural gas is a gas consisting primarily of methane. It is
found associated with fossil fuels, in coal beds, as methane clathrates, & is created by methanogenic organisms in marshes, bogs, & landfills. It is an important fuel source, a major feedstock for fertilizers, & a potent greenhouse gas.
The landscape of the Indian natural gas market is set to witness significant change. Natural gas currently accounts for around 8% of the total energy mix in India as against the global average of 24%. However, with increased availability and spurt in transmission and distribution infrastructure, the share of natural gas in the energy mix is set to rise. For 2007-08, gas production is expected to be 88 MMSCMD and LNG consumption is estimated at 33 MMSCMD. The major demand centers, excepting the north-eastern market which is not connected to the transmission network of the rest of India, have been considered for making demand projections. The un-met demand for natural gas is estimated to increase from about 113 MMSCMD (FY 2007-08) to 396 MMSCMD by the year 2022 In the developed world, natural gas is the only near-term generation option to bridge the energy gap. A similar trend is clear in Asia and Australia. natural gas will remain the primary near-term alternative to meet the demand for growth in generation in developed and developing economies.
The following factors are expected to drive the increased consumption of natural gas in India
Macro-economic factors Growth of end-user segments Cost of gas vis--vis alternate liquid fuels Regulation and policy making Environmental concerns New uses of natural gas (for example, cogeneration)
LNG
Liquefied natural gas or LNG is natural gas (Predominantly methane, CH4) that has been converted temporarily to liquid form for ease of storage or transport.Liquefied natural gas takes up about 1/600th the volume of natural gas in the gaseous state. It is odorless, colorless, non-toxic and noncorrosive. Hazards include flammability, freezing and asphyxia.The liquefication process involves removal of certain components, such as dust, acid gases, helium, water, and heavy hydrocarbons, which could cause difficulty downstream. The natural gas is then condensed into a liquid at close to atmospheric pressure (Maximum Transport Pressure set around 25 kPa (3.6 psi)) by cooling it to approximately 163 C (260 F). The reduction in volume makes it much more cost-efficient to transport over long distances where pipelines do not exist. Where moving natural gas by pipelines is not possible or economical, it can be transported by specially designed cryogenic sea vessels (LNG carriers) or cryogenic road tankers.
REGULATORY MECHANISM
The petroleum sector is of paramount importance for the growth of Indian economy. The Indian petroleum sector has historically been a regulated one with the exploration and production activities being concentrated in the hands of Government undertakings. The Government's growing concern over the widening gap between the demand for hydrocarbons and the domestic production have led to the announcement of several policy measures in recent times. These measures were designed to attract the much needed private Indian and foreign capital investment in the upstream sector in order to provide an impetus to exploration and production activities in the country. Need for regulation - While movement by pipelines is irrefutably the least-cost option for product movement, for transmission and distribution of gas, it is the sole option. In addition, product movements by pipelines require much less energy than by other modes. Trends in the modal shares confirm this. While current market shares for petroleum products are dictated by the sales plan entitlement scheme, market volumes in a deregulated scenario would be based on the competitive advantage that one company enjoys with respect to another, be it service, technology, quality, marketing skills, or prices. Given that distribution expenses contribute significantly to retail prices at the consumer end, a firm can exercise competitive advantage by streamlining its distribution system. Access to pipelines, which offer the most economic mode of transport, would thus be critical in a deregulated scenario. Key reasons generally cited for pipeline regulation as follows. Pipelines exhibit technical economies of scale Pipelines are not subject to significant inter-modal competition Pipelines construction is capital intensive, implying appreciable barriers to entry.
Pipeline Regulation
Pipelines have decreasing average and marginal costs of production. Given sufficient volumes, the larger a pipeline is built, the lower the tariff required to produce a certain net return on investment. A pipeline could, thus, be a natural monopoly in the area it serves, since expansion of capacity results in a reduction in costs per unit transported. In most countries, a common way of regulating a natural monopoly has been some form of a rate of return limitation.
In addition, it is generally accepted that a competitive environment induces self-regulation. However, it is inconceivable that a new entrant could duplicate existing pipeline infrastructure and offer products at competitive prices to that by an existing player. In summary,pipeline regulation is warranted on two counts, a) to limit the profits of an unregulated monopolist and b) to offer a level playing field to all players (fostering a competitive environment). Issues in pipeline regulation - Before moving on to issues in regulation, one must examine forms of regulation. There are three types of regulation relevant to pipelines.
- Structural Regulation; wherein a regulatory authority determines which firms can or must engage in particular activities. - Conduct Regulation; which involves measures to control the conduct of a firm. - Use of standards; which shape the behavior of firms in areas related to health, safety, and pollution.
Given the need and form of pipeline regulation, two key issues emerge, namely - Open access and - Tariff setting.
To keep pace with technological advancement and application and be at the technological forefront in the global exploration and production industry. To continue exploration in producing basins. To pursue extensive exploration in non-producing and frontier basins for knowledge building and new discoveries, including in deep-sea offshore areas. Finalize a programme for appraisal of the Indian sedimentary basins to the extent of 25% by 2005, 50% by 2010, 75% by 2015 and 100% by 2025. Provide internationally competitive fiscal terms, keeping in view the relative prospectivity perception of Indian basins, in order to attract major oil and gas companies and through expeditious evaluation of bids and award of contracts on a time bound basis. Continue technology acquisition and absorption along with development of indigenous Research & Development (R&D). Ensure adequacy of finances for R&D required for building knowledge infrastructure. Make E&P operations compatible with the environment and reduce discharges and emissions. Acquire acreages abroad for exploration as well as production
Grading
Trenching
Stinging of Pipes
Welding
Lowering
Operating pressure - Care shall be exercised to assure that at any point in the piping system the maximum steady state operating pressure and statics HEAD WITH the line in a static condition do not exceed at the point the internal design pressure and pressure rating for the components used . Communications - A communications facility shall be maintained to assume safe pipeline operations under both normal and emergency conditions. Markers - Markers shall be installed over each line on each side of road, highway, railroad, and stream crossings to properly locate and identify the system. Pipeline markers at crossings, aerial markers when used, and other signs shall be maintained so as to indicate the locations of the line. These markers shall show the name of the operating copany and where possible an emergency telephone contact. ROW maintenance - The ROW should be maintained so as to have clear visibility and to give reasonable access to maintenance crews. Access shall be maintained to valve locations. Diversion ditches or dikes shall be maintained where needed to protect against washouts of the line and erosion of land owners property. Patrolling - Each operating company shall maintain periodic pipeline patrol program to observe surface conditions on and adjacent to the pipeline ROW, Indication of leaks, construction activities other than that performed by the company, and any other factors affected the safety operation of the pipeline. Special attention to shall be given to such activities as road building, ditch cleanouts, excavations and like encroachments to the pipeline system. Patrol shall be made at intervals not exceeding 2 weeks. Underwater crossing shall be inspected periodically for sufficiency of cover, accumulation of debris, or for any other condition affected the safety and security of the crossings, and at any time it is felt that the crossing are in danger as a result of floods, storms, or suspected mechanical damage.
A May 2001 survey conducted by DOE identified several characteristics of successful risk management programs
Feasible, stable, and well-understood user requirements. A close relationship with user, industry, and other appropriate participants. A planned and structured risk management process integral to the acquisition process. An acquisition strategy consistent with risk level and risk-handling strategies. Continual reassessment of project and associated risks. A defined set of success criteria for all cost, schedule, and performance elements (e.g., performance baseline thresholds). Metrics to monitor effectiveness of risk-handling strategies. Effective test and evaluation program. Formal documentation.
Type Of Infrastructure
Transportation infrastructure Road and highway networks, Railways, Canals Seaports and lighthouses Airports, including air navigational Mass transit systems (Commuter rail systems, subways, tramways, trolleys and bus terminals) Bicycle paths and pedestrian walkways Energy infrastructure Electrical power network, including generation plants, electric grid, substations and local distribution Natural gas pipelines, storage and distribution terminals, as well as the local distribution network Petroleum pipelines, including associated storage and distribution Water management infrastructure Drinking water supply, Sewage collection and disposal Drainage systems (storm sewers, ditches, etc..) Major irrigation systems (reservoirs, irrigation canals) Major flood control systems (dikes, levees, major pumping stations and floodgates) Communications infrastructure Waste management facilities Solid waste landfills Solid waste incinerators Hazardous waste disposal facilities; Geophysical monitoring networks Meteorological monitoring networks Remote sensing satellites
To encourage feign funds flow into the infrastructure sector, the Financing Ministry has allowed Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) also to invest in unlisted companies. This was aimed at helping infrastructure companies as they would not be in a position to list their shares in the initial phase. FIIs now deploy 100 per cent of their funds in corporate debt. Speaking at the World Infrastructure Forum, John Taylor, Director, Infrastructure, Energy and Financial Sector Department, ADB, emphasised that the "counter guarantee" scheme was designed to cover specific risks including "discriminatory government action of various kinds, nondelivery of inputs or non-payment for output by State-owned entitles, availability of essential public services, changes in the agreed regulatory framework or tax regime, provision of essential complementary infrastructure, compensation or delays caused by government action or political uncertainty, transfer risks, foreign currency availability and convertibility. In a bid to make the core sector attractive for FDI, the Cabinet Committee on Foreign Investment (CCFI) has modified the 49 percent cap on foreign equity in the infrastructure sector to render fund mobilisation easier. The new mechanism is designed to over come the constraints for foreign equity cap in the infrastructure sector. Under the norms, companies operating in the sector can bring in equity through the mechanism of an investing company for the purpose of making investment in a licensee company n the service sector where there is a prescribed foreign equity cap.
infrastructure asset indirectly owned by the government; project built and maintained by a private sector entity; project designed and an estimate of viability gap given by a government entity; viability gap fundone time or deferred grantprovided by the government; viability gap fund not to exceed 20 per cent of the total project cost; but the entity that owns the project may provide additional grants up to another 20 per cent of the project cost from its own budget; a pre-determined tariff or user charge to be collected from user
Public-private partnership (PPP) describes a government service or private business venture which is funded and operated through a partnership of government and one or more private sector companies. These schemes are sometimes referred to as PPP, P3 or P3. In some types of PPP, the government uses tax revenue to provide capital for investment, with operations run jointly with the private sector or under contract. In other types (notably the private finance initiative), capital investment is made by the private sector on the strength of a contract with government to provide agreed services. Government contributions to a PPP may also be in kind (notably the transfer of existing assets). In projects that are aimed at creating public goods like in the infrastructure sector, the government may provide a capital subsidy in the form of a one-time grant, so as to make it more attractive to the private investors. In some other cases, the government may support the project by providing revenue subsidies, including tax breaks or by providing guaranteed annual revenues for a fixed period. Typically, a private sector consortium forms a special company called a "special purpose vehicle" (SPV) to develop, build, maintain and operate the asset for the contracted period. In cases where the government has invested in the project, it is typically (but not always) allotted an equity share in the SPV. The consortium is usually made up of a building contractor, a maintenance company and bank lender(s). It is the SPV that signs the contract with the government and with subcontractors to build the facility and then maintain it. A typical PPP example would be a hospital building financed and constructed by a private developer and then leased to the hospital authority. The private developer then acts as landlord, providing housekeeping and other non medical services while the hospital itself provides medical services.
Funding
Consultant
Executing Agency
Contractor (No By Passing of Consultant) -Design -Construction -Contract Management -Finance
Remarks
NHAI/ NHDP, Centre & State, 100% PPP 30% + 70% (Equity sharing+ Annuity Models)
100 % Control for Technical & Contractual Obligations -RFIs 30% -Reviews -Recommendations -Consultants -Funding-50% -Known as IE
Client- DPRBidsContractorConsultantClient Ownership with Client, Feasibility Studies & Traffic Census etc
As applicable
Inbuilt/ Consultancy
Build & Transfer (BT) Contract Add & Operate (CAO) Develop, Operate & Transfer (DOT) Rehabilitate, Operate & Transfer (ROT) Rehabilitate, Own & Operate (ROO) Lease Renovate, Operate & Transfer
(LROT)
REFORMS SO FAR :
Liberalized Policy notified in 1991; reviewed from time to time. Hydro Policy to augment addition of hydro capacity Revised norms with specific delegations to State Government in environment clearance for power projects Electricity Regulatory Commission Act, 1998 enacted for setting up of ERCs at Centre and States Electricity Conservation Act, 2001 enacted to ensure energy efficiency in consumption and Demand Side Management Electricity Act, 2003 enacted which would open up the sector and facilitate operations
Eastern
NEastern Islands All India
3904.12
1116.00 0.00 36885.40
16395.38
60.00 0.00 81355.88
190.00
766.00 0.00
17.20
16602.58
0.00
0.00 0.00 4120
272.41
171.00 6.10 13310.2
20779.11
2255.74 76.13 153694.09
142.74 968.74
70.02
0.00 98378.48
16822.8 1199.7
2011-12
Eastern
NEastern Islands All India
3904.12
1116.00 0.00 36885.40
16395.38
60.00 0.00 81355.88
190.00
766.00 0.00
17.20
16602.58
0.00
0.00 0.00 4120
272.41
171.00 6.10 13310.2
20779.11
2255.74 76.13 153694.09
142.74 968.74
70.02
0.00 98378.48
16822.8 1199.7
Nuclear Total 42.41 3154.97 2643.11 180.31 4.84 47.08 76.16 14.08
R.E.S
Total
J&K
Punjab Rajasthan U.P. Uttrakhand Chattisgarh Gujrat M.P.
1480.53
2962.89 1454.80 1597.42 1919.18 120.00 772.00 3223.6
263.70
3208.19 4024.48 6563.84 261.26 4083.00 6678.89 4282.1
304.14
263.92 665.03 549.97 69.35 0.0 3894.49 257.18
576.78
3472.11 4689.51 7113.81 330.61 4083.0 10590.86 4539.28
68.00
151.04 469 203.72 16.28 47.52 559.32 273.24
111.83
251.47 726.3 402.98 109.97 174.15 1397.50 262.71
2351.5
6837.51 7339.61 9317.93 2376.04 4424.67 13319.68 8298.89
Nuclear Total 14418.98 325.03 23.24 49.14 8644.08 4357.09 1555.40 6957.77 239.51 3153.10 1661.70 1737.88 690.14 25.80 7.38 8.46 214.28 195.36 78.10 478.50 16.28 0.0 0.0 0.0
R.E.S
Total
2156.21 30.05 0.0 0.0 668.66 1841.34 119.04 4354.64 0.0 0.0 50.40 4.05
20597.17 380.88 30.62 57.60 13144.55 9993.59 3534.04 13899.11 255.81 3346.36 1841.53 1942.86
Nuclear Total 1828.10 73.10 6868.54 36.93 522.01 71.37 28.01 68.14 21.19 465.69 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
R.E.S 32.30 41.11 144.55 45.26 27.11 5.45 31.03 17.47 28.67 16.01 5.3 0.76
Total 4049.33 189.48 8129.39 179.76 978.84 157.80 289.62 119.92 103.18 244.07 65.40 10.73
States Likely to be Surplus in Power at the end of 11th Plan Considering Capacity Addition of 74964 MW
Sl No
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
State
Himachal Pradesh Jammu & Kashmir Uttrakhand Delhi Orissa West Bengal Sikkim DVC Arunachal Pradesh Mizoram 1472 188 772 2023 898 109 1214 1646 45 6
Surplus Capacity
Peak (MW) Energy (MU)
4609 2118 4344 23344 3436 11387 3137 15610 539 234
Facilitates Private investment De-licensing Generation Create Competitive market driven Environment- protects interest of consumer & supplier Stringent Provisions for theft of Electricity Specific dispensation for power development in rural areas Mandates Creation of Regulatory Commissions Recognizes Power Trading Distinct activity to propagate competition
Wire villages/hamlets
Power to all BPL families last mile
connectivity
Develop franchisees
of Country Innstalled capacity, 23%, 37000 MW Main States which contribute are Punjab, HP, Uttaranchal, Arunahcal & J & K Considered as low exploitation of hydro potential As compared to Norway 58%, Candada 48%, Brazil 31%, China 27% Environmental frontly virtually no carbon emission Opportunities potential upto 50000 60000 MW Preparation for DPRs of 162 Schemes going on Promotion of small & mini hydel projects upto 25 MW
Nuclear Power
As of now 1.5 - 2% Installed capacity 4120 MW Nuclear power option has major
issues with Nuclear Safety, Waste Mgt & Disposal Policies, being a Radio Active Material R & D Organisation, better Technical Know how IAEA guidelines Dependence on Nuclear Fuel from Foreign Countries
Nuclear Fission
Nuclear Energy
Involves splitting an atom of uranious nucleus into two smaller nuclei by adding a neutron & thereby relasing energy mostly as heat 2-3 Nutrons are emitted in splitting process Each emitted Neutron when slow down causes another nucleus of uranium split & releases energy A continous such reaction of splitting the nucleus is called fission process
Nuclear Fusion
This is the process of forcing & combining together two light atoms to make a heavier one The fusion process create much more heat than fision A hydrogen atom consists one proton & one electron Two hydrogen atoms are united thus giving lot of heat The two heavy hydrogen atoms, isotopes when made to collide at tremendous speed will generate the heat almost 30 million times to fision process, thus gives an intensity of a Hydrogen Bomb
Nuclear Reactor
Nuclear Fission Involves splitting an atom of uranious
nucleus into two smaller nuclei by adding a neutron & thereby releasing energy mostly as heat 2-3 Nutrons are emitted in splitting process Each emitted Neutron when slow down causes another nucleus of uranium split & releases energy A continous such reaction of splitting the nucleus is called fission process
Nuclear Fuel
Uranium & Plutonium Natural Uranium consists of two Isotopes U 235 &
U 238, Ratio 1:139 Plutonium 239 (obtained from Uranium 238) Uranium 233, obtained from Uranium 23 U 235, Plutonium 239 & Uranium 233 called Fissile Material Uranium 238 & U 232 called Fertile Material Encriched Uranium, is nothing but Natural uranium in which concentration of isotope uranium 235 has been increased, used as Fuel in Nuclear Power Plant
Achieving a 10% share for renewables in the new power capacity by adding up of about 10,000 MW through Renewables. Deployment of Solar Water heating systems in one Million homes Electrification by renewables for 24,000 unelectrified villages Deployment of 5 million solar lanterns & 2 million solar home lighting systems Coverage of 30 million households through improved wood stoves Setting up of further 3 million family size biogas plants
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