NCEP Synergy Meeting
Highlights: November 13, 2013
This meeting was led by
Wallace Hogsett (WPC) and attended by Keith Brill
(WPC); Chris Caruso Magee and Becky Cosgrove (NCO); Vera Gerald, Stephen Barry,
Eric Rogers, David DeWitt, and Mary Hart (EMC); Kathy Gilbert, Phil Shafer,
Dave Rudack. et al. (MDL); Andy Dean and Israel Jirak (SPC); Joe Sienkiewicz (OPC); David Bright and Steve
Silberberg (AWC); Jeff Waldstreicher (ER); Bill Ward
(PR); Andy Edman (WR); Bernard Meisner
(SR); John Kelley (NOS); Leslie Rosenfeld (NODC)
1.
NOTES
FROM NCO (Chris Caruso-Magee
and Becky Cosgrove)
-
GFS flight-level 410
change is in, as of November 13.
-
There was a dissemination
problem with the TOC backup, but it has been resolved.
-
RAP/RTMA 30-day
evaluation period is on hold due to model failures
o Problem with topography near southern grid
boundary
o Problem is known and fix is being tested now
o Evaluators can continue looking at RAP
o 30-day evaluation period will restart in
mid-to-late December
-
A TIN is out for RAP/NAM Bufr soundings, but those will be delayed.
-
SREF is next
implementation, but no start date is set.
-
RTOFS output will be
available by early December.
-
There were a few MDL MOS
updates on November 5
o
updated GFS-based cool
season wind equations
o
addition of sky cover to
1200 UTC GFS MOS extended-range message
o
addition of sky cover
and ceiling to Pacific MOS message
2.
NOTES
FROM EMC
2a.
Global Climate and Weather Modeling Branch (GCWMB) (John Derber)
Current plan is for a Q3
implementation of the new GFS:
-
~13km resolution
-
0.25 degree output files
out to 10 days
-
Many physics and land
surface changes, details forthcoming
2b.
Mesoscale Modeling Branch (MMB) (Eric Rogers)
-
RAP/RTMA may slide into
early Q2 due to problems.
-
SREF on schedule for Q2.
-
High Res Window kickoff
meeting Nov13 and will occur sometime during Q2.
-
NAM will be tested for
six more weeks; upgrade in Q3.
-
HRRR implementation
dependent on RAP; some potential for schedule to slip.
2c.
Marine Modeling and Analysis Branch (MMAB) (Vera Gerald)
No report.
3.
NATIONAL
OCEAN SERVICE (NOS, John
Kelley):
No report. NCO reports
that no date has been set for STOFS kickoff meeting.
4.
FEEDBACK
FROM MDL/OPERATIONAL CENTERS/REGIONS
4a. MDL (Kathy Gilbert and Phil Shafer):
-
New additions to GMOS in
Q2:
o Probabilistic and best category precip types (frozen/freezing/liquid)
o Predominant weather grid
o 6 and 12 hour probabilistic QPF
o Precipitation potential index
-
Headers have been
requested and DRG requests are being put together
4b. NCEP Centers and NWS
Regions
Weather Prediction
Center (WPC, Wallace Hogsett):
-
WPC working on internal
transition to 2.5km medium range grids. AWIPS change sometime next year.
-
2014 Winter Weather
Experiment will occur Jan – Feb, including remote sessions with participants
from WFOs.
Storm Prediction Center
(SPC, Israel Jirak): No report.
National Hurricane
Center (NHC, no representative):
Space Weather Prediction
Center (SWPC, no representative):
Ocean Prediction Center
(OPC, Joe Sienkiewicz):
Aviation Weather Center
(AWC, Steve Silberberg): No report.
Pacific Region (PR, Bill Ward):
-
Want to get the COAMPS on
the SBN.
-
Haven’t yet looked at
ceiling fields for MDL.
Alaska Region (AR, ): No report.
Eastern Region (ER, Jeff Waldstreicher):
Nothing to report.
Western Region (WR, Andy Edman):
-
With the 13km GFS coming
this spring, there is an urgent need to get the data to the field. The action
is on Luis Cano and John Murphy to get it done.
Southern Region (SR, Bernard Meisner): No report
-
Appreciate the ECMWF MOS
ensemble box plots from MDL, who runs 52 members through equation and put the
results in box plot form. MDL plans to do some calibration on them.
-
Available on MDL webpage’s (restricted to noaa staff), but it’s not ready
for implementation at this time.
Central Region (CR, no representative):
5.
NESDIS (no representative):
The next Synergy Meeting will be held at 2:30 pm EST on Monday, 13
January 2014 in NCWCP conference room 2890, with remote teleconferencing
capability.