2016 Maryland Democratic presidential primary

The 2016 Maryland Democratic presidential primary was held on April 26 in the U.S. state of Maryland as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

The Democratic Party's primaries in Connecticut, Delaware, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island were held the same day, as were Republican primaries in the same five states, including their own Maryland primary.

Opinion polling

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	Other
Official Primary results^[2]	April 26, 2016	Hillary Clinton 62.5%	Bernie Sanders 33.8%	Others / Uncommitted 3.7%
ARG^[3] Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 400	April 21–24, 2016	Hillary Clinton 50%	Bernie Sanders 44%	Others / Undecided 6%
Monmouth^[4] Margin of error: ± 5.7% Sample size: 300	April 18–20, 2016	Hillary Clinton 57%	Bernie Sanders 32%	Others / Undecided 11%
Public Policy Polling^[5] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 492	April 15–17, 2016	Hillary Clinton 58%	Bernie Sanders 33%	Others / Undecided 9%
NBC 4/Marist^[6] Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 775	April 5–9, 2016	Hillary Clinton 58%	Bernie Sanders 36%	Others / Undecided 6%
University of Maryland/Washington Post^[7] Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 539	March 30 - April 4, 2016	Hillary Clinton 55%	Bernie Sanders 40%	Others / Undecided 5%
Baltimore Sun^[8] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400	March 4–8, 2016	Hillary Clinton 61%	Bernie Sanders 28%	Others / Undecided 11%
Gonzales/Arscott Research^[9] Margin of error: ± 5.0 Sample size: 411	February 29-March 4, 2016	Hillary Clinton 57%	Bernie Sanders 26%	Others / Undecided 17%
Goucher^[10] Margin of error: ± 3.5 Sample size: 794	February 13–18, 2016	Hillary Clinton 58%	Bernie Sanders 28%	Others / Undecided 14%
Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore^[11] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 402	January 11–16, 2016	Hillary Clinton 40%	Bernie Sanders 27%	Others / Undecided 33%

Polls in 2015

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore^[12] Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 419	November 13–17, 2015	Hillary Clinton 56%	Bernie Sanders 23%	Martin O'Malley 7%	Other/Unsure 14%
Washington Post^[13] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 490	October 8–11, 2015	Hillary Clinton 43%	Joe Biden 26%	Bernie Sanders 20%	Martin O'Malley 4%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, None/Any/Other 3%, No Opinion 2%
Goucher^[14] Margin of error: ± 5.7% Sample size: 300	September 26 – October 1, 2015	Hillary Clinton 43%	Joe Biden 23%	Bernie Sanders 17%	Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 2%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, None/Any/Other 2%, Undecided 11%

Polls in 2014

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Washington Post^[15] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 538	February 13–16, 2014	Hillary Clinton 72%	Joe Biden 9%	Martin O'Malley 6%	Elizabeth Warren 3%, Andrew Cuomo 2%, None 1%, Undecided 7%
Baltimore Sun^[16] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500	February 8–12, 2014	Hillary Clinton 59%	Joe Biden 14%	Martin O'Malley 6%	Andrew Cuomo 4%, Undecided/Other 17%

Polls in 2013

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Washington Post^[17] Margin of error: Sample size:	February 21–24, 2013	Hillary Clinton 56%	Joe Biden 18%	Martin O'Malley 8%	Andrew Cuomo 4%, None/other/any of them 4%, No opinion 9%

Results

Maryland Democratic primary, April 26, 2016
Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
Candidate	Count	Percentage	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Hillary Clinton	573,242	62.53%	60	17	77
Bernie Sanders	309,990	33.81%	35	1	36
Rocky De La Fuente	3,582	0.39%	—
Uncommitted	29,949	3.27%	0	6	6
Total	916,763	100%	95	24	119
Source: ^[18]^[19]^[20]^[21]

Results by county

Hillary Clinton won every county (and the independent city of Baltimore) with the exceptions of Allegany, Carroll, Cecil, and Garrett counties, which went for Bernie Sanders.^[22]

County^[23]	Clinton	%	Sanders	%	Others	Totals	Turnout	Margin
Allegany	2,476	41.29%	2,727	45.48%	793	5,996	40.48%	-4.19%
Anne Arundel	37,726	56.19%	26,205	39.03%	3,210	67,141	43.57%	17.16%
Baltimore (City)	87,762	65.26%	42,285	31.44%	4,434	134,481	45.59%	33.82%
Baltimore (County)	77,052	57.24%	50,641	37.62%	6,919	134,612	44.18%	19.62%
Calvert	5,440	57.10%	3,490	36.63%	597	9,527	40.53%	20.47%
Caroline	1,167	50.94%	959	41.86%	165	2,291	33.47%	9.08%
Carroll	7,017	46.00%	7,299	47.85%	938	15,254	46.81%	-1.85%
Cecil	3,534	45.27%	3,562	45.63%	710	7,806	34.84%	-0.36%
Charles	15,685	67.84%	6,623	28.64%	813	23,121	37.58%	39.19%
Dorchester	2,149	61.68%	1,080	31.00%	255	3,484	34.17%	30.68%
Frederick	14,735	51.09%	12,844	44.53%	1,262	28,841	49.09%	6.56%
Garrett	821	41.17%	939	47.09%	234	1,994	44.21%	-5.92%
Harford	13,913	51.21%	11,489	42.29%	1,765	27,167	42.84%	8.92%
Howard	32,139	59.44%	20,316	37.57%	1,619	54,074	54.35%	21.86%
Kent	1,532	54.85%	1,080	38.67%	181	2,793	45.93%	16.18%
Montgomery	122,881	66.25%	59,157	31.89%	3,445	185,483	50.28%	34.36%
Prince George's	120,978	73.60%	40,815	24.83%	2,580	164,373	37.63%	48.77%
Queen Anne's	2,458	53.49%	1,851	40.28%	286	4,595	43.17%	13.21%
Somerset	4,892	52.44%	3,725	39.93%	711	9,328	36.63%	12.51%
St. Mary's	1,207	59.60%	668	32.99%	150	2,025	32.61%	26.62%
Talbot	2,710	60.74%	1,550	34.74%	202	4,462	45.05%	26.00%
Washington	6,211	49.25%	5,189	41.15%	1,210	12,610	39.10%	8.10%
Wicomico	5,543	58.14%	3,410	35.77%	581	9,534	37.09%	22.37%
Worcester	3,214	55.69%	2,086	36.15%	471	5,771	40.08%	19.55%
Total	573,242	62.53%	309,990	33.81%	33,531	916,763	43.90%	28.72%

Note: Maryland is a closed primary state. Turnout is based on registered democrats before the primary on April 26, 2016. Others vote totals consist of votes for Rocky De La Fuente and Uncommitted

Analysis

With its coalition of African Americans and college-educated, affluent white progressive/liberal professionals, Maryland was a state Hillary Clinton was expected to win in the so-called "Acela Primaries" on April 26. She swept the state on election day, winning the primary by 29 points, a clear difference from 2008 when she lost Maryland to Barack Obama. According to exit polls, 43 percent of voters in the Maryland Democratic Primary were white and they opted for Clinton by a margin of 52-42 compared to the 46 percent of African American voters who backed Clinton by a margin of 75–22. Clinton swept all socioeconomic/income classes and educational attainment categories in Maryland as well. She won the votes of people over the age of 45, 75–20, but lost the youth vote to Sanders 52–46. She won both men (55–40) and women (68–29).

In terms of party identification, of the 80 percent of self-identified Democrats who voted in the primary, 69 percent backed Clinton while 30 percent supported Bernie Sanders; Independents, who made up 17 percent of the voters, backed Sanders by a 51–39 margin. Clinton also won all ideological groups.

Clinton performed well in the urban and suburban parts of the state in and around Baltimore (which she won 63–34), and the Washington, D.C. suburbs (which she won 71–27), and she also won in the more rural parts of the state like the Eastern Shore (which she won 57–37) and Western Maryland (which she won 53–47), which includes parts of Appalachia.^[24]

References

^ Maryland State Board of Elections - Official Primary Results
^ Official Primary results
^ "Maryland poll April 21-24, 2016". American Research Group. Retrieved April 25, 2016.
^ "MARYLAND: CLINTON LEADS SANDERS BY 25" (PDF). Retrieved April 22, 2016.
^ "Maryland Likely To Continue Momentum for Trumpov, Clinton" (PDF). Retrieved April 19, 2016.
^ "NBC4/Marist Poll April 2016 Maryland Questionnaire" (PDF). Retrieved April 13, 2016.
^ "Washington Post-University of Maryland poll, March 30-April 3, 2016". Retrieved April 7, 2016.
^ "Hillary Clinton has 33-point lead in Maryland Democratic primary, new poll shows".
^ "Maryland Poll" (PDF).
^ "Goucher poll February 13–18, 2016" (PDF).
^ Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore
^ Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore
^ Washington Post
^ "Goucher poll September 26 – October 1, 2015" (PDF).
^ "(Among Democrats and independents who lean Democratic) Thinking ahead to 2016, between (Martin O'Malley), (Hillary Clinton), (Joe Biden), (Andrew Cuomo) and (Elizabeth Warren) whom would you like to be the next Democratic presidential nominee?". Washington Post. February 22, 2014. Retrieved July 9, 2015.
^ Baltimore Sun
^ Washington Post
^ The Green Papers
^ Maryland State Board of Elections - Official Primary Results
^ MDP Announces DNC Delegates, Alternates and State DNC Members
^ MDP Announces District-Level Delegate Winners
^ "Maryland Election Results 2016". The New York Times. August 2017.
^ "Maryland Certified Election Results". CNN. May 9, 2017. Retrieved April 5, 2017.
^ "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved September 25, 2016.

[1] Maryland State Board of Elections - Official Primary Results

[2] Official Primary results

[3] "Maryland poll April 21-24, 2016". American Research Group. Retrieved April 25, 2016.

[4] "MARYLAND: CLINTON LEADS SANDERS BY 25" (PDF). Retrieved April 22, 2016.

[5] "Maryland Likely To Continue Momentum for Trumpov, Clinton" (PDF). Retrieved April 19, 2016.

[6] "NBC4/Marist Poll April 2016 Maryland Questionnaire" (PDF). Retrieved April 13, 2016.

[7] "Washington Post-University of Maryland poll, March 30-April 3, 2016". Retrieved April 7, 2016.

[8] "Hillary Clinton has 33-point lead in Maryland Democratic primary, new poll shows".

[9] "Maryland Poll" (PDF).

[10] "Goucher poll February 13–18, 2016" (PDF).

[11] Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore

[12] Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore

[13] Washington Post

[14] "Goucher poll September 26 – October 1, 2015" (PDF).

[15] "(Among Democrats and independents who lean Democratic) Thinking ahead to 2016, between (Martin O'Malley), (Hillary Clinton), (Joe Biden), (Andrew Cuomo) and (Elizabeth Warren) whom would you like to be the next Democratic presidential nominee?". Washington Post. February 22, 2014. Retrieved July 9, 2015.

[16] Baltimore Sun

[17] Washington Post

[18] The Green Papers

[19] Maryland State Board of Elections - Official Primary Results

[20] MDP Announces DNC Delegates, Alternates and State DNC Members

[21] MDP Announces District-Level Delegate Winners

[22] "Maryland Election Results 2016". The New York Times. August 2017.

[23] "Maryland Certified Election Results". CNN. May 9, 2017. Retrieved April 5, 2017.

[24] "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved September 25, 2016.

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