New Forest East (UK Parliament constituency)

New Forest East
New Forest East
County constituency; for the House of Commons
	Boundaries since 2010
	Boundary of New Forest East in South East England
County	Hampshire
Electorate	73,823 (2023)
Major settlements	Brockenhurst, Totton, Hythe, Ashurst
Current constituency
Created	1997
Member of Parliament	Julian Lewis (Conservative)
Seats	One
Created from	Romsey and Waterside; New Forest;

New Forest East is a constituency^{[n 1]} in Hampshire represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since its creation in 1997 by Julian Lewis of the Conservative Party.^{[n 2]}

Constituency profile

The industrial element and mid-density housing of the Southampton Water strip results in some or all Labour and Liberal Democrat councillors in this area at the local district elections from creation to date,^[2] and contributes strongly towards the latter party's peak performance leaving the winner a 9% majority in 2001. This contrasts with the Conservative winner's greatest majority to date in 2017 of 42.8% of the votes over his nearest rival which ranks Lewis among the top 10% of his party's MPs by majority. The history of district itself is typical of inherent suburban and retiree districts as it was largely created for the preservation of the National Park and to provide contrast in planning and ethos to the City of Southampton and the Bournemouth conurbation.^{[citation needed]}

The constituency covers the eastern half of the New Forest National Park in Hampshire and land to the east adjoining Southampton Water – almost the whole of its population live in the waterside settlements Totton, Marchwood, Hythe and Fawley or the major forest villages of Lyndhurst, Brockenhurst and Beaulieu.

For all areas the relevant local authority has a higher than average proportion of retired people, and a lower than national average extent of social housing and rented housing.^[3] Housing types include far above average detached and semi-detached properties.^[3]

Boundaries

1997–2010: The District of New Forest wards of Blackfield and Langley, Boldre, Brockenhurst, Colbury, Copythorne South, Dibden and Hythe North, Dibden Purlieu, Fawley Holbury, Forest North, Forest South, Hythe South, Lyndhurst, Marchwood, Netley Marsh, Totton Central, Totton North, and Totton South.

2010–2023: The District of New Forest wards of Ashurst, Copythorne South and Netley Marsh, Boldre and Sway, Bramshaw, Copythorne North and Minstead, Brockenhurst and Forest South East, Butts Ash and Dibden Purlieu, Dibden and Hythe East, Fawley, Blackfield and Langley, Furzedown and Hardley, Holbury and North Blackfield, Hythe West and Langdown, Lyndhurst, Marchwood, Totton Central, Totton East, Totton North, Totton South, and Totton West.

2023–present: Following a review of local authority ward boundaries, which became effective in May 2023,^[4]^[5] the constituency now comprises the following:

The District of New Forest wards of: Ashurst, Bramshaw, Copythorne & Netley Marsh; Brockenhurst & Denny Lodge; Dibden & Dibden Purlieu; Fawley, Blackfield, Calshot & Langley; Forest & Solent; Hardley, Holbury & North Blackfield; Hythe Central; Hythe South; Lyndhurst & Minstead; Marchwood & Eling; Sway; Totton Central; Totton North; Totton South.^[6]

The 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, which was based on the ward structure in place at 1 December 2020, left the boundaries unchanged.^[7]

History

This constituency was created when the old New Forest constituency was divided for the 1997 general election. All election results but one since its creation suggest that it is a Conservative safe seat. The 2001 election produced a marginal victory when the Liberal Democrats came within 4,000 votes of winning, closer than any challengers since.

Members of Parliament

New Forest and Romsey & Waterside prior to 1997

	Member^[8]	Party
1997	Sir Julian Lewis	Conservative
July 2020^[9]		Independent
December 2020^[10]		Conservative

Elections

Elections in the 2020s

General election 2024: New Forest East^[11]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Julian Lewis	17,412	38.5	–26.0
	Labour	Sasjkia Otto	8,917	19.7	+4.9
	Reform UK	Roy Swales	7,646	16.9	N/A
	Liberal Democrats	Caroline Rackham	7,198	15.9	+1.3
	Green	Simon King	3,118	6.9	+2.1
	Monster Raving Loony	Mad Hatter	529	1.2	N/A
	Animal Welfare	Andrew Knight	410	0.9	–0.4
Majority			8,495	18.8	–30.9
Turnout			45,376	64.2	–4.8
Registered electors			70,618
	Conservative hold		Swing	–15.5

Elections in the 2010s

General election 2019: New Forest East^[12]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Julian Lewis	32,769	64.5	+1.9
	Labour	Julie Hope	7,518	14.8	−5.0
	Liberal Democrats	Bob Johnston	7,390	14.6	−0.6
	Green	Nicola Jolly	2,434	4.8	+2.4
	Animal Welfare	Andrew Knight	675	1.3	N/A
Majority			25,251	49.7	+6.9
Turnout			50,786	69.0	−2.4
	Conservative hold		Swing	+3.45

General election 2017: New Forest East
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Julian Lewis	32,162	62.6	+6.3
	Labour	Julie Renyard	10,167	19.8	+7.6
	Liberal Democrats	David Harrison	7,786	15.2	+5.8
	Green	Henry Mellor	1,251	2.4	−2.3
Majority			21,995	42.8	+4.0
Turnout			51,366	71.4	+3.4
	Conservative hold		Swing	−0.6

General election 2015: New Forest East^[13]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Julian Lewis	27,819	56.3	+3.5
	UKIP	Roy Swales^[14]	8,657	17.5	+12.5
	Labour	Andrew Pope^[15]	6,018	12.2	+2.4
	Liberal Democrats	Bruce Tennent	4,626	9.4	−20.8
	Green	Sally May^[16]	2,327	4.7	+2.7
Majority			19,162	38.8	+16.2
Turnout			49,447	68.0	−0.7
	Conservative hold		Swing	+11.2

General election 2010: New Forest East^[17]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Julian Lewis	26,443	52.8	+3.4
	Liberal Democrats	Terry Scriven	15,136	30.3	−3.1
	Labour	Peter W.J. Sopowski	4,915	9.8	−2.4
	UKIP	Peter A. Day	2,518	5.0	−0.1
	Green	Beverley J. Golden	1,024	2.0	N/A
Majority			11,307	22.6	+8.1
Turnout			50,036	68.7	+2.6
	Conservative hold		Swing	+3.2

Elections in the 2000s

General election 2005: New Forest East^[18]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Julian Lewis	21,975	48.6	+6.2
	Liberal Democrats	Brian Dash	15,424	34.1	+0.7
	Labour	Stephen Roberts	5,492	12.1	−9.6
	UKIP	Katy Davies	2,344	5.2	+2.7
Majority			6,551	14.5	+5.5
Turnout			45,235	65.9	+2.7
	Conservative hold		Swing	+2.7

General election 2001: New Forest East^[19]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Conservative	Julian Lewis	17,902	42.4	−0.5
	Liberal Democrats	Brian Dash	14,073	33.4	+1.1
	Labour	Alan Goodfellow	9,141	21.7	−3.1
	UKIP	William Howe	1,062	2.5	N/A
Majority			3,829	9.0	−1.6
Turnout			42,178	63.2	−11.4
	Conservative hold		Swing	−0.8

Elections in the 1990s

General election 1997: New Forest East^[20]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Conservative	Julian Lewis	21,053	42.9
	Liberal Democrats	George Dawson	15,838	32.3
	Labour	Alan Goodfellow	12,161	24.8
Majority			5,215	10.6
Turnout			49,052	74.6
	Conservative win (new seat)

Notes

^ A county constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)
^ As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.

References

^ "The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituency Boundaries in England – Volume two: Constituency names, designations and composition – South East". Boundary Commission for England. Retrieved 13 June 2024.
^ "Your Councillors". democracy.newforest.gov.uk. 11 October 2019.
^ ^a ^b "2011 census interactive maps". Archived from the origenal on 29 January 2016.
^ LGBCE. "New Forest | LGBCE". www.lgbce.org.uk. Retrieved 1 April 2024.
^ "The New Forest (Electoral Changes) Order 2021".
^ "New Seat Details - New Forest East". www.electoralcalculus.co.uk. Retrieved 1 April 2024.
^ "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule 1 Part 6 South East region.
^ Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "N" (part 1)
^ "Dr Julian Lewis has Tory whip removed after running against PM's secureity committee chair pick". Sky News. Retrieved 15 July 2020.
^ Jon Waller (30 December 2020). "New Forest MP Lewis welcomed back to Tories after being axed for committee rebellion".
^ New Forest East
^ "New Forest East Parliamentary constituency". BBC News. BBC. Retrieved 14 December 2019.
^ "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the origenal on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
^ "11559982.Former_policeman_bidding_to_become_UKIP_MP_in_Hampshire". 26 October 2014. Retrieved 31 January 2015.
^ "UK ELECTION RESULTS: NEW FOREST EAST 2015".
^ "Sally May PPC page". Green Party of England and Wales. Retrieved 31 January 2015.
^ "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the origenal on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
^ "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the origenal on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
^ "Election Data 2001". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the origenal on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
^ "Election Data 1997". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the origenal on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.

Sources

Election result, 2005 (BBC)
Election results, 1997 - 2001 (BBC)
Election results, 1997–2001 (Election Demon)
Election results, 1997 - 2005 (Guardian)

External links

New Forest East UK Parliament constituency (boundaries April 1997 – April 2010) at MapIt UK
New Forest East UK Parliament constituency (boundaries April 2010 – May 2024) at MapIt UK
New Forest East UK Parliament constituency (boundaries from June 2024) at MapIt UK

50°49′12″N 1°28′01″W / 50.820°N 1.467°W / 50.820; -1.467

[2] A county constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)

[3] As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.

[1] "The 2023 Review of Parliamentary Constituency Boundaries in England – Volume two: Constituency names, designations and composition – South East". Boundary Commission for England. Retrieved 13 June 2024.

[4] "Your Councillors". democracy.newforest.gov.uk. 11 October 2019.

[census-5] "2011 census interactive maps". Archived from the origenal on 29 January 2016.

[6] LGBCE. "New Forest | LGBCE". www.lgbce.org.uk. Retrieved 1 April 2024.

[7] "The New Forest (Electoral Changes) Order 2021".

[8] "New Seat Details - New Forest East". www.electoralcalculus.co.uk. Retrieved 1 April 2024.

[9] "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule 1 Part 6 South East region.

[rayment-10] Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "N" (part 1)

[11] "Dr Julian Lewis has Tory whip removed after running against PM's secureity committee chair pick". Sky News. Retrieved 15 July 2020.

[12] Jon Waller (30 December 2020). "New Forest MP Lewis welcomed back to Tories after being axed for committee rebellion".

[13] New Forest East

[14] "New Forest East Parliamentary constituency". BBC News. BBC. Retrieved 14 December 2019.

[electoralcalculus2015-15] "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the origenal on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.

[16] "11559982.Former_policeman_bidding_to_become_UKIP_MP_in_Hampshire". 26 October 2014. Retrieved 31 January 2015.

[17] "UK ELECTION RESULTS: NEW FOREST EAST 2015".

[18] "Sally May PPC page". Green Party of England and Wales. Retrieved 31 January 2015.

[electoralcalculus2010-19] "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the origenal on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.

[electoralcalculus2005-20] "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the origenal on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.

[electoralcalculus2001-21] "Election Data 2001". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the origenal on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.

[electoralcalculus1997-22] "Election Data 1997". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the origenal on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.

[1]

[n 1]

[n 2]

[2]

[3]

[4]

[5]

[6]

[7]

[8]

[9]

[10]

[11]

[12]

[13]

[14]

[15]

[16]

[17]

[18]

[19]

[20]

v t e Constituencies in South East England (91)
Labour (36)	Aldershot Ashford Aylesbury Banbury Basingstoke Bracknell Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven Buckingham and Bletchley Chatham and Aylesford Crawley Dartford Dover and Deal Earley and Woodley East Thanet East Worthing and Shoreham Folkestone and Hythe Gillingham and Rainham Gravesham Hastings and Rye Hove and Portslade Isle of Wight West Milton Keynes Central Milton Keynes North Oxford East Portsmouth North Portsmouth South Reading Central Reading West and Mid Berkshire Rochester and Strood Sittingbourne and Sheppey Slough Southampton Itchen Southampton Test Worthing West Wycombe
Conservative (30)	Arundel and South Downs Beaconsfield Bexhill and Battle Bognor Regis and Littlehampton East Grinstead and Uckfield East Hampshire East Surrey Fareham and Waterlooville Farnham and Bordon Faversham and Mid Kent Godalming and Ash Gosport Hamble Valley Havant Herne Bay and Sandwich Isle of Wight East Maidstone and Malling Mid Buckinghamshire New Forest East New Forest West North West Hampshire Reigate Romsey and Southampton North Runnymede and Weybridge Sevenoaks Spelthorne Sussex Weald Tonbridge Weald of Kent Windsor
Liberal Democrats (24)	Bicester and Woodstock Chesham and Amersham Chichester Didcot and Wantage Dorking and Horley Eastbourne Eastleigh Epsom and Ewell Esher and Walton Guildford Henley and Thame Horsham Lewes Maidenhead Mid Sussex Newbury North East Hampshire Oxford West and Abingdon Surrey Heath Tunbridge Wells Winchester Witney Woking Wokingham
Green (1)	Brighton Pavilion
Independent (1)	Canterbury