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NFL playoff picture projections: Updated chances to make the postseason, win divisions
We're looking ahead to how the 14-team playoff picture could line up en route to Super Bowl LIX.
Illustration by ESPN
NFL
We simulated the rest of the NFL season: 48 regular-season games, 13 playoff matchups and one Super Bowl winner
We used ESPN Football Power Index's most likely simulation to project Weeks 16, 17 and 18 -- and how the NFL playoff field could stack up.
Top Headlines
NFL
NFL win rate metrics leaderboard: Who is the best statistical pass rusher? Top run blocking team?
Our win rate metrics stack the NFL's best run-blocking, run-stopping, pass-protecting and pass-rushing players and teams.
NFL
Which NFL teams are most, least analytics-advanced? We surveyed 22 staffers around the league
Do the Browns still lead the way in analytics? Which franchises have bought in, and which remain skeptical? We polled NFL teams on advanced data usage.
NFL
No, NFL analytics models don't always recommend going for it on fourth down: Here's the method
Do NFL analytics models always recommend going for it on fourth down? No. Here's how the decisions actually are made.
NFL
NFL pass-rushing, run-stopping, blocking leaderboard: Win rate rankings for 2023
Our win rate metics stack the NFL's best run-blocking, run-stopping, pass-protecting and pass-rushing players and teams.
NFL
Updated NFL playoff picture: AFC, NFC seed projections after Week 17
We're looking ahead to how the 14-team playoff picture could line up en route to Super Bowl LVIII.
Packers
NFL
Going for 2 down 8 points: Packers pull off come-from-behind win thanks to this strategy
The Packers profited from being the first team this season to try this unconventional 2-point conversion attempt. Here's why others should follow their lead.
news - analytics
2023 NBA draft projections: Will Victor Wembanyama become an All-Star?
How do Victor Wembanyama's All-Star chances stack up to those of prior top draft picks?
NFL
NFL game management cheat sheet: Guide to fourth downs and 2-point conversions
Curious about a fourth-down or 2-point conversion decision? ESPN's recommendation model can help.
NFL
NFL pass-rushing, run-stopping, blocking leaderboard: Win rate rankings for 2022
Our win rate metics stack the best run-blocking, run-stopping, pass-protecting and pass-rushing players and teams in the game for the 2022 season.
NFL
Which NFL teams are most, least analytics-advanced? We surveyed 21 team staffers
Which NFL team buys in to analytics the most? Which teams remain skeptical? And is momentum a thing? We surveyed team staffers from around the league for the inside word.
NFL
Big takeaways from ESPN's new pass-catcher stats: A.J. Brown is always open, Kendrick Bourne is underrated
Mark Andrews is elite, Kendrick Bourne is underused and Deebo Samuel's yards-after-catch production in 2021 nearly broke our new metrics.
NFL
Introducing Receiver Tracking Metrics: How our new NFL stats can better rate pass-catchers
Our metrics use player tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats to analyze every route run and assess receiver performance in three distinct phases.
NFL
Who will lead the NFL in sacks this season? We projected the top 50 pass-rushers
Our pass-rush model still has Watt atop the pass-rushing chart, but there was plenty of movement behind the Steelers' star edge rusher.
news - analytics
Ranking all 32 NFL offensive lines: Projecting pass and run blocking for every team in 2022
We used our pass and run block win rate model to predict how all 32 offensive lines will perform in 2022. Which Super Bowl contenders have the top units?
news - analytics
2022 NBA draft: How likely are the Big 3 to become All-Stars?
ESPN Analytics' projections for the top prospects in Thursday's NBA draft evaluate boom vs. bust potential for the new class.
NFL
Rams' rollouts, a Burrow mirage and Donald's dominance: Five stat trends to watch in Super Bowl LVI
Which team will win Sunday? Let's take a deep dive into the numbers behind what could decide the game.
NFL
Ranking the 14 quarterbacks in the NFL playoffs: Strengths, weaknesses and what's at stake
Which playoff quarterback would you want on your team? Seth Walder ranks them 1-14 and spills their strengths and weaknesses.
NFL
2021 NFL pass-rushing, run-stopping, blocking leaderboard: Win rate rankings
ESPN Analytics created revolutionary new metrics to measure performance in both the run and pass game. Here are the leaders for the 2021 season.
Top Headlines
- Goosen wins Champions event after wet finish
- Man City alter UCL prep due to artificial pitch
- Cardinals' Contreras day-to-day with hip injury
- Twins' Polanco back on IL with hamstring injury
- Conference revenues vary in '20-21 amid COVID
- J.J. Watt: Taking a knee isn't about the flag
- Memphis to play Mississippi State in 2028, 2029
ESPN Analytics
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NFL Football Power Index (FPI)
NFL QBR
College Football Power Index (FPI)
College Football Playoff Predictor
PlayStation Player Impact Rating
College Football QBR
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NBA Basketball Power Index (BPI) Playoff Odds
College Basketball Power Index (BPI)
VIDEO -- Explaining CFB Playoff Predictor
VIDEO -- Explaining PlayStation Player Impact Rating
VIDEO -- Explaining CFB QBR
VIDEO -- Explaining CFB FPI
VIDEO -- Explaining Expected Points Added
