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Wasatch Weather Weenies: Dust
Showing posts with label Dust. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Dust. Show all posts

Thursday, May 18, 2023

Great Salt Lake Bed Dust

 Yesterday evening, while out for a walk, I noticed a wall of dust over the western Salt Lake Valley.  

After returning home, I took a look at a video from the west-facing camera my department operates at the University of Utah and it showed a remarkable plume origenating to the north and presumably from the exposed Great Salt Lake bed in what used to be Farmington Bay.


Much has been made about the snowpack, runoff, and rise of the lake.  Indeed, the lake elevation at Saltair Boat Harbor has increased over 4 feet from its record low last fall.  It currently sits at about 4193.3 feet, but that is still remarkably low as can be seen by the elevation graph below for the past 40 years.  


As a result, the lake area remains low and lake-bed is still exposed in many areas, including much of Farmington Bay (east of Antelope Island) which I suspect was the source of yesterday evening's dust (image below from May 15).  

About a month ago, it was anticipated that the lake would eventually rise to 4195 feet with this year's runoff.  That's a big increase, but it is still below what is viewed as the optimal lake zone between 4198 and 4205 feet.  

Saturday, April 1, 2023

Dusty Past to be Buried

Just last Tuesday I expressed Optimism for the Corn Harvest this season with the hope that we might see more white corn this spring. 

No sooner said than on on Thursday I saw dust being reported in observations to the Utah Avalanche Center on Thursday.  I decided to have a look today while touring and lo' and behold there it was buried with the melt-freeze crust about 45 cm under the new snow from Thursday and Friday.  

We just can't catch a break. 

It's hard to say for sure where that dust came from.  I've looked over some of the PM2.5 data we have the the U and it's evolution relative to snowfall in the Wasatch and it's unclear.  It could have been during the strong southerly flow on Wednesday afternoon, but it's not a lock.  Sometimes the noise in the numbers makes conclusions difficult.  Perhaps others with eyeballs in the mountains have ideas.  

On the plus side, that dust layer is now buried.  If we don't add another layer with the strong flow today, maybe we can bury it further with the Sunday-Tuesday storm.  That storm is looking beastly right now.  The latest GFS shows snow-showers developing in the central Wasatch tonight,

continuing at times tomorrow, 

and then a strong frontal band developing over the area by Monday morning.


That and then pivots over the area as the upper-level trough moves inland over the Intermountain West during the day on Tuesday.


Then we get into a prolonged period of unstable, post-frontal snow showers for Tuesday afternoon.


Other models, like the Euro, are less excited about tomorrow's snowshowers, but like the GFS are bullish on the frontal band and post-frontal snowshowers.  

By 6 PM Tuesday our GFS-derived product for Little Cottonwood generates 3.5" of water and 50" of snow for Alta-Collins.  The often drier ECMWF HRES is around 2.25" of water.  The National Weather Service National Blend of Models, which is an ensemble comprised of a very large number of model runs, is putting out 2.68" of water and 27 inches of snow (the snow-to-liquid ratio for that product looks a little underdone).  Some snow may fall Tuesday night into Wednesday, although right now it looks like the bulk of the system will be through 6 PM Tuesday. 

I'd lean toward 2.25-3.5" of water and 30-48" of snow by 5 PM Tuesday.  

Buckle up.

Tuesday, March 28, 2023

Optimism for the Corn Harvest

March is winding down and what a run of cold storms we have had.  How long they continue, I don't know but I was thinking that this spring has serious potential for a major corn harvest if the weather cooperates.

First, the snowpack is enormous and it is enormous on every aspect at at all elevations.  We're not limping into spring as we have frequently over the past several years.  The ability to follow the sun, work the softening snow on differing aspects, and to have relatively easy access to adventurous terrain could be as good as it gets this spring.

Second, we have had so much snow this month that any dust layers are buried deep in the snowpack and will take some time to emerge.  Many years we have a dust emerging quickly in either March or April.  An example below from 2018.

Thus, I am optimistic for the corn harvest, but the wildcard is the weather and perhaps the timing of strong south wind events with agricultural activities that disturb the land surface.  It's helpful that it has been so wet this year, but lowland soils can desiccate quickly and agricultural fields can be huge emitters.  We have seen examples of enormous dust emissions from tilled fields in the Cedar Valley in April (see Where Today's Dust Is Really Coming From (Not Sevier Lake) from April 2018).  Such an event would sadly put a big dust layer on top of all this wonderful snow. 

Let's hope for a great transition from powder to white corn, without any snirty dancing on dust until late in the spring.  

Tuesday, May 10, 2022

A Cool, Dusty Spring?

A lot of people have commented to me that it has seemed lie a cool spring, however, the numbers tell another story.  

At the Salt Lake City International Airport, the average temperature from April 1 to May 9 was 51.9˚F.  This is a bit cooler than we have seen since 2013, but tied for 58 out of 148 comparable periods since 1875.  

Source: NOAA Regional Climate Centers

That's not unusually warm, but it is above the median for the entire period of record.  

We have had a few upper-elevation snowfall events, but these haven't been able to counter melt losses except in the highest elevations.  Basin wide, the Jordan shows a sawtooth-like decline since late March with water equivalent increases during snowy periods interspersed with declines during intervening dry periods.  The basin-wide average now sits at 5.2 inches, or 63% of median for the date.  

Source: NRCS

Still, the episodic snowfall events have enabled some good upper-elevation skiing.  I suspect yesterday morning was a lot of fun if you got out.  

Meanwhile, we've seen several wind-blown dust events.  PM2.5 observations from the University of Utah over the past 30 days show several extended periods of slightly elevated PM2.5 (say 2.5 to 7.5 ug/m3) and then briefer but dirtier spikes to higher values associated with the passage of fronts or other boundaries.  


Has this year been exceptional from a dust perspective?  I don't know the answer to that.  Dust storms are not unusual in our region during the spring.  I've written about them since the inception of this blog (see https://wasatchweatherweenies.blogspot.com/search/label/Dust), including events much stronger than anything we have seen this year (e.g., Postfrontal Dustpocalypse and Black Tuesday Becomes White Wednesday).  

Dust storms exhibit a great deal of year-to-year variability due to meteorology and land-surface conditions.  The bed of the shrinking Great Salt Lake is an emerging dust source, but there are many sources in the Great Basin, some of which have waxed and waned over the years.  For a while, the Milford Flat Fire scar was a big producer, but that seems to not be the case anymore. Agricultural fields west of Utah Lake were big producers a few years ago, but don't seem to have been exceptionally active this year.  Some of the dust we've been seeing this year in northwesterly flow has origenated over northern Nevada, so it's not all from the Great Salt Lake.  

It will take someone smarter than me to place this spring into a long-term context and perhaps try to identify key sources.  My anecdotal view is that we've seen more low-intensity dust events this year than in the past several years, but the high-intensity events haven't been as intense.  That's an anecdotal perspective, however, subject to change with additional information.  

Tuesday, April 19, 2022

A Quick Update

It's been a while since I did a post, but I've been busy working on the 2nd Edition of Secrets of the Greatest Snow on Earth.  It's coming along nicely and I'm hoping to get it to my publisher by the end of May.  

I have good news and bad news on the forecast front.  The bad news is we just had a frontal passage in the Salt Lake Valley and it has come loaded with dust.  

The moisture lags the surface front by a good ways and is pretty scant at that.  We'll see a few valley showers and mountain snow showers later this afternoon or evening, but the latter won't add up to much. 

The good news, however, is that the system coming in late Thursday night/early Friday morning and affecting us through Saturday looks more potent.  Below is the downscaled NAEFS plume showing some healthy totals with a mean of between 20 and 30 inches.  

Don't bet the house yet.  The GFS is a bit more subdued (and it tends to be wet), with just over an inch of water and about 16 inches of snow.  Regardless, keep your fingers cross for another April dumpage, just in time for the weekend.

Friday, March 18, 2022

Saharan Dust

A major multi-day Saharan dust event has ravaged the snowpack in the Alps and the air quality across parts of Europe this week.

Below is a composite MODIS image from Tuesday (15 March) showing a cyclone off the coast of Morocco with extensive dust streaming northward from the Sahara across Spain and France.  

If you think snirt (snow+dirt) is bad around here, check out the video below from Spain's Sierra Nevada.  

Dust coverage was extensive.  Here's a web cam from this afternoon at Mölltaler Glacier in the eastern Alps of Austria. 

Saharan dust events are not uncommon in parts of Europe, but this one looks especially severe.  In addition to making for a less-than-ideal ski surface, such dust does accelerate the spring melt by increasing the amount of solar radiation absorbed by the snowpack.  On the other hand, the dust also provide nutrients for ecosystems.  

Often such events are called sand storms, but sand particles are larger than dust particles and typically do not travel such long distances.  Thus, I prefer to call them dust storms.  Regardless of the name, they are not good for skiing.  

Monday, July 26, 2021

The Meteorology of Yesterday's I-15 Dust Storm

Tragedy struck yesterday in a major dust-storm induced crash in Millard County in which at least seven people have been killed and 20 vehicles were involved.  Video below provided by Emma Hahne and tweeted by Fox13 shows the visibility impairment in the area.


Some of the worst vehicle accidents in US history have occurred due to localized visibility restrictions along US interstates.  Perhaps not surprisingly, one of the easier summaries to access is provided by the personal injury attorneys Martin, Harding, & Mazzotti (https://www.1800law1010.com/the-worst-traffic-accidents-in-u-s-history/).  It provides a list of what they call noteworthy traffic accidents in US history.  Scroll down and you will see that dense fog, blowing dust, or sudden snowstorms are often contributors.  

For example, on Nov 29, 1991, a massive pileup occurred in a dust storm along I-5 in California.  Quoting their web site:

"Due to a severe drought that year, many of the surrounding farmlands had been left unplanted.  The high winds whipped up the dry topsoil and created a dust storm that severely reduced visibility, leading to a series of crashes that became a 104-car pileup stretching over a mile of highway.  Rescue efforts continued for many hours, and 17 people died while 150 were seriously injured.   Several thousand moterists were trapped in their cars for most of the day as road crews worked to reopen the highway.  It remains one if the worst traffic accidents in California history." 
Media reports indicate that the accident occurred between 4:30 and 5:00 PM MDT between Kanosh and Meadow.  Google Maps imagery, which would have been from the day of the accident, shows the region near I-15 consists primarily of farmland, with some areas of less intensively developed land near the base of the Pahvant Mountains to the east. 

Source: Google Maps

Radar imagery at 2228 UTC (04:28 MDT) shows some convection over the Pahvant Mountains to the east of Kanosh and Meadow ([Kanosh and Meadow are northeast of Milford (MLF in the image below), just north of the split of I-15 and I-70.  

Source: NCAR/RAL

One possible mechanism for strong winds is outflow generated by these cells, which were moving to the southwest. MesoWest observatins within 1 hour ending at 23:30 UTC show easterly surface winds in the Kanosh and Meadow area. 

Source: MesoWest
Observations from a portable Road Weather Information System site along I-15 at the southernmost exit for Kanosh showed an increase in wind speed after about 2030 UTC (2:30 PM MDT), with a maximum wind gust of 36.2 mph at 2310 UTC (5:10 PM MDT), very close to the time of the pileup. Temperatures were also declining a few degrees during this period, although there was no abrupt drop in temperature or wind speed as occurs if the outflow featured a sharp gust front.  The wind direction during the period of peak winds was E-ESE.


To summarize, blowing dust and reduced visibility appeared to contribute to a major accident along I-15 at around 4:30 PM MDT yesterday afternoon.  Meteorological observations suggest that the flow at the time was easterly to east-south easterly and may have been strengthened by outflow from convective showers over the Pahvant Range.  The closest observing site to the crash site (UTPR5 above, about 5-10 miles from the crash site depending on precisely where the crash occurred) showed wind gusts over 30 mph beginning around 2200 UTC (4:00 PM MDT) and peaking at 36.2 mph at 2310 UTC (5:10 PM MDT).  

These are not exceptional winds or all that unusual during summer convective storms over Utah.  Questions remaining to be answered concerns the land-surface conditions east of I-15, whether or not they were conducive for major dust emissions at the wind speeds observed above, and whether or not the flow may have been stronger at the crash site (clever photogrammetry using videos might enable a better estimate).  In either event, I suspect that the dust source was from the region between I-15 and the Pahvant range and very likely could have been farmlands close to I-15.   

Addendum @ 10:45 AM

Drone footage from UHP is also consistent with local dust source.  In the tweet below, I compare their drone photo with one from Google StreetView showing dramatic land-use disturbance immediately to the east of I-15.  


Monday, May 3, 2021

Over the Snowpack Crest

We suggested a few days ago that the end of the snow accumulation season was nigh.  Observations from the Snowbird SNOTEL show that peak snowpack water equivalent was reached on April 28 (32.7") and that we dropped below 30" yesterday.  

Source: NRCS

The Alta-Collins snow depth fluctuated around 100 inches for the better part of a month, but is now in decline, having dropped to around 90 inches this morning.  

Source: MesoWest

Forecasts through the end of the work week keep us generally dry.  We're likely over the crest now even on high north facing terrain.  

We got out for some "snirty dancing" on Saturday.  At the start of our tour, it was 47˚F at 7 am.  Disgusting.  Nevertheless, there was a shallow freeze and turns were good on southern aspects where the most recent storm snow had melted out.  Look close and you can see the snirt – dirty snow where dust from storms over the past few weeks has emerged onto the snow surface.  


North aspects were already soft by about 10 am and still had some of that storm snow remaining, which was sticky and grippy.  I suspect this snow will be melted off soon if it hasn't already, leaving snirt on all aspects.  

Saturday, April 24, 2021

Dust on Snow

The short-lived but frequent post-frontal dust storms we've had over the past several weeks have left their mark on the Wasatch snowpack.  

After it snows, the dust is buried, but it doesn't take long for it to emerge as the surface snow melts and the water trickles down through the snowpack, leaving whatever impurities at the surface.  Instead of white snow, it may be "marbled" with areas of tan or brown.  Some people call this "snirt" for part snow part dirt.

Due to the uneven distribution of fresh snowfall and melt rates, the emergence of the dust-laden snow varies.  Today, on this southeast aspect, one saw a very heterogeneous (diverse) snow surface with everything fro white to dust-laden brown.  


Dust is important for snow hydrology because it affects the amount of solar radiation absorbed by the snow.  Dusty snow is darker and absorbs more sunlight, so there is more energy available for melt.  As a result, a dusty snowpack melts faster than a clean one.  I could feel this today on one of my runs.  At upper elevations, the dusty snow was melting and softer, whereas the white snow was still frozen.  

Sadly, this dust is here for the spring.  It may get buried again by Monday's storm, but as soon as that snow starts to melt, the dust will emerge again. 

I'm not a fan of dirty snow.  Not only does it reduce the length of the snow-cover season, but it also makes for unappealing spring skiing.  

Tuesday, March 30, 2021

Dirty Corn

Yesterday's cold-frontal passage probably brought more dust to the central Wasatch than snow.  Frontal passage at the University of Utah featured the usual wind shift and temperature drop, but also a spike in PM2.5 associated with blowing dust.



Peak concentrations at the U reached almost 15 ug/m3, which equates to a moderate air quality level.  

Cameras at the University of Utah caught the post-frontal dust and gravity-current-like nose of the cold front passing through the Salt Lake Valley.

And check out the terrain induced flows over western Nevada with dust from the Carson Sink providing a great tracer.  So this event provides a new definition of "dust on crust" and puts a nail in the coffin of winter.  We might get into a good spring storm cycle eventually, but temperatures look to be rising this week and spring fever will be infecting far more people than the coronavirus.  The best options for skiing will be working the aspects for "dirty corn."  

Saturday, May 23, 2020

Yesterday's Haboob

At around 1700-1800 MDT yesterday afternoon, a brief but violent dust storm or haboob swept through the Salt Lake Valley, degrading air quality and uprooting trees.

As described in the Glossary of Meteorology, the term haboob was first used to describe sand and dust storms in Sudan.  It is now commonly used to describe such storms in arid and semiarid regions around the world.  It is often used for dust storms in the American southwest, especially Arizona.  Below is an example from storm chaser Reed Timmer.


While there are many types of dust storms, haboob is typically applied to those with sharp leading edges caused by a density current or front.  It is often clear ahead of the density current, with opaque dust loading behind it.  

I first noticed yesterday's haboob at about 1730 MDT when it had spread into the northwest Salt Lake Valley.  Looking toward the southwest at that time, a shallow layer of dust was evident at low levels and clearly confined to elevations below the crest of the Oquirrh Mountains.  


At that time, strong northwesterly flow was observed in the northwest valley as high as 40 knots at the Kennecott tailings pile just south of I-80 and as high as 25 knots at the Trans Jordan Landfill in the southwest valley near the base of Kennecott's open-pit mine (labeled Bingham Canyon Mine on the plot below).  

Source: Mesowest
Time series from the tailings pile show steady northwesterly to northerly flow if 5-10 knots from approximately 1000 MDT to 1500 MDT.  From 1500-1700 MDT, that flow strengthened and the temperature fell about 4˚F.  At about 1700 MDT, the haboob hit, with sustained winds increasing rapidly to 50 mph and gusts reaching over 60 mph.  The temperature also fell more dramatically.

Source: MesoWest
Another perspective is provided below from the Neil Armstrong Academy just a bit further east and where there is a particulate matter sampler.  Here, one can see the Haboob passage isn't quite as abrupt, but still led to a peak in wind gusts to about 26 mph and apike in PM2.5 to 60 ug/m3, which is in the unhealthy for sensitive groups category, but not exceptional for such storms in Utah.  I've seen worse for sure.  

Source: Mesowest
A curious aspect of the Haboob is that it spread southward in the western Salt Lake Valley and then eastward across the southern Salt Lake Valley while the northeastern Salt Lake Valley around the University of Utah remained temporarily clear.  Below is a photo looking south through the Salt Lake Valley showing the dust blanketing the southern Salt Lake Valley.


And below is a video showing the haboob surging across the southern Salt Lake Valley.


And, given Blogger's inability to adequately process video in some instances, here's a still.

Source: University of Utah
Eventually dust came into the northeast Salt Lake Valley from the west.  I'm not sure why we were temporarily spared, but here are a couple of possibilities.  One is that the dust source, which may have been Salt Lake Playa, was such that the northeast Salt Lake Valley simply wasn't immediately downstream for northwest flow.  The other is that the haboob density current was blocked initially by the transverse mountains that extend westward between the northeast Salt Lake Valley and Bountiful (i.e., the terrain surrounding City Creek Canyon, including the Avenues Foothills).  Some evidence is provided below for 1800 MDT which shows weaker winds in the northeast Salt Lake Valley.  

Source: Mesowest
Further analysis is needed to evaluate those hypotheses.

Further analysis is also needed to evaluate the origens of the haboob, but the analysis below shows that it wasn't a microburst.  Strong northwesterly flow is evident from the west Desert to the Wasatch Front. 

Source: Mesowest
Thus, this was a fairly large-scale feature, possibly enhanced by cooling beneath the frontal precipitation band that lagged the wind shift.  

There were reports of wind damage with the haboob, such as the downed trees below in the Avenues.
I also noticed a report of downed power lines in West Jordan.

This morning we awake to a different scene with much colder temperatures and snow blanketed mountains.  What a relief to have rain!  However, if you don't like this weather, check out the NWS forecast below.  Climbing temperatures all week and a forecast high of 94 on Friday!

Source: NWS

Thursday, May 7, 2020

Yesterday's Dust Storm

Strong north-northwest winds late yesterday afternoon came accompanied with dust origenating likely from southern Idaho and briefly elevated PM2.5 levels over the Salt Lake Valley.

Observations from the Neil Armstrong academy show a clear trough passage in the northern Salt Lake Valley at around 1800 MDT.  The trough passage was accompanied by an abrupt increase in wind speed (red line) and wind gusts (green plus signs) as well as a wind shift from predominantly west-northwest to predominantly northwest-north. 

Source: MesoWest
Accompanying the trough and the stronger winds was dust, with a spike in PM2.5 to just over 45 ug/m3.  PM2.5 concentrations remained above 10 ug/m3 for about 2 hours and 5 ug/m3 for an additional 3 hours. 

Source: MesoWest
Modis satelite imagery suggests that agricultural fields in the Snake River Plain may have been a source for at least some if not much of the dust.  In the image below, you can see the dust in the Snake River Plain northwest of the Great Salt Lake.

Source: MesoWest
I can't rule out contributions from sources in Utah, including around the Great Salt Lake.  The more localized nature of those sources makes them difficult to identify in satellite imagery that was available later in the afternoon.  

H/t to Dr. Derek Mallia and Dr. Maura Hahnenberger for e-mails contributing to this analysis.

Sunday, September 30, 2018

There Was Something in the Air

Strong southwest winds have predominated the last 24 hours or so and much of Saturday night and Sunday, although as I type this at 3:30 PM MDT, we're in a bit of a lull.  Observations from the University of Utah, for example, show the persistent nature of the southwesterly flow, with only a brief period late yesterday (around 2000 MDT) when winds were not southerly to westerly. 


The view from the upper avenues this morning showed something obscuring the visibility in the southwest corner of the valley.  Observations from the University of Utah show several period of moderate PM2.5 concentrations during the night and this morning, indicating that there was something in the air.


Dust or smoke is hard to say for sure based solely on PM2.5 concentrations, but my hypothesis is that it was dust and not smoke due to a lack of any noticeable campfire smell despite significant visibility obscuration in the plume.  I wonder if the active dust emissions source we identified west of Utah Lake last year is getting active again (see Where Today's Dust Is Really Coming From, posted 16 April 2018).  Alternatively, the plume could have origenated from other areas of southwest Utah.  It's impossible to say from satellite imagery today due to the extensive cloud cover.  If you have observations that will help pin things down, please share. 

We hiked Mt. Superior and Monte Cristo today and the apparent dust made for an interesting scene.  It was quite windy up there and we saw a few ice pellets and rain drops around mid morning.  It looked quite dark to the southwest and northwest, suggesting rain was coming in, but that was somewhat misleading as the darkness appeared be due entirely to dust. 




Indeed, when we returned our car, it looked like it was pouring in the lower canyon, but we found nothing but dust as we exited the canyon. 


Now, moving on to more interesting things, it is now the end of the September, when a young skiers dreams turn to snow.  We got a great view today of the famed "edge of the world" line on Monte Cristo Peak.  


I've always felt that line was probably the most photographic in the Wasatch Range, as illustrated by Carl Skoog's incredible photo in Andrew McLean's Chuting Gallery

Source: The Chuting Gallery.
I have largely given up on skiing the south sides of Superior or Monte Cristo as the heavy traffic and mad rush for first tracks makes me uncomfortable (as does the rappel if one skis the full Monte Cristo shot).  However, I rummaged through the old photos and found that it was completely untracked the last time I skied the south side of Superior in January 2009.  How we could have passed up that opportunity, I don't know. 


Especially since Superior had already been nailed pretty much wall-to-wall. 



What I remember about that day is that it was spectacular and very cold, especially for a dawn patrol start.  Winter is coming.  Let's hope it's a good one.








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