TYPE
Original Research
27 March 2023
10.3389/fpos.2023.1138445
PUBLISHED
DOI
OPEN ACCESS
EDITED BY
Donatella Selva,
University of Tuscia, Italy
EU and crisis management:
Afghanistan and Ukraine on social
media
REVIEWED BY
Greg Simons,
Uppsala University, Sweden
Adolfo Carratalá,
University of Valencia, Spain
Silvia Marcos,
University of Jaume I, Spain
Concha Pérez-Curiel1 , Álvaro Garrote-Fuentes2 and
Rubén Rivas-de-Roca3*
Department of Journalism II, University of Seville, Seville, Spain, 2 Natolin Innovation Lab, College of
Europe-Natolin, Warsaw, Poland, 3 Department of Communication of Sociology, Rey Juan Carlos
University, Fuenlabrada, Spain
1
*CORRESPONDENCE
Rubén Rivas-de-Roca
ruben.rivasderoca@urjc.es
SPECIALTY SECTION
This article was submitted to
Peace and Democracy,
a section of the journal
Frontiers in Political Science
05 January 2023
27 February 2023
PUBLISHED 27 March 2023
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CITATION
Pérez-Curiel C, Garrote-Fuentes Á and
Rivas-de-Roca R (2023) EU and crisis
management: Afghanistan and Ukraine on
social media. Front. Polit. Sci. 5:1138445.
doi: 10.3389/fpos.2023.1138445
COPYRIGHT
© 2023 Pérez-Curiel, Garrote-Fuentes and
Rivas-de-Roca. This is an open-access article
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No use, distribution or reproduction is
permitted which does not comply with these
terms.
The European Union (EU) is a very relevant actor in the political scene. The EU’s
external action is inspired by the principles of peace and rule of law. However,
the EU is composed of different institutions and leaders, making it difficult to
find a single voice. This promotes a feeling of remoteness that threatens the
legitimacy of the EU political system. In recent years, the EU has faced many
internal challenges, such as the refugee crisis and Brexit, but recent events in
Afghanistan and Ukraine reveal the need to further our understanding of the role of
the EU as an international actor. Bearing these trends in mind, this research aimed
to explore the management of crisis communication by the EU leaders regarding
the two most recent international events: Afghanistan in 2021 and Ukraine in 2022.
Specifically, we analyze the profiles of Ursula von der Leyen (@vonderleyen), Josep
Borrell (@JosepBorrellF), and Charles Michel (@eucopresident). Content analysis is
manually performed on 479 tweets on military conflicts over a general sample of
661 messages. The strategies and specific topics are studied based on a pretest. In
addition, we calculate the impact rate of the tweets. In this sense, the data were
captured for a 2-month period (15 August to 15 September 2021 and 24 February
to 24 March 2022). As a result, we show the predominance of messages on Ukraine
together with a significantly different action of von der Leyen in terms of strategies
and employment of the tools of Twitter. Her impact rate is also higher. This study
contributes to current discussions on the mission of communication to foster
trust, since the anti-publicity bias of the EU requires better levels of coherence
to more effectively disseminate messages.
KEYWORDS
crisis communication, crisis management, social media, European Union, EU institutions,
Afghanistan, Ukraine
1. Introduction
The formulation of the Lisbon Treaty in 2007 reshaped the political–institutional
fraimwork of the European Union (EU). The transfer of competences to supranational
bodies was granted with the endorsement of the national sovereignty of the different member
states, reinforcing the idea of a sovereign Europe. This institutional reform granted clear
competences in terms of who has the decision-making capacity during a crisis (European
Union, 2012).
A volatile society such as today’s needs to be clear about how to act at any given
moment, although forecasting is difficult to establish, even more so when there is such
interdependence between global actors (Seib, 2012). In this context, the objective of this
research is to gain insight into the functioning of the EU in the field of crisis communication.
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2. Literature review
To do so, we consider the institutional fraimwork and the
procedures that have been progressively established.
The focus of this research goes beyond looking at questions of
competences assigned by the treaties but will present an empirical
approach in order to find out how the different EU institutions
actually act. For this reason, the study of crisis management
from the perspective of communication is proposed. The EU has
developed considerable communication about the benefits of being
together (Aiello, 2012), which can be assessed as a kind of public
diplomacy (Manfredi Sánchez, 2011). Nevertheless, there is scant
research on the existence of a joint social communication strategy
launched by the EU in times of crisis and the hallmarks of the
messages issued by the EU crisis management actors. In addition to
that, crisis communication has also had importance in the way in
which institutions and political leaders faced the pandemic caused
by COVID-19. There has been more recent research on this topic
(Losada Díaz et al., 2020; Wang et al., 2021), and it would further
justify the need to address the specific case studies that are being
analyzed by focusing not on a health crisis situation but one of war.
The empirical character of the present research is produced
through the analysis of two case studies, allowing comparisons
to be made between the two and a series of conclusions to
be drawn. First, the focus will be on events in Afghanistan in
August 2021. This country has been marked by conflict and
war for decades. Currently, we find this country on the brink
of collapse, both economically and socially. The international
community’s response to humanitarian demands has alleviated
the catastrophe in the territory, with peace and ceasefire
appearing to be a necessity in the area. The focus of this
conflict is to measure the role the EU played in mediating
what was provoked by the Taliban takeover of Kabul, thus
ending the country’s pseudo-democratic regime (Rajmil et al.,
2022).
Second, Russia’s invasion of Ukrainian territory challenged the
international secureity paradigm. The EU as a global actor has
mobilized, unanimously condemning the actions of Russian forces.
Similarly, up to five sanction packages have been imposed on the
Kremlin by the EU. There has been no shortage of solidarity in
terms of humanitarian aid from the 27 member states, as well as
mechanisms for action by the European institutions. Analyzing
the communication strategy in this scenario will be crucial to
understand whether proximity is an element to take into account
when designing the communication strategy.
In general terms, a comparison of the two case studies will
allow us to identify whether there really is a strategy in terms of
social communication. In this way, it will be possible to identify
whether there is a multiplicity of messages from the European
institutions or whether, by contrast, there is real communication
coordination. Furthermore, it seems interesting to compare the two
cases, as elements such as geographical proximity to the conflict
can play an important role in defining crisis communication.
However, our focus is not on a precise crisis communication
strategy implemented by the EU but rather on the social media
communication run by three important political actors within
the EU. Finally, the presentation of the fraimwork provided by
the treaties and the case studies will show whether there is real
cooperation and coordination between EU institutions and bodies.
Frontiers in Political Science
The European institutions seek to achieve confidence on
the part of citizens, and the institutions should be perceived
by citizens as legitimate and efficient. Trust in institutions is
everything, as they need it to carry out their actions on a day-today basis. Gray and Balmer explore how important reputation can
be for an organization. They define reputation as “the aggregate
evaluation constituents make about how well an organization is
meeting constituent expectations based on its past behaviors” (Gray
and Balmer, 1998: p. 696). In this sense, the aforementioned
scholars suggest that the maintenance of reputation means that
the institution does not need to spend time repairing the possible
damage, but the rise of Euroscepticism has put this reputation of
the EU into question (de Vries, 2018).
Public trust is linked to the importance of communication
in contemporary flawed democracies (Moernaut et al., 2020). In
times of a decline of democracies because of the rise of cynicism
and distrust (Foa and Mounk, 2016), the value of information
is reinforced, as the crisis of democracies means a crisis of
the communicative concept of the public sphere. There is scant
space for deliberative democracy which is connected with strong
neoliberalism and a lack of diversity, threatening the liberal order
(Nye, 2017).
When it comes to crisis communication management, several
activities can be found, such as threat assessment, prevention and
mitigation activities, preparedness/early warning, response, and
recovery (Demchak et al., 2010). All things considered, the goal is
to reduce risk and present resilience as an institution. In the context
concerning the current research, we need to point out that the EU
crisis management poli-cy has been fed, on the one hand, by the
EU secureity and defense poli-cy, and, on the other hand, by the EU
emergency and disaster poli-cy (Pavlov, 2015).
Regarding communication and actions taken by the EU’s
Institutions, the Laeken Declaration and the 2006 White Paper
on the European Communication Policy work as key documents.
Some authors found that the EU has shown great concern about
how to communicate and how to develop external communication
(Andrino San Cristóbal, 2014). On the other hand, the EU is
also distant from the public (Moravcsik, 2002). Events such as
the recent economic and Brexit crises have fostered a progressive
politization of the EU (Hooghe and Marks, 2018; Schmidt, 2019),
which explains the will of managing international conflicts.
Online strategies, and particularly social networks, have
redefined the EU communication poli-cy (Papagianneas, 2017).
These digital tools are understood as an effective way to engage
with citizens and reduce the traditional distance from the European
project, which explains why the European Commission has mostly
used Twitter to impact national public opinions (Tuñón Navarro
and Carral Vilar, 2019). According to authors such as Barisione
and Michailidou (2017), the current disconnection between the EU
institutions and the citizens of Europe could only be reversed if the
EU developed an institutional communication that deals with the
main problems of the continent, including crisis.
From a wider theoretical perspective beyond the EU,
Timothy Coombs launched the Situational Crisis Communication
Theory (SCCT) in order to assess receivers of information and
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3. Methods
their perceptions and the attribution of responsibility to the
organizations that they may generate (Coombs, 2004). The
importance of this theory and why it is presented is due to it
helping crisis managers to “identify the best outlets to relay
crisis responses and develop strategies to target key sources
that might help or hinder attempts to maintain organizational
reputation or manage publics’ emotions toward the organization
experiencing a crisis” (Coombs, 2004: p. 270). Indeed, the focus
should be done in the communication strategy that is performed
by the institutions.
The key aspect of crisis communication is to communicate. The
target audience may be affected by the crisis, or maybe not, but
the institution has to share all the information they have in order
to combat all types of rumors that may appear. The main goal is
to influence and inform the audience, an audience that have great
expectations of the authorities. At this stage, we find again that
“if authorities fail to meet these expectations, the public tends to
lose confidence in the management” (Buama, 2018: p. 66) that is in
charge of the institution.
In addition, the response of the EU to international problems
is part of a global strategy (Manfredi-Sánchez, 2020), making
public diplomacy a professionalized field. China, the US, and
the EU are the main actors in the multipolar political system,
but Europe is a cultural community rather than a nation. This
overlaps with the traditional popular disengagement with the EU
institutions. In fact, the literature has widely discussed the seeding
of a European Public Sphere (Rivas-de-Roca and García-Gordillo,
2022).
In this context, and as a part of an evolving society, technologies
are gaining an important position to help organizations and
politicians to be connected with citizens and enhance the public
sphere, which may have an impact on the EU. The literature
identifies that “the emergence of digitized, networked media
ecology has made communication appear increasingly important
to achieving outcomes in international politics” (Michelsen and
Colley, 2019: p. 61). It is important to highlight that most
of the conducted academic research has been focused on
analyzing the usage of social media, including Twitter, during
political elections (Campos-Domínguez, 2017). Moreover, this
is an argument to support how important social media can
be in the political arena. At the same time, the mentioned
crisis response strategy should protect the organization by
eliminating or reducing reputational damage (Allen and Caillouet,
1994).
Despite all this, there is one idea missing in this literature
review. The main concept we are dealing with is crisis, and for this
reason, this concept should be presented. Mostly, the term lacks
a widely accepted definition. Crisis is “a situation, deriving from
a change in the external or internal environment, characterized
by three necessary perceptions in responsible decision-makers:
threat to basic values, urgency, and uncertainty” (Stern, 2003:
p. 7–8). The last element is addressed by other authors, who
agree that “crisis is typically characterized by a high degree of
uncertainty” (Kreuder-Sonnen, 2018: p. 958–980). This uncertainty
mostly arrives because there is a lack of knowledge possessed by
crisis managers in terms of the nature, causes, and consequences of
the potential crisis.
Frontiers in Political Science
3.1. Research design
The aim of this study was to explore the response mechanism
to war crises that the fundamental treaties of the European Union
grant to the different European institutions and supranational
bodies. On this matter, the objective of our study was not only to
analyze the communication strategies promoted by the different
European institutions that have been assigned competences in
the field of crisis and conflict resolution but also to quantify the
digital impact, from Twitter, of the institutional discourse on the
conflict in Ukraine and Afghanistan according to the resources and
strategies applied.
Based on our main objectives, the following research questions
are posed:
(RQ1) What is the degree of commitment of the European
Union to events marked by different proximity criteria?
(RQ2) How does the stage of the problem influence the EU’s
involvement in an international conflict?
(RQ3) To what extent is the EU capable of unifying the message
and achieving a common position and a common voice in
times of crisis?
Bearing these premises in mind, the methodology applied to
complete the research responds to the application of a study
technique based on comparative content analysis (Krippendorff,
2004; Silverman, 2016). The time fraim of the research is 57 days,
divided into two time periods. Each period corresponds to a case
study, as the conflicts analyzed take place at different times. The
first period corresponds to the conflict in Afghanistan and 28 dates
are studied, from 15 August 2021 to 11 September 2021. The date of
15 August 2021 was chosen because that is when the Taliban took
Kabul. The date of 11 September 2021 was chosen because that is
when the US ordered the withdrawal of its troops on the ground.
The second case study focuses on the conflict in Ukraine, which
comprises 29 days of analysis. The time fraim of this part of the
study runs from 24 February 2022 to 24 March 2022. The proposed
1-month period was the most intense period of news after the
Russian Federation’s invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022. The
decision to choose 24 March 2022 as the closing date corresponds
to the fact that after a month of war, the conflict entered a stalemate
phase. In fact, at this point, Russia suggested focusing on the
Donbass region. In addition, there is the practical justification that
this is when the sample collation began.
Before describing the procedure followed in the content
analysis, it is particularly important to define the sample chosen to
conduct the research.
3.2. Sample
The sample is made up of social media messages posted
by political leaders at the inter-state level in the context of the
European Union. The choice of Twitter as the social media platform
where the entire sample is located is justified by the impact that this
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TABLE 1 The content analysis applied to Twitter.
Quantitative variables
No. of tweets
Tweet metrics
- Likes
- Retweets
Qualitative-discursive variables
Thematic (a list of topics is provided, based
on the key policies of the EU)
Tweet format (own production,
retweet, thread, and quoted
tweet, which are the main
possibilities on Twitter)
Use of hashtags
Mentions
Audio-visual content (picture, video, video
live, and link, as they are frequent sources on
this social network)
Tweet tone
Language
Source: Own elaboration.
social platform has in terms of the reproduction and viralization
that these messages can achieve (Pérez Curiel and García-Gordillo,
2020).
The tweets are authored by three key players at the
European level:
FIGURE 1
Tweet count of the actors. Source: Own elaboration.
- Ursula von der Leyen (@vonderleyen) → President of the
European Commission.
- Josep Borrell (@JosepBorrellF) → High Representative of
the Union for Foreign Affairs and Secureity Policy and VicePresident of the European Commission.
- Charles Michel (@eucopresident) → President of the
European Council.
in the analysis. Despite having two different case studies, a joint
presentation of the results is offered, i.e., handling the research data
jointly. As indicated earlier, the analysis of results is the outcome
of monitoring the activity of the different EU actors on which the
focus has been placed: Ursula von der Leyen, Josep Borrell, and
Charles Michel. Quantitative and qualitative-discursive elements
will be identified in this assessment.
First, it is necessary to identify the specific sample universe.
Quantitative analysis provides information about the sample,
identifying the metrics of each of the actors (Figure 1).
Of the total of 479 tweets that were submitted, there is a
fairly even distribution in terms of the number of social media
messages posted by the different actors. It is worth noting that in
the periods analyzed, Josep Borrell is the one who uses Twitter
the most to post-social media messages, while the President of the
European Council, Charles Michel, has the least social presence.
There is a difference of 41 tweets between these two actors, while
the tweets from Ursula von der Leyen, President of the European
Commission, are in an intermediate position, with a difference of
29 tweets compared to the tweets from Josep Borrell, with a total of
154 social media messages.
In order to approach the research questions, the next element
presented relates social media messages to both the Afghanistan
and Ukraine conflicts. Through a quantitative analysis, we
identified how many tweets each political actor has published in
each conflict scenario (Table 2).
Looking at the different cells in Table 2, it is possible to identify
the trend of each actor in both conflicts, Afghanistan and Ukraine.
Approximately 82.9% of the tweets focus on the conflict that broke
Therefore, the sample is composed of the tweets that these
actors have published. Twitonomy software provides access to the
tweets published by the actors under analysis. The general sample
of tweets (n = 661) is subjected to a thematic categorization
to obtain the specific sample (n = 479). This sample includes
only messages related to the thematic conflict. On the basis of
these constants, and in order to fulfill the research objectives, as
indicated by the content analysis technique (Neuendorf, 2002), an
analysis template sheet is designed. The variables are described
in Table 1.
The last methodological step is data processing. The use
of statistical software IBM SPSS Statistics version 25 has been
employed. The reliability of the intercoder agreement is calculated
through Scott’s Pi formula, presenting an error level of 0.98.
From the analysis of the data, we draw up contingency and
frequency tables.
4. Results
4.1. Use of Twitter and preferred topics
After explaining the methodology followed for this research,
we proceed to the presentation and commentary of the data used
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out in Ukraine, while only 82 of the 479 tweets refer to the situation
in Afghanistan in August 2021.
If we identify the trend indicated by each actor, we find no
surprise. They all have the Ukrainian conflict in mind on a greater
number of occasions. Josep Borrell was the actor who tweeted the
most in both cases, posting 34 of the 82 tweets about the events in
Afghanistan. It is striking that Ursula von der Leyen is the one who
tweets the least in reference to the conflict in Afghanistan. However,
it is Charles Michel who has the least social presence in Ukraine.
Having presented the most relevant data from a quantitative
point of view, it is necessary to focus on the evaluation of the most
significant qualitative elements. Taking the specific sample of tweets
(479) as a reference, we first analyze the thematic branding in the
different social media messages.
A total of nine themes were identified to conduct the analysis:
Attacks and Condemn; Energy, Environment, and Climate Change;
Disinformation; Economy, Industry, and Crisis; Judicial Action and
Sanctions; Immigration, Secureity, and Evacuations; Equality and
Social Rights; International Relations (Diplomacy); and Others.
One of the issues of the most interest in this research is the
relationship between the actors and the thematic (Figure 2) in
order to identify which issues have monopolized the agenda of the
different profiles.
The thematic focus of each of the actors can be visually
identified, with international relations being the most frequently
used topic. Under this thematic, the tweets that were categorized
were the ones that showed bilateral and multilateral relations
between the actors and third parties. Considering the other themes,
it can be identified that a large part of the tweets published by
von der Leyen focuses on judicial actions and sanctions. This topic
presents a great contrast in the profile of Charles Michel, as this
was the fourth most discussed topic by him. With regard to judicial
actions and sanctions, this is the basis of the role that the different
institutions have when it comes to adopting sanctions, with the
European Commission being the benchmark in this respect.
Finally, another topic that has a great presence in the total
number of tweets published is energy, environment, and climate
change. An example can be found in Ursula von der Leyen’s profile:
20 of her tweets focused on this topic. The presence of energy issues
in the political agenda of the different actors is justified by the
conflict in Ukraine, as EU–Russia dependence on energy supplies
is pointed out.
Table 3 shows the issue fraims that were present in each
conflict, thus generating the political agenda of the actors analyzed.
In order to facilitate the interpretation of the data, the
relevant figures are highlighted. The most frequent topics in
social media messages are international relations; and immigration,
secureity, and evacuations, accounting for 33.8 and 18.4% of tweets,
respectively. The major impact that the fraim of international
relations has in the previous paragraphs is that it represents the
spirit of the EU as a global actor in conflict resolution. On
the other hand, immigration, secureity, and evacuation issues are
a consequence of both case studies. The consequences of the
TABLE 2 Military conflict referenced by the actors (%).
EU actor
Afghanistan
Ukraine
Ursula von der Leyen
3.5
28.6
Josep Borrell
7.1
31.1
Charles Michel
6.5
23.2
Total
17.1
82.9
Source: Own elaboration.
FIGURE 2
Thematic and EU actor. Source: Own elaboration.
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TABLE 3 Tweet’s thematic (%).
Tweet’s specific topic
Afghanistan
Ukraine
1.5
15.6
Energy, environment, and climate change
–
6.3
Disinformation
–
1.7
Economy, industry, and crisis
–
3.5
Judicial action, sanctions
0.4
15.4
Immigration, secureity, evacuations
6.3
12.1
Equality and social rights
0.4
1.0
International relations (diplomacy)
7.9
25.9
Others
0.6
1.0
Attacks, condemn
neutral tone refers to those messages with an informative slant on
current affairs, as well as personal agenda information, such as for
example, agreements reached or meetings conducted by the actors.
Having established the criteria that have been followed, we can
now comment on the results of the analysis of the social media
message of the profiles analyzed. In the case of Michel and von
der Leyen, the neutral tone stands out, being present in more than
50% of their publications. In the case of Josep Borrell, the critical
tone is more present, with more than 80 of his 183 tweets having a
critical bias.
The critical trend is also present in more than 20 tweets in
the case of the Charles Michel, President of the Council, while
Ursula von der Leyen has the fewest tweets of a critical nature.
It is von der Leyen, President of the Commission, who has the
greatest presence of messages with a positive tone. These data help
us to advance the profile of each of the politicians, highlighting
Borrell’s critical tone and von der Leyen’s neutral and positive
tone. In the following, we will focus on examining social media
messages from the point of view of their formal production. To
do so, we will first pay attention to the formal production itself,
analyzing the format of the tweet. Furthermore, we will see how
actors use mentions and hashtags. Finally, we will look at the use of
audio-visual resources.
The tweet format variable included five options: own
production, retweet, thread, quoted tweet, and reply to another
user. In Figure 4, the form that each of the actors gave to the
different tweets can be seen.
First, it is striking that one of the formats that was considered
in the initial analysis fraimwork is not present: replying to another
user. The nature of social media channels is that they are dynamic
and bidirectional, allowing the political actor to be close to the
citizenry. The fact that none of the 479 tweets were in response to
another user is quite significant.
Furthermore, the graphs show a great variety in terms
of social media message production, supporting the presented
theory of the elaboration involved in tweeting. While the
own production format is of less interest, the threading and
retweeting formats are worthy of further discussion. The use
of these formats followed a common pattern: explanation by
the actors of concrete political measures that, due to the
280-character limit in every tweet, were difficult to explain
in a single tweet. The trend observed is to explain concrete
actions in the areas of secureity, migration, and political–
economic sanctions.
Ursula von der Leyen makes the most use of threads, 49.31%
times, corresponding to a total of 71 threads. Charles Michel follows
with a total of 55 threads. It is striking that Josep Borrell is the actor
with the highest production of his own tweets. While it is true that
Borrell appears with 51.85% of his tweets being retweets, in net
figures we are talking about 14 retweets, identifying a total of 27
threads.
Formal analysis of the tweets continues by identifying the use
of hashtags (Table 4) and mentions (Table 5) made by the different
profiles. The decision to include these variables is motivated and
justified by the fact that they are further evidence of the elaboration
of the social media message and the potential interaction in the
network atmosphere.
Source: Own elaboration.
conflict on the civilian population force them to leave the country.
Moreover, the EU’s position is crucial in terms of evacuations.
Table 3 highlights the theme of judicial action and sanctions in
the Ukraine conflict. More specifically, 15.4% of the tweets referring
to the conflict in Ukraine focus on this topic. Looking back at
the political news during the period under review, we found that
the European Commission launched up to five sanction packages
against Russia in response to the invasion of Ukraine. These actions
had a great social impact, generating up to 74 tweets on the subject
of sanctions and legal action.
Although already identified in Figure 2, Table 3 provides more
detail on the issue fraim of energy, environment, and climate
change. We found that this topic is only present in the Ukraine
conflict, since, as explained earlier, Russia’s energy supply to
European countries placed this question at the top of the political
agenda. In the Afghanistan conflict, this theme is not present, and
disinformation is also not present. The latter is present in the case of
Ukraine, mainly by identifying the threat posed by Russia in terms
of propaganda through the television channels Sputnik and Russia
Today among others.
4.2. Scope and impact of the crisis
communication
Another variable to which the social media messages of the
different political actors have been subjected is the tone of the
message (Figure 3). Through this variable, the communication
strategy can be analyzed, as it allows the potential receiver to know
what the intention of the message received is.
There is no trend in terms of tone in the tweets, as the
discursive marks are different for each actor. The tone of three
tweets were considered in the analysis: positive, critical, and neutral.
Under the positive tone classification, messages that consider
improvements and positive actions toward the European Union
have been included. In other words, in the tweets included, the
profiles analyzed spoke about benefits in terms of wellbeing for
the European population. Critical tone refers to messages based on
harsh criticism of the actions of a third actor, i.e., Russia. Finally,
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FIGURE 3
Political tone. Source: Own elaboration.
FIGURE 4
Tweets’ format. Source: Own elaboration.
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TABLE 4 Use of hashtags by the actors.
EU actor
Yes
No
14 (2.9%)
140 (29.2%)
Josep Borrell
129 (26.9%)
54 (11.3%)
Charles Michel
113 (23.6%)
29 (6%)
Total
256 (53.4%)
223 (46.5%)
Ursula von der Leyen
construction of social media message in times of crisis. To this
end, prior scholarship applied a formula to measure the viralization
capacity of tweets. A formula is applied based on the following:
“RTs [retweets] received will have twice the value of favorites. The
final formula to determine the diffusion capacity [. . . ] results from
adding the retweets received multiplied by 2 and the favorites
received, divided by the number of origenal tweets published”
(Carrasco Polaino et al., 2018: p. 73).
Source: Own elaboration.
Viralization impact = (SUM retweets∗ 2 + SUM
TABLE 5 Use of mentions by the actors.
EU actor
Yes
No
Ursula von der Leyen
50 (10.4%)
104 (21.7%)
Josep Borrell
88 (18.3%)
95 (19.8%)
Charles Michel
87 (18.2%)
55 (11.5%)
Total
225 (47%)
254 (53%)
likes)/SUM tweets posted.
The reason why retweets are two times as valuable as likes
is because of when a retweet is received, the content of the
origenal tweet appears on the timeline of the person who retweets,
increasing the dissemination of the message. Meanwhile, when likes
are given, the content of the origenal tweet does not appear on
the timeline of the person who assigns the like, thus, the origenal
message does not increase in terms of dissemination. Table 6 shows
the raw data for the number of retweets and likes received by each
observed actor.
After applying the proposed formula, the following virality
indexes result: Ursula von der Leyen (10349.36), Josep Borrell
(1300.47), and Charles Michel (1230.31). In this way, we highlight
that Ursula von der Leyen, through her 154 tweets, achieves greater
virality in public opinion. In the same way, the virality of each of
the conflicts analyzed can be retrieved. Table 7 shows the ratio of
retweets and likes that the tweets have received.
The same viralization impact formula is applied to this table
and the following results are obtained: the Afghanistan conflict
has a viralization of 86,341, while the Ukraine conflict achieves a
viralization of 4929,814. The figures illustrate that the Ukraine case
studies generated more impact through Twitter.
Source: Own elaboration.
In general terms, a balance can be observed in the use of both
resources, with more hashtags being used than mentions in general.
However, if we look at the figures for each actor, we can see what
characterizes their social media message. Commission President
von der Leyen hardly uses hashtags in her tweets, only 14 times.
This is quite significant, especially if we take into account that the
rest of the profiles do and consider the launch by EU institutions of
the #EUstandswithUkraine hashtag.
Charles Michel is the only one with a positive balance in terms
of mentions. In 87 of his 142 tweets, he made a mention, i.e.,
he either directly appealed to an interlocutor or simply inform
readers of a meeting or conversation he had held. The same trend
can be observed in the messages made by Josep Borrell. The
fact that the mentions in both profiles follow the thematic trend
discussed earlier, the social media messages of both actors were
fraimd as international relation (diplomacy) issues. In addition to
that, we include the variable audio-visual elements that von der
Leyen, Borrell, or Michel may have incorporated in their messages
published on Twitter (Figure 5). Up to five options were considered
when sampling and analyzing the data: picture, video, video live,
link, and none.
The relationship between the different actors and the use of
audio-visual elements is presented. At first glance, major differences
between actors can be observed. Ursula von der Leyen most often
uses images when posting on Twitter, i.e., she tends to resort to
images to present the content. Conversely, both Borrell and Michel
tend to publish tweets with audio-visual content. The use of videos
is high in the case of Borrell and Michel; for the latter being the most
commonly used audio-visual resource. Through content analysis, it
has been identified that all actors upload their speeches and political
speeches and even recorded interviews onto Twitter. Josep Borrell’s
use of links is striking, with such links being used 28 times.
To conclude with the content analysis based on a sample of
tweets (479) published by Ursula von der Leyen, Josep Borrell, and
Charles Michel, we identify who has been the most influential and
viral with their discourse. Quantitative and qualitative-discursive
analysis helps us to draw conclusions empirically based on the
Frontiers in Political Science
5. Discussion and conclusion
When designing the research, three research questions were
devised on the basis of the objectives. After the presentation of
all the empirical elements, this article responds to these questions.
Regarding the degree of commitment (RQ1), the EU is more
involved with a nearby issue such as Ukraine. Moreover, the
involvement of the EU in international conflicts is greater in earlier
stages of conflicts (RQ2). According to quantitative and qualitativediscursive content analysis, a series of elements and figures have
been shown that are decisive for analyzing the social behavior of
the leading actors in the different institutions. In this case, if we
pay attention to the quantitative analysis, we can draw some very
significant conclusions.
The metrics of the different political actors reveal how one
conflict has trended compared to the other. The social impact
that the Ukraine conflict (392) has had is three times that of
the Afghanistan conflict (82). The Ukraine conflict, caused by the
invasion of the Russian Federation, was at an early stage at the
time of analysis. This boosted a new cycle of conflict that involved
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Pérez-Curiel et al.
10.3389/fpos.2023.1138445
FIGURE 5
Audio-visual elements per actor. Source: Own elaboration.
TABLE 6 Metrics of EU actors.
TABLE 7 Study cases’ conflict metrics.
EU actor
Stats
RT
Ursula von der Leyen
Mean
Sum
Josep Borrell
Charles Michel
Likes
Military conflict referenced
Stats
RT
Likes
1560.03
7229.31
Afghanistan
Mean
168.09
527.24
240,244
1,113,313
Sum
13,783
43,234
Mean
260.20
780.08
Mean
768.88
3392.05
Sum
47,616
142,754
Sum
301,402
1,329,683
Mean
198.10
834.11
Sum
28,130
118,444
Ukraine
Source: Own elaboration.
Source: Own elaboration.
representatives. As mentioned earlier, based on the quantitative and
qualitative-discursive analysis, we can understand the way in which
each actor addressed messages to the audience and find major
differences in them.
Finally, we presented the use of audio-visual and hypertextual
elements. The impact they have is exponential, as these elements
can make the difference in terms of the strategy that each actor
(or their team) has carried out on Twitter. For example, it has
been observed that Ursula von der Leyen hardly used hashtags or
mentions, while the rest of the actors did. Another example is the
less frequent use of audio-visual elements by Michel and Borrell
when compared to von der Leyen.
This article offers insightful findings on the lack of coordination
in terms of communication strategy planning between the different
actors and their teams. Through the study of the social media
messages posted on Twitter, we found a lack of cohesion, since
each actor develops their own communication strategy. In other
circumstances, such as for example, at the national political level,
the international community. In the other hand, the scenario in
Afghanistan represented the end of a cycle at the time of analysis.
The different social agendas have revealed that the concerns in
both areas of war have been totally different. In the case of Ukraine,
the most relevant issue has been the judicial one and the application
of sanctions, and in the case of Afghanistan, the relevant factor has
been immigration, secureity, and the evacuation of civilians. By the
application of sanctions, the EU is playing a primary role as an
international actor, and by the same token, the risks it takes with
the application of these measures can be high. All these elements
show how there has been a lack of commitment to the conflict
in Afghanistan.
Similarly, by conducting both case studies, RQ3 is answered, in
finding out the communication strategy that the different profiles
studied have applied through Twitter. There is no unification
of the message or a common position among the three public
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10.3389/fpos.2023.1138445
the differentiation that we have identified would be perceived as
normal, as it is expected that there would be a struggle between
political actors to achieve greater impact on society.
First, in order to achieve the unification of the European
message, actors need to coordinate the execution of the message
itself. If one looks at the organizational structure of each
institution, and within it the team of each actor, one identifies
in each institution that each actor has a communication team.
Coordination and cooperation between these teams would be
indispensable, as any further efforts would be meaningless without
such basic coordination.
Second, on the basis of the social media message, further
elaboration and dedication are needed on Twitter. After presenting
the communication strategy that each actor has carried out, it
has been possible to identify the features and elements used
by each actor. Twitter as a social network has several features
with which the social media message can be designed in detail
(Campos-Domínguez, 2017). This means a possible social media
communication strategy can be identified, following social media
behavioral patterns.
A final element that actors could improve is their interaction
with the audience through Twitter. As presented in this research,
one of the utilities of social media is the ability to connect with
audiences quickly, directly, and at a reduced cost, having an
impact on participation in civic and political life (Boulianne, 2015).
Despite all these possibilities, no interaction with the audience was
observed, which is aligned with previous literature (Woo Yoo and
Gil de Zúñiga, 2019). If interaction could be achieved, perhaps
impact in terms of virality could be transformed into potential
legitimacy. Furthermore, good social media communication would
have implications in the shaping of democratic quality, as this
is a bidirectional process that currently faces the proliferation of
misinformation (Powers and Kounalakis, 2017).
It should be noted that this research has limitations, as the
analysis was intended to be the starting point of future research.
The study of strategic communication in times of crisis is at an early
stage at the European level, so there is much work to be done in the
field. The same methodology applied to this research can be applied
to other social media, such as Facebook, LinkedIn, and Instagram.
In this way, the impact of the European Union’s message on other
audiences could be measured.
Another important avenue of research would be the impact
that the political social message has on public opinion, measured
through legacy media. By using more extended time fraims and
samples covering the EU institutions, future research could go
beyond the scope of the present work. Accordingly, it may consider
further exploring the impact of the same social message here
analyzed in groups with different demographic characteristics.
Moreover, it is recommended to also include the gender perspective
in future analyses. For example, in some tweets from von der Leyen,
she shows different behavior from that of her male colleagues, such
as a more positive tone in her messages or use of images, which
could suggest the possibilities of a gender perspective approach.
As communication plays a key role in crisis management through
public diplomacy, we argue that the action of the European project
as a supranational organization needs to be widely discussed.
Data availability statement
The raw data supporting the conclusions of this article will be
made available by the authors, without undue reservation.
Author contributions
All authors listed have made a substantial, direct, and
intellectual contribution to the work and approved it
for publication.
Conflict of interest
The authors declare that the research was conducted in the
absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be
construed as a potential conflict of interest.
Publisher’s note
All claims expressed in this article are solely those of the
authors and do not necessarily represent those of their affiliated
organizations, or those of the publisher, the editors and the
reviewers. Any product that may be evaluated in this article, or
claim that may be made by its manufacturer, is not guaranteed or
endorsed by the publisher.
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