It was an enormous surprise 4 years ago when Trump was elected. Another surprise was that this was predicted by Michael Moore. Btw Moore is again warning not to count our chickens before they hatch.
What then arose was a need to explain this. After a little research I thought I had discovered reasonable explanations:- The elephant curve, that middle America was either making no progress or going backwards economically. They were angry and voted for an angry outsider from the political establishment, Trump.
- The Democrat candidate, Hilary, was a pathetic self serving liberal who promoted identity politics and eschewed class politics.
At the time I felt Michael Hudson was on the right track in calling for a break up of the Democratic Party. His analysis, along with the late David Graeber, identified the central problem that both Parties were and are captive to Wall Street.
Over those four years as a casual, part time observer of American politics I felt those two explanations were sufficient to explain what was going on.
Four years later, is there a need to update this analysis? I have been searching and now think I know a little more.
Russia gate, based on flimsy evidence, was a failure of the Democrats to face the main reason why they lost, namely that their candidate and policies served the elite and would not improve the situation of middle America.
BLM is a race based movement with some legitimate claims but does not clearly identify the key issue in America, namely, the dire economic situation of the growing precariat.
China. Niall Ferguson, when interviewed by Coleman Hughes, identified the main good thing that Trump has done: clearly identified China as a real and growing danger to the world
Joe Biden is in cognitive decline and his political history shows he is either a scumbag (eg. with regard to the whistle blowers Snowden and Assange) or a non entity. The Democrats could have appointed a moderate reformer like Bernie Sanders. They chose not to which indicates they have learnt nothing new of value over the past 4 years.
The Lincoln Project, Republicans who are anti Trump, do make occasional entertaining videos but are dishonest in the way they promote Biden.
Institutions such as the New York Times and Universities have by and large been taken over by the woke movement who believe such things as:- Democrats lost last time because of Russian interference
- Russia remains an existential threat to US democracy
- Free speech has some importance but anti racism is far more important
- Only fascists, nazis, white supremists, terrorists and racists support Trump
- Assange belongs in prison because he helped Trump last time
Now the social media giants (twitter, facebook) have yielded to the pressure and are censoring their feed in support of Biden. The fearless, free press, where is it?
The culture war against a main stream media that has long stopped trying to tell the truth will have to go on whoever wins the election.
There are people in America, outside the main stream media, who make sense to me. I describe them as just informed citizens, of varying political allegiance, who have the blinkers off, are passionate about finding the truth and have growing numbers of supporters. Here are some of their names: Michael Hudson, Glen Loury, Coleman Hughes, John McWhorter, Glen Greenwald, Niall Ferguson, Matt Taibbi, Joe Rogan
The current choice, in the words of Matt Taibbi and Katie Halper, is between one bowl of shit and two bowls of shit. Coleman Hughes is supporting Joe Biden since he feels it might lead to a less deranged left wing as opposed to a more deranged left wing (if Trump wins). Take your pick.
If you think the above is on the right track and want to hear it better argued then watch this interview of Glen Greenwald by Joe Rogan: