References contributed by neely-23866
Allen, Franklin, and Risto Karjalainen. 1999. “Using Genetic Algorithms to Find Technical Trading Rules.†Journal of Financial Economics, 51(2): 245–71. Allen, Helen L., and Mark P. Taylor. 1990. “Charts, Noise and Fundamentals in the London Foreign Exchange Market.†Economic Journal, 100(400): 49–59.
- Allen, Helen L., and Mark P. Taylor. 1992. “Chartist Analysis.†In The New Palgrave Dictionary of Money and Finance, ed. Peter Newman, Murray Milgate, and John Eatwell. London: Macmillan, 339–42.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Andersen, Torben G., Tim Bollerslev, Francis X. Diebold, and Clara Vega. 2003. “Micro Effects of Macro Announcements: Real-Time Price Discovery in Foreign Exchange.†American Economic Review, 93(1): 38–62.
- Bank for International Settlements. 2005. Triennial Central Bank Survey: Foreign Exchange and Derivatives Market Activity in April 2004. Basel: Bank for International Settlements.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Barberis, Nicholas, Andrei Shleifer, and Robert W. Vishny. 1998. “A Model of Investor Sentiment.†Journal of Financial Economics, 49(3): 307–43.
Benartzi, Shlomo, and Richard H. Thaler. 1995. “Myopic Loss Aversion and the Equity Premium Puzzle.†Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110(1): 73–92.
- Bhanumurthy, N. R. 2004. “Microstructures in the Indian Foreign Exchange Market.†Unpublished.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Blume, Lawrence, David Easley, and Maureen O’Hara. 1994. “Market Statistics and Technical Analysis: The Role of Volume.†Journal of Finance, 49(1): 153–81.
Brock, William, Josef Lakonishok, and Blake LeBaron. 1992. “Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns.†Journal of Finance, 47(5): 1731–64.
- Brown, David P., and Robert H. Jennings. 1989. “On Technical Analysis.†Review of Financial Studies, 2(4): 527–51.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Campbell, John Y., Andrew W. Lo, and A. Craig MacKinlay. 1996. The Econometrics of Financial Markets. Princeton: Princeton University Press. Chaboud, Alain, and Blake LeBaron. 2001. “Foreign- Exchange Trading Volume and Federal Reserve Intervention.†Journal of Futures Markets, 21(9): 851–60.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Chang, P. H. Kevin, and Carol L. Osler. 1999. “Methodical Madness: Technical Analysis and the Irrationality of Exchange-Rate Forecasts.†Economic Journal, 109(458): 636–61.
Charlebois, Maxime, and Stephen G. Sapp. 2007. “Temporal Patterns in Foreign Exchange Returns and Options.†Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 39(2–3): 443–47.
- Cheung, Yin-Wong, and Clement Yuk-Pang Wong. 1999. “Foreign Exchange Traders in Hong Kong, Tokyo, and Singapore: A Survey Study.†In Advances in Pacific Basin Financial Markets, Volume 5, ed. T. Bos and T. A. Fetherston. Stamford, Conn.: JAI Press, 111–34.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Cheung, Yin-Wong, and Clement Yuk-Pang Wong. 2000. “A Survey of Market Practitioners’ Views on Exchange Rate Dynamics.†Journal of International Economics, 51(2): 401–19.
Cheung, Yin-Wong, and Menzie D. Chinn. 2001. “Currency Traders and Exchange Rate Dynamics: A Survey of the US Market.†Journal of International Money and Finance, 20(4): 439–71.
Cheung, Yin-Wong, Menzie D. Chinn, and Antonio Garcia Pascual. 2005. “Empirical Exchange Rate Models of the Nineties: Are Any Fit to Survive?†Journal of International Money and Finance, 24(7): 1150–75.
Cheung, Yin-Wong, Menzie D. Chinn, and Ian W. Marsh. 2004. “How Do UK-Based Foreign Exchange Dealers Think Their Market Operates?†International Journal of Finance and Economics, 9(4): 289–306.
Clarida, Richard H., and Mark P. Taylor. 1997. “The Term Structure of Forward Exchange Premiums and the Forecastability of Spot Exchange Rates: Correcting the Errors.†Review of Economics and Statistics, 79(3): 353–61.
Clarida, Richard H., Lucio Sarno, Mark P. Taylor, and Giorgio Valente. 2003. “The Out-of-Sample Success of Term Structure Models as Exchange Rate Predictors: A Step Beyond.†Journal of International Economics, 60(1): 61–83.
Clyde, William C., and Carol L. Osler. 1997. “Charting: Chaos Theory in Disguise?†Journal of Futures Markets, 17(5): 489–514.
- Cochrane, John H. 2005. Asset Pricing: Revised Edition. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Cornell, W. Bradford, and J. Kimball Dietrich. 1978. “The Efficiency of the Market for Foreign Exchange under Floating Exchange Rates.†Review of Economics and Statistics, 6(1): 111–20.
Cornell, W. Bradford, and Richard Roll. 1981. “Strategies for Pairwise Competitions in Markets and Organizations.†Bell Journal of Economics, 12(1): 201–13.
- Curcio, Riccardo, and Charles Goodhart. 1993.“Chartism: A Controlled Experiment.†Journal of International Securities Markets, 7: 173–86.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Curcio, Riccardo, Charles Goodhart, Dominique Guillaume, and Richard Payne. 1997. “Do Technical Trading Rules Generate Profits? Conclusions from the Intra-day Foreign Exchange Market.†International Journal of Finance and Economics, 2(4): 267–80.
Dacorogna, Michael M., Ramazan Gencay, Ulrich A. Mueller, Richard B. Olsen, and Olivier V. Pictet. 2001. An Introduction to High-Frequency Finance. San Diego: Academic Press.
- De Grauwe, Paul, and Danny Decupere. 1992. “Psychological Barriers in the Foreign Exchange Market.†Journal of International and Comparative Economics, 1(2): 87–101.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- De Grauwe, Paul, and Marianna Grimaldi. 2006a. “Exchange Rate Puzzles: A Tale of Switching Attractors.†European Economic Review, 50(1): 1–33.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- De Grauwe, Paul, and Marianna Grimaldi. 2006b. The Exchange Rate in a Behavioral Finance Framework. Princeton and Oxford: Princeton University Press.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- De Long, J. Bradford, Andrei Shleifer, Lawrence H. Summers, and Robert J. Waldmann. 1990. “Noise Trader Risk in Financial Markets.†Journal of Political Economy, 98(4): 703–38.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Deutsche Bank. 2005. Currency Alpha: An Investor’s Guide. London: Deutsche Bank, AG.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Dewachter, Hans, and Marco Lyrio. 2005. “The Economic Value of Technical Trading Rules: A Nonparametric Utility-Based Approach.†International Journal of Finance and Economics, 10(1): 41–62.
Dewachter, Hans. 1997. “Sign Predictions of Exchange Rate Changes: Charts as Proxies for Bayesian Inferences.†Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 133(1): 39–55.
Dewachter, Hans. 2001. “Can Markov Switching Models Replicate Chartist Profits in the Foreign Exchange Market?†Journal of International Money and Finance, 20(1): 25–41.
- Dominguez, Kathryn M. E. 2003. “The Market Microstructure of Central Bank Intervention.†Journal of International Economics, 59(1): 25–45.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Dominguez, Kathryn M. E., and Freyan Panthaki. 2006. “What Defines ‘News’ in Foreign Exchange Markets?†Journal of International Money and Finance, 25(1): 168–98.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Donaldson, R. Glen, and Harold Y. Kim. 1993. “Price Barriers in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.†Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 28(3): 313–30.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Dooley, Michael P., and Jeffrey R. Shafer. 1976. “Analysis of Short-Run Exchange Behavior: March, 1993 to September, 1975.†Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, International Finance Discussion Papers, no. 123.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Dooley, Michael P., and Jeffrey R. Shafer. 1983. “Analysis of Short-Run Exchange Rate Behaviour: March 1973 to November 1981.†In Exchange Rate and Trade Instability, ed. David Bigman and Teito Taya. Cambridge, Mass: Ballinger, 43–69.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Dueker, Michael, and Christopher J. Neely. 2007. “Can Markov Switching Models Predict Excess Foreign Exchange Returns?†Journal of Banking and Finance, 31(2): 279–96.
Easley, David, Maureen O’Hara, and P. S. Srinivas. 1998. “Option Volume and Stock Prices: Evidence on Where Informed Traders Trade.†Journal of Finance, 53(2): 431–65.
Engel, Charles, and James D. Hamilton. 1990. “Long Swings in the Dollar: Are They in the Data and Do Markets Know It?†American Economic Review,80(4): 689–713.
- Evans, Martin D. D., and Richard K. Lyons. 2002. “Order Flow and Exchange Rate Dynamics.†Journal of Political Economy, 110(1): 170–80.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Evans, Martin D. D., and Richard K. Lyons. 2005a. “Do Currency Markets Absorb News Quickly?†Journal of International Money and Finance, 24(2): 197–217.
- Evans, Martin D. D., and Richard K. Lyons. 2005b. “Meese–Rogoff Redux: Micro-based Exchange-Rate Forecasting.†American Economic Review, 95(2): 405–14.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Fama, Eugene F. 1970. “Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work.†Journal of Finance, 25(2): 383–417.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Fama, Eugene F. 1998. “Market Efficiency, Long-Term Returns, and Behavioral Finance.†Journal of Financial Economics, 49(3): 283–306.
- Fama, Eugene F., and Kenneth R. French. 1996. “Multifactor Explanations of Asset Pricing Anomalies.†Journal of Finance, 51(1): 55–84.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Farmer, J. Doyne, and Shareen Joshi. 2002. “The Price Dynamics of Common Trading Strategies.†Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 49(2): 149–71.
Fiess, Norbert M., and Ronald MacDonald. 1999. “Technical Analysis in the Foreign Exchange Market: A Cointegration-Based Approach.†Multinational Finance Journal, 3(3): 147–72.
Fiess, Norbert M., and Ronald MacDonald. 2002. “Towards the Fundamentals of Technical Analysis: Analysing the Information Content of High, Low and Close Prices.†Economic Modelling, 19(3): 353–74.
- Flood, Robert P., and Andrew K. Rose. 1995. “Fixing Exchange Rates: A Virtual Quest for Fundamentals.†Journal of Monetary Economics, 36(1): 3–37.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Frankel, Jeffrey A., and Andrew K. Rose. 1995. “Empirical Research on Nominal Exchange Rates.†In Handbook of International Economics, Volume 3, ed. G. M. Grossman and K. Rogoff. Handbooks in Economics, vol. 3. Amsterdam; New York and Oxford: Elsevier, North-Holland, 1689–1729.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Frankel, Jeffrey A., and Kenneth A. Froot. 1986. “Understanding the U.S. Dollar in the Eighties: The Expectations of Chartists and Fundamentalists.†Economic Record, 0(0): 24–38.
- Frankel, Jeffrey A., and Kenneth A. Froot. 1990a. “Chartists, Fundamentalists and the Demand for Dollars.†In Private Behaviour and Government Policy in Interdependent Economies, ed. A. S. Courakis and M. P. Taylor. Oxford; New York; Toronto and Melbourne: Oxford University Press, Clarendon Press, 73–126.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Frankel, Jeffrey A., and Kenneth A. Froot. 1990b. “Chartists, Fundamentalists, and Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market.†American Economic Review, 80(2): 181–85.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Frenkel, Michael, and Georg Stadtmann. 2004. “Trading Rule Profitability and Central Bank Interventions in the Dollar–Deutschmark Market.†Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, 224(6): 653–72.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Friedman, Milton. 1953. “The Case for Flexible Exchange Rates.†In Essays in Positive Economics. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 157–203.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Froot, Kenneth A., and Takatoshi Ito. 1989. “On the Consistency of Short-Run and Long-Run Exchange Rate Expectations.†Journal of International Money and Finance, 8(4): 487–510.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Gehrig, Thomas, and Lukas Menkhoff. 2004. “The Use of Flow Analysis in Foreign Exchange: Exploratory Evidence.†Journal of International Money and Finance, 23(4): 573–94.
Gehrig, Thomas, and Lukas Menkhoff. 2006. “Extended Evidence on the Use of Technical Analysis in Foreign Exchange.†International Journal of Finance and Economics, 11(4): 327–38.
Gencay, Ramazan, Michael M. Dacorogna, Richard B. Olsen, and Olivier V. Pictet. 2003. “Foreign Exchange Trading Models and Market Behavior.†Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 27(6): 909–35.
Gencay, Ramazan. 1999. “Linear, Non-linear and Essential Foreign Exchange Rate Prediction with Simple Technical Trading Rules.†Journal of International Economics, 47(1): 91–107.
- Gigerenzer, Gerd, and Peter M. Todd. 1999. “Fast and Frugal Heuristics: The Adaptive Toolbox.†In Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart, ed. Gerd Gigerenzer, Peter M. Todd, and the ABC Research Group. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 3–37.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Goodhart, Charles, and Riccardo Curcio. 1992. “When Support/Resistance Levels Are Broken, Can Profits Be Made? Evidence from the Foreign Exchange Market.†Financial Markets Group Discussion Paper, no. 142.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Goodhart, Charles. 1988. “The Foreign Exchange Market: A Random Walk with a Dragging Anchor.†Economica, 55(220): 437–60.
Goodman, Stephen H. 1979. “Foreign Exchange Rate Forecasting Techniques: Implications for Business and Policy.†Journal of Finance, 34(2): 415–27.
Griffin, John M., Jeffrey H. Harris, and Selim Topaloglu. 2003. “The Dynamics of Institutional and Individual Trading.†Journal of Finance, 58(6): 2285–2320.
Grinblatt, Mark, Sheridan Titman, and Russ Wermers. 1995. “Momentum Investment Strategies, Portfolio Performance, and Herding: A Study of Mutual Fund Behavior.†American Economic Review, 85(5): 1088–1105.
- Grinold, Richard C., and Ronald N. Kahn. 2000. Active Portfolio Management: A Quantitative Approach for Producing Superior Returns and Controlling Risk. New York: McGraw-Hill.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Grossman, Sanford J., and Joseph E. Stiglitz. 1980. “On the Impossibility of Informationally Efficient Markets.†American Economic Review, 70(3): 393–408.
- Group of Thirty. 1985. The Foreign Exchange Market in the 1980s. New York: Group of Thrity.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Hellwig, Martin F. 1982. “Rational Expectations Equilibrium with Conditioning on Past Prices: A Mean–Variance Example.†Journal of Economic Theory, 26(2): 279–312.
- Henderson, Callum. 2002. Currency Strategy: The Practitioner’s Guide to Currency Investing, Hedging and Forecasting. Hoboken, N.J.: John Wiley and Sons.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Hommes, Cars. 2005. “Heterogeneous Agent Models in Economics and Finance.†Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper, no. 056.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Hsu, Po-Hsuan, and Chung-Ming Kuan. 2005. “Reexamining the Profitability of Technical Analysis with Data Snooping Checks.†Journal of Financial Econometrics, 3(4): 606–28.
- Ito, Takatoshi, Richard K. Lyons, and Michael T. Melvin. 1998. “Is There Private Information in the Fx Market? The Tokyo Experiment.†Journal of Finance, 53(3): 1111–30.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Ito, Takatoshi. 1990. “Foreign Exchange Rate Expectations: Micro Survey Data.†American Economic Review, 80(3): 434–49.
- Jegadeesh, Narasimhan, and Sheridan Titman. 2001. “Profitability of Momentum Strategies: An Evaluation of Alternative Explanations.†Journal of Finance, 56(2): 699–720.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Kavajecz, Kenneth A., and Elizabeth R. Odders-White. 2004. “Technical Analysis and Liquidity Provision.†Review of Financial Studies, 17(4): 1043–71.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Kho, Bong-Chan. 1996. “Time-Varying Risk Premia, Volatility, and Technical Trading Rule Profits: Evidence from Foreign Currency Futures Markets.†Journal of Financial Economics, 41(2): 249–90.
Kilian, Lutz, and Mark P. Taylor. 2003. “Why Is It So Difficult to Beat the Random Walk Forecast of Exchange Rates?†Journal of International Economics, 60(1): 85–107.
- Kozhan, Roman, and Mark Salmon. 2006. “On the Predictability of Tick by Tick Exchange Rates Using the Structure of the Order Book.†Unpublished.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- LeBaron, Blake, 2001. “Empirical Regularities from Interacting Long- and Short-Memory Investors in an Agent-Based Stock Market.†IEEE Transactions on Evolutionary Computation, 5(5): 442–55.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
LeBaron, Blake. 1999. “Technical Trading Rule Profitability and Foreign Exchange Intervention.†Journal of International Economics, 49(1): 125–43.
- LeBaron, Blake. 2000. “Technical Trading Profitability in Foreign Exchange Markets in the 1990’s. Unpublished.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Lee, Chun I., and Ike Mathur. 1996. “Trading Rule Profits in European Currency Spot Cross-Rates.†Journal of Banking and Finance, 20(5): 949–62.
Levich, Richard M. 1985. “Empirical Studies of Exchange Rates: Price Behaviour, Rate Determination and Market Efficiency.†In Handbook of International Economics, Volume 2, ed. Ronald W. Jones and Peter B. Keenen. Amsterdam: North-Holland, 979–1040.
- Levich, Richard M., and Lee R. Thomas III. 1993. “The Significance of Technical Trading-Rule Profits in the Foreign Exchange Market: A Bootstrap Approach.†Journal of International Money and Finance, 12(5): 451–74.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Lewellen, Jonathan, Stefan Nagel, and Jay Shanken. 2006. “A Skeptical Appraisal of Asset-Pricing Tests.†NBER Working Papers, no. 12360.
Lewis, Karen K. 1999. “Trying to Explain Home Bias in Equities and Consumption.†Journal of Economic Literature, 37(2): 571–608.
Lillo, Fabrizio, and J. Doyne Farmer. 2004. “The Long Memory of the Efficient Market.†Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, 8(3): 1–33.
Lo, Andrew W., Harry Mamaysky, and Jiang Wang. 2000. “Foundations of Technical Analysis: Computational Algorithms, Statistical Inference, and Empirical Implementation.†Journal of Finance, 55(4): 1705–65.
- Logue, Dennis E., and Richard James Sweeney. 1977. “‘White-Noise’ in Imperfect Markets: The Case of the Franc/Dollar Exchange Rate.†Journal of Finance, 32(3): 761–68.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Logue, Dennis E., Richard James Sweeney, and Thomas W. Willett. 1978. “Speculative Behaviour of Foreign Exchange Rates during the Current Float.†Journal of Business Research, 6(2): 159–74.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Lothian, James R., and Mark P. Taylor. 1996. “Real Exchange Rate Behavior: The Recent Float from the Perspective of the Past Two Centuries.†Journal of Political Economy, 104(3): 488–509.
Lucke, Bernd. 2003. “Are Technical Trading Rules Profitable? Evidence for Head-and-Shoulder Rules.†Applied Economics, 35(1): 33–40.
- Lui, Yu-Hon, and David Mole. 1998. “The Use of Fundamental and Technical Analyses by Foreign Exchange Dealers: Honk Kong Evidence.†Journal of International Money and Finance, 17(3): 535–45.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Lux, Thomas. 1998. “The Socio-Economic Dynamics of Speculative Markets: Interacting Agents, Chaos, and the Fat Tails of Return Distributions.†Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 33(2): 143–65.
- Lyons, Richard K. 2001. The Microstructure Approach to Exchange Rates. Cambridge and London: MIT Press.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Malkiel, Burton G. 1996. A Random Walk Down Wall Street: Including a Life-Cycle Guide to Personal Investing. Sixth edition. New York and London: Norton.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Mark, Nelson C. 1995. “Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Evidence on Long-Horizon Predictability.†American Economic Review, 85(1): 201–18.
- Marsh, Ian W. 2000. “High-Frequency Markov Switching Models in the Foreign Exchange Market.†Journal of Forecasting, 19(2): 123–34.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Melvin, Michael T., Michael J. Sager, and Mark P. Taylor. 2006. “Bank of England Interest Rate Announcements and the Foreign Exchange Market.†CEPR Discussion Paper.
Menkhoff, Lukas, and Manfred Schlumberger. 1995. “Persistent Profitability of Technical Analysis on Foreign Exchange Markets?†Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review, 48(193): 189–216.
Menkhoff, Lukas. 1997. “Examining the Use of Technical Currency Analysis.†International Journal of Finance and Economics, 2(4): 307–18.
Menkhoff, Lukas. 1998. “The Noise Trading Approach—Questionnaire Evidence from Foreign Exchange.†Journal of International Money and Finance, 17(3): 547–64.
Neely, Christopher J. 1997. “Technical Analysis in the Foreign Exchange Market: A Layman’s Guide.†Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Review, 79(5): 23–38.
Neely, Christopher J. 1998. “Technical Analysis and the Profitability of U.S. Foreign Exchange Intervention.†Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Review, 80(4): 3–17.
Neely, Christopher J. 2002. “The Temporal Pattern of Trading Rule Returns and Exchange Rate Intervention: Intervention Does Not Generate Technical Trading Profits.†Journal of International Economics, 58(1): 211–32.
Neely, Christopher J., and Paul A. Weller. 1999. “Technical Trading Rules in the European Monetary System.†Journal of International Money and Finance, 18(3): 429–58.
Neely, Christopher J., and Paul A. Weller. 2001. “Technical Analysis and Central Bank Intervention.†Journal of International Money and Finance, 20(7): 949–70.
Neely, Christopher J., and Paul A. Weller. 2003. “Intraday Technical Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market.†Journal of International Money and Finance, 22(2): 223–37.
Neely, Christopher J., Paul A. Weller, and Joshua M. Ulrich. Forthcoming. “The Adaptive Markets Hypothesis: Evidence from the Foreign Exchange Market.†Journal of Financial and Quantative Analysis. Oberlechner, Thomas. 2001. “Importance of Technical and Fundamental Analysis in the European Foreign Exchange Market.†International Journal of Finance and Economics, 6(1): 81–93.
Neely, Christopher J., Paul A. Weller, and Robert Dittmar. 1997. “Is Technical Analysis in the Foreign Exchange Market Profitable? A Genetic Programming Approach.†Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 32(4): 405–26.
- Oberlechner, Thomas, and Carol L. Osler. 2006. “Overconfidence in Currency Markets.†Unpublished.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Oberlechner, Thomas. 2004. The Psychology of the Foreign Exchange Market. Hoboken, N.J.: John Wiley and Sons.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Okunev, John, and Derek White. 2003. “Do Momentum-Based Strategies Still Work in Foreign Currency Markets?†Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 38(2): 425–47.
Olson, Dennis. 2004. “Have Trading Rule Profits in the Currency Markets Declined over Time?†Journal of Banking and Finance, 28(1): 85–105.
Osler, Carol L. 2000. “Support for Resistance: Technical Analysis and Intraday Exchange Rates.†Federal Reserve Bank of New York Economic Policy Review, 6(2): 53–68.
Osler, Carol L. 2003. “Currency Orders and Exchange Rate Dynamics: An Explanation for the Predictive Success of Technical Analysis.†Journal of Finance, 58(5): 1791–1819.
Osler, Carol L. 2005. “Stop-Loss Orders and Price Cascades in Currency Markets.†Journal of International Money and Finance, 24(2): 219–41.
Park, Cheol-Ho, and Scott H. Irwin. 2005. “A Reality Check on Technical Trading Rule Profits in US Futures Markets.†Unpublished.
Park, Cheol-Ho, and Scott H. Irwin. 2007. “What Do We Know about the Profitability of Technical Analysis?†Journal of Economic Surveys, 21(4): 786–826.
Peiers, Bettina. 1997. “Informed Traders, Intervention, and Price Leadership: A Deeper View of the Microstructure of the Foreign Exchange Market.†Journal of Finance, 52(4): 1589–1614.
Pilbeam, Keith. 1995. “The Profitability of Trading in the Foreign Exchange Market: Chartists, Fundamentalists, and Simpletons.†Oxford Economic Papers, 47(3): 437–52.
- Poole, William. 1967a. “Speculative Prices as Random Walks: An Analysis of Ten Time Series of Flexible Exchange Rates.†Southern Economic Journal, 33(3): 468–78.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Poole, William. 1967b. “The Stability of the Canadian Flexible Exchange Rate, 1950–62.†Canadian Journal of Economics and Political Science, 33(2): 205–17. Qi, Min, and Yangru Wu. Forthcoming. “Technical Trading-Rule Profitability, Data Snooping, and Reality Check: Evidence from the Foreign Exchange Market.†Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking. Reitz, Stefan, and Mark P. Taylor. Forthcoming. “The Coordination Channel of Foreign Exchange Intervention: A Nonlinear Microstructural Analysis.†European Economic Review.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Saacke, Peter. 2002. “Technical Analysis and the Effectiveness of Central Bank Intervention.†Journal of International Money and Finance, 21(4): 459–79.
Sager, Michael J., and Mark P. Taylor. 2004. “The Impact of European Central Bank Governing Council Announcements on the Foreign Exchange Market: A Microstructural Analysis.†Journal of International Money and Finance, 23(7–8): 1043–51.
Sager, Michael J., and Mark P. Taylor. 2006. “Under the Microscope: The Structure of the Foreign Exchange Market.†International Journal of Finance and Economics, 11(1): 81–95.
Sapp, Stephen G. 2002. “Price Leadership in the Spot Foreign Exchange Market.†Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 37(3): 425–48.
Sapp, Stephen G. 2004. “Are All Central Bank Interventions Created Equal? An Empirical Investigation.†Journal of Banking and Finance, 28(3): 443–74.
- Sarno, Lucio, and Mark P. Taylor. 2001a. “Official Intervention in the Foreign Exchange Market: Is It Effective and, If So, How Does It Work?†Journal of Economic Literature, 39(3): 839–68.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Sarno, Lucio, and Mark P. Taylor. 2001b. “The Microstructure of the Foreign Exchange Market: A Selective Survey of the Literature.†Princeton Studies in International Economics, no. 89, International Economics Section. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Sarno, Lucio, and Mark P. Taylor. 2002. The Economics of Exchange Rates. Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Schulmeister, Stephan. 1987. “An Essay on Exchange Rate Dynamics.†WZB Discussion Paper, no. IIM/LMP 87-8.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Schulmeister, Stephan. 2005. “Components of the Profitability of Technical Currency Trading.†Austrian Institute of Economic Research Working Paper, no. 263.
Schulmeister, Stephan. 2006. “The Interaction between Technical Currency Trading and Exchange Rate Fluctuations.†Finance Research Letters, 3(3): 212–33.
- Schwert, G. William. 2002. “Anomalies and Market Efficiency.†NBER Working Papers, no. 9277.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Securities and Exchange Commission. 2003. “Implications of the Growth of Hedge Funds.†Washington, D.C.: Securities and Exchange Commission. http://www.sec.gov/news/studies/ hedgefunds0903.pdf.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Sharpe, William F. 1966. “Mutual Fund Performance.†Journal of Business, 39(1): 119–38.
- Shiller, Robert J. 1984. “Stock Prices and Social Dynamics.†Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2: 457–98.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Shleifer, Andrei, and Robert W. Vishny. 1997. “The Limits of Arbitrage.†Journal of Finance, 52(1): 35–55.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Silber, William L. 1994. “Technical Trading: When It Works and When It Doesn’t.†Journal of Derivatives, 1(3): 39–44.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Snyder, Mark. 2005. “Chair’s Letter.†In Foreign Exchange Committee 2005 Annual Report. New York: Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Surajaras, Patchara, and Richard James Sweeney. 1992. Profit-Making Speculation in Foreign Exchange Markets. Boulder: Westview Press.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Sweeney, Richard James, 1986. “Beating the Foreign Exchange Market.†Journal of Finance, 41(1): 163–82.
Sweeney, Richard James, 1997. “Do Central Banks Lose on Foreign-Exchange Intervention? A Review Article.†Journal of Banking and Finance, 21(11–12): 1667–84.
- Sylla, Richard. 1992. “Chartist Analysis.†In The New Palgrave Dictionary of Money and Finance, ed. Peter Newman, Murray Milgate, and John Eatwell. London: Macmillan, 342–44.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Szakmary, Andrew C., and Ike Mathur. 1997. “Central Bank Intervention and Trading Rule Profits in Foreign Exchange Markets.†Journal of International Money and Finance, 16(4): 513–35.
- Taylor, Alan M., and Mark P. Taylor. 2004. “The Purchasing Power Parity Debate.†Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18(4): 135–58.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Taylor, Mark P. 1995a. “Exchange-Rate Behavior under Alternative Exchange-Rate Arrangements.†In Understanding Interdependence: The Macroeconomics of the Open Economy, ed. P. B. Kenen. Princeton: Princeton University Press, 34–83.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Taylor, Mark P. 1995b. “The Economics of Exchange Rates.†Journal of Economic Literature, 33(1): 13–47.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Taylor, Mark P. 2004. “Is Official Exchange Rate Intervention Effective?†Economica, 71(281): 1–11.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Taylor, Mark P., and Helen L. Allen. 1992. “The Use of Technical Analysis in the Foreign Exchange Market.†Journal of International Money and Finance, 11(3): 304–14.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Taylor, Stephen J. 1992. “Rewards Available to Currency Futures Speculators: Compensation for Risk or Evidence of Inefficient Pricing?†Economic Record, 68 (Supplement): 105–16.
- Treynor, Jack L., and Robert Ferguson. 1985. “In Defense of Technical Analysis.†Journal of Finance, 40(3): 757–73.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
Vigfusson, Robert. 1997. “Switching between Chartists and Fundamentalists: A Markov Regime-Switching Approach.†International Journal of Finance and Economics, 2(4): 291–305.
Westerhoff, Frank H. 2003. “Expectations Driven Distortions in the Foreign Exchange Market.†Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 51(3): 389–412.
- White, Halbert. 2000. “A Reality Check for Data Snooping.†Econometrica, 68(5): 1097–1126.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now
- Wilder, J. W., Jr. 1978. New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. Greensboro, N.C.: Hunter Publishing Company.
Paper not yet in RePEc: Add citation now