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Landslide Susceptibility Assessment Using Bagging Ensemble Based Alternating Decision Trees, Logistic Regression and J48 Decision Trees Methods: A Comparative Study

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Abstract

In this study, we have evaluated and compared prediction capability of Bagging Ensemble Based Alternating Decision Trees (BADT), Logistic Regression (LR), and J48 Decision Trees (J48DT) for landslide susceptibility mapping at part of the Uttarakhand State (India). The BADT method has been proposed in the present study which is a novel hybrid machine learning ensemble approach of bagging ensemble and alternating decision trees. The J48DT is a relative new machine learning technique which has been applied only in few landslide studies, and the LR is known as a popular landslide susceptibility model. For the model studies, a spatial database of 930 historical landslide events and 15 landslide affecting factors have been collected and analyzed. This database has been used to build and validate the landslide models namely BADT, LR and J48DT Predictive capability of these models has been validated and compared using statistical analyzing methods and Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve. Results show that these three landslide models (BADT, LR and J48DT) performed well with the training dataset. However, using the validation dataset the BADT model has the highest prediction capability, followed by the LR model, and the J48DT model, respectively. This indicates that the BADT is a promising method which can be used for landslide susceptibility assessment also for other landslide prone areas.

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Acknowledgements

Authors are thankful to Dr MB Dholakia, LD College of Engineering, Gujarat, India for his encouragements. Authors also thank to the Director, Bhaskarcharya Institute for Space Applications and Geo-Informatics (BISAG), Department of Science and Technology, Government of Gujarat, Gandhinagar, Gujarat, India for providing facilities to carry out this research work.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Geotechnical Engineering, University of Transport Technology, 54 Trieu Khuc, Thanh Xuan, Ha Noi, Viet Nam

    Binh Thai Pham

  2. Geographic Information System Group, Department of Business and IT, University College of Southeast Norway, Gulbringvegen 36, 3800, Bø i Telemark, Norway

    Dieu Tien Bui

  3. Department of Science and Technology, Bhaskarcharya Institute for Space Applications and Geo-Informatics (BISAG), Government of Gujarat, Gandhinagar, India

    Indra Prakash

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Pham, B.T., Tien Bui, D. & Prakash, I. Landslide Susceptibility Assessment Using Bagging Ensemble Based Alternating Decision Trees, Logistic Regression and J48 Decision Trees Methods: A Comparative Study. Geotech Geol Eng 35, 2597–2611 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10706-017-0264-2

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