IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/agr/journl/v1(634)y2023i1(634)p91-114.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The potential of macroeconomic forces and ICT in affecting the sectorial growth: ARDL approach in the context of East Asian countries

Author

Listed:
  • Sadik Aden DIRIR

    (University of Djibouti, Djibouti)

Abstract

The current study examines the potential of macroeconomic forces and information and communications technology in affecting sectorial growth. Hereby, the paper employs annual time series data varying from 2000 to 2021 with the regard to East Asia and the Pacific as a focus region. Within this framework, the study considers three different sectors namely manufacturing, services, and agriculture as proxies for sectoral growth. To proceed with the examination Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model and Granger causality test are performed to capture the long-run and short-run dynamic relationship among the variables. As well as to determine the direction of these relationships. In accordance with the findings, the paper uncovered that both in the long and short run fixed telephone subscription, gross capital formation, government expenditure, population growth, and both importation and exportation are decreasing the growth of the manufacturing, agricultural, and service sectors. On the other hand, the general expenditure of the government and the rate of agricultural exportation raise the value produced by the agricultural sector in the long term. The recent findings can be used as evidence particularly for emerging nations and policymakers, on the necessity of utilizing certain macroeconomic elements and technology to support their nation's sectoral growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Sadik Aden DIRIR, 2023. "The potential of macroeconomic forces and ICT in affecting the sectorial growth: ARDL approach in the context of East Asian countries," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania / Editura Economica, vol. 0(1(634), S), pages 91-114, Spring.
    • Handle: RePEc:agr:journl:v:1(634):y:2023:i:1(634):p:91-114
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://store.ectap.ro/articole/1643.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: http://www.ectap.ro/articol.php?id=1643&rid=150
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Barry Eichengreen & Poonam Gupta, 2013. "The two waves of service-sector growth," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 65(1), pages 96-123, January.
    2. Lee, Jong-Wha & McKibbin, Warwick J., 2018. "Service sector productivity and economic growth in Asia," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 247-263.
    3. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    4. Lee, Jong-Wha & Hong, Kiseok, 2012. "Economic growth in Asia: Determinants and prospects," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 101-113.
    5. Zhongwei Xing, 2018. "The impacts of Information and Communications Technology (ICT) and E-commerce on bilateral trade flows," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 565-586, July.
    6. El Khoury, Antoine C. & Savvides, Andreas, 2006. "Openness in services trade and economic growth," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 92(2), pages 277-283, August.
    7. Bakari, Sayef & Mabrouki, Mohamed, 2018. "The Impact of Agricultural Trade on Economic Growth in North Africa: Econometric Analysis by Static Gravity Model," MPRA Paper 85116, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Penelope Pacheco-Lopez & A.P.Thirlwall, 2013. "A New Interpretation of Kaldor's First Growth Law for Open Developing Countries," Studies in Economics 1312, School of Economics, University of Kent.
    9. Nair, Mahendhiran & Pradhan, Rudra P. & Arvin, Mak B., 2020. "Endogenous dynamics between R&D, ICT and economic growth: Empirical evidence from the OECD countries," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    10. Simplice A. Asongu & Jacinta C. Nwachukwu, 2019. "ICT, Financial Sector Development and Financial Access," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 10(2), pages 465-490, June.
    11. James Laurenceson & Joseph C.H. Chai, 2003. "Financial Reform and Economic Development in China," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 2714.
    12. Ibitoye J. Oyebanji & Dayo B. Olanipekun & Ewert P. J. Kleynhans, 2022. "The Potential of Information and Communication Technologies to Generate International Trade in Africa," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 20(3 (Fall)), pages 237-257.
    13. Juan Vicente García Manjón & Rafael Mompó & Judith Redoli, 2016. "Accelerating Innovation in Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises in the ICT Services Sector," SAGE Open, , vol. 6(3), pages 21582440166, September.
    14. Chi-Wei Su & Zheng-Zheng Li & Ran Tao & Oana-Ramona Lobonţ, 2019. "Can economic development boost the active female labor force?," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 53(2), pages 1021-1036, March.
    15. Maria Freire-Serén, 2001. "R&D-expenditure in an endogenous growth model," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 74(1), pages 39-62, February.
    16. Maryam Farhadi & Rahmah Ismail & Masood Fooladi, 2012. "Information and Communication Technology Use and Economic Growth," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 7(11), pages 1-7, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Marcos Álvarez-Díaz & Manuel González-Gómez & María Soledad Otero-Giráldez & Ana Belén Trigo Iglesias, 2014. "Modelización econométrica de la demanda de turistas británicos a España," Working Papers 1404, Universidade de Vigo, Departamento de Economía Aplicada.
    2. Ahmed, Maruf Yakubu & Sarkodie, Samuel Asumadu, 2021. "Counterfactual shock in energy commodities affects stock market dynamics: Evidence from the United States," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    3. Muhammad Shahbaz & Qazi Muhammad Adnan Hye & Muhammad Shahbaz Shabbir, 2013. "Does Corruption Increase Financial Development? A Time Series Analysis in Pakistan," International Journal of Economics and Empirical Research (IJEER), The Economics and Social Development Organization (TESDO), vol. 1(10), pages 113-124, October.
    4. Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2013. "Linkages between inflation, economic growth and terrorism in Pakistan," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 496-506.
    5. Marwil J. Dávila-Fernández & Lionello F. Punzo, 2018. "Some New Insights on Financialisation and Income Inequality," Department of Economics University of Siena 792, Department of Economics, University of Siena.
    6. Ying Ma & Abdul Jalil, 2008. "Financial Development, Economic Growth and Adaptive Efficiency: A Comparison between China and Pakistan," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 16(6), pages 97-111, November.
    7. Ali, Amjad, 2022. "Determining Pakistan's Financial Dependency: The Role of Financial Globalization and Corruption," MPRA Paper 116097, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Ledenyov, Dimitri O. & Ledenyov, Viktor O., 2015. "Wave function method to forecast foreign currencies exchange rates at ultra high frequency electronic trading in foreign currencies exchange markets," MPRA Paper 67470, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Sumera Arshad & Amajd Ali, 2016. "Trade-off between Inflation, Interest and Unemployment Rate of Pakistan: Revisited," Bulletin of Business and Economics (BBE), Research Foundation for Humanity (RFH), vol. 5(4), pages 193-209, December.
    10. Amarjit Singh Sidhu & Neha Verma, 2017. "Unveiling the Factors Affecting Profitability of Reinsurance Companies," Management and Labour Studies, XLRI Jamshedpur, School of Business Management & Human Resources, vol. 42(3), pages 190-204, August.
    11. Abdulqadir, Idris A. & Asongu, Simplice A., 2022. "The asymmetric effect of internet access on economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 44-61.
    12. Abdul Rashid & Tayyaba Razzaq, 2013. "An Estimation of Structural Import Demand Function for Pakistan," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 2, pages 156-175.
    13. Fisayo Fagbemi & Grace Omowumi Adeoye, 2020. "Nigerian Governance Challenge: Exploring the Role of Natural Resource Rents," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 12(3), pages 335-358, September.
    14. Muhammad Shahbaz & Mete Feridun, 2012. "Electricity consumption and economic growth empirical evidence from Pakistan," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 46(5), pages 1583-1599, August.
    15. Erasmus L. Owusu, 2018. "The relationship between energy consumption, CO2 emission, population growth and economic growth: An empirical multivariate causal linkage from Ethiopia," ECONOMICS AND POLICY OF ENERGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2018(1), pages 225-239.
    16. Hoque, Mohammad Monjurul & Yusop, Zulkornain, 2010. "Impacts of trade liberalisation on aggregate import in Bangladesh: An ARDL Bounds test approach," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 37-52, February.
    17. repec:agr:journl:v:4(605):y:2015:i:4(605):p:159-170 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Stavros Tsiantikoudis & Eleni Zafeiriou & Grigorios Kyriakopoulos & Garyfallos Arabatzis, 2019. "Revising the Environmental Kuznets Curve for Deforestation: An Empirical Study for Bulgaria," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-16, August.
    19. Muhamad, Suriyani & Che Sulaiman, Nor Fatimah & Saputra, Jumadil, 2018. "The Role of Human Capital and Innovation Capacity on Economic Growth in ASEAN-3," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 52(1), pages 257-268.
    20. Chandan Sharma & Debdatta Pal, 2019. "Does Exchange Rate Volatility Dampen Imports? Commodity-Level Evidence From India," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(4), pages 696-718, October.
    21. Shaista Alam & Qazi Masood Ahmed & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2018. "The Effect of Exchange Rate Volatility on Pakistan’s Bilateral Exports to Major Recipients," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(2), pages 328-341, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:agr:journl:v:1(634):y:2023:i:1(634):p:91-114. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Mircea Dinu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/agerrea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.
    pFad - Phonifier reborn

    Pfad - The Proxy pFad of © 2024 Garber Painting. All rights reserved.

    Note: This service is not intended for secure transactions such as banking, social media, email, or purchasing. Use at your own risk. We assume no liability whatsoever for broken pages.


    Alternative Proxies:

    Alternative Proxy

    pFad Proxy

    pFad v3 Proxy

    pFad v4 Proxy