IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2401.01080.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Global analysis reveals persistent shortfalls and regional differences in availability of foods needed for health

Author

Listed:
  • Leah Costlow
  • Anna Herforth
  • Timothy B. Sulser
  • Nicola Cenacchi
  • William A. Masters

Abstract

Most people around the world still lack access to sufficient quantities of all food groups needed for an active and healthy life. This study traces historical and projected changes in global food systems toward alignment with the new Healthy Diet Basket (HDB) used by UN agencies and the World Bank to monitor the cost and affordability of healthy diets worldwide. Using the HDB as a standard to measure adequacy of national, regional and global supply-demand balances, we find substantial but inconsistent progress toward closer alignment with dietary guidelines, with large global shortfalls in fruits, vegetables, and legumes, nuts, and seeds, and large disparities among regions in use of animal source foods. Projections show that additional investments aimed at reducing chronic hunger would modestly accelerate improvements in adequacy where shortfalls are greatest, revealing the need for complementary investments to increase access to under-consumed food groups especially in low-income countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Leah Costlow & Anna Herforth & Timothy B. Sulser & Nicola Cenacchi & William A. Masters, 2024. "Global analysis reveals persistent shortfalls and regional differences in availability of foods needed for health," Papers 2401.01080, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2024.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2401.01080
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2401.01080
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sulser, Timothy & Wiebe, Keith D. & Dunston, Shahnila & Cenacchi, Nicola & Nin-Pratt, Alejandro & Mason-D’Croz, Daniel & Robertson, Richard D. & Willenbockel, Dirk & Rosegrant, Mark W., 2021. "Climate change and hunger: Estimating costs of adaptation in the agrifood system," Food policy reports 9780896294165, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    2. Robinson, Sherman & Mason d'Croz, Daniel & Islam, Shahnila & Sulser, Timothy B. & Robertson, Richard D. & Zhu, Tingju & Gueneau, Arthur & Pitois, Gauthier & Rosegrant, Mark W., 2015. "The International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade (IMPACT): Model description for version 3:," IFPRI discussion papers 1483, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nin-Pratt, Alejandro & Beveridge, Malcolm C. M. & Sulser, Timothy B. & Marwaha, Nisha & Stanley, Michele & Grisenthwaite, Robert & Phillips, Michael J., 2022. "Cattle, seaweed, and global greenhouse gas emissions," IFPRI discussion papers 2111, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    2. von Braun, Joachim & Beyene Chichaibelu, Bezawit & Laborde, David & Torero Cullen, Maximo, 2024. "Cost of Ending Hunger – Consequences of Complacency, and Financial Needs for SDG2 Achievement," Discussion Papers 343159, University of Bonn, Center for Development Research (ZEF).
    3. Gerald Nelson & Jessica Bogard & Keith Lividini & Joanne Arsenault & Malcolm Riley & Timothy B. Sulser & Daniel Mason-D’Croz & Brendan Power & David Gustafson & Mario Herrero & Keith Wiebe & Karen Coo, 2018. "Income growth and climate change effects on global nutrition security to mid-century," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 1(12), pages 773-781, December.
    4. Stads, Gert-Jan & Wiebe, Keith D. & Nin-Pratt, Alejandro & Sulser, Timothy B. & Benfica, Rui & Reda, Fasil & Khetarpal, Ravi, 2022. "Research for the future: Investments for efficiency, sustainability, and equity," IFPRI book chapters, in: 2022 Global food policy report: Climate change and food systems, chapter 4, pages 38-47, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    5. Nin-Pratt, A., 2018. "Technical and Environmental Efficiency of Water Use in Agriculture," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277486, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    6. Springmann, Marco & Mason-D'Croz, Daniel & Robinson, Sherman & Wiebe, Keith & Scarborough, Peter, 2016. "The health co-benefits of a global greenhouse-gas tax on food," Conference papers 332766, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    7. De Pinto, Alessandro & Wiebe, Keith D. & Rosegrant, Mark W., 2016. "Climate change and agricultural policy options: A global-to-local approach," Policy briefs 978-089629-244-4, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    8. Stepanyan, Davit & Grethe, Harald & Zimmermann, Georg & Siddig, Khalid & Deppermann, Andre & Feuerbacher, Arndt & Luckmann, Jonas & Valin, Hugo & Nishizawa, Takamasa & Ermolieva, Tatiana & Havlik, Pet, 2019. "Multiple Rotations of Gaussian Quadratures: An Efficient Method for Uncertainty Analyses in Large-Scale Simulation Models," Conference papers 333052, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    9. Nico, Gianluigi & Christiaensen, Luc, 2023. "Jobs, Food and Greening: Exploring Implications of the Green Transition for Jobs in the Agri-food System," Jobs Group Papers, Notes, and Guides 32579593, The World Bank.
    10. Kym Anderson, 2021. "Food policy in a more volatile climate and trade environment," Departmental Working Papers 2021-25, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
    11. Syed Abu Shoaib & Mohammad Zaved Kaiser Khan & Nahid Sultana & Taufique H. Mahmood, 2021. "Quantifying Uncertainty in Food Security Modeling," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-16, January.
    12. Angga Pradesha & Sherman Robinson & Mark W. Rosegrant & Nicostrato Perez & Timothy S. Thomas, 2022. "Exploring transformational adaptation strategy through agricultural policy reform in the Philippines," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 14(6), pages 1435-1447, December.
    13. Timsina, J. & Wolf, J. & Guilpart, N. & van Bussel, L.G.J. & Grassini, P. & van Wart, J. & Hossain, A. & Rashid, H. & Islam, S. & van Ittersum, M.K., 2018. "Can Bangladesh produce enough cereals to meet future demand?," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 36-44.
    14. Thomas W. Hertel & Uris Lantz C. Baldos & Dominique van der Mensbrugghe, 2016. "Predicting Long-Term Food Demand, Cropland Use, and Prices," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 8(1), pages 417-441, October.
    15. Femenia, Fabienne, 2019. "A Meta-Analysis of the Price and Income Elasticities of Food Demand," German Journal of Agricultural Economics, Humboldt-Universitaet zu Berlin, Department for Agricultural Economics, vol. 68(2), June.
    16. Dorin, Bruno & Joly, Pierre-Benoît, 2020. "Modelling world agriculture as a learning machine? From mainstream models to Agribiom 1.0," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    17. Purnomo, Herry & Okarda, Beni & Dermawan, Ahmad & Ilham, Qori Pebrial & Pacheco, Pablo & Nurfatriani, Fitri & Suhendang, Endang, 2020. "Reconciling oil palm economic development and environmental conservation in Indonesia: A value chain dynamic approach," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    18. Benfica, Rui & Zambrano, Patricia & Chambers, Judith A. & Falck-Zepeda, José Benjamin, 2022. "Assessing the development impacts of bio-innovations: The case of genetically modified maize and cassava in Tanzania," IFPRI discussion papers 2107, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    19. Rosegrant, Mark & Magalhaes, Eduardo & Valmonte-Santos, Rowena Andrea & Mason-D'Croz, Daniel, 2016. "Returns to Investment in Reducing Postharvest Food Losses and Increasing Agricultural Productivity Growth," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235879, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    20. Palazzo,Amanda & Valin,Hugo Jean Pierre & Batka,Miroslav & Havlík,Petr, 2019. "Investment Needs for Irrigation Infrastructure along Different Socioeconomic Pathways," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8744, The World Bank.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2401.01080. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.
    pFad - Phonifier reborn

    Pfad - The Proxy pFad of © 2024 Garber Painting. All rights reserved.

    Note: This service is not intended for secure transactions such as banking, social media, email, or purchasing. Use at your own risk. We assume no liability whatsoever for broken pages.


    Alternative Proxies:

    Alternative Proxy

    pFad Proxy

    pFad v3 Proxy

    pFad v4 Proxy