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On Vulnerability Conditional Risk Measures: Comparisons and Applications in Cryptocurrency Market

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  • Tong Pu
  • Yunran Wei
  • Yiying Zhang

Abstract

We introduce a novel class of systemic risk measures, the Vulnerability Conditional risk measures, which try to capture the "tail risk" of a risky position in scenarios where one or more market participants is experiencing financial distress. Various theoretical properties of Vulnerability Conditional risk measures, along with a series of related contribution measures, have been considered in this paper. We further introduce the backtesting procedures of VCoES and MCoES. Through numerical examples, we validate our theoretical insights and further apply our newly proposed risk measures to the empirical analysis of cryptocurrencies, demonstrating their practical relevance and utility in capturing systemic risk.

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  • Tong Pu & Yunran Wei & Yiying Zhang, 2024. "On Vulnerability Conditional Risk Measures: Comparisons and Applications in Cryptocurrency Market," Papers 2411.09676, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2411.09676
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Martin Waltz & Abhay Kumar Singh & Ostap Okhrin, 2022. "Vulnerability-CoVaR: investigating the crypto-market," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(9), pages 1731-1745, September.
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    4. Kratz, Marie & Lok, Yen H. & McNeil, Alexander J., 2018. "Multinomial VaR backtests: A simple implicit approach to backtesting expected shortfall," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 393-407.
    5. Belzunce, Félix & Pinar, José F. & Ruiz, José M. & Sordo, Miguel A., 2012. "Comparison of risks based on the expected proportional shortfall," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 292-302.
    6. Ortega-Jiménez, P. & Sordo, M.A. & Suárez-Llorens, A., 2021. "Stochastic orders and multivariate measures of risk contagion," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 199-207.
    7. Tong Pu & Yifei Zhang & Yiying Zhang, 2024. "On Joint Marginal Expected Shortfall and Associated Contribution Risk Measures," Papers 2405.07549, arXiv.org.
    8. Tong Pu & Yifei Zhang & Yiying Zhang, 2024. "On joint marginal expected shortfall and associated contribution risk measures," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(7), pages 889-908, July.
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