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Evaluating China's role in contemporary South American trade - an economic complexity approach

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  • Zechlin, Linus
  • Marpe, Moritz

Abstract

The rapidly expanding importance of the Chinese economy saw a restructuring of the global trade hierarchy. While this proves challenging for all economic actors, especially peripheral economies are forced to rethink the way they interact and trade with the new emerging economy (EME) powerhouse that is China. In this article, we pay closer attention to the South American (SAC) economies and their specific industrial composition that arguably left them in an unequal relationship with China, placing them in a precarious situation of dependency on low-complexity commodities. Utilising the theoretical framework of economic complexity, we thoroughly assess this asymmetric relationship between SAC and China. Causal linkages are further created by including the findings from this descriptive examination into a structural gravity model of trade. We find that the complexity approach underlines the notion of asymmetry in the Chinese-SAC trade nexus and places the latter in a so-called quiescence trap, a disposition which could be outgrown by a significant increase in productive capabilities. The econometric analysis reinforces this, urging additional research on other developing and emerging economies.

Suggested Citation

  • Zechlin, Linus & Marpe, Moritz, 2024. "Evaluating China's role in contemporary South American trade - an economic complexity approach," IPE Working Papers 241/2024, Berlin School of Economics and Law, Institute for International Political Economy (IPE).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ipewps:305267
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    International Trade; Economic Complexity; Gravity Theory; China; South America;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East

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