Mesonet Ticker for January 8, 2025

                
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Why?




Why do we do this to ourselves? Well, why do "we" (weatherfolk) do this to
YOURselves? Well, this is what the various forecast models are putting out.
A coalescing into discordance.

No, I don't know what that means either, but when have I ever made sense?

Here's the deal...this possible snowstorm is apparently going to continue to
evolve right up to the point where it possibly starts snowing.

Possibly.

Not that this is much different than any wintry weather forecast...they're
infamously difficult to pin down, given the intricate details that allow snow
to actually form, then fall undisturbed (as in unmelted) through the column of
the atmosphere above you, and hit you in the face. So many things can screw this
recipe up, especially that vertical profile of temperature in the atmosphere, as
we've shown before.



And this forecast has been extra difficult given the upper-level storm was
cutoff for so long...remember, "cutoff low, weatherperson's woe!"

Quit yer whining! Oh, that was me.

So given all that, let's just go with the standard forecast that's being put
forth by those that actually know what they're talking about.









AS OF NOW, and now is now for me, but later for you. Wait, now now is later for
me, too. Okay, how about as of later, we have a winter storm watch for SE OK,
and a winter storm warning for McCurtain County. I'd expect some counties to
be added, removed, or possibly even stay the same. How's THAT for certainty?



Expect a winter weather advisory (the old traveler's advisory) to be expanded
somewhat NW of the current winter storm watch.

Now, after all the pessimism above...I bet things spread farther to the NW and
we all get lots of snow!

Now where's that hairbrush...

Gary McManus
State Climatologist
Oklahoma Mesonet
Oklahoma Climate Survey
gmcmanus@ou.edu
                

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