FIGURE F4b. Predicted and observed sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies for the Niño 3.4  region from the NCEP Coupled Forecast System Model (CFS03). The forecasts consist of 40 forecast members from 09-28 SEP 2005 initial conditions. The ensemble mean of all 40 forecast members is shown by the thick curve, individual members by thin curves, and observation by dotted curve.