The National Weather Service is forecasting more than seven inches of rain in east Texas and far west Louisiana this week.  At this point, only "limited" flooding impacts are forecast by the NWS. I will keep an eye on this and will update the forecast early in the week. 

National Weather Service watches and warnings as plotted by Pivotal Weather as of 6:20pm. Reminder: Pink = winter storm watch.  Purple = winter weather advisory.  Sand = high wind advisory. Deep blue = freezing warnings.  We now have winter storm warnings from Texas to the Atlantic Coast. If you are planning to fly tomorrow I urge you to get on the phone or your computer now and see if they will re-route you away from the hubs in Atlanta and Charlotte.  Please stay off the roads if at all possible if you live near or south of I-40. Many roads in the region are gridlocked already.  AccuWeather Radar at 6:24pm 8am Friday 7pm Friday 6am Saturday

The winter storm in the South has begun. Below is the radar for 9:05am. I am working on an updated forecast and will have it up later this morning. Wanted to let you know that I have worked with the advertising company to get pop-up ads off this site. While I make less money, I'm hoping you will come to the site more often and help make up for it.  AccuWeather.com

--- This Forecast Has Been Updated  --- You Will Find the New Forecast Here After a quick look at the new data this evening, I believe the forecast is still good. There may be light amounts of freezing rain in north central Texas as far south as Waco. It will not be enough to cause power outages but -- if it occurs -- it will make roads very slick.  The snow amount forecasts haven't changed. I believe DFW will receive 1-3" with heavier amounts as you go northeast. I-30 will become a mess for its entire route.  --- original forecast still valid --- Here are the latest NWS winter weather warnings and watches as of 3:15pm Note: the white "hole" in southwest Texas will be filled in with a purple winter weather advisory for 1-3 inches of snow.  Color codes: Pink = winter storm warning  Dark green = winter storm watch Purple = winter weather advisory  Bright green = ongoing flood warning  Dark blue and bright turquoise = freeze warnings.  As expected, t...

---- Please note: this forecast has been updated.  The newer forecast is here . ---- --- original forecast below --- A winter storm watch is in effect for much of north Texas and southeast Oklahoma. This is updated from this morning.  The winter storm watch includes the DFW Metroplex as well as Little Rock and Shreveport.  Below are my preliminary snowfall amounts.... The snow in north Texas should begin Thursday afternoon and spread north and east thereafter.  Temperatures are going to be bitterly cold. Please make cold weather preparations now!!

Texas: we don't want a repeat of the catastrophic Valentine's Weekend Winter Storm and Cold Wave that took hundreds of lives. So, I am starting my forecasts for this storm a bit earlier than usual in hopes of alerting everyone so they can take protective measures in sufficient time to mitigate the risks of cold, ice and snow.  Overview Above is the probability of 4" or more snow and/or  a quarter inch of freezing rain or sleet. This product (NWS) did well in the early states of the forecasts for the weekend blizzard and ice storm that is now moving out into the Atlantic.  ERCOT, which runs Texas' electric grid is alerting people to the impending storm and "higher electrical demand and the potential for lower reserves." How would I prepare at this point? Have the fireplace ready to go. If your chimney has not been inspected this winter, it is a good time to do so. Make sure you have plenty of firewood.  Get some extra cash, if possible. ATM's do not work f...

Here is the tornado forecast for the rest of the night (till 6am CST). Red, hatched = high risk of strong tornadoes. Yellow, hatched = enhanced risk of strong tornadoes. Blown = significant risk of tornadoes.  This will be the last update of the night. Tornado Watch until 2am. Please make sure you have ways of getting warnings of tornadoes and 80 mph winds.  6:15pm  NWS believes the chances for tornadoes and damaging winds are increasing in Mississippi. They also say they are going to extend the tornado watch to the east later this evening.  5:35pm: The northwest part of the tornado watch has been cancelled Here is the area where tornadoes are more likely from 4:30 to 7:30pm. From Atmosphere Analytics Rare "Particularly Dangerous Situation" Tornado Watch till 9pm If you live in these areas it is vital  to monitor the weather until the watch expires at 9pm  Note the forecast is for "numerous strong tornadoes." A very rare "particularly dangerous situation" ...

Storm coverage is over for Thursday evening.  Saturday may see a significant tornado situation. Please check back tomorrow and Saturday.  ---- Please note the tornado watch is forecasting  strong tornadoes.  8:45p, tornadoes are in progress in the north half of the tornado watch. Please continue to monitor the weather.  -- 12:50p Update -- Please keep up on the weather in these areas. I will be posting updates on Twitter/X from time to time @usweatherexpert .  Please note: A strong tornado or two is possible.  10:50am Update The yellow area has an enhanced risk of strong tornadoes. This forecast is from the NWS Storm Prediction Center. I believe the risk of strong tornadoes should also include the area from Lewisville to Lake Charles by this evening. The area in brown has a significant risk of tornadoes later today.  The more intense thunderstorms are forecast to develop this afternoon and continue through the evening as they move from east to wes...

The brown area has a significant risk of tornadoes on Thursday. There is even the possibility of a strong tornado or two. So, please keep an eye on the weather if you live in this area. Of course, I will update the forecast tomorrow morning. 

Tornado Watch Till 8pm Earlier forecast still valid a 3:05pm The areas in brown have a significant risk of tornadoes. The Beaumont-Port Arthur area is included. 

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Till 4am; Tornadoes Forecast The chances of tornadoes increase after midnight.  Have a way to be awakened if a tornado warning is issued. The brown area has a significant risk of tornadoes tonight. The red area has an enhanced  risk of 75+ mph winds. The yellow area has a significant risk of wind gusts of 60 mph or more. 

This watch includes the Dallas-Ft Worth Metroplex as well as Waco.  There is already a tornado warning out as of 1:49pm. Please keep up on the weather in these areas!

Newest Tornado Watch As mentioned below, it turns out the chance of tornadoes south of my red outline has increased. Please keep an eye on the weather in this region the rest of the evening..until midnight. My Forecast Until 8pm I believe there will be several tornadoes yet this afternoon and evening in the red outlined area. Please continue to monitor the latest weather information for possible warnings. There is also a lesser risk of tornadoes in the Texarkana to Paris to Tyler area. It would be wise to keep an eye on the weather in that area, also.  Forecasting note for meteorologists: Since the mid-1970's, we've known that scattered supercells ahead of a line are a favored area for tornado formation. That is probably going to be the case this evening.  New Tornado Watch, 1:35pm 2:20pm Update Two independent forecast techniques indicates that the risk for tornadoes is rapidly increasing in the outlined area. This includes southeast Kansas which was not highlighted in other...