Arab SocialMedia Report
Arab SocialMedia Report
Arab SocialMedia Report
July 2012
The Arab Social Media Report series aims to inform a better understanding of the impact of social media on development and growth in the Arab region by exploring the following questions: What are the penetration trends of social networking services in the Arab region? What is the growth rate, and what is the demographic and gender breakdown? What factors affect the adoption of these platforms in different Arab countries (e.g., income, youth population, digital access, Internet freedom, etc.)? What is the impact of these phenomena on citizen engagement and social inclusion? What is the impact of the new social dynamics influenced by social media on innovation and entrepreneurship in Arab societies?
Social Media in the Arab World: Influencing Societal and Cultural Change?
Overview
The passionate debate on the impact of social media in the Arab world has continued throughout 2011 and 2012. However, it has largely moved beyond the classical polarized perception of the rigid paradigms of technologically deterministic views and the overly-romanticized people power ones. The healthy debate that has dominated policy discourses for more than a year has finally shifted the question of the societal impact of social media usage from the if to the how, why and what next. Throughout the past two years, the Arab Social Media Report series has been a key contributor to this global debate, providing the only regional source of quantitative research on the growth and usage trends of social media in the Arab region, coupled with exploratory qualitative surveys that dig deeper into regional perceptions regarding the impact of social media in Arab societies. The findings of the report series covered topics varying from the impact of social media on freedom of expression and media consumption behaviors, to its empowerment of youth and women, and its role in popular civic movements. In this fourth issue of the report, we focus on exploring the societal and cultural transformations taking place in the Arab region, influenced by the continuing exponential growth of social media. In this edition of the report we provide regional statistics on more social networking platforms, in addition to Facebook and Twitter; including for the first time, analysis on LinkedIn. The findings of the regional survey provided here aims to measure emerging perceptions of social media users in the Arab World on identity and culture, a topic that is closely linked with several critical policy questions in the region, and begs for more research on a regional and individual society levels.
Ultimately, we hope that the report findings shed light on the role social media is playing in the societal transformations taking place in the Arab world.
For additional datasets and charts unpublished in this report, join the ASMR community and register (at no cost) online at:
www.ArabSocialMediaReport.com
Non-registered members can download this report, and follow ASMR social networking groups through the website. For questions or media enquiries please direct emails to the authors at:
1. Introduction
The ongoing popular political and civic movements in the Arab world have empowered large segments of the regions population. Policy making circles continue to debate the impact of social media at the Arab regional as well as global levels. The continued strong growth, popularity and diversity of social media usage across the region throughout the first half of 2012 well beyond the height of the Arab spring- indicates that the popular movements sweeping the region were not the only contributing factor to this growth, and that a more organic growth is taking place, impacting Arabs connections with their society and community.
socialmedia@dsg.ac.ae
Specifically, where we once witnessed a shift in the type of social media usage across the region from social to political usage, we now see a wider scope of uses for social media in the region, ranging from civic engagement and political participation to business entrepreneurial efforts, and social change. With a critical mass of Arab users in many countries, governments in the region have also begun to recognize -and accept- social medias potential. Several governments in the region are viewing this as an opportunity contributing to development a more transparent, participatory and inclusive governance models. From merely being used as a tool for social networking and entertainment, social media now infiltrates almost every aspect of the daily lives of millions of Arabs, affecting the way they interact socially, do business, deal with government, or engage in civil society movements. Previous issues of the Arab Social Media Report have explored the growth of social media in the region, and the change in the nature of social media usage, all of which has been partly fueled by the use of networks such as Facebook, YouTube and Twitter in the movements of the so-called Arab spring. The fourth edition of the report builds on these timely themes, which specifically explored the exponential growth of social media use in the Arab world; the role of social networking tools in the civil movements in the Arab region; and the potential of social media to empower Arab women. It goes beyond this framework of the Arab spring that dominated the discourse over the past year, to explore perceptions on whether the political empowerment experienced and witnessed by so many through the innovative uses of social media can transcend these specific events and be utilized in a broader context of social change within ones society, culture and community. Produced by the Dubai School of Governments Governance and Innovation Program, the Arab Social Media Report series continues to analyze usage trends of online social networking tools across the Arab region. Based on data collected in the first half of 2012, this edition of the report analyzes data on Twitter and Facebook users in all 22 Arab countries, in addition to Iran, Israel and Turkey. It also introduces, for the first time, statistics on LinkedIn users in the region. Additionally, in another firstof-its-kind regional survey, this special edition of the report explores the impact of social media culture, society and identity.
Source: Facebook - http://newsroom.fb.com/content/default.aspx?NewsAreaId=22 Source: Twitter - http://blog.twitter.com/ Source: LinkedIn - http://press.linkedin.com/about Source: Google Vol. 2, No. 1
2. Social Media in the Arab Region Towards Social and Societal Change
Throughout the Arab Social Media Report series, social media usage trends have been explored and analyzed, chronicling both an exponential growth in the number of social media users in the region, and a marked shift away from the typical social and entertainment uses of social media towards those that are more political and civic5. The Arab spring and related civic movements have contributed significantly to this change, although, as evidenced by further research into the impact of social media in the region beyond the peak of these events6, the ongoing growth and changes have transcended the political events of last year. The number of social media users in the region continues to grow fast, and their usage of social media, influenced by the sense of empowerment and their ability to create change within their countries, has gone on to encompass efforts to address societal issues and influence social change and cultural attitudes at the society and community level among a large part of Arab societies. To explore this continuing evolvement of social media usage in the region, a regional online survey was administered in 8 Arab countries (Bahrain, Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Saudi Arabia and the UAE)7, examining the usage of social media and, specifically, perceptions about its impact on culture and society in the region. The target demographic for the survey mirrored the demographic makeup of each country. Consequently, the typical respondent profile was a young professional (70% of respondents were between the ages of 18 and 30), primarily in the private sector, although the public sector, the third sector and enterprise owners were also represented, along with university students and the unemployed. The gender spilt was approximately 50/50. The survey was conducted between March and May 2012 and received 4754 responses, with an average response rate of 86.4%. Several survey questions explored the bridge between the growth of social media and the resulting influence this growth has had on users views of - and interactions with - their communities and societies. Figure 1 below illustrates how social media users in these eight Arab countries felt empowered by their use of social media to influence change in their communities. Interestingly, this feeling of empowerment was strongly evident even in countries where social media was not directly linked to popular or political movements, such as in Kuwait and Lebanon, indicating that such movements were not the only contributing factor to peoples evolving use of social media, but rather that an organic societal change was taking place among social media users. That said, it could be argued that the largely free flow of information online and the cross-border interconnectivity and influence of social media users in the Arab region have contributed to this regional sense of empowerment within a large part of the society.
Figure 1: Social media played a role in empowering me to influence change in my community/ country (% of respondents)
70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 32 33 43 46 46 46 51
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Arab Social Media Report, Vol. 1, Issue 2, 2011, Governance and Innovation Program, Dubai School of Government www.ArabSocialMediaReport.com The impact of social media on empowering Arab women, for example, as explored in the third issue of the Arab Social Media Report
The survey questions presented here represent a small part of a larger survey conducted by the Governance and Innovation Program in collaboration with SAP Middle East & North Africa. The full survey results will be published in 2012 in a special report on social media, unemployment and entrepreneurship in the Arab region. Social Media in the Arab World: Influencing Societal and Cultural Change?
Additionally, social media did not just empower people to create social change, but, according to respondents, it created a shift in their attitudes, making them more open and tolerant of other peoples points of view. (See Figure 2)
70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 47 47 49 52 58 58 59
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Honing in on three of the countries with the largest social media users, both in terms of penetration and numbers, (Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the UAE), we notice that respondents in all three strongly concur that their connection with, understanding of, and contribution to their societies and fellow citizens has been facilitated and enhanced through the use of social media tools. (Figure 3). Egypt had the highest percentage of agreement across all three statements, followed by Saudi Arabia and the UAE indicating a possible correlation between political uses of social media during the popular movements and the impact of social media on ones view of society.
Figure 3: To what extent do you agree with the following statements regarding the impact of social media on your view of society (% agree)
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I feel more connected to my community and society through social networking tools
I feel I understand my society better after interacting with fellow citizens through social networking tools
I feel my contribution to my society has increased through using social networking tools
Egypt
Saudi Arabia
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Delving further beyond impact of social media on culture and society, the survey also aimed to gauge the effect of social media use on ones identity. On average, across all eight countries surveyed, social media enforced different aspects of respondents identities in the following descending ranking: National identity, global identity, regional identity and religious identity. Figure 4 highlights the breakdown of these different ranking between countries.
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Figure 4: Using social media enforced my sense of identity (National, Global Citizen, Regional, Religious) National Using social media enforced my national identity: I feel I have stronger social links with my fellow citizens
90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Lebanon UAE Saudi Arabia Oman Kuwait Jordan Bahrain Egypt 66 78 73 78 80 80 83 85
Global Citizen I feel Im more of a global citizen today (after interacting with people from around the globe using social media)
82 80 78 76 74 72 70 68 66 64 UAE Saudi Arabia Kuwait Oman Bahrain Lebanon Egypt Jordan 69 72 77 77 77 78 79 80
Regional Using social media enforced my regional identity (pan-Arab, Khaleeji, etc.): I feel more connected to people in my wider region
90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Lebanon UAE Saudi Arabia Bahrain Oman Kuwait Egypt Jordan 60 66 75 75 76 77 78 80
Social Media in the Arab World: Influencing Societal and Cultural Change?
Religious Using social media enforced my religious identity: I feel I have stronger social links with people from same religious background
90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Lebanon UAE Oman Saudi Arabia Bahrain Egypt Kuwait Jordan 41 59 67 71 73 74 75 76
Many claim that social media usage and, by association, its ability to expose people to a variety of ideas and opinions, has led them to become more open and tolerant of these views
2.1 Social Media, a Year after the Uprisings: Key Findings and Conclusions
While social media usage has been influenced by the political events of the past year, its exponential growth and shift in the type of usage has not been solely due to these local events and has endured beyond them. This year has seen both a continued growth in numbers of social media users in the Arab region, and an evolution in types of usage that has built on the political empowerment brought about by social media in several Arab countries and witnessed by others - and has grown beyond that to influence shifts in perception regarding culture, identity and the ability to impact social change. Impact on society: Peoples use of social media, emboldened by the political change it helped bring about throughout 2011, has become more widespread and influential on societies and communities in the Arab region. Social media users generally hold positive views on its impact on, and potential for creating social change. Ultimately, social media is being seen and used as an agent of change. Impact on cultural attitudes: On an even more personal level, social media usage is not just perceived to bring about change within communities, but within people themselves. Many claim that social media usage and, by association, its ability to expose people to a variety of ideas and opinions, has led them to become more open and tolerant of these views. Impact on identity: Social medias ability to connect people, their opinions and experiences across the globe has not only influenced a change in social media users attitudes towards others, but has also reinforced their sense of identity within this new networked virtual community. Although the top ranking aspect or type of identity reinforced by social media was the national one, feeling like a global citizen was a close second, and religious identity the lowest ranking, suggesting that social media may for now- have the ability to influence a more globalized society while de-emphasizing religious differences.
Figure 5: Number of Facebook Users in the Arab Region between June 2010 and June 2012 (Top 10 Facebook populations)
Millions
12 ASMR IV 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 June 10 January 11 April 11 June 11 October 11 January 12 June 12 Sudan ASMR I ASMR II ASMR III Egypt Remaining Saudi Arabia Morocco Algeria UAE Syria Tunisia Jordan Iraq
Social Media in the Arab World: Influencing Societal and Cultural Change?
Figure 6: Number of Remaining Facebook Users in the Arab Region between June 2010 and June 2012 (excluding Top 10 Facebook populations)
Thousands 1500 1400 1300 1200 1100 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 June 10 January 11 April 11 June 11 October 11 January 12 June 12 Djibouti Comoros ASMR I ASMR II ASMR III ASMR IV
Lebanon Kuwait Palestine Qatar Yemen Libya Oman Bahrain Somalia Mauritania
Figure 7: Number of Facebook Users in the GCC Countries between June 2010 and June 2012
Millions 6 5.5 5 4.5 5 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 June 10 January 11 April 11 June 11 October 11 January 12 June 12 ASMR I ASMR II ASMR III ASMR IV Saudi Arabia UAE Kuwait Qatar Oman Bahrain
When comparing the uptake of Facebook in Arab countries with that in some of the top ten countries8 (in terms of Facebook penetration worldwide), several Arab countries still outpace the top 10 countries in terms of new users acquired between January and June 2012, as percentage of population. For example, at the end of June 2012, fourteen Arab countries had acquired more Facebook users (as a percentage of population) than Canada, one of the highest-ranking countries in the world in terms of Facebook penetration (see Figure 8). Additionally, for the first time, Turkey ranks the lowest in the region in terms of the number of new Facebook users acquired in the first half of 2012; Turkey has in fact lost some of its Facebook users, as it is possibly reaching a saturation point. (see Figure 9 ).
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Figure 8: New Facebook Users in the Arab Region and Globally (Jan. 3 June 25, 2012), as Percentage of Population*
14.00 12.00 10.00 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00
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1.1 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 3.4 2.4 2.6 3.4 3.9 4.2 4.4 4.6 6.5 6.5 12.6
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Figure 9: Number of New Facebook Users in the Arab Region, plus Iran, Israel and Turkey (Jan. 3 June 25, 2012)
Egypt Syria KSA Algeria Morocco UAE Sudan Iraq Qatar Yemen Jordan Palestine Tunisia Iran Libya Oman Israel Kuwait Lebanon Bahrain Somalia Mauritania Comoros Djibouti Turkey
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1,608,420 1,376,112 971,900 629,960 590,360 523,600 437,263 382,140 244,840 236,400 217,500 195,400 187,440 167,755 154,000 120,840 119,240 111,480 36,580 36,000 32,700 3,260 480 -3,100 -174,980 -200,000 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 1,600,000 1,800,000
-400,000
Social Media in the Arab World: Influencing Societal and Cultural Change?
On a regional level9, the Arab countries can be divided into three groups according to their Facebook penetration rates (Figure 10):
Figure 10: Facebook User Penetration in the Arab Region, plus Iran, Israel and Turkey (June 2012)10
50.00 45.00 40.00 35.00 30.00 25.00 20.00 15.00 10.00 5.00 0.00
0.7 0.9 1.9 2.2 2.4 3.1 3.7 4.9 5.0 9.5 13.1 13.4 19.2 15.3 16.6 21.2 25.9 27.9 29.3 34.3 32.7 34.1 40.6 41.3
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1. 2. 3.
High Penetration: These countries Facebook user penetration rates indicate persistent growth and a pervasive use of Facebook in their societies. (Facebook penetration between 30% and above) Emerging countries: These countries Facebook user penetration ranges from 10%-30%, indicating a medium penetration of Facebook users. Developing users: These countries have low rates of Facebook user penetration, ranging from less than 1% to just under 10%, indicating room for growth.
The rankings show the continued dominance of the GCC countries in the top three spots, with Qatar being reintroduced slightly edging out Tunisia - after displaying the highest growth in number of new users in the region within the past six months. The UAE continues to top the region in terms of Facebook penetration, just passing the 40% mark, and rivaling Turkey, one of the top ranking countries in the Middle East. Figure 11 highlights the numbers of Facebook users and their penetration as percentage of total Facebook users in the Arab world.
Turkey, Iran and Israel are also included for comparative purposes in this report, as Middle Eastern countries that share certain socio-economic and geopolitical characteristics with many Arab countries. 2011 populations, from United Nations ILO Department of Statistics, http://laborsta.ilo.org/ Vol. 2, No. 1
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Saudi Arabia and the UAE make up 80% of Facebook users in the Gulf region
Figure 11: Number of Facebook Users and Percentage of Users in the Arab Region (June 2012)
6,040,140 13% 10,732,360 25% 1,440,740 3% 1,631,360 4% 2,244,300 5% Egypt Saudi Arabia Morocco Algeria UAE Syria 2,585,529 5,153,180 12% 2,932,680 7% 4,445,340 10% 3,451,300 8% 6% Tunisia Jordan Iraq Sudan Remaining 3,017,120 7%
Looking at the GCC countries specifically, Figure 12 highlights the number and percentage of Facebook users in that region, indicating that Saudi Arabia and the UAE make up 80% of users in the Gulf region.
Figure 12: Number of Facebook Users and Percentage of Users in the Gulf Region (June 2012)
352,520 3%
992,200 9% 482,680
3,293,660 30%
5,506,660 49%
Social Media in the Arab World: Influencing Societal and Cultural Change?
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Youth (between the ages of 15 and 29) still make up around 70% of Facebook users in the Arab region, a number that has been holding steady since April 2011
Demographic and gender breakdown of Facebook penetration
Youth (between the ages of 15 and 29) still make up around 70% of Facebook users in the Arab region, a number that has been holding steady since April 2011. Qatar and Kuwait have slightly edged out the UAE as the most balanced countries in terms of adult and youthful Facebook users. The GCC countries in general have more mature knowledge societies and are more balanced demographically than the rest of the Arab region, with countries such as Somalia, Palestine, and Morocco persistently having a predominantly youthful Facebook user population (see Figure 13).
Figure 13: Demographic Breakdown of Facebook Users in the Arab Region* (June 2012)
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
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*Excluding Syria and Sudan. Due to US imposed technology sanctions on both countries, no data on demographic breakdown of Facebook users could be obtained.
The gender breakdown of Facebook users shows that the percentage of female users has been fluctuating slightly since April 2011, at around 33.7%. This is still lower than the global trend, where women constitute roughly half of Facebook users (see Figure 14).
Figure 14: Gender Breakdown of Facebook Users in Arab Countries* (June 2012)
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%
en q a ia Qa tar an bia eri a Ku wa it E Lib ya t ibo uti mo ros hra in co Pal est ine an isia Tu n Ye m Om Eg yp ali tan UA Ira roc Jor d So m Ara uri Alg Ba Mo Dj Co Le ba n on
80 74 74 73 70 70 69 68 67 67 66 65 20 26 26 27 30 30 31 32 33 33 34 35
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*Excluding Syria and Sudan. Due to US imposed technology sanctions on both countries, no data on demographic breakdown of Facebook users could be obtained.
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The percentage of female users has been fluctuating slightly since April 2011, at around 33.7%. This is still lower than the global trend, where women constitute roughly half of Facebook users
Lebanon is still the most gender-balanced of the Arab countries, followed closely by Tunisia, Jordan and Palestine, while at the other end of the spectrum Facebook users in Mauritania, Somalia, Iraq, and Yemen.
Figure 15: Language Interface Preference for Facebook Users in the Arab World
120.00 100.00 80.00 60.00 40.00 20.00 0.00
Ku wa it Lib ya stin UA eri rab tan hra no Ira Ye m Jor d Om roc ibo Qa ma isia Tu n yp Alg Pal e iA uri Ba ba Mo Dj So Ma ud Co Le mo Eg ros tar uti en an an co lia in ia ia q n e a E t Sa
Arabic (% of FB users
English (% of FB users
French (% of FB users)
Language preferences across the region diverge considerably. Overall, the GCC countries (with the exception of Saudi Arabia) primarily prefer to use English on Facebook, most likely because of their large English-speaking expatriate population. North African countries (with the exception of Egypt) prefer to use French. Interestingly, the percentage of users who prefer the Arabic interface has risen in several countries over the past year, namely in Egypt, Libya and Iraq (see Figure 16). The change in the latter two countries can be partly attributed in the past to shifts in the numbers of expatriates and foreign military presence, thereby decreasing the numbers of English speaking users this time around. In Egypt, however, this increase points to a wider use of Facebook among the masses, and not just among the well-educated, English-speaking segment of society.
The percentage of users who prefer the Arabic interface has risen in several countries over the past year, namely in Egypt, Libya and Iraq, indicating a wider use of Facebook among the masses, and not just among the well-educated, English-speaking segment of society
Social Media in the Arab World: Influencing Societal and Cultural Change?
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Figure 16: Percentage of Facebook Users who prefer the Arabic User Interface
90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
84 75 74 62 59 58
Yemen
Palestine
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Iraq
Egypt
Saudi Arabia
The estimated number of active Twitter users in the Arab region at the end of June 2012 was 2,099,706. The estimated number of tweets generated in the Arab region in March 2012 by active users was 172,511,590 tweets. The estimated number of daily tweets is 5,750,386 tweets per day, or 3993 tweets a minute, or roughly 67 tweets every second. The most popular trending hashtags across the Arab region in March 2012 were #bahrain (with 2.8 million mentions in the tweets generated during this period) followed by ( Arabic for Syria) with 1.5 million mentions, ( Arabic for Bahrain) with 1.48 million mentions, #syria (with 1.3. million mentions) and #egypt (with 900,000 mentions), and #kuwait (with 860,000 mentions)
Turkey dominates in the number of Twitter users, with 589,260 users, followed by the Egypt, which leads the Arab countries with 129,711 Twitter users (see Figures 17 & 18). The top five Arab countries in terms of number of Twitter users are Egypt, Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, UAE and Lebanon. For the first time, a non-GCC country besides Egypt in this case, Lebanon- has made its way into the top five, closely ahead of the previous fifth place ranking country, Bahrain.
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Refer to Annex 2 for March estimates Based on Twitters official definition of active users: http://blog.twitter.com/2011/09/one-hundred-million-voices.html
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Figure 17: Number of Active Twitter Users in the Arab Region plus Iran, Israel and Turkey (Average number for June, 2012) Countries with over 50K users
Turkey Saudi Arabia Kuwait Egypt UAE Lebanon Bahrain Qatar Jordan Israel 77,722 72,468 59,835 59,726 54,083 370,987 296,219 263,070 830,291
1,506,473
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
Figure 18: Number of Active Twitter Users in the Arab Region plus Iran, Israel and Turkey (Average number for June, 2012) Countries with under 50K users
Morocco Palestine Iran Tunisia Iraq Syria Oman Algeria Yemen Sudan Libya Somalia Djibouti Mauritania Comoros
0
38,018 33,750 12,097 12,000 11,040 10,839 9,832 8,415 5,907 4,507 4,393 1,999 768 528 250 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000
When it comes to Twitter penetration as a percentage of population on a regional level, Kuwait stands out with 12.83% Twitter penetration rate, followed by Bahrain at 5.33%. Contrary to Facebook, the top five countries in terms of Twitter penetration are all from the GCC, with UAE, Qatar and Saudi Arabia taking the remaining slots (Figures 19 & 20). Arab countries can be divided into the following categories: 1. 2. 3. High Penetration: These countries Twitter user penetration is above 5%, indicating a high use of Twitter in their societies relative to other Arab countries. Emerging countries: These countriesTwitter user penetration ranges from 1%-5%, indicating a medium penetration of Twitter users relative to other Arab countries. Developing users: These countries have Twitter user penetration rates are under 1%, indicating room for growth.
Social Media in the Arab World: Influencing Societal and Cultural Change?
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Figure 19: Twitter Penetration (above 1%) in the Arab Region plus Iran, Israel and Turkey (Average for June 2012)*
14.00 12.00 10.00 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00 1.81% 2.02% 2.89% 3.09% 3.25% 5.33%
12.83%
Lebanon
Turkey
Saudi Arabia
Qatar
UAE
Bahrain
Kuwait
Figure 20: Twitter Penetration (below 1%) in the Arab Region plus Iran, Israel and Turkey (Average for June 2012)*
0.92%
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As with Facebook penetration, the populations used in calculating Twitter penetration are based on ILO statistics.
88% of tweets in March 2012 were generated by Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, the UAE and Bahrain
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Figure 21 - Number of Tweets (over 1 million) in the Arab Region plus Iran, Israel and Turkey (March 1-30, 2012)
Turkey Kuwait Saudi Arabia Egypt UAE Bahrain Qatar Lebanon Jordan Israel Morocco Syria Palestine Iran 2,759,000 2,604,000 2,573,000 2,232,000 1,488,000 1,364,000 1,333,000 8,680,000 5,580,000 19,530,000 15,500,000 49,600,000 58,900,000 58,900,000
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Figure 22 - Number of Tweets (under 1 million) in the Arab Region plus Iran, Israel and Turkey (March 1-30, 2012)
Iraq Tunsia Oman Yemen Algeria Libya Sudan Somalia Djibouti Mauritania Comoros 43,400 29,450 22,940 341,000 310,000 303,800 527,000 496,000 496,000 713,000 992,000
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
Figure 23: Percentage of Tweets in the Arab Region (March 1 30, 2012)
12% 5% 34% 9% Kuwait Saudi Arabia Egypt UAE 11% Bahrain Remaining Countries 29%
Social Media in the Arab World: Influencing Societal and Cultural Change?
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English and Arabic are the dominant languages for Twitter users in the Arab region, with Arabic tweets numbering almost double those in English through March 2012 (62.1% and 32.6% respectively)
Top Twitter trends in the Arab region
The top trends for each country were estimated during the months of February and March 2012. Across the region, the top five trending hashtags are illustrated in Figure 24 below. The introduction of Arabic terms for the first time into the top trending phrases in the region is an indication of the fast growth of Arabic use on Twitter.
Figure 24: Top Twitter Trends in the Arab Region in Feb & March 2012 (number of mentions)
2,800,000
1500000
1480000
#bahrain
#syria
#egypt
#kuwait
Figure 25: Percentage of Tweets in the Arab Region by Language (Sep 2011 and March 2012)
70 62.1 60 50 40 32.6 30 20 10 0 Arabic English Other 7.4 5.3 48.2 44.4
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Looking at the top Twitter users in the region, we can see this is the case in the top five Twitter populations, all of whom have seen an increase in the number of Arabic tweets between September 2011 and March 2012, even if only a slight one in the case of Egypt. (see Figure 26).
Figure 26: Percentage of Tweets in Arabic Top Five Twitter Populations (Sep. 2011 and March 2012)
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Algeria, Bahrain, Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia and the UAE. Social Media in the Arab World: Influencing Societal and Cultural Change?
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Figure 27: Number of LinkedIn Users* in Selected Arab Countries (Feb June 2012)
4,500,000
4,000,000
3,500,000
3,000,000
2,500,000
2,000,000 2/2/2012 9/2/2012 20/2/2012 27/2/2012 11/3/2012 17/3/2012 26/3/2012 10/4/2012 23/4/2012 7/5/2012 26/6/2012
* Combined Total for: Algeria, Bahrain, Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia and UAE
LinkedIn penetration varies across these countries, with the UAE ranking at the top - as it does with Facebook penetration as well in this case, with a rate of 12.8% (see Figure 28).
LinkedIn is more popular with young and established professionals than it is with university students and fresh graduates, in the Arab region
Figure 28: LinkedIn Penetration in Select Arab Countries as a Percentage of Population June 2012
12.8
0.00
pt ria o isia Ara bia an an n Ku wa it hra in tar Eg y Jor d Alg e Om Mo ro Tu n ba Le Ba Qa UA E cc no
Sa u
di
Figure 29: Demographic Breakdown of LinkedIn Users in the Select Arab Countries (June 2012)
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Oman Morocco Tunisia Algeria Jordan Egypt Lebanon Saudi Arabia Bahrain UAE Kuwait Qatar 89 83 82 78 74 72 72 61 59 58 55 54 11 17 18 22 26 28 28 39 41 42 45 46
35 & aboveLinkedIn
18-34-LinkedIn
When it comes to Arab women on LinkedIn, much like Facebook, their usage is well below the global average (in this case, 27.2% compared to the global female average of 42.6%). Lebanon is, as with Facebook, the most gender-balanced of the Arab countries when it comes to LinkedIn usage, while most of the GCC countries, have predominantly male users, with Saudi Arabia being the country with the most male dominated users base, reflecting the realities of job market in the kingdom. (see Figures 30 & 31)
Figure 30: Gender Breakdown of LinkedIn Users in the Select Arab Countries (June 2012)
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Saudi Arabia Oman Kuwait Qatar Egypt Bahrain UAE Jordan Algeria Tunisia Morocco Lebanon 88 82 79 78 76 75 73 70 65 63 61 57 12 18 21 22 24 25 27 30 35 37 39 43
Female-LinkedIn
Male - LinkedIn
Figure 31: Percentage of Male LinkedIn and Facebook Users in Select Arab Countries (June 2012)
100.00 90.00 80.00 70.00 60.00 50.00 40.00 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00
Ku wa it hra in UA E cc o isia bia tar ria an an pt Eg y Jor d Om Alg e Ara Qa Tu n Mo ro Le ba Ba no n
69 88 82 70 79 67 78 70 76 65 75 61 73
67
70 58
65
68 63 58 61 61 57 55
Male-LinkedIn
Male-Facebook
Sa u
di
Social Media in the Arab World: Influencing Societal and Cultural Change?
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In comparing the penetration rates of different popular social media sites in select Arab countries (see Figure 32), Facebook clearly is at the forefront, and despite the breadth of impact and exposure Twitter has had throughout the Arab spring and beyond, its penetration remains behind that of LinkedIn - except in Kuwait indicating that job hunting and professional networking services through LinkedIn are more relevant than the informational, social and political uses of social media that Twitter provides.
The percentage of female LinkedIn users is lower than that of the men, at 28%, and is also significantly lower than the global trend, where women constitute 43% of LinkedIn users
Figure 32: Penetration of Social Media Users in the Select Arab Countries (June 2012)
12.83 12.78
3.09
Egypt
Morocco
Oman
Saudi Arabia
Bahrain
Tunisa
Qatar
Lebanon
Jordan
Kuwait
UAE
Twitter penetration remains behind that of LinkedIn - except in Kuwait indicating that job hunting and professional networking services through LinkedIn are more relevant in the region than the informational, social and political uses of social media that Twitter provides
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There are 167 million YouTube video views a day in the Arab region, putting the region in the number two spot in the world (behind the U.S. and ahead of Brazil). Views in the region have grown by 120% in the last six months
14
In the following countries (Algeria, Bahrain, Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia and the UAE)
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Twitter data
The number of Twitter users, number of tweets, and top trends in all 22 Arab countries, in addition to Iran, Israel and Turkey, was estimated between February 8th and 30th, 2012 by sampling 85,900 Twitter users and 1.96 million tweets. The study was conducted using a specially developed Twitter API. Additionally, the number of Twitter users in June 2012, was estimated using the growth rate between the previous two sampling periods September 2011 and March 2012. Two sampling methods were used: 1. 2. Trend & volume data was collected by sampling 1% of the whole of Twitter traffic, and filtering for location. Users were sampled by randomly inspecting user ID numbers. This allows for finding information on both active and inactive users.
The population estimates come from combining these two data sources (sample (2) gives a picture of user behavior, which helps assess the fraction of the population that was picked up in sample (1)). An estimated correction was applied for unlocatable users. Data collection was done by filtering the Twitter sample stream (which provides 1% of all tweets as they happen) for tweets from the right country. An unbiased distribution of tweet frequency was obtained by random sampling of the user space. Geo Location (identifying the country from a location) was done by filtering tweets with location information using a mixture of Yahoo and Googles geolocation services, plus a local database & some extra clean-up for mistakes by one of these services.
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Population estimation was done by estimating the probability of seeing a given user appear in the stream, given the sampling period, tweet-frequency distribution, and the stream behavior (witnessed in the 1% sample of tweets; assumed unbiased). A second correction was applied for un-locatable users.
LinkedIn data
The number of LinkedIn users in 12 Arab countries15: Algeria, Bahrain, Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia and the UAE, was collected periodically between February 2nd and June 26th, 2012, with breakdowns for men and women, and in the following age brackets: 18-24, 25-34, 35-54, 55 and above.
14 These are the only Arab countries for which the LinkedIn website provides data. Of these, Algeria, Lebanon, Morocco, Oman and Tunisia were only introduced in June 2012.
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Annex 2
The content of Annex 2 is available exclusively for members of the ASMR community online on the ASMR website: www.ArabSocialMediaReport.com Join the Arab Social Media Report community online. Registration (at no cost) will give you access to the following datasets, in addition to unpublished charts:
Facebook Users and Country Populations in the Arab World - June 2012
*2012 populations, from United Nations ILO Department of Statistics, http://laborsta.ilo.org/
Country
Population*
Country
Population*
LinkedIn Users and Country Populations in Select Arab Countries June 2012
*2012 populations, from United Nations ILO Department of Statistics, http://laborsta.ilo.org/
Country
Population*
Social Media, Internet and Mobile Subscription Rates in the Arab Region - June 2012
*2012 populations, from United Nations ILO Department of Statistics, http://laborsta.ilo.org/ ** ITU statistics 2011 http://www.itu.int/ITU-D/ICTEYE/Indicators/Indicators.aspx
Country
Estimated Number Number of Number of Twitter Facebook LinkedIn of Twitter Facebook LinkedIn penetration penetration penetration Users (Avg. users Users (%)* (%)* (%)* through (6/26/2012 (6/26/2012) June, 2012)
Country
Percentage of Facebook Users who prefer the English User Interface (chart) Percentage of Facebook Users who prefer the French User Interface (chart)
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Fadi Salem is Director of the Governance and Innovation Program in the Dubai School of Government.
Racha Mourtada is a Research Associate in the Governance and Innovation Program in the Dubai School of Government
Acknowledgements
The authors wish to express their personal appreciation to Danya Bashir and Maryam Minhas for their invaluable contribution to the research; and would like to acknowledge the efforts of the following individuals in providing essential contributions, input and assistance into the report and its related materials: Jineesh M. Illath Saleha BuKattara Sahar Jawad Daniel Winterstein Selma Nagbou Dr. Lubna Al-Kazi Ahmed Esmat Sami Al-Mubarak and Mina Nagy from Taghreedat Rama Chakaki from Baraka Ventures
Arab Social Media Report by Dubai School of Government - Governance and Innovation Program is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported License. Based on a work at www.arabsocialmediareport.com. Permissions beyond the scope of this license may be available at http://www.arabsocialmediareport.com
Readers are free to copy, distribute, transmit and adapt the work, on the following conditions: You must attribute ownership of the work to the Dubai School of Government; you must not use the work for commercial purposes; and, if you share, alter, transform or build upon the work, you must distribute the resulting work only under the same or similar conditions. These conditions may be waived if you obtain written permission from the Dubai School of Government. Where the work or any of its elements is in the public domain under applicable law, that status is in no way affected by the license.
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Dubai School of Government, Convention Tower, Level 13, P.O. Box 72229 Dubai, United Arab Emirates Tel: 971-4-329-3290, Fax: 971-4-329-3291 Email: info@dsg.ac.ae, www.dsg.ae
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